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MLB Betting Free Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland A's
08.05.2012 07:24 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Toronto
(Laffey) at
Oakland
(Milone) -160 O/U 7.5
Recommendation: Under
It has been a wild series in Oakland with the last two games lasting a combined 26 innings. And if it weren't a for a 2-out 9th inning home run, we'd been looking at three straight unders. That is the way I'm going to look this afternoon with Aaron Laffey and Tommy Milone on the hill. Laffey has been pretty decent at times this year. He added a cutter to his repertoire and while still not ideal for the American League East, I think he'll be a good fit for this ball park. Milone has had back-to-back starts vs. Tampa and Toronto in which he got smacked around some (13 IP, 10 ER). He's a big home/road split guy and the outing against the Rays marked the first time all season he allowed more than 2 runs at home. I do have some concern about the health of the bullpens but I think both pitches are capable of reaching the 6th inning and beyond. We also have a long term UNDER umpire in Phil Cuzzi who with his crew are
Read more
Tags:
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays
Oakland A's
Andrew Lange
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August
4
MLB Gambling Free Play: Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds
08.04.2012 08:09 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Pittsburgh
(McDonald) at
Cincinnati
(Leake) -130 O/U 9
Recommendation: Cincinnati
Pittsburgh's James McDonald was at one point sitting with a 2.19 ERA which for his stuff, simply could not be maintained. He may be going through a bit of a dead arm period with four consecutive rough outings (20.2 IP, 19 BB, 6 HR, 8.71 ERA). The tell-tale sign something isn’t right is the walks. Normally a strike thrower, McDonald has had real difficulty with his command and as a result, cannot be trusted. Mike Leake's season started out rough as his ERA sat 5.47 at the end of May. But he turned the corner and over his last 11 outings shows a 3.71 ERA. He's been a little shaky of late (see: 5 ERs in 1.2 IP vs. San Diego) but this is a good opportunity for a bounce back effort – Leake has a solid track record vs. the Pirates (8 starts, 3.16 ERA). Starting pitcher in better form, the stronger offense, and reasonable price put us on the Reds.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
Andrew Lange
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