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College Football Handicapping: First half betting trends to watch
09.21.2012 02:47 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
While second half betting in football garners much more attention and money from bettors, there’s also money to be made on specific teams each season betting on the first half. Obviously there is much more speculation involved in playing first halves simply because you don’t get the benefit of watching an entire half play out before you make your wager. In examining all boarded teams that have had three first half betting results thus far, it’s interesting to note that there is only one team in the land that has gone OVER in all three. There are seven that have stayed UNDER the first half total in all three of their games. In this column I’ll take a quick look at the four teams with the most decisive results and then list the other four at the end. These four have been easy moneymakers:
1. Bowling Green
– Where has the Falcons offense gone? Even with junior QB Matt Schilz at the helm and seven returning offensive starters, Bowling Green has produced a grand total of 17 combined points. The disheartening part for BGSU fans is that two of their opponents have been Toledo and Idaho who possess below average defenses. The lack of
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College Football
Bowling Green Falcons
Michigan State Spartans
Kentucky Wildcats
South Carolina Gamecocks
Rob Veno
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Don't miss Saturday's Sportsmemo Week 4 College Football Live Forum Chat
09.21.2012 01:47 PM
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We'll be back in action on Saturday with the
Sportsmemo College Football Live Forum Chat
. Follow us throughout the day with analysis and input from the Sportsmemo Handicappers as well as free halftime recommendations. Be there or be square! If you aren't a posting forum member,
click here
for your free registration.
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College Football Betting Stock Watch: Minnesota Golden Gophers on the upswing
09.21.2012 01:19 PM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
Buy the Minnesota Gophers
– Ah, the former days of head coach Glen Mason. Well, the Gophers just might get back to being perennial bowl participants. Much like the Mason era, the Gophers have parlayed an easy schedule into a strong 3-0 start, which builds confidence. Just ask Bill Snyder. The good news is that Jerry Kill can coach football and run a program, which is way more than what Tim Brewster could do. If you squinted hard enough last season you could see real improvement from the Gophers. At the end of 2011 they actually covered four of their last five games, while showing vast improvement on both sides of the football. Now, in the bigger picture, their 3-0 start looks that much better. Last week, they lost senior quarterback MarQueis Gray to a high ankle sprain. However, from a power rating perspective this might not be a bad deal at all. Sophomore quarterback Max Shortell relieved him and promptly threw for three touchdowns. A downfield passing game actually became a reality. Look for continued improvement from Minnesota.
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Minnesota Golden Gophers
Big Ten
Erin Rynning
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NFL Betting Stock Watch: St. Louis Rams show upside as an underdog
09.21.2012 12:58 PM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
Buy the St. Louis Rams
– To win at sports betting an understanding of “true value” is imperative. St. Louis is a great example of this in the early going of 2012. The Rams were dreadful last season, and that might just be an understatement. They finished 2-14 and never stood a chance. Injuries hit this team hard of which they lost nearly 100 games. The schedule was arguably the strongest in the NFL, and a start against Philadelphia, the New York Giants and Baltimore sapped all of their hopes. The Rams averaged a paltry 12.1 points per game and 24 yards per point. In searching for value, you need to look for change. Well, change came in the form of new head coach Jeff Fisher. Fisher can coach as well as just about anyone in the NFL as he showed for years with the Tennessee Titans. Very much like Tony LaRussa, folks love him or hate him, but Fisher does a great job of putting his teams in position to win. If he could do that with the Rams, they will be a “live” underdog throughout the campaign. In addition, there’s actually some talent and parts to work
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St. Louis Rams
Erin Rynning
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College Football Gambling: Bettors flock towards Oregon State Beavers
09.21.2012 12:42 PM
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Oregon State
at
UCLA
-7.5 O/U 52
A couple quotes from Las Vegas oddsmakers on the
sharp action
they've seen on Oregon State. UCLA opened -11.5 and was bet down to -7 before settling in at -7.5 earlier today.
“How I move the line — this might sound corny — is like an art form, a feel,” Kornegay said. “We took the $5,000 bets, but we also know the sharps are playing it. When you get a feel that, 'Wow! They’re really playing a side,' you need to move the line a half-point or full point even if it’s based on nothing but what we call 'air,' our own feel.
“This line was too high, and we’ve moved it … you’ve got to be with the market.”
“Oregon State dominated the game,” Rood said. “They’ve delivered as an underdog and
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College Football
Oregon State Beavers
UCLA Bruins
PAC-12
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Sports Betting Podcast 9-21-2012 with Handicappers Brent Crow, Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa
09.21.2012 10:31 AM
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We're back for our Week 3 NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast. Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective. We also talked College Football TV games with Brent Crow.
