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Kornegay feels Giants vs. Vikings line a bit short
12.13.2010 07:04 AM
Printer Friendly
NY Giants -4 vs. Minnesota O/U 43.5
Hilton oddsmaker Jay Kornegay weighs in on tonight's
New York vs. Minnesota game
set to take place in Detroit.
"We actually thought the line would come higher than just 4, and it still might," said Jay Kornegay, vice president of the race and sports book operations at the Las Vegas Hilton.
"I don't know why the line isn't closer to 5½," Kornegay said.
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New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings
NFL
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NFL Handicapping: AFC Betting News and Notes Week 14
12.13.2010 06:29 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches the games typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps simply don’t have. This week: AFC tidbits from Week 14.
Bengals
– Carson Palmer continues to make poor decisions with the football, extremely lucky on several occasions early when potential interceptions were dropped by Pittsburgh defenders. He wasn’t so lucky as the game progressed, throwing a pair of pick sixes that turned a competitive game into an ugly blowout loss. Palmer is taking sacks that he shouldn't; holding the ball too long in the pocket. And it can’t a good thing for team chemistry when Palmer engages in heated arguments on the sidelines with his receivers after repeated miscommunications on the field. Cinci got off to a lead in this ballgame, and then had no idea what to do with it. They hadn't led at halftime since their Week 11 loss to the Bills, another game where they had absolutely
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Tags:
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Cincinnati Bengals
New York Jets
Pittsburgh Steelers
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Miami Dolphins
Kansas City Chiefs
San Diego Chargers
Cleveland Browns
Teddy Covers
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NFL Betting Update: Weather a factor for Week 14 games
12.10.2010 08:52 AM
Printer Friendly
In case you missed the weather forecasts and early week line and totals moves for this Sunday's NFL action, Fairway Jay has provided an update. Weather is expected to be even worse than projected midweek in many locations, so get your bets in and follow the forecast.
Updated Fri., Dec. 10
Sunday, Dec. 12 weather forecasts
Oakland at Jacksonville
- 70% chance of rain and thunder with high of 65 degrees and winds up to 20 mph
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
- 80% chance of rain and snow showers with high of 37 degrees and up to 13 mph winds
New England at Chicago
- Rain and snow likely Sat and cold Sunday with 60% chance of snow showers. Game time temperature 20 degrees but up to 26 mph winds
Cleveland at Buffalo
- 90% rain and snow showers with game time temps at 32 degrees and winds up to 12 mph.
Atlanta at Carolina -
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NFL Handicapping: Inside the Betting Numbers Week 13
12.10.2010 07:02 AM
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Throughout the NFL season, Fairway Jay provides a look at weekly box scores, stats and how to utilize the numbers and situations for success. Jay is currently ranked the no. 1 NFL handicapper in the nation as documented by the Sports Monitor with a remarkable 44-19 70% full season record.
Week 13 favorites went 11-5 straight up (SU) and 8-8 against the spread (ATS). For the season betting favorites are 85-100-7 ATS (46%). Division favorites went 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS. Division favorites are now 37-24 SU and 28-33 ATS. NFL home underdogs went 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS and are 23-37 SU and 29-28-3 ATS this season. Totals went 9-7 over/under. Totals are now 107-80-3 O/U and 25-29-1 in division games.
Teams that had a meaningful rushing advantage over their opponent (30 or more yards) went 7-4 ATS and are now 97-30-1 ATS (77%) this season. Teams that rushed for at least 175 yards went 5-0 SU/ATS and those results are now 36-3 SU and 34-5 ATS this season. Teams that rushed for 150 or more yards went 7-3 SU/ATS and for
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Will pointspread success follow Denver after coaching change?
12.09.2010 07:17 AM
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Denver -5.5 at Arizona O/U 42
With Denver head coach Josh McDaniels recently shown the door, bettors are wondering whether or not the Broncos will receive the type of immediate boost they saw from Minnesota and Dallas following their own respective in-season coaching changes. An
article from the Philadelphia Inquirer
points out a couple of interesting betting trends regarding how teams fare following the switch to a new head honcho.
"The money is always going to move in that direction, and it should," said Mike Seba, senior oddsmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants, the company that provides odds to many casinos.
"The head coach has been fired, so everyone is fair game," Seba said. "The players are showing up for meetings on time. Everyone is on the practice field. . . . They're all under the microscope whether they
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Monday Night Football Betting Preview: New York at New England
12.06.2010 03:00 PM
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NY Jets at New England -4 O/U 44.5
A Monday night divisional match-up always and one of the biggest games of the season as the New England Patriots (9-2) host the New York Jets (9-2). The winner will have the best record in the AFC and the inside track to gain home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Here are
five players
to watch in tonight’s key contest.
