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Sports Betting Podcast 10-12-2012 NFL Every Game on the Board

10.12.2012     10:09 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 6 NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast. Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Alf Musketa - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Alf Musketa Andrew Lange

NFL Handicapping: Detroit Lions on 3-12-1 ATS run dating back to last season

10.12.2012     07:56 AM     Printer Friendly
Detroit at Philadelphia -3.5 O/U 47.5

Bettors are trusting that the bye week will help kick start Detroit's season. The Lions opened +6.5 at CRIS but have been bet down to as low as +3 (ev). After starting last season 5-0 SU, 4-0-1 ATS, the Lions are on a dismal 6-10 SU, 3-12-1 ATS run. Line history courtesy of CRIS.


Tags: NFL Detroit Lions Philadelphia Eagles

NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens

10.11.2012     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Dallas at Baltimore
Teddy Covers' Recommendation:
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Baltimore -4 O/U 45
CRIS Current: Baltimore -3.5 O/U 44

We last saw the Cowboys getting embarrassed at home on Monday Night Football in a turnover filled debacle of a loss against Chicago.  Tony Romo threw a career worst five interceptions in that ballgame; completely out of sync with big play receivers Dez Bryant, Kevin Ogletree and Miles Austin.  DeMarco Murray gained only 24 yards on eleven carries and the Cowboys defense couldn’t stop Jay Cutler.

At 2-2, the Cowboys certainly haven’t quit on their coach or their season.  Pro Bowl tight end Jason Witten: “This has to be a wake-up call for us…We're not going to quit. We're going to stay together. I believe we have the right people. Great leadership in Jason (Garrett). We'll get it turned around.”  The Cowboys should be much healthier off Read more

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Oakland Raiders stick with struggling run-game

10.11.2012     12:14 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Oakland at Atlanta -9 O/U 48.5

The Oakland Raiders have had a difficult time running the football this year (32nd, 60.8 ypg) but according to reports, they aren't going to stop that from being the focus. Atlanta has allowed 142.8 ypg on 5.4 ypc this season.

"Running the ball is what we want to do," Palmer said Wednesday. "Obviously we want to do it better than we have and that's why we continue to work at it. But it's what gets the play-action game going, it's what gets explosive plays because Darren can score from anywhere."

"It may not look it statistically but we talk about run game efficiency," Palmer said. "I know a lot of people outside of this facility are discouraged in our run game but we're not going to stop running the football. If anything we're going to run (it) more. That puts the ball in our best player's hand."

Read more

Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Atlanta Falcons

NFL Betting Preview: New England Patriots at Seattle Seahawks

10.11.2012     06:24 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
New England at Seattle
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation:
Sunday, 1 pm PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -4 O/U 44
CRIS Current: New England -3 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: New England -6

The Seahawks and Patriots will present an intriguing clash of styles on Sunday afternoon.  The 2012 Patriots offense is looking as good as ever, which is saying something considering how potent the unit has been over the years.  Quarterback Tom Brady is still the straw that stirs the drink running the fast paced unit with immense precision.  Importantly, the Patriots have found their running game averaging 165 yards per game on the ground.  However, the Seattle defense, and especially on their loud home turf, will create disruption for the Patriots offense.  Athletically the Seahawks defense can man-up not only up-front, but with their secondary as well.  The Seahawks own Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Erin Rynning

NFL Pointspread Analysis: Bettors fade Cincinnati Bengals for third straight week

10.10.2012     12:08 PM     Printer Friendly
Cincinnati -1 at Cleveland O/U 44

For the third straight week we're seeing the NFL betting markets put the big fade on the Cincinnati Bengals. And the competition isn't exactly elite with Jacksonville, Miami and now Cleveland.




Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns

Not satisfied with 4-1 start and a healthy QB, Chicago Bears consider no-huddle

10.10.2012     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You're 4-1 with wins by 20, 17, 16, and 38. Why mess with a good thing? Well for one, we're dealing with the Chicago Bears so common logic has a way of not always prevailing. Heading into the bye week, there are rumblings that the offense wants to use more no-huddle.

‘‘They give me two or three plays — a list of plays — and we have a package for each game that we like to go to,’’ Cutler said. ‘‘But you can catch defenses off guard, you really can, and you get into a rhythm if you’re a little stale, if you have a lot of three-and-outs, stuff like that, or you’re coming out of the half or after a turnover.’’

“[Quarterbacks] try to operate the game plan,” Tice said. ‘‘We did have some no-huddle the other day where we gave Jay some really, really good chances to do either-or, and I thought he did a great job with the no-huddle. We like him managing the no-huddle.”

