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NFL Handicapping: Kansas City Chiefs get boost on defense
09.14.2012 11:16 AM
Otto Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports
Kansas City
at
Buffalo
-3 O/U
Top cover corner Brandon Flowers was a full participant in practice and looks like he'll be
returning this week
after missing the opener.
With Derrick Johnson getting closer to full health (even though he did play last week, I don't think he was 100%), Tamba Hali
coming back from suspension
, Eric Berry looking like he was back to health after missing 2011, and Flowers back I think we could see a strong under-the-radar defense with the Chiefs.
Those injuries were a big part in my handicap and subsequent bet on Atlanta last week. Their availability this week has my interest in backing the Chiefs on the road.
“You see him play; you see the energy he displays in
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Tags:
NFL
Kansas City Chiefs
Buffalo Bills
Marty Otto
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CFL Free Betting Pick: Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Calgary Stampeders
09.14.2012 10:36 AM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
Winnipeg at Calgary -9.5 O/U 52
Recommendation: Under
Both of these teams have shown glimpses of playing solid defense this season but I think we'll see them step up their game tonight and help us cash a ticket on the UNDER.
The Winnipeg offense is ranked dead last in points and yards and they've only averaged 15 points on the road. QB Joey Elliott labored in his one and only road start in Saskatchewan as the Blue Bombers offense was shutout in that game. I'd expect some improvement from them here but at the same time I don't expect this team to be scoring points in bunches against a Calgary defense that has come on strong during their current three-game win streak. They surrendered just 10, 23 and 18 points in those games as we've seen the likes of LB Juwan Simpson and DL Charleston Hughes lead the way with dominant performances.
I don't expect Calgary to have as much success moving the football in this game either. The Stamps are off back-to-back wins against their rival Edmonton and usually we see offenses take a hit from a performance standpoint in what is somewhat of a flat spot. QB Kevin Glenn needs a strong running game with
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CFL
Ian Cameron
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Sports Betting Podcast 9-14-2012 NFL Every Game on the Board
09.14.2012 10:27 AM
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We're back for our Week 2 NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast. Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board
Erin Rynning - NFL Game on the Board Part I
Alf Musketa - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
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Erin Rynning
Alf Musketa
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College Football Handicapping: CRIS vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings Week 3
09.14.2012 08:53 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Here's a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob Veno's College Football
Power Ratings
for Week 3.
College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 3
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
CRIS Current
RV Power
105
Washington State
UNLV
Washington State -8
Washington State -12.5
107
Navy
Penn State
Penn State -7
Penn State -7
109
Massachusetts
Michigan
Michigan -45.5
Michigan -41
111
Boston College
Northwestern
Northwestern -3.5
Northwestern -5
113
Eastern Michigan
Purdue
Purdue -24
Purdue -24
115
Northern Illinois
Army
Northern Illinois -3
Northern Illinois -7
117
Wake Forest
Florida State
Florida State -27.5
Florida State -19
119
Connecticut
Maryland
UConn -3
UConn -6.5
121
Texas A&M
SMU
Texas A&M -12
Texas A&M -8
123
Virginia Tech
Pittsburgh
Virginia Tech -10
Virginia Tech -8.5
125
USC
Stanford
USC -8.5
USC -6
127
East Carolina
Southern Miss
Southern Miss -7.5
Southern Miss -7
129
California
Ohio State
Ohio State -16.5
Ohio State -13
131
Texas
Mississippi
Texas -10
Texas -12
133
Arizona State
Missouri
Missouri -6
Missouri -6.5
135
BYU
Utah
BYU -3
Utah -1
137
North Carolina
Louisville
Louisville -3
North Carolina -0.5
139
Virginia
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -10
Georgia Tech -9
141
Alabama
Arkansas
Alabama -20
Alabama -13.5
143
Miami (OH)
Boise State
Boise State -21
Boise State -23.5
145
TCU
Kansas
TCU -20.5
TCU -10
147
Rice
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech -21
Louisiana Tech -18
149
Western Michigan
Minnesota
Minnesota -2.5
Minnesota -0.5
151
Bowling Green
Toledo
Toledo -3.5
Toledo -8.5
153
UAB
South Carolina
South Carolina -33.5
South Carolina -34.5
155
Ohio
Marshall
Ohio -6
Ohio -7
157
New Mexico
Texas Tech
Texas Tech -33
Texas Tech -30.5
159
Florida
Tennessee
Tennessee -3
Florida -3
161
Colorado State
San Jose State
San Jose State -10.5
San Jose State -11.5
163
Utah State
Wisconsin
Wisconsin -13.5
Wisconsin -17
165
Idaho
LSU
LSU -42.5
LSU -48.5
167
Notre Dame
Michigan State
Michigan State -5.5
Michigan State -5
169
Ball State
Indiana
Indiana -3
Indiana -6
171