The Patriots have taken some betting money and up to a 4-point favorite in many places, and Fairway’s football forecast projects the Jets as the team of interest tonight. The Jets beat the Patriots in Week 2 at the Meadowlands 28-14 as a 3-point home underdog. New York used a balanced offensive attack and consistent ground game to run for 136 yards with both LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Green sharing the rushing duties. Expect a similar approach Monday night but note that quarterback Marc Sanchez has thrown for at least 250
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NFL Handicapping: NFC Betting News and Notes 12/6/2010
12.06.2010 11:13 AM
Teddy Covers
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Welcome to Teddy Covers’ unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches the games typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps simply don’t have. This week: NFC tidbits from Week 13.
Bears
– Mike Martz's offense is really clicking right now, balancing the run and the pass better than they have all year. Martz seemingly learned his lesson in that ugly national TV loss against the Giants earlier in the year – we aren’t seeing seven step drops and long throws downfield from Jay Cutler at the expense of the running game at all these days. Cutler is excelling with quick strike passes, firing downfield off three step drops. He didn’t throw a pass that travelled in the air more than 15 yards all day, and Chicago’s only long gainer came on a catch and run from Earl Bennett. Matt Forte created steady gains from the running game, and was a valuable dump-off option in the passing game. I haven't written this about the
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NFL Handicapper Preview: Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers
12.05.2010 07:35 AM
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Oakland at San Diego -13 O/U 44.5
We cashed an easy outright underdog winner on San Diego last Sunday night in their crushing of the Colts, 36-14. Of course, the score was a bit misleading as Indianapolis had five turnovers including a rare poor performance from Peyton Manning, who threw four interceptions.
San Diego (6-5) continues its late season surge as a big home favorite (-13) over their division rival Oakland Raiders (5-6) at Qualcomm Stadium Sunday. The Chargers trail Kansas City by one game in the AFC West and Chiefs may likely have a win over Denver earlier in the day when this one kicks off.
San Diego’s defense is ranked #1 in the NFL, holding opponents to 273 yards per game along with just 4.6 yards per play. We know the public likes to bet hot teams and remembers what they saw recently, and the recent series dominance and revenge factor have inflated this line. Combined with Oakland’s recent poor play the last two games – 33-17 home loss to the Dolphins last
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NFL Betting Pick: Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12.01.2010 01:19 PM
ER Sports
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Atlanta at Tampa Bay +3 (-120) O/U 44.5
Recommendation: Tampa Bay
The Falcons travel to Tampa Bay this weekend with destiny in their own hands. Last week they took care of business by knocking off the Green Bay Packers in a 20-17 thriller. As a result, they now own an NFC-best 9-2 record. Home field advantage in the playoffs is clearly on the mind of Atlanta with numerous players talking about it following last week’s game. In fact, the Falcons are riding high with a five-game winning streak, but as we know, it’s impossible to play at such a high level week in and week out in the NFL.
In the first meeting the Falcons emerged victorious, 27-21. With a chance to take the lead, Tampa Bay was stopped on a 4th-and-1 on Atlanta’s two-yard line late in the game. The Buccaneers did of course slip under the +10 number. That is exactly who Tampa Bay has turned into with the ability to compete against all comers. Yes, they’ve been outscored on the year, but their confidence is
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Erin Rynning
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NFL Handicapping Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
12.01.2010 11:46 AM
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Pittsburgh at Baltimore -3 O/U 40
Recommendation: Under
First place in the AFC North is on the line Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium when Pittsburgh (8-3) travels to Baltimore (8-3). A Ravens win gives them a season sweep of the Steelers and a clear advantage down the stretch with the tie-breaker in hand. Baltimore is 5-0 at home this season and beat the Steelers 20-17 on a similar Sunday night home game last season. Ben Roethlisberger missed that contest along with this year’s first meeting; a 17-14 Ravens win on a last-minute touchdown pass by Joe Flacco.
Defenses figure to control the game flow in this contest again, as both teams allow just 17 points per game and rank in the top-8 in opponent yards per game at 307 and 304 respectively. Pittsburgh’s league-best run defense allows just 64 yards per game at 3.0 yards per rush, and Flacco will have to keep the chains moving with some short and mid-range passes. The Steelers do allow 240 passing yards per game as teams are forced to
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Ben Roethlisberger
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