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October

23

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Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Will each team have the lead in the first half?

02.03.2012     07:20 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Will each team have the lead in the first half?
Recommendation: Yes +105 (Greek)


In what figures to be a back and forth contest from the outset, the plus end of this prop bet is especially attractive. There’s a strong possibility that this game could see each of these teams have the lead in the first two series. It’s interesting to note that six of the eight Patriots away games this season have seen each team have a lead in the first half. That’s quite a contrast from their 10 home games in which only once did both teams have the first half lead. The drastic difference in their home-road performances adds a very positive angle to this play. Super Bowls the last six years have seen this prop have streaky results going 3-0 from 2006-08 and 0-3 from 2009-11. For this prop play, it’s helpful to have a first quarter field goal by one side so the team scores don’t run parallel and the Patriots have had a first quarter field goal in eight of their last 10. Since these offenses are more than capable of responding to a score, this game should see each team have the lead at some point in the first Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Rob Veno




Chad Millman and oddsmaker Jay Kornegay talk Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bets

02.03.2012     06:47 AM     Printer Friendly
ESPN's Chad Millman did a recent podcast with LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay in which they discussed Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bets. Kornegay explains the history of the famous Will There Be Three Straight Scores? prop. He also said a safety and/or overtime are two things the books do not want to occur. Worth a listen.



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Kenny Phillips OVER 5 Tackles+Assists

02.02.2012     02:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
NY Giants safety Kenny Phillips Tackles+Assists
Recommendation: Over 5 -135 (Greek)


Willing to play New York Giants strong safety Kenny Phillips at this number against the Patriots offense which is tailor made for tackles at this position. The short to intermediate portions of the field play prominent roles in New England’s tight end heavy scheme which should make Phillips very active. In the first contest between these teams, he recorded six tackles and two assists which is an indicator of how involved the strong safety position is against New England. In the AFC Championship game a couple weeks ago, Baltimore Ravens strong safety Bernard Pollard led his team with seven tackles and added five assists. New England’s no huddle offense generated 73 total plays back in Week 9 when these teams met and their average of 65.6 gives Phillips ample opportunities to exceed this number.

Pick up Rob Veno’s Super Bowl package, which will include side and/or total as well as all prop bet recommendations including a 20* Bluechip Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI Rob Veno




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Will the game be tied after 0-0?

02.02.2012     12:06 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Will the game be tied after 0-0?
Recommendation: Yes +110 (Pinnacle)


My handicap for this game says it’s going to be close throughout.  I don’t expect either team to run away and hide if they get an early lead, exactly the case in the first meeting between these two teams when the score was tied at 10-10 in the second half.  You can currently find plus money on this prop (+110 at Pinny as I type this); a worthy wager in what should be a very competitive ballgame.



Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New England Patriots New York Giants Teddy Covers




Investment firm calls for a New England Patriots pointspread cover

02.02.2012     07:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Analytic Investors LLC, a money management firm based out of Las Angeles, has reportedly picked the against the spread winner of the Super Bowl eight straight years. This year's pick is on the New England Patriots.

 

“Everyone thinks the Giants are rolling right now, a lot of people in my office even,” said Matthew Robinson, a portfolio analyst for global and Japanese equities at Analytic and the author of this year’s analysis. “They like the Giants, but they have faith in the model as well.”

“We took into account how the public has been betting the Giants the past few weeks and winning with them,” he said in a telephone interview. “We opened three based on that and have gotten a lot of Giants money anyway. I can see how it correlates from that perspective; not from a predicting standpoint maybe, but from a value standpoint.”





