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NFL Gambling Preview: Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals

12.31.2011     05:08 AM         Printer Friendly
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SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A number of playoff scenarios and implications headline NFL Week 17 action. Here is some of the good, bad and ugly for teams in this week’s match-ups. Note that all 17 games are divisional contests.

Baltimore -2 at Cincinnati O/U 38.5

Key AFC North showdown as Baltimore can clinch the AFC’s No. 1 seed combined with a New England loss. The Ravens will win the division and No. 2 seed with a win or a Steelers loss. But the Bengals are pushing hard for a playoff spot few thought they could achieve this season. Cincinnati makes the playoffs with a win, or a Tennessee win, NY Jets loss and Oakland loss. Both defenses rank top-6 in total yards and yards per play. Baltimore has been inconsistent despite an 11-4 record with struggles on the road including losses at Tennessee, Jacksonville, Seattle and San Diego. Cincinnati (9-6) has struggled against the stronger teams, losing to San Francisco, Houston, Pittsburgh (twice) and Baltimore (0-3 SU/ATS mark against some of Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Cincinnati Bengals __




NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

12.31.2011     05:03 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A number of playoff scenarios and implications headline NFL Week 17 action. Here is some of the good, bad and ugly for teams in this week’s match-ups. Note that all 17 games are divisional contests.

Dallas at New York Giants -3 O/U 47

Prime time Sunday night tilt with the winner hosting next week’s playoff game and the loser wondering what the heck happened this season. Both teams have burned their betting backers and proven to be untrustworthy too often. They enter 8-7 with the Giants playing a brutally tough schedule the second half of the season. The Giants stole a victory at Dallas three weeks ago, 37-34, rallying from 12 points down with less than six minutes remaining. New York owns the league’s worst rushing offense at 88 ypr and 3.5 ypr. They allow 126 rushing ypg and 4.5 ypr. Can Eli Manning carry the Giants to victory one more time with his outstanding season (4,587 passing yards, 8.8 yppa)? Or will Tony Romo’s bruised hand deliver on Read more


Tags: NFL New York Giants Dallas Cowboys __




NFL Gambling Preview: San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams

12.30.2011     01:45 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A number of playoff scenarios and implications headline NFL Week 17 action. Here is some of the good, bad and ugly for teams in this week’s match-ups. Note that all 17 games are divisional contests.

San Francisco -10.5 at St. Louis O/U 35.5

The surprise team of the NFL can clinch the NFC’s No. 2 seed and first round bye with a win. Led by a solid ground game and bend but don’t break defense allowing just 14 ppg, the 49ers appear poised to have a playoff bye and home field game in the divisional round. San Francisco has created and benefitted from a league-best turnover margin, and quarterback Alex Smith has managed the conservative offense effectively with nearly 3,000 yards and a 16/5 TD-to-INT ratio.  At 12-3 SU and 11-3-1 ATS, the 49ers have covered the pointspread by over 105 points; best in the NFL. They take on a 2-13 SU/ATS Rams team that did manage to upset the Saints on this field as similar big underdog earlier this season. St. Louis Read more


Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers St. Louis Rams __




NFL Gambling Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons

12.30.2011     01:36 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A number of playoff scenarios and implications headline NFL Week 17 action. Here is some of the good, bad and ugly for teams in this week’s match-ups. Note that all 17 games are divisional contests.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta -11 O/U 45.5

The money-burning Bucs tossed the towel weeks ago and in my opinion have been unbackable. They enter 4-11 SU/ATS and on a current run of 0-9 SU, 1-8 ATS with seven of those losses by nine or more points. For the season, Tampa Bay’s results have landed over 150 points away-from-the-pointspread; worst in the NFL. Defensive deficiencies have led to the laughable losing as the Bucs have allowed 27 or more points in six of last seven games and allow nearly 400 ypg and league worst 6.2 yards per play. Atlanta gets No. 5 playoff seed in NFC with a win and Detroit loss. A Lions win will have Atlanta potentially traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints next week in the Wild Card round. Falcons play with 16-13, Week 3 revenge against the Read more


Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Atlanta Falcons __




Oddsmakers and bettors do guesswork for NFL Week 17

12.29.2011     12:34 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When it comes to Week 17 of the NFL, there typically aren’t but a few games that don't have that coin-flip, preseason-type feel to it. Even oddsmakers admit there isn't much science behind some of these lines. Take Green Bay-Detroit for example. The Packers opened 3-point favorites at CRIS but Detroit is now favored by -3.5 (it took the betting market all of 10 minutes to make the "correction"). Green Bay obviously has nothing to play (Aaron Rodgers may sit) while Detroit can improve its playoff position with a win. The Lions will be attempting to win at Lambeau Field for the first time since 1991. A victory would pit them against the winner of the New York-Dallas game while a loss would likely send them to New Orleans.