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears

NFL Week 5 Betting Recap: Underdog-Under remains league's top parlay

10.09.2012     01:57 PM     Printer Friendly
By the betting numbers...NFL Week 5 (see results below). We utilize CRIS's opening and closing lines.

Based on closing lines…

Home teams came out on top 9-5 ATS (Home teams are 37-36-4 ATS YTD).

Favorites and underdogs split out 7-7 ATS (Underdogs are 44-29-4 ATS YTD).

Games lined at a touchdown or more were 2-1 ATS in favor of the chalk (+7 or more underdogs are 11-7-1 ATS YTD).

Totals went 7-6-1 O/U (39-37-1 O/U YTD).

Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" six times and "incorrect" four times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously "incorrect." In four games, the game opened and closed at the same number.
Week 4 Parlay combo breakdown (72 games YTD) 
Favorite-Over: 6 (18)
Favorite-Under: 1 (11)
Underdog-Over: 1 (18)
Underdog-Under: 5 (25)

Note that we did not include pick ‘em lines and pushes for our parlay combos.

2012 NFL Week 5 Betting Recap
Away Team
Home Team
ATS Close
O/U Close
St. Louis
ARI -3
ARI -1.5
STL 17, ARI 3
Under 37.5
ATL -3
ATL -3
ATL 24, WAS 17
Over 51
PIT -4
PIT -4
PIT 16, PHI 14
Under 44
Green Bay
GB -6.5
GB -6
IND 30, GB 27
Over 49.5
NY Giants
NYG -10.5
NYG -7.5
NYG 41, CLE 27
Over 43.5
MIN -6.5
MIN -6
MIN 30, TEN 7
Under 44
CIN -5.5
CIN -3
MIA 17, CIN 13
Under 45
Kansas City
BAL -6.5
BAL -6
BAL 9, KC 3
Under 46
CAR -3
CAR -1.5
SEA 16, CAR 12
Under 42.5
CHI -5.5
CHI -6
CHI 41, JAX 3
Over 38.5
New England
NE -6.5
NE -6
NE 31, DEN 21
Over 50.5
San Francisco
SF -10
SF -10
SF 45, BUF 3
Over 45.5
San Diego
New Orleans
NO -3
NO -3
NO 31, SD 24
Over 53.5
NY Jets
HOU -7
HOU -9.5
HOU 23, NYJ 17
Push 40

Tags: NFL

NFL Betting News and Notes Week 5

10.09.2012     11:23 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
You can forgive Pittsburgh Steelers backers for being a little upset after Sunday’s game. The Steelers defeated the Eagles 16-14 but failed to earn the pointspread cover as 3-point home favorites. Pittsburgh outgained Philadelphia 343-246, had a 136-78 on the ground, and were +2 in turnovers but still could not get the ATS win. It was a frustrating instance where statistical domination did not take the cash.

Imagine the surprise for Denver Broncos supporters who might have turned off the game when New England led 31-7 thinking a +6 pointspread cover was impossible. Sure enough two consecutive Denver touchdowns followed by a New England turnover and it was suddenly 31-21 with the Broncos inside the red zone looking for more points. The air was then taken out of the balloon when Broncos running back Willis McGahee fumbled inside the 10 and it was recovered by New England. This was another version of an NFL teaser. New England ran its no-huddle offense at a pace that would have made coaches like Chip Kelly and Dana Holgorsen proud. New England ran 77 offensive plays in the game and if they can finish off drives as efficiently in the red zone as they did on Sunday, Read more

Tags: NFL Ian Cameron

NFL Handicapping: Kansas City Chiefs expected to start Quinn

10.09.2012     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Kansas City at Tampa Bay

The Kansas City Chiefs are expected to start quarterback Brady Quinn against Tampa Bay. Matt Cassel (head) hasn't been officially ruled out but he remains doubtful. Last week against Baltimore, the Chiefs attempted to shorten the game (34:10 TOP) by running the ball 50 times vs. only 18 passes. It worked to a certain degree as KC was down three in the fourth quarter but four turnovers (3 by Cassel) proved to be the difference. Sportsbooks have yet to put a line on Sunday's game against the Buccaneers.

“They’re going to run several tests to see where he is. Generally, concussions are not good, but we’re concerned about the safety and welfare of the player and we’re going to give him an opportunity to get well. In the meantime, Brady Quinn has to get ready to play, and Ricky Stanzi has to be ready to

Read more

Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Tampa Bay Buccaneers


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