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October

22

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NFL Handicapping: Chiefs go with Brady Quinn vs. Oakland

10.22.2012     11:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oakland at Kansas City

Kansas City announced that Brady Quinn will start Sunday's game against Oakland. The Chiefs are off a bye week. Sportsbooks have yet to post a line on the game.



Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Oakland Raiders




Sports Betting Podcast 10-22-2012 with Handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno

10.22.2012     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Teddy Covers and Rob Veno.  Teddy covered NFL Week 8 line moves while Rob recapped College Football Week 8.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report

Rob Veno - College Football Week 8 Recap

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL College Football Teddy Covers Rob Veno




College Football Betting: Idaho fires head coach Robb Akey

10.22.2012     08:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Off a 42-point loss and heading into the bye week, Idaho decided it was time to cut bait with head coach Robb Akey. Offensive coordinator Jason Gesser will take over for the remainder of the season. Things will probably get worse before they get better for the Vandals as three of their last four games come against San Jose State, BYU and Utah State.



Tags: College Football Idaho Vandals




Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: NFL betting trends and Week 7 recap

10.22.2012     08:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There are three strong prevailing trends this season in the NFL.

NFC Underdogs – any underdog in any game – have gone 34-7-2 ATS this season, even after suffering their first losing week of the season (2-3-1 ATS in Week 7).

Teams heading into the bye week are 1-13 ATS, discounting the games where one pre-bye team faced off against another (0-2 ATS in Week 7).

And teams coming out of the bye are on a 7-2 ATS streak heading into the Bears-Lions showdown on Monday Night (2-1 ATS so far in Week 7).

All three trends pass the “Does it make any sense?” test. The NFC underdogs trend has a relatively simple explanation. All the worst teams in the NFL are in the AFC this year. Carolina, St Louis and Tampa Bay – the three lowest rated NFC teams in my power ratings – all rank above the likes of Jacksonville, Kansas City, Buffalo, Cleveland, Indianapolis, Tennessee and Oakland. No surprise, then, that the NFC has dominated interconference play thus far. And without any weaklings to beat up on, we’ve seen NFC favorites struggle to build margins against their in-conference competitors.

The pre-bye trend of Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Trends: Teams prior to their bye week now 1-13 against the spread

10.22.2012     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
Updating the NFL Bye Week betting trend: Teams prior to the bye are 3-11 straight up and 1-13 against the spread. Note that Denver-San Diego, Chicago-Jacksonville, and Baltimore-Houston canceled each other out. This week, both New England and St. Louis have an upcoming bye.

2012 NFL Betting Results for Teams Prior to Bye Week as of 10/22
Team
Opponent Prior to Bye
Score
Pre-Bye Week SU
Pre-Bye Week ATS
NY Jets
vs. Miami
???
???
???
San Francisco
at Arizona
???
???
???
Buffalo -4
vs. Tennessee
TEN 34, BUF 33
Loss
Loss
Cincinnati
vs. Pittsburgh -1
PIT 27, CIN 17
Loss
Loss
Pittsburgh -3.5
at Oakland
OAK 34, PIT 31
Loss
Loss
Indianapolis -3
vs. Jacksonville
JAX 22, IND 27
Loss
Loss
Oakland
at Denver -6.5
DEN 37, OAK 6
Loss
Loss
Dallas -3
vs. Chicago
CHI 34, DAL 18
Loss
Loss
Philadelphia -3.5
vs. Detroit
DET 26, PHI 23 OT
Loss
Loss
Kansas City
at Tampa Bay -5
TB 38, KC 10
Loss
Loss
Miami -5.5
vs. St. Louis
MIA 17, STL 14
Win
Loss
Detroit -3.5
vs. Minnesota
MIN 20, DET 13
Loss
Loss
Atlanta -9.5
vs. Oakland
ATL 23, OAK 20
Win
Loss
Carolina -1
vs. Seattle
SEA 16, CAR 12
Loss
Loss
New Orleans -3.5
vs. San Diego
NO 31, SD 24
Win
Win
Tampa Bay -1.5
vs. Washington
WAS 24, TB 22
Loss
Loss
Results
 
 
3-11
1-13




Tags: NFL




Sportsmemo's College Football Week 8 Betting Recap

10.22.2012     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
By the betting numbers...College Football Week 8 (see results below). Note that we use CRIS's opening and closing lines. We do not include games involving FCS teams.

Based on closing lines…

Road teams were the stronger bet at 31-25 ATS (Road teams are 200-178 ATS YTD).