"Is 3.5 the right number on Detroit? You're really not using math to make that number—you're guessing," Rood said.





Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Detroit Lions




NFL Gambling Notes: Kansas City says full effort vs. Denver despite no postseason

12.27.2011     12:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas City at Denver -3 O/U 37

Kansas City was bounced from the postseason after last week's overtime loss to Oakland but according to interim head coach Romeo Crennel, the team plans on going all out in Sunday's season finale at Denver. For the Broncos, it is a win-and-in situation (or Oakland loss).


"All these players, they want to win. They want to try to win," the interim coach said Monday. "I don't think anybody goes into a game trying to lose. Every player wants to win."

"It's disappointing that we can't play in the postseason," linebacker Tamba Hali said, "(but) we signed up to play 16. We've got to go there and show those guys we can play."





Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos




NFL Handicapping: Playoff scenarios heading into Week 17

12.27.2011     12:43 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Even though there are only three of 12 postseason spots yet to be determined heading into Week 17, there are a slew of potential scenarios in terms of home field advantage and matchups.

AFC: New England (first round bye), Houston, Baltimore and Pittsburgh are all in. If New England beats (or ties) Buffalo OR Baltimore or Pittsburgh lose (or tie), the Patriots would clinch home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Ravens and Steelers still have a shot at the No. 1 seed but not only need to win but also have the Patriots lose. Denver can win the AFC West with a win over Kansas City or an Oakland loss (vs. San Diego). If Denver and Oakland both win, then the Raiders can make the playoffs with Cincinnati and Tennessee losses or Cincinnati loss and New York Jets win. The Bengals are in if they beat Baltimore. The Jets can get in but need to first beat Miami and have the Bengals, Tennessee and Denver/Oakland lose. Same type of crazy scenario for the Titans who must first win at Houston.

NFC: Green Bay (home-field advantage throughout), Read more


Tags: NFL




Handicapper Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 16

12.27.2011     10:41 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Week 16 NFL favorites went 10-6 straight up and 6-10 against the spread. I graded the Cowboys as a betting favorite and Seahawks (+2.5) an ATS winner. For the season, betting favorites are 112-120-8 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. Nine division games in Week 16 and division underdog went 3-7 SU and 7-3 ATS. I graded the Eagles as an underdog. Home underdogs went 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS, and for the season home underdogs are 27-49 SU and 39-36-1 ATS. Read more


Tags: NFL __




NFL Handicapping: Vick faces Dallas' 3-4 defense for a second time

12.21.2011     11:51 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Dallas -1.5 O/U 50.5

Article on the Philadelphia Eagles and quarterback Michael Vick’s stats and performances against 3-4 defenses. Hopefully more media and public buy into the perception that Vick is an elite level quarterback. Little do they know, he's in for rough times against the Cowboys.


The Ryan brothers run similar 3-4 defenses. Vick has had his best success this season against odd-man fronts. When Vick has started, the Eagles are 4-3 against 3-4 defenses, 1-3 against 4-3 fronts.

His overall passing numbers are also slightly better against the 3-4. In those games, Vick completed 61 percent of his passes for 265.2 yards a game and tossed nine touchdowns against 10 interceptions. Against 4-3 schemes, he has a 57.9 completion percentage and threw for 204.5 yards, four touchdowns and three picks.  Read more



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Dallas Cowboys __




Handicapper Fairway Jay: Inside the NFL Betting Numbers Week 15

12.21.2011     06:40 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. For over a decade, Jay has kept a proprietary database of statistical information and utilized relevant rushing numbers and statistical guidelines to better assist him in sports investing and providing point spread winners. Fairway Jay is a recognized leader in NFL handicapping and you can follow his articles and insight in the Sportsmemo daily blog and on Twitter: @FairwayJay

Week 15 NFL favorites went 10-6 straight up and 8-8 against the spread. For the season, betting favorites are 106-110-8 ATS. Last season betting favorites went 123-128-7 ATS (48%). A few close wins or losses could have the overall records slightly different based on closing lines and sportsbook. I graded Oakland as a +1.5 winner over Detroit (28-27 Lions win). I also graded Cincinnati -6.5 in its 20-13 win over St. Louis. You could have pushed with both the Lions and Rams if you shopped around. Three division games in Week 15 and the underdogs went 2-1 SU/ATS highlighted by the the Chiefs Read more


Tags: NFL __



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Sep 02, 2014 09:42 PM.