Today's segments
Full Show
Brent Crow - College Football TV Games
Erin Rynning - NFL Game on the Board Part I
Alf Musketa - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage
.
ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in
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Tags:
College Football
NFL
Brent Crow
Erin Rynning
Alf Musketa
Andrew Lange
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Crush the books with Sportsmemo's All Sports Weekend Special
09.21.2012 08:16 AM
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NFL Gambling Notes: Lack of continuity plagues Oakland Raiders
09.21.2012 07:54 AM
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Pittsburgh
-3.5 at
Oakland
O/U 45.5
We swear the AP wrote
this article
three years ago. It goes like this: Oakland coordinator (insert name) preaches patience due to new system. Over the last three years, Oakland has had three different head coaches, offensive coordinators, and defensive coordinators.
“Let’s keep things in perspective for a second here,” Knapp said. “We’ve played two games in the regular season on offense. We’ve had two different centers and a right tackle who played half a game last week. We need some patience. You can’t develop a scheme in two weeks in a regular season.”
“It will take a little while. It will take a little while,” Knapp said. “I don’t know
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Oakland Raiders
Pittsburgh Steelers
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NFL Handicapping: Teams eager for payback against New Orleans Saints
09.21.2012 07:03 AM
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So New Orleans lost to Carolina who got manhandled by Tampa Bay and the New York Giants. The Saints also lost to Washington who managed to lose at St. Louis. It's the NFL, and you could play that game with a lot of teams, but it certainly raises a few flags. Note too that there seems to be plenty of animosity towards the Saints from the rest of the NFC South. We've all witnessed Sean Payton rubbing it in at one point or another.
This article
came out prior to last week's Carolina game but something to keep note of moving forward.
"It's a philosophy. It's an attitude. And that's what his is," Panthers Coach Ron Rivera told the Charlotte Observer last week of the Saints' Payton. "So he coaches that way and they play that way. My attitude and my philosophy is win the football game, and then be smart about the next week. That's just the way I look at it, a difference in philosophy."
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New Orleans Saints
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: Milwaukee Brewers at Washington Nationals
09.21.2012 06:41 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Milwaukee
(Marcum) at
Washington
(Jackson) -125 O/U 8
Recommendation: Washington
We’re in the midst of the MLB playoff push and unlike a majority of the season, you can have success betting on or against teams while pretty much ignoring the starting pitching matchup. Now that Milwaukee has jumped back in the postseason race, bettors are very eager to bet this squad. I don't blame them. If not for their bullpen, Milwaukee could have won 90+ games. But while it looks dangerous to step in front of this team, they won't have many edges in tonight's matchup. The Brewers tried to unload Shaun Marcum during the summer but there weren't any takers. He's had arm issues this season and since his return I've played over and/or against in each of his four starts (7.23 ERA, .997 OPS). Edwin Jackson doesn't get much fanfare but he takes the ball every fifth day and gives the Nationals a chance to win. He's a good fit vs. Milwaukee (.217 vs. righties). I respect Milwaukee's run, but we're
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Milwaukee Brewers
Washington Nationals
Andrew Lange
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September
20
Dude spots ATM glitch, blows it all because he sucks at gambling
09.20.2012 02:18 PM
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People are really, really stupid. Take this guy for example. A retired man from Detroit discovered that he had
unlimited funds
in his Bank of America account thanks to a glitch in the system. Unfortunately, he never saw
Office Space
, and instead of occasionally taking a few bucks out of the petty cash jar, he went for the jugular and ran up a $1.5 gambling debt. The lesson? Never hit up a casino ATM for five figures from a checking account that previously held a balance of $14.32.
"In this case, the bank's glitch allowed the defendant to lose a significant amount of money that was not even his in the first place," states the U.S. Attorney's sentencing memorandum, filed on June 11. "The fact that defendant acted on an impulse does not minimize the seriousness of his conduct and the need for a custodial sentence."
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Bob Stoops wants to keep injuries a secret because it helps bettors
09.20.2012 01:52 PM
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A new trend is forming in college football with coaches becoming more and more reluctant to provide the media/public with injury information. Some coaches feel it gives opposing teams an unneeded advantage and an excuse to go after already injured kids. Oklahoma head coach
Bob Stoops supports that theory
but foolishly tries to strengthen his case by including gambling.
"To me the problem is it's all about gambling. They're the ones that have the true interest in it, and this is college sports. We should not contribute to those who are gambling on college sports. The NFL? Have at it. Go to Vegas, bet on them all, whatever. But gambling is the issue.