Underdogs had the edge this week at 30-26 ATS (Underdogs are 199-184 ATS YTD).

Double-digits favorites went 14-10 ATS (DD underdogs are 100-90 ATS YTD).

23 of 56 games were decided by 7 points or less. 26 of 56 games were lined 7 points or less.

Totals went 24-32 Over/Under (194-200-3 O/U YTD).

Beating the Market: If you bet the opening number on a team that moved three points or more based on the closing line (i.e. Arizona -6) you went: 4-1 ATS (48-28 ATS YTD)

Chasing the Market: If you bet the closing number on a team that moved three points or more (i.e. Arizona -9) you went: 4-1 ATS (38-35-3 ATS YTD).

Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" 25 times but "incorrect" 20 times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously "incorrect." Note that in 11 games, the game opened and closed at the same number.

Parlay combo breakdown (56 games) (379 games YTD)
Favorite-Over: 12 (98 YTD)
Favorite-Under: 14 (84 YTD)
Underdog-Over: 12 (87 YTD)
Underdog-Under: 18 (110 YTD)

Note that we did not include pick ‘em lines and pushes in our parlay combos.

2012 College Football Week 8 Betting Recap
Away Team
Home Team
Open
Close
Final
ATS
O/U Close
Louisiana-Lafayette
North Texas
ULL -4.5
ULL -4.5
NT 30, ULL 23
Underdog
Under 56
Oregon
Arizona State
ORE -10.5
ORE -8.5
ORE 43, ASU 21
Favorite
Under 68.5
Houston
SMU
HOU -3
HOU -3
SMU 72, HOU 42
Underdog
Over 57.5
Connecticut
Syracuse
SYR -4
SYR -5
SYR 40, CON 10
Favorite
Over 43.5
Nebraska
Northwestern
NEB -6.5
NEB -7
NEB 29, NW 28
Underdog
Under 62.5
Minnesota
Wisconsin
WIS -17.5
WIS -16.5
UW 38, MIN 13
Favorite
Over 46.5
Army
Eastern Michigan
ARMY -3
ARMY -2.5
EMU 48, ARMY 38
Underdog
Over 62
Ball State
Central Michigan
BSU -3.5
BSU -3
BSU 41, CMU 30
Favorite
Over 64
Bowling Green
Massachusetts
BG -17
BG -19.5
BG 24, MASS 0
Favorite
Under 50.5
Northern Illinois
Akron
NIU -14
NIU -17
NIU 37, AKR 7
Favorite
Under 64
Georgia
Kentucky
UGA -27
UGA -26
UGA 29, KY 24
Underdog
Under 57
Wake Forest
Virginia
UVA -5.5
UVA -3
WF 16, UVA 10
Underdog
Under 51
North Carolina
Duke
UNC -11
UNC -10.5
DUKE 33, UNC 30
Underdog
Over 62.5
NC State
Maryland
NCST -5
NCST -4
NCST 20, MARY 18
Underdog
Under 44.5
Cincinnati
Toledo
CIN -8
CIN -5
TOL 29, CIN 23
Underdog
Under 64.5
Boston College
Georgia Tech
GT -14
GT -14.5
GT 37, BS 17
Favorite
Under 61
Rutgers
Temple
RUT -5
RUT -3.5
RUT 35, TEM 10
Favorite
Over 44.5
New Mexico
Air Force
AFA -11
AFA -10.5
AFA 28, UNM 23
Underdog
Under 57.5
San Jose State
UTSA
SJ -15
SJ -12.5
SJ 52, UTSA 24
Favorite
Over 55
New Mexico State
Utah State
USU -30
USU -30
USU 41, NMSU 7
Favorite
Under 56.6
Virginia Tech
Clemson
CLE -9.5
CLE -7.5
CLE 38, VT 17
Favorite
Under 63.5
UNLV
Boise State
BSU -28
BSU -28
BSU 32, UNLV 7
Underdog
Under 56
BYU
Notre Dame
ND -13.5
ND -11.5
ND 17, BYU 14
Underdog
Under 41
Alabama
Tennessee
ALA -20
ALA -19
ALA 44, TEN 13
Favorite
Over 54
Stanford
California
STAN -2.5
STAN -1
STAN 21, CAL 3
Favorite
Under 47
Washington
Arizona
AZ -6
AZ -9
AZ 52, UW 17
Favorite
Over 65
Purdue
Ohio State
OSU -16.5
OSU -17
OSU 29, PUR 22 OT
Underdog
Under 58
Michigan State
Michigan
MICH -11.5
MICH -8
MICH 12, MSU 10
Underdog
Under 43
Indiana
Navy
NAVY -3
NAVY -2.5