Colorado
Fresno State
Fresno State -15.5
Fresno State -15
173
New Mexico State
UTEP
UTEP -12
UTEP -10.5
175
Houston
UCLA
UCLA -17
UCLA -11.5
177
Florida Atlantic
Georgia
Georgia -41.5
Georgia -43.5
179
Arkansas State
Nebraska
Nebraska -24
Nebraska -23.5
181
South Alabama
NC State
NC State -31.5
NC State -36.5
183
Florida International
Central Florida
Central Florida -16.5
Central Florida -16
185
Louisiana-Lafayette
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -22.5
Oklahoma State -24.5
187
North Texas
Kansas State
Kansas State -28
Kansas State -26.5
189
Middle Tennessee
Memphis
Middle Tennessee -3.5
Memphis -1
191
Western Kentucky
Kentucky
Kentucky -7
Kentucky -6.5
193
Mississippi State
Troy
Mississippi State -16
Mississippi State -18
195
Louisiana-Monroe
Auburn
Auburn -16.5
Auburn -18
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Rob Veno
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College Football Betting Preview: Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks
09.14.2012 07:46 AM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
Alabama
at
Arkansas
Brent Crow's Recommendation:
Arkansas
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Alabama -15.5 O/U 52
CRIS Current:
Alabama -20 O/U 54
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Alabama -13.5
A week ago Alabama would have been a seven-point favorite in this game, but after Arkansas imploded in last week’s 34-31 loss to UL-Monroe, the Crimson Tide are now nearly three touchdown road chalk in an SEC game. Arkansas quarterback Tyler Wilson got hurt last week and is questionable for this week’s game, but this pointspread may be an overadjustment. Wilson has practiced this week, but head coach John L. Smith said that he has not been cleared to play and the decision is not in his hands. Wilson will play if he is cleared by team doctors, and with him practicing this week, I expect to see him on the field.
The bigger concern for Arkansas may be its defense. The Hogs have allowed 50
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College Football
Alabama Crimson Tide
Arkansas Razorbacks
SEC
Brent Crow
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College Football Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies at SMU Mustangs
09.14.2012 07:36 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Texas A&M
at
SMU
Andrew Lange's Recommendation:
Texas A&M
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - FSN
CRIS Opener:
Texas A&M -10.5 O/U 53
CRIS Current:
Texas A&M -12 O/U 61
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Texas A&M -8
Last year, SMU came into the season with five senior offensive linemen and the most career starts of any team in the country. In Week 1, they were absolutely destroyed by Texas A&M 46-14. In that game, the Aggies recorded eight sacks and helped cause two interceptions. This year, SMU has one of the least experienced offensive lines in the country and faces an A&M squad that record eight sacks and held Florida to 3.0 ypc last week. SMU’s offense is noted for being able to pick apart week defenses. Unlikely the case on Saturday.
As we saw in last year's meeting and in Week 1 against Baylor, SMU is prone to sloppy play, mistakes, and an inability to make stops. The
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College Football
Texas A&M Aggies
SEC
SMU Mustangs
C-USA
Andrew Lange
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NFL Betting Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Philadelphia Eagles
09.14.2012 06:59 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
Baltimore
at
Philadelphia
Alf Musketa's Recommendation:
Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -3 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current:
Philadelphia -2 O/U 46
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Philadelphia -1
The Eagles are the situational play here. We've seen it in many sports, when things go your way, and you get the bounces, the following game they tend to revert to the norm. The Ravens certainly had everything go well for them against Cincinnati benefitting from three turnovers and one of them a 31-yard interception returned for a touchdown. Their energy level was sky high hosting the first Monday Night Football game of the season and now must play on the road with a short work week at Philadelphia. The Eagles will have an extra day to prepare and will use that time to correct the Week 1 mistakes that were glaringly obvious to any handicapper. Aside from five turnovers, they ran an amazing 88 plays at
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NFL
Baltimore Ravens
Philadelphia Eagles
Alf Musketa
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September
13
College Football ATS Analysis: A quick look at Week 3 line moves
09.13.2012 02:53 PM
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We mentioned in our
College Football Betting Recap
earlier this week that big lines moves haven't fared well this season. Using CRIS's lines, if you bet the opener on games that moved three points or more you went 8-14 ATS (7-15 w/ closing line). We've already seen a handful of significant moves this week – some of which injury related like Alabama/Arkansas and Florida/Tennessee.