"Gambling becomes the issue when Joe Schmo down there loses a big chunk of change on the last play of the game, when we've got out threes in, giving them some snaps. And all of a sudden we don't cover the spread. Now it makes them more angry. It changes people.
"Or you've got your young guy that's playing ball for you, he drops a
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Oklahoma Sooners
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College Football Handicapping: CRIS vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings Week 4
09.20.2012 12:28 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Here's a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob Veno's College Football
Power Ratings
for Week 4.
College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 4
Away Team
Home Team
CRIS Current
RV Power Rating
BYU
Boise State
Boise State -6
Boise State -7
Baylor
UL-Monroe
Baylor -7
Baylor -13
Army
Wake Forest
Wake Forest -7
Wake Forest -10.5
Clemson
Florida State
Florida State -14.5
Florida State -8.5
South Florida
Ball State
South Florida -10
South Florida -9
Memphis
Duke
Duke -23.5
Duke -23
Eastern Michigan
Michigan State
Michigan State -32
Michigan State -32
Bowling Green
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech -17.5
Virginia Tech -21
Central Michigan
Iowa
Iowa -14.5
Iowa -19.5
UAB
Ohio State
Ohio State -37
Ohio State -36
East Carolina
North Carolina
North Carolina -17
North Carolina -12
Temple
Penn State
Penn State -7
Penn State -9
Maryland
West Virginia
West Virginia -25.5
West Virginia -27.5
UTEP
Wisconsin
Wisconsin -17.5
Wisconsin -20.5
Massachusetts
Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) -24.5
Miami (OH) -22.5
Vanderbilt
Georgia
Georgia -15.5
Georgia -13
Utah State
Colorado State
Utah State -13
Utah State -12
Rutgers
Arkansas
Arkansas -7.5
Arkansas -14
Fresno State
Tulsa
Tulsa -6.5
Tulsa -6
Marshall
Rice
Marshall -3
Marshall -1
Kansas
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois -9
Northern Illinois -11.5
Arizona
Oregon
Oregon -21.5
Oregon -21.5
Oregon State
UCLA
UCLA -7
UCLA -9.5
Virginia
TCU
TCU -19
TCU -14.5
California
USC
USC -16
USC -19
Colorado
Washington State
Washington State -21
Washington State -12.5
LSU
Auburn
LSU -20.5
LSU -19
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -14
Georgia Tech -9.5
Wyoming
Idaho
Idaho -2.5
Wyoming -6
Kentucky
Florida
Florida -24
Florida -21.5
Connecticut
Western Michigan
UConn -1
UConn -1
Missouri
South Carolina
South Carolina -10.5
South Carolina -8.5
Michigan
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -5
Notre Dame -4.5
Syracuse
Minnesota
Syracuse -1
Minnesota pk
Kansas State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma -14
Oklahoma -10
New Mexico
New Mexico State
New Mexico State -6
New Mexico State -8
Akron
Tennessee
Tennessee -33
Tennessee -34
Mississippi
Tulane
Mississippi -19
Mississippi -12.5
Louisiana Tech
Illinois
Illinois -3
Illinois -2.5
Utah
Arizona State
Arizona State -7
Arizona State -4.5
San Jose State
San Diego State
San Diego State -3
San Diego State -5.5
Air Force
UNLV
Air Force -10.5
Air Force -12.5
Nevada
Hawaii
Nevada -8
Nevada -7.5
Florida Atlantic
Alabama
Alabama -49.5
Alabama -58.5
Southern Miss
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -4.5
Southern Miss -3
Troy
North Texas
Troy -2
Troy -0.5
Louisville
Florida International
Louisville -13.5
Louisville -11
South Alabama
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -34
Mississippi State -42
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Rob Veno
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NFL Gambling Preview: Atlanta Falcons at San Diego Chargers
09.20.2012 11:59 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Atlanta
at
San Diego
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Atlanta
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
San Diego -3 O/U 49
CRIS Current:
San Diego -3 (-120) O/U 47.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
San Diego -1
It’s a tough spot for the road underdog as they travel West on a short week after hanging on to beat the Broncos on Monday Night Football. However, the spot is certainly factored into this pointspread. My power ratings show the Falcons as two points better than the Chargers right now, which should equate to a pointspread of San Diego -1 at Qualcomm Stadium – there’s line value with the road dog, if they can overcome the tough circumstances.
The Chargers haven’t opened a season with a 3-0 SU mark since Marty Schottenheimer’s first year as their head coach back in 2002. Under Norv Turner, this team has consistently underachieved coming out of the gate. Only once in his previous five years
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Atlanta Falcons
San Diego Chargers
Teddy Covers
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Sports Betting Podcast 9-20-2012 College Football Every Game on the Board
09.20.2012 11:11 AM
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Thursday marked Week 4 of our College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast. Teddy Covers, Ian Cameron and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.
Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board
Rob Veno - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I
Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II
Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
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Teddy Covers
Ian Cameron
Rob Veno
Andrew Lange
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College Football Gambling: Wisconsin benches QB O'Brien, frosh to start vs. UTEP
09.20.2012 08:00 AM
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UTEP
at
Wisconsin
-17.5 O/U 48.5
We knew Wisconsin quarterback Danny O'Brien wasn't going to duplicate Russell Wilson's success but three games into the season, O'Brien already finds himself on the bench. The Badgers
will start freshman Joel Stave
against UTEP on Saturday. Stave replaced O'Brien in last week's game against Utah State after O'Brien lost a fumble.
"I think any of the quarterbacks would admit that Joel has the best arm out of all of them," Bielema said. "He's got great composure. . . . Joel's pretty educated.
"Now, obviously he's only got one half under his belt as a quarterback that's out there on the field. So that's the part that's the unknown."
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Wisconsin Badgers
Big Ten
UTEP Miners
C-USA
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MLB Handicapper Free Play: San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
09.20.2012 07:39 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
San Diego
(Richard) +105 at
Arizona
(Skaggs) O/U 9.5
Recommendation: San Diego
Arizona rookie Tyler Skaggs had some fraudulent success (.203 BABIP, 12-8 K-to-BB ratio) his first three starts after being called up. In his last two outings, it caught up to Skaggs as he was pounded around by San Diego and San Francisco (7 IP, 10 ERs). Against the Giants I noticed that his velocity was also down. There are questions whether or not Skaggs has the stuff to be a successful MLB pitcher. I'll leave the door open, but I don't like what I've seen thus far, especially the 2-to-1 FB-to-GB ratio and having to pitch at Chase Field. Clayton Richard meanwhile has been solid the back half of the season with a 2.72 ERA in August and September. He doesn't miss a lot of bats and shows the typical Petco/road dichotomy, but he appears more trustworthy than Skaggs at this point. I made a play on the Padres and would also consider the over if the total reached 9.
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San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
Andrew Lange
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Antigua tells U.S. to quit being such a meanie with online gambling
09.20.2012 07:18 AM
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At a recent online gaming conference in Las Vegas, Antigua and Barbuda's Finance Minister Harold Lovell called for the United States to end the ban on interstate
Internet gambling
. We applaud the effort Harold but your pleas have likely fallen on deaf ears. In anticipation of just that, Lovell then "threatened" the US by saying A&B will "…explore the right to exact sanctions on industries in the U.S." – whatever that means.
"Why should it make any difference whether a betting transaction crosses a state border?" Lovell asked.
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College Football Handicapping: Temple breaks out new offense for Penn State
09.20.2012 06:37 AM
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Temple
at
Penn State
-7.5 O/U 42.5
With an extra week to prepare, Temple will supposedly
unveil a new offense
against Penn State on Saturday. And by new offense we can only assume there may be a few more forward passes thrown into the mix. In the first half of their loss to Maryland, the Owls were 1-for-3 for 6 yards passing (trailed 26-3). In the second half, they “opened things up” and finished with 178 yards (9.9 ypa).
"Ha, ha. You are going to see on Saturday," quarterback Chris Coyer said. "You know, of course, we are always going to be a run-first team."
"This is the 2012 team. It's a different team" from last season, Temple coach Steve Addazio said. "We have to have a different approach."
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Temple Owls
Big East
Penn State Nittany Lions
Big Ten
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College Football Betting Update: Illinois' defense claims it is better prepared
09.20.2012 06:01 AM
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UPDATE
Louisiana Tech
at
Illinois
-3 O/U 62.5
So Illinois' defense was confused against Arizona State, right? Hopefully they hired a tutor because Saturday’s opponent Louisiana Tech has been known to confuse a defense or two. According to the Illini, everything that went wrong in Tempe
has been fixed
. Quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase (ankle) is expected to play but reports indicate he will not be 100%.
“I’ve seen them hike the ball before the chains are set,’’ Illini defensive back Ashante Williams said. “This is our toughest test to date.’’
“As a defense, we talked about everybody communicating, whoever has the call,’’
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Illinois Fighting Illini
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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
WAC
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September
22
September
19
NFL by Rob Veno
NFL by Teddy Covers
NCAAF by Rob Veno
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Accu-Stats
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Schedule Sheet
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NFL Team Pages
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MLB Team Pages
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