Tags: NFL New England Patriots Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: First kickoff to result in a touchback

02.02.2012     07:24 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
First kickoff to result in a touchback?
Recommendation: Yes -200


This bet is still worth making at -200 or better, and it’s an interesting handicap.  The Patriots have a strong tendency to defer when they win the opening coin toss, while the Giants’ prevailing tendency is to get the ball first when they win the toss.  As a result, chances are pretty good that it’s going to be Stephen Gostkowski with the opening kickoff, not Lawrence Tynes.  Gostkowski is a touchback type kicker with a big leg and the adrenaline will most assuredly be flowing for that opening kick.  The Giants don’t attempt many kickoff returns from deep in their own end zone – without a strong return game, they are quite comfortable taking the ball at the 20-yard line.  And the pristine conditions inside Lucas Oil Stadium have produced touchbacks on 76% of the kickoffs for the full season.  Put it all together and we’re getting a 3:1 favorite while laying 2:1 or less to do it.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Giants Super Bowl XLVI Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: 77-year-old Vegas man wins Station Casinos' Football Contest

02.02.2012     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on Las Vegas resident Ernie Carey, who at 77 years old won this year's Station Casinos' NFL Contest. Carey finished 180-65, 73% straight up to claim the title. The grand prize was apparently a $225K house.


“In the first week, I had every team but the (New England) Patriots, who lost to the (Buffalo) Bills after being ahead at halftime,” Carey said. “That’s kind of the way the year went.”

“When we get that money, it will replenish my gambling fund,” Carey said. “My wife said she wants to buy new furniture, but I want to have a little extra to gamble.”

“I bet on the Patriots to win the Super Bowl at the beginning of the playoffs and I got 5-2 (odds). So if they win, I’ll get $183. Then, I put $90 on the Giants and am getting three points,” he said. “So, if they keep in close, I’ll win both sides.





Tags: NFL Las Vegas




Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet Pick: Ovechkin points vs. Gronkowski touchdowns

02.01.2012     02:03 PM     Sammy P Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Sammy P Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Super Bowl XLVI Prop Bet
Rob Gronkowski touchdowns vs. Alexander Ovechkin total points vs. Boston
Recommendation: Ovechkin -160 (Hilton)
 
Super Bowl Props are upon us and I have to stay close to home with this prop bet recommendation.  Hilton put this prop up and there has been some money moving on Alex Ovechkin already to have more points against Boston on Sunday than Gronkowski will have touchdowns against the Giants.  Two of the biggest variables in this bet are the health of Gronkowski and the energy level of Alex Ovechkin.  We all know the ankle trouble that Gronkowski has been enduring for the last two weeks.  Everyone is expecting him to play, but how effective will he be on a bum ankle?  When healthy Gronkowski is a machine and can safely be counted on for at least 6-7 catches a game.  In eight of his 19 games this season he has had two or more TDs and three of the 19 games he ended with one TD – he was held scoreless in the other eight games.  Ovechkin on the other hand has been having a down year offensively and he will be playing on the back end of a back-to-back game where the Capitals Read more


Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI Sammy P




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Millman announces Prop Bet Contest winner

02.01.2012     12:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The winner of Chad Millman’s Prop Bet Contest was just named – a women who works at the American Institute of Physics. The prop will be offered at The Orleans sportsbook.


From Susan White: "Will the average jersey number of all the players who score in the Super Bowl be higher or lower than 47.47?

Explanation: If Eli Manning throws a touchdown pass to Victor Cruz and the extra point attempt is good, the average jersey number is (80 + 9) / 2 = 44.5."

And the winner is? Susan White!

"I chose this one for a couple of reasons," Scooch told me. "First, I like that a woman did it, it's just interesting to me. Second, it has some originality and creativity. And third, it is doable. I had chosen it before you told me about the number 47, and now I am even happier with it."





Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI




Super Bowl XLVI Gambling: Sportsbook says 65% of action on New York Giants

02.01.2012     12:26 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas' MGM sportsbooks are reporting that upwards of 65% of the money wagered on Super Bowl XLVI thus far has been on the underdog New York Giants. Perhaps not in play here, but consensus underdogs of above 60% have long been a betting fade no matter what the sport.


"At this point we are still getting some dog money, they are betting the Giants, and I think that will be the trend going into the weekend," Jay Rood, vice president of the race and sports book at MGM, told Reuters in a telephone interview.

"I am fairly certain that it's happening throughout the whole state (of Nevada) as well so I'm pretty sure the state is going to need a Patriots victory."






Tags: NFL Super Bowl XLVI New York Giants Las Vegas



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