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NFL Betting News and Notes - Preseason Recap

09.04.2012     03:09 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Welcome to the debut of my weekly column NFL Betting News & Notes. Each week I will be digging for and sharing misleading box score stats as well as pointing out things only realized by watching the games. With Week 1 set to kickoff starting Wednesday, let's look back at some noteworthy items from the preseason.

Last week...

Buffalo’s starting offense led by quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick struggled quite bit during the preseason. So does last week's 38-32 final score against Detroit indicate signs of progress? My answer is no. They were only in the game for one possession and most of the points came from the Bills’ backups including a 100-yard kickoff return by Marcus Easley. The Bills had 221 passing yards but Fitzpatrick accounted for only 39 of those yards. Like I said, that game was in my opinion not an indicator that everything is OK in Buffalo.

Money came pouring in on St. Louis prior to its final preseason game against the Ravens. The Rams opened as a pick ‘em and went to as high as -5.5 by kickoff. That sharp money proved to be the right side as the Rams ended their preseason with a 31-17 spread covering win. So does that Read more

Tags: NFL Ian Cameron

NFL Handicapping: Betting markets not afraid to support rookie QBs in Week 1

09.04.2012     12:36 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Nothing too significant but we noticed that of the five teams projected to feature Week 1 rookie starting quarterbacks, four have seen the lines move in their favor since CRIS’s openers back in June. The lone exception being Miami and Ryan Tannehill as the Texas are now up to -12.5 after opening -7. Now before we get too carried away, some of these lines moved prior to the QB announcements. And perhaps most important, despite the betting market’s "love" for rookie QB-led teams, four of the five contests are lined seven or more, something only one other Week 1 contest not involving a rookie quarterback can lay claim to (Detroit -7 vs. St. Louis).

Indianapolis (Andrew Luck) opened +10 vs. Chicago, now +9
Cleveland (Brandon Weeden) opened +8.5 vs. Philadelphia, now +8
Washington (Robert Griffin III) opened +9.5 vs. New Orleans, now +7
Miami (Ryan Tannehill) opened +7 vs. Houston, now +12.5
Seattle (Russell Wilson) opened +1.5 vs. Arizona, now -3

Tags: NFL

NFL Preseason Betting: Kansas City wants to see something from first-string

08.30.2012     07:34 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Kansas City -1.5 at Green Bay O/U 39

Kansas City said it’s looking for a good showing from it starters and that they may play longer than a series. Not the case with Green Bay, as head coach Mike McCarthy said playing time will be limited.

“There is some significance in the game to how you play,” Crennel said. “You can go out and you can stink the place up and then you can take your starters out and sometimes that will carry over to the regular season.”

"The starters will play a very limited time in the first quarter," McCarthy said.

Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Green Bay Packers

NFL Preseason Gambling: Bengals to play starters one series vs. Colts

08.30.2012     07:22 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cincinnati at Indianapolis -3 O/U 38

Cincinnati plans on playing its starters one series tonight against Indianapolis.

“I think we will probably play a series, just get a good drive going and hopefully go down and score points,” Dalton said.

“To me, that’s what makes the preseason games so much fun and so interesting, because you have all these matchups and battles that are going on both teams,” Bengals coach Marvin Lewis said. “ That’s a fun thing, if I were a fan, to watch. I get excited watching it.”

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Indianapolis Colts

NFL Preseason Gambling: St. Louis Rams to play starters into third quarter

08.29.2012     07:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Baltimore at St. Louis -5 O/U 38.5

Word on the street says St. Louis is planning to play its starters into the third quarter of Thursday's preseason finale against Baltimore. The game opened as a pick 'em with the Rams now as high as -5.5 at 5Dimes and Heritage.

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens St. Louis Rams

NFL Preseason Betting: Detroit and Buffalo plan to get their starters on the field

08.29.2012     07:34 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Buffalo at Detroit -4 O/U 38.5

Details on the Week 4 preseason game plans for both Buffalo and Detroit. Both teams' starters are expected to see the field.

“If guys are healthy they'll play,” he said. “We may have some situations where we hold guys out that are just healing up to be at 100 percent, but if guys are 100 percent and they're healthy they're going to play.”

"We are thinking in that 10-play area," he said, referring to how much time his starters can be expected to get. "If you are going to put them out there for four plays, why even put them out there? You want to be able to go out there and play enough to get a feel for the game. Hit a little bit

Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Detroit Lions

NFL Preseason Betting: New England Patriots may play starters

08.29.2012     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New England -1.5 at -New York Giants- O/U 41

According to the Boston Herald, there is a chance New England's starters could see some time tonight against the Giants.

“Yeah, he was big on those game-plan scenarios,” Evans said of Belichick. “But Bill’s Bill. Nothing ever surprises me. So I would expect (the starters) to play some.”

“Absolutely,” Evans said. “Bill wants to fix problems. So I would expect him to play the guys, let them work out what he wants them to work out. You still have Friday, Saturday, Sunday (to) rest. He can rest them like they had a bye week.”

Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants

Teddy Covers' NFL Preseason Betting News and Notes

08.28.2012     11:42 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
I put all 16 NFL preseason games on my DVR each week and I watch every first half to see how the guys who are likely to see the field in the regular season are progressing. Now that three full weeks of preseason action are in the books, let’s take a look at my personal assessment of some noteworthy squads based on the “eye test”, not on meaningless August stats.

Buffalo Bills: I can understand why this defensive line got so many accolades this past offseason – the Bills are playing five different guys who have led their team in sacks at least once. Bottom line is this team has a monster front four pass rush without the need for a bevy of blitzes to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks. But that pass rush was about the only thing they did right. I saw poor effort from the linebackers and poor coverage downfield.  Their man-to-man coverage frankly didn't work. And the $59 million dollar man, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, absolutely stunk up the joint for the second straight week! This team wasn't ready. Maybe some of it was gameplan; they were working on running the football. But the Bills offensive line got eaten up, and the Read more

Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Buffalo Bills Washington Redskins New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts Minnesota Vikings Tampa Bay Buccaneers Seattle Seahawks Kansas City Chiefs

NFL Preseason Gambling: Four straight Week 4 preseason UNDERS for Falcons

08.28.2012     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Atlanta at Jacksonville -3 O/U 38.5

History says that Atlanta Falcons head coach Mike Smith is unlikely to play many of his starters for Week 4's preseason finale against Jacksonville. Under Smith, the Falcons are 1-3 SU/ATS and 0-4 O/U in Week 4 of the preseason.

Atlanta's Week 4 Preseason Results under Smith
2011: -3 vs. Baltimore, 21-7 Loss, Under 37.5
2010: +3 at Jacksonville, 13-9 Loss, Under 37.5
2009: -3 vs. Baltimore, 20-3 Loss, Under 35.5
2008: +2.5 at Baltimore, 10-9 Win, Under 33

Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Jacksonville Jaguars

NFL Preseason Betting: Arizona says rookie QB Lindley will start Thursday

08.28.2012     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Denver at Arizona -2.5 O/U 36.5

Looks like the Arizona Cardinals are going with Door No. 3 for Thursday's preseason finale. Head coach Ken Whisenhunt said rookie quarterback Ryan Lindley will get the starting nod. Whisenhunt has yet to decide on a Week 1 starter but there are indications Kevin Kolb and John Skelton will not play Thursday. Rich Bartel is expected to relieve Lindley at some point.

Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals Denver Broncos


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