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NFL Gambling Preview: New Orleans Saints at Oakland Raiders
11.15.2012 07:47 AM
Alf Musketa
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alf Musketa
New Orleans
at
Oakland
Alf Musketa’s Recommendation:
New Orleans
Sunday, 1 pm PT – FOX
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -6.5 O/U 54
CRIS Current:
New Orleans -4.5 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating:
New Orleans -3
Sure, last week Atlanta could have scored on one of its two first-and-goal possessions in the fourth quarter and won the game. But they didn't and I believe you have to credit the Saints defense for winning that game. That's right the Saints defense snatched victory away from the Falcons and thus they are no longer undefeated.
Some credit has to go to new interim head coach Joe Vitt who seems to have sparked the defense and produced a better balance on offense. We certainly have noticed returning running back Chris Ivory slashing through tackles, scoring touchdowns and that always opens up the passing game a bit and keeps the opposition's defense in check. It also forces
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Oakland Raiders
Alf Musketa
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NFL Handicapping: Bills and Dolphins play third game in 12 days
11.14.2012 01:44 PM
Printer Friendly
Miami
at
Buffalo
-2 O/U 45
Thursday night marks the
first time since 2008
the Buffalo Bills will host a primetime game. They unfortunately
aren't that giddy about it
considering it will mark the team's third contest in 12 days. Miami is in the same boat and doesn't have a strong track record of success playing in cold weather (it is expected to be in the mid-30s). However, last season, with gametime temps of 30 degrees and snow, the Dolphins waltzed into Ralph Wilson Stadium and came away with a 30-23 victory as 1-point chalk.
"I don't like it," Bills coach Chan Gailey said. "I think it's tough on the players. We have quite a few players that sometimes don't get back on the
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Miami Dolphins
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NFL Betting News and Notes Week 10
11.14.2012 12:12 PM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
The New England Patriots may need to be put on “automatic fade” watch laying double-digits at this point. They once again came up short as big chalk against Buffalo in a 37-31 win laying -13.5 points. That makes New England 0-3 ATS in that role this season including an outright loss to Arizona. The Patriots just aren’t playing anything close to the level of championship caliber defense right now to be trusted laying double-digits. The Pats run defense allowed over 100 yards to the Bills and the secondary was picked apart by Ryan Fitzpatrick who threw for 337 passing yards. Defensive stats like that won’t cash many tickets in that kind of price range.
The Philadelphia Eagles downward spiral continued on Sunday. They are a dead team walking right now. The body language is awful. Head coach Andy Reid is firmly on the hot seat. The offensive line can't protect anyone from teeing off on ailing quarterback Michael Vick. The run game has been non-existent. The defense has been a sieve in recent weeks giving up big plays against both the pass and the run. They’ve been guilty of taking numerous defensive holding, illegal contact and PI penalties
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New England Patriots
Philadelphia Eagles
Denver Broncos
Ian Cameron
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NFL Gambling Notes: Four back-up QBs could start Week 11
11.14.2012 08:01 AM
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Back-up quarterbacks abound for Week 11. Let's take a look at the
quarterback situations
for these teams.
Pittsburgh
- Ben Roethlisberger has been rules out and Byron Leftwich will start in his place. Baltimore has been bet up to a 3-point road favorite and could be headed to -3.5.
San Francisco
- Alex Smith is questionable with concussion-like symptoms. If he can't go, Colin Kaepernick would get the start. No line on Monday Night's game vs. Chicago.
Chicago
- Jay Cutler is also dealing a concussion and according to Sports Options is doubtful. Jason Campbell is expected to start.
Philadelphia
- Michael Vick is listed as doubtful with rookie Nick Foles listed as the probable starter. Washington is holding as a 3.5-point home favorite.
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NFL
Chicago Bears
San Francisco 49ers
Philadelphia Eagles
Pittsburgh Steelers
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NFL Gambling Alert: Roethlisberger out, Baltimore bet up to -3
11.14.2012 05:57 AM
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Baltimore
-3 at
Pittsburgh
O/U 41
According to FOX Sports'
Jay Glazer
, Pittsburgh quarterback Ben Roethlisberger (shoulder, rib)
will not play
Sunday against Baltimore. Byron Leftwich is expected to start in his place. Over the last 12 hours bettors took out nearly all of the 2.5's with the Ravens now 3-point favorites. The total was also hammered down from and opener of 45.5 to 41/41.5. Roethlisberger isn't the only Pittsburgh player with injury concerns. Antonio Brown, Marcus Gilbert, Troy Polamalu and Rashard Mendenhall are all questionable.