CRIS Opener/CRIS Current
Florida State opened -25 vs. Wake Forest...now -28
UConn opened pk at Maryland...now -3 (-105)
Alabama opened -15.5 at Arkansas...now -20
Bowling Green opened +6.5 at Toledo...now +3.5
Tennessee opened pk vs. Florida...now -3
Florida Atlantic opened +44.5 at Georgia...now +41.5
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If coaches could bet, Brady Hoke would probably grab some UMass +45.5
09.13.2012 12:31 PM
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Massachusetts
at
Michigan
-45.5 O/U 54
Michigan head coach Brady Hoke just gave out a
free play
. Bet UMass +45.5.
"That’s ridiculous,” he said this morning, during his weekly appearance on the “Stoney and Bill Show” on WXYT-FM (97.1). “All you’ve got to do is go back two years, and it was 42-37 here in Ann Arbor. That gets your attention. The one thing we try to do every week: It’s about us, how we prepare on a weekly basis, how we practice. When you look at it that way, and that’s the way we look at it every week, we’re getting ready to get into the Big Ten schedule soon. We’ve got a lot of improvement we’ve got to do.”
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UMass Minutemen
MAC
Michigan Wolverines
Big Ten
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NFL Handicapping: Arizona Cardinals will start Kolb vs. New England
09.13.2012 12:14 PM
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Arizona
at
New England
-13.5 O/U 48.5
The Arizona Cardinals said that Kevin Kolb will start Sunday's game at New England. According to
ESPN
, this information came from "league sources" and team president Michael Bidwell, not head coach Ken Whisenhunt. Maybe Whisenhunt is trying to do his best Bill Belichick impression or maybe he spotted Kolb's horrific track record on the road (3-6, 64.8 rating, 6 TDs, 10 INTs) and wants to weigh all of his options. The problem is he doesn't have many with John Skelton out because of an ankle injury.
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Arizona Cardinals
New England Patriots
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NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers
09.13.2012 11:20 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
New Orleans
at
Carolina
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Lean towards Over
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -3 (+101) O/U 51
CRIS Current:
New Orleans -3 O/U 51
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
New Orleans -3.5
Not much went right for either of these two teams in their season opener. The Saints defense was picked apart by a rookie QB making his first NFL start; giving up 40 points and 464 yards (a whopping 6.5 yards per snap), unable to stop the run or the pass in Steve Spagnuolo’s first game as the coordinator. Meanwhile, Drew Brees completed less than half of his pass attempts while throwing a pair of interceptions, after throwing only four INTs in his final eight regular season games last year. The Saints gave up on the run rather quickly in a game they trailed from the get-go, with Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram combining for only 32 yards on ten rushing attempts.
Carolina, too, was gashed by
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NFL
New Orleans Saints
Carolina Panthers
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 9-13-2012 College Football Every Game on the Board
09.13.2012 11:10 AM
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Thursday marked Week 3 of our College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Teddy Covers, Ian Cameron and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board
Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I
Rob Veno - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II
Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.
Tags:
College Football
Teddy Covers
Ian Cameron
Rob Veno
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College Football Betting: Run-first frosh QB gets starting nod for Southern Miss
09.13.2012 07:48 AM
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East Carolina
at
Southern Miss
-7 O/U 55
Southern Miss announced that freshman
Anthony Alford will start
Saturday's contest against East Carolina. Alford came off the bench in Week 1's loss at Nebraska and produced 84 yards on the ground. He was however only 1-of-5 for 6 yards passing. East Carolina has done a decent job at stopping the run, allowing 125 ypg and 3.8 ypc its first two games against Appalachian State and South Carolina. Where the Pirates have struggled is against the pass (348.5 ypg, 5 TDs, 1 INT).