NAVY 31, IND 30
Underdog
Under 63
Texas Tech
TCU
TCU -2.5
TCU -1.5
TTU 56, TCU 53 3OT
Underdog
Over 57
Colorado
USC
USC -41
USC -39
USC 50, COL 6
Favorite
Under 57.5
Florida State
Miami (FL)
FSU -17.5
FSU -21
FSU 33, MFL 20
Underdog
Under 57.5
Utah
Oregon State
OSU -10.5
OSU -10
OSU 21, UTAH 7
Favorite
Under 46.5
Kansas State
West Virginia
WVU -4
WVU -3
KSU 55, WVU 14
Underdog
Under 73
LSU
Texas A&M
LSU -2
LSU -3.5
LSU 24, TA&M 19
Favorite
Under 52
South Carolina
Florida
FLA -3
FLA -3
FLA 44, USC 11
Favorite
Over 41.5
Auburn
Vanderbilt
VAN -7
VAN -6
VAN 17, AUB 13
Underdog
Under 45.5
Western Michigan
Kent State
KENT -3.5
KENT -3.5
KENT 41, WMU 24
Favorite
Over 53.5
Marshall
Southern Miss
USM -3
USM -4
MAR 59, USM 24
Underdog
Over 65.5
Central Florida
Memphis
USC -23.5
UCF -24
USC 35, MEM 17
Underdog
Over 50
South Florida
Louisville
UL -8
UL -6
UL 27, USF 25
Underdog
Under 56
Idaho
Louisiana Tech
LT -30
LT -30
LT 70, IDA 28
Favorite
Over 73
Iowa State
Oklahoma State
OSU -14
OSU -14
OSU 31, ISU 10
Favorite
Under 57
Kansas
Oklahoma
OU -35
OU -34.5
OU 52, KU 7
Favorite
Over 55.5
Baylor
Texas
TEX -10.5
TEX -9.5
TEX 56, BAY 50
Underdog
Over 79.5
Pittsburgh
Buffalo
PITT -11
PITT -9.5
PITT 20, BUF 6
Favorite
Under 52
East Carolina
UAB
ECU -4
ECU -2
ECU 42, UAB 35
Favorite
Over 56
Penn State
Iowa
IOWA -2
IOWA -1.5
PSU 38, IOWA 14
Underdog
Over 42
Rice
Tulsa
TULS -21
TULS -19
TULS 28, RICE 24
Underdog
Under 60
Tulane
UTEP
UTEP -16.5
UTEP -15
UTEP 24, TUL 20
Underdog
Under 55
Wyoming
Fresno State
FSU -15.5
FSU -17
FSWU 42, WYO 14
Favorite
Under 60
San Diego State
Nevada
NEV -6.5
NEV -6.5
SDSU 39, NEV 38 OT
Underdog
Over 66.5
Louisiana-Monroe
Western Kentucky
WKU -1.5
WKU -2.5
ULM 43, WKU 42 OT
Underdog
Over 50
Middle Tennessee
Mississippi State
MSU -20.5
MSU -18.5
MSU 45, MTSU 3
Favorite
Under 58
Florida International
Troy
TROY -6.5
TROY -6.5
TROY 38, FIU 37
Underdog
Over 57
Florida Atlantic
South Alabama
USA -2.5
USA -5
USA 37, FAU 34 2OT
Underdog
Over 45




Tags: College Football



October

21




NLCS Betting Free Play: St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants

10.21.2012     06:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Louis (Carpenter) at San Francisco (Vogelsong) -125 O/U 6.5
Recommendation: San Francisco


Since his late season return, Chris Carpenter's numbers look fairly decent: 26.2 IP, 9 ERs. Make no mistake, he's been fortunate and hasn't looked sharp. I've watched both of his postseason starts and clearly the stuff just isn't there, hence why he's fanned only three batters and had six swinging strikes. Meanwhile, Ryan Vogelsong had his struggles in late August/early September but has rallied back and allowed three earned runs his last five starts including two solid postseason outings. I supported him in his last start against St. Louis and Carpenter and he didn't disappoint as the Giants won 7-1. Obviously this is a do-or-die situation for the Giants but that is only a small part of this handicap. I've been playing against "damaged" starting pitchers all season and won't stop here.



Tags: MLB St. Louis Cardinals San Francisco Giants Andrew Lange




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