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Pittsburgh Steelers
Baltimore Ravens
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NFL Handicapping: Offensive line rankings
11.13.2012 02:01 PM
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Here are
Profootballfocus.com's
Week 10 offensive line rankings. It is in way an exact science trying to rank o-line units but this deep into the season, it is fairly established who is strong and who is not. Not surprising, the bottom of the list is littered with bad teams and losing spread records save for St. Louis' 6-3 ATS mark. The top of the list though is a bit more intriguing. The 49ers rank No. 1 but joining them in the top five are again, some bad football teams (and spread records) most notably the Kansas City Chiefs. Of course when your turnover margin per game is -2.2, no amount of pass protection or run blocking can save you.
32. Arizona (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
31. Carolina (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS)
30. St. Louis (3-5-1 SU, 6-3 ATS)
29. Jacksonville (1-8 SU, 4-5 ATS)
28. Oakland (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)
5. Cincinnati (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
4. Kansas City (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS)
3. Minnesota (6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS)
2. Detroit (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
1. San Francisco (6-2-1 SU, 5-4 ATS)
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Monday Night Football Betting Odds: Few if any willing to support Kansas City
11.12.2012 01:06 PM
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Kansas City
at
Pittsburgh
-12.5 O/U 40
According to Bookmaker, over 80% of side bets have come in on the Pittsburgh Steelers for tonight's Monday Night Football contest against Kansas City. The Chiefs are so bad some bettors aren't even shy about laying the -570 on the moneyline. Note that tonight's weather could be a factor: CLOUDY, 80% CHANCE RAIN EARLY. WEST WIND 12-22, GUSTY. KICKOFF TEMP 49 TEMPERATURE DROPS TO UPPER 30S LATE.
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Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers
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Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: AFC Contenders and Pretenders
11.12.2012 11:47 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
November is the time in the NFL where we separate contenders from pretenders. Last week, I focused on the NFC; this week, I’ll turn to the AFC. Unfortunately, the Colts and Steelers didn’t play on Sunday, and the Texans’ Sunday Night game was played in weather conditions that affected the game (and the game plan) significantly. Who among the rest can challenge for AFC supremacy? Read on to find out.
Denver Broncos
- Another slow start for a West Coast team traveling East; certainly not unusual. Slow starts have been a consistent problem for Denver all year. We saw them fall behind by three scores when they faced Atlanta, Houston and San Diego – three of the tougher foes they've faced. But slow starts are about the only fault I can find with this team right now.
We already know how good Denver’s offense can be, and they score touchdowns : 22 TDs in 32 red zone possessions. The Broncos have an elite quarterback, a strong running game and playmaking WR's - they can trade points with anybody. This team's postseason future rests on the strength (or weakness) of their stop unit; a unit that has stepped up at times and
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New England Patriots
San Diego Chargers
Baltimore Ravens
Denver Broncos
Miami Dolphins
Teddy Covers
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LVH Sportsbook offers MNF prop bet highlighting Chiefs' ineptitude
11.12.2012 10:49 AM
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Kansas City
at
Pittsburgh
-12.5 O/U 40
You know you're having a bad season when a Las Vegas sportsbook hangs the following prop bet...
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Kansas City Chiefs
Pittsburgh Steelers
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NFL Handicapper Free Play: Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins
11.11.2012 07:09 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Tennessee
+6.5 at
Miami
O/U 44
Recommendation: Tennessee
The Dolphins haven’t exactly been beating up on quality foes. Their four wins this season have come against the Raiders, Bengals, Rams and Jets. Two of those four wins came by four points or less, not enough to cover this pointspread. In the two games where Miami has been favored, they’ve won by three and lost by three, failing to cover the number each time. The Dolphins have been outgained by nearly 550 yards over the last three weeks. And, long term, simply betting the underdog in every Dolphins game has produced a remarkable 36-13 ATS streak, including a 6-1 ATS run entering Sunday’s game.
If there’s one game all year that we can expect the Titans to show up for, it’s this one. Tennessee was thoroughly embarrassed and humiliated on their home field last Sunday; a game that was over by the end of the first quarter. Owner Bud Adams was not amused:
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Tennessee Titans
Miami Dolphins
Teddy Covers
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