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NFL Gambling: San Fran's Smith ruled out, sportsbooks and bettors scramble

11.19.2012     08:05 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Chicago at San Francisco -4 O/U 34.5

Sportsbooks got thrown for a loop when San Francisco quarterback Alex Smith, who was listed as "probable" for tonight's Monday Night Football game against the Chicago Bears, was ruled out due to a concussion earlier this morning. Everyone knew Jay Cutler would be out so oddsmakers went with San Francisco -6.5 under the assumption there would be a Smith-Jason Campbell matchup. Bettors thought it was a bit cheap and pounded it from -6.5 to -7.5. But once Smith was ruled out and Colin Kaepernick ruled in, the line has since plummeted to -4. The total has also seen plenty of action; bet down to as low as 34.5.

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears San Francisco 49ers

NFL Handicapping: Bills and Dolphins play third game in 12 days

11.14.2012     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Miami at Buffalo -2 O/U 45

Thursday night marks the first time since 2008 the Buffalo Bills will host a primetime game. They unfortunately aren't that giddy about it considering it will mark the team's third contest in 12 days. Miami is in the same boat and doesn't have a strong track record of success playing in cold weather (it is expected to be in the mid-30s). However, last season, with gametime temps of 30 degrees and snow, the Dolphins waltzed into Ralph Wilson Stadium and came away with a 30-23 victory as 1-point chalk.

"I don't like it," Bills coach Chan Gailey said. "I think it's tough on the players. We have quite a few players that sometimes don't get back on the

Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Miami Dolphins

NFL Betting News and Notes Week 10

11.14.2012     12:12 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
The New England Patriots may need to be put on “automatic fade” watch laying double-digits at this point. They once again came up short as big chalk against Buffalo in a 37-31 win laying -13.5 points. That makes New England 0-3 ATS in that role this season including an outright loss to Arizona. The Patriots just aren’t playing anything close to the level of championship caliber defense right now to be trusted laying double-digits. The Pats run defense allowed over 100 yards to the Bills and the secondary was picked apart by Ryan Fitzpatrick who threw for 337 passing yards. Defensive stats like that won’t cash many tickets in that kind of price range.

The Philadelphia Eagles downward spiral continued on Sunday. They are a dead team walking right now. The body language is awful. Head coach Andy Reid is firmly on the hot seat. The offensive line can't protect anyone from teeing off on ailing quarterback Michael Vick. The run game has been non-existent. The defense has been a sieve in recent weeks giving up big plays against both the pass and the run. They’ve been guilty of taking numerous defensive holding, illegal contact and PI penalties Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Philadelphia Eagles Denver Broncos Ian Cameron

NFL Gambling Notes: Four back-up QBs could start Week 11

11.14.2012     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Back-up quarterbacks abound for Week 11. Let's take a look at the quarterback situations for these teams.

Pittsburgh - Ben Roethlisberger has been rules out and Byron Leftwich will start in his place. Baltimore has been bet up to a 3-point road favorite and could be headed to -3.5.

San Francisco - Alex Smith is questionable with concussion-like symptoms. If he can't go, Colin Kaepernick would get the start. No line on Monday Night's game vs. Chicago.

Chicago - Jay Cutler is also dealing a concussion and according to Sports Options is doubtful. Jason Campbell is expected to start.

Philadelphia - Michael Vick is listed as doubtful with rookie Nick Foles listed as the probable starter. Washington is holding as a 3.5-point home favorite.

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears San Francisco 49ers Philadelphia Eagles Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL Gambling Alert: Roethlisberger out, Baltimore bet up to -3

11.14.2012     05:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Baltimore -3 at Pittsburgh O/U 41

According to FOX Sports' Jay Glazer, Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder, rib) will not play Sunday against Baltimore. Byron Leftwich is expected to start in his place. Over the last 12 hours bettors took out nearly all of the 2.5's with the Ravens now 3-point favorites. The total was also hammered down from and opener of 45.5 to 41/41.5. Roethlisberger isn't the only Pittsburgh player with injury concerns. Antonio Brown, Marcus Gilbert, Troy Polamalu and Rashard Mendenhall are all questionable.

Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens

NFL Handicapping: Offensive line rankings

11.13.2012     02:01 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are's Week 10 offensive line rankings. It is in way an exact science trying to rank o-line units but this deep into the season, it is fairly established who is strong and who is not. Not surprising, the bottom of the list is littered with bad teams and losing spread records save for St. Louis' 6-3 ATS mark. The top of the list though is a bit more intriguing. The 49ers rank No. 1 but joining them in the top five are again, some bad football teams (and spread records) most notably the Kansas City Chiefs. Of course when your turnover margin per game is -2.2, no amount of pass protection or run blocking can save you.

32. Arizona (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
31. Carolina (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS)
30. St. Louis (3-5-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
29. Jacksonville (1-8 SU, 4-5 ATS)
28. Oakland (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)

5. Cincinnati (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
4. Kansas City (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS)
3. Minnesota (6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS)
2. Detroit (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
1. San Francisco (6-2-1 SU, 5-4 ATS)

Tags: NFL

Monday Night Football Betting Odds: Few if any willing to support Kansas City

11.12.2012     01:06 PM     Printer Friendly
Kansas City at Pittsburgh -12.5 O/U 40

According to Bookmaker, over 80% of side bets have come in on the Pittsburgh Steelers for tonight's Monday Night Football contest against Kansas City. The Chiefs are so bad some bettors aren't even shy about laying the -570 on the moneyline. Note that tonight's weather could be a factor: CLOUDY, 80% CHANCE RAIN EARLY. WEST WIND 12-22, GUSTY. KICKOFF TEMP 49 TEMPERATURE DROPS TO UPPER 30S LATE.


Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Pittsburgh Steelers

Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders and Pretenders

11.12.2012     11:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders. Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC. Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans’ Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the game plan) significantly. Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy? Read on to find out.

Denver Broncos - Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual. Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year. We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego – three of the tougher foes they've faced. But slow starts are about the only fault I can find with this team right now.

We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TDs in 32 red zone possessions. The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody. This team's postseason future rests on the strength (or weakness) of their stop unit; a unit that has stepped up at times and Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots San Diego Chargers Baltimore Ravens Denver Broncos Miami Dolphins Teddy Covers

LVH Sportsbook offers MNF prop bet highlighting Chiefs' ineptitude

11.12.2012     10:49 AM     Printer Friendly
Kansas City at Pittsburgh -12.5 O/U 40

You know you're having a bad season when a Las Vegas sportsbook hangs the following prop bet...


Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Pittsburgh Steelers

NFL Handicapper Free Play: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins

11.11.2012     07:09 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Tennessee +6.5 at Miami O/U 44
Recommendation: Tennessee

The Dolphins haven’t exactly been beating up on quality foes.  Their four wins this season have come against the Raiders, Bengals, Rams and Jets.  Two of those four wins came by four points or less, not enough to cover this pointspread.  In the two games where Miami has been favored, they’ve won by three and lost by three, failing to cover the number each time.  The Dolphins have been outgained by nearly 550 yards over the last three weeks.  And, long term, simply betting the underdog in every Dolphins game has produced a remarkable 36-13 ATS streak, including a 6-1 ATS run entering Sunday’s game.

If there’s one game all year that we can expect the Titans to show up for, it’s this one.  Tennessee was thoroughly embarrassed and humiliated on their home field last Sunday; a game that was over by the end of the first quarter.  Owner Bud Adams was not amused: Read more

Tags: NFL Tennessee Titans Miami Dolphins Teddy Covers


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