"Because I started getting more reps (in practice last week), I started getting into more of a rhythm," Alford said. "I'm excited to get the chance to lead the offense. I've got a lot of confidence in the O-line. I just need to make the right call and go with it."
"Anthony is a threat with the
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College Football
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
East Carolina Pirates
C-USA
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NFL Handicapping: Betting markets take out key number of 6 with Bears-Packers
09.13.2012 07:24 AM
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Chicago
at
Green Bay
-5 O/U 51.5
We’ve seen a fair amount of money come in on Chicago for tonight's matchup at Green Bay. Offshore, all of the 6's have been taken out – still some left in Vegas (Wynn, Station). The total has crept up from an opener of 50 (CRIS) to 51.5. The Packers have won four straight in the series and covered seven of the last nine. Last year's second meeting snapped an eight-game run of UNDERS.
Chicago Bears-Green Bay Packers Betting History 2008-11
Year
Score
ATS
O/U
2011
GB 35, CHI 21
Green Bay -13
Over 41.5
2011
GB 27, CHI 17
Green Bay -4
Under 45.5
2010
GB 21, CHI 14
Green Bay -3.5
Under 42
2010
GB 10, CHI 3
Chicago +11
Under 43.5
2010
CHI 20, GB 17
Chicago +3
Under 45.5
2009
GB 21, CHI 14
Green Bay -4
Under 41
2009
GB 21, CHI 15
Green Bay -3.5
Under 47
2008
CHI 20, GB 17 OT
Green Bay +4
Under 40
2008
GB 37, CHI 3
Green Bay -3.5
Under 43
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Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
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College Football Gambling: Nebraska expected to make defensive changes
09.13.2012 06:59 AM
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Arkansas State
at
Nebraska
-24.5 O/U 67
Let's first give credit where credit is due. UCLA's offense has been impressive. Putting up 653 yards of total offense on any FBS school shows you have some talent. That being said, Nebraska's defense was awful. Bottom line is the Cornhuskers made the Bruins look like the Ducks. And it looks as if the main culprit was a
lack of speed
. Starting defensive tackle Chase Rome left the team following the loss and defensive coordinator John Papuchis hinted there may be some lineup changes for Saturday's game against Arkansas State.
"Team speed has been a little bit lacking over the first couple games, so we're going to try to get some of our faster guys on the field and see how that works this week," Papuchis said. "Everybody is in the equation. If we
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Nebraska Cornhuskers
Big Ten
Arkansas State Red Wolves
Sun Belt
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College Football Betting: Illinois' defense had no clue what is was doing vs. Arizona State
09.13.2012 06:29 AM
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Ron Zook may no longer physicallly be the head coach of the University of Illinois, but it appears that his spirit is alive and well. "Widespread confusion" is being used to describe the Illini's
defensive performance
in last week's 45-14 loss at Arizona State. Part of the credit should probably go to ASU and first-year head coach Todd Graham who had his offense pushing the tempo for much of the game. Note that under defensive coordinator Vic Koenning, who now holds the same position at North Carolina, Illinois held nine opponents to 21 points or less and didn't allow more than 35 points in a single game last year.
“We didn’t communicate well where everyone got the right calls. Some guys were running different things from guys opposite them and when we’re not all on the same page, it looks bad. There were a lot of communications breakdowns between guys on defense and our coaches.”
“On that first drive, I thought they were going pretty fast,” Spence
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College Football
Illinois Fighting Illini
Big Ten
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And now they are bribing semi-pro soccer players to throw games
09.13.2012 06:05 AM
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We'll start this off by saying we had absolutely no idea there were betting markets for semi-pro Canadian soccer. That is almost like LVH hanging a line on a Bishop Gorman JV basketball game. The reason we know there are betting markets on semi-pro Canadian soccer is because reports of
match-fixing
have recently surfaced.
"I remember my goal, it was the free kick for us," said Aggouram. "One of our players took the free kick, and then the goalie, he didn't punch it away, he punched it in front of the net, and then I took the rebound."
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September
15
September
12
NFL by Rob Veno
NFL by Teddy Covers
NCAAF by Rob Veno
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Accu-Stats
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Schedule Sheet
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NFL Team Pages
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Brent Crow
Teddy Covers
Rob Veno
Erin Rynning
Marty Otto
Andrew Lange
Sammy P
Alf Musketa
Ian Cameron
