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NFL Preseason Betting Consensus: Market and public differ on Jacksonville-Chicago opinion

08.14.2014     01:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's NFL Preseason game between the Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars according to Bookmaker. What we see is common among single-event games -- the line move differs from the betting public's preference. Chicago opened -4 but have since dropped to as low as -3-105. Meanwhile, over 63% of bets at Bookmaker have been made on the Bears. Essentially what happened is sharp bettors like taking preseason underdogs of +3.5 or more whereas the public sees a home team at -3 and happily fires away. We've seen a similar though not as dramatic move with the total. It opened 41 and was bet up to 42.5 yet 53% of bets have been placed on the under.




Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Jacksonville Jaguars




NFL Betting Podcast 8-13-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

08.13.2014     10:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked AFC East.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - AFC East Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Patriots gear up for Eagles' fast-paced attack

08.12.2014     02:22 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Philadelphia -3 O/U 46.5

New England's Bill Belichick talks about his team's preparation for Philadelphia's up-tempo attack. The two teams will practice against one another prior to Friday's game. Last week's Eagles-Bears total opened 38.5, closed 41.5, and hit 62 points. The Patriots-Eagles total opened 45.5 and is currently as high as 47.


“Certainly we have plenty of [up-tempo teams] on our schedule, it appears anyway,” Belichick said. “This is a good opportunity to work on it. We do it some ourselves, so when we work against ourselves, we see that.”

“They produce more big plays than anybody else, so I think certainly his scheme has something to do with it. But, of course they have great players,” he said. “It was the whole combination of

Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Bettors expecting bounceback effort from Houston Texans

08.12.2014     07:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
First-year head coach Bill O'Brien's debut wasn't pretty as his Houston Texans were shutout, 32-0, at Arizona. The quarterback play in particular was poor with Ryan Fitzpartick throwing two interceptions. O'Brien said that Fitzpatrick will remain the team's starter followed by Case Keenum and rookie Tom Savage. Bettors are banking on a better performance in Week 2 with Houston bet up from -2 to -2.5/-3 vs. Atlanta.


''I don't think you can let it play with your confidence at all,'' Fitzpatrick said. ''You've just got to take it for what it was, learn from it and move on. It was the first one, I'm disappointed, but we've already moved on and we're out here at practice trying to get better.''






Tags: NFL Houston Texans Atlanta Falcons




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Recapping NFL Preseason Week 1

08.11.2014     12:46 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
From 2008 through 2013, Overs ruled the roost when it came to betting preseason football, with more Overs than Unders cashing in every single season.  The average points scored in August NFL games increased every year during that span, from 35.3 points per game in 2008 up to 41.2 points per game last year; a preseason that saw Overs cash at nearly a 60% clip. 

An increase of six points per game over a five year span is absolutely going to attract some betting market attention.  The quants who rule the markets aren’t going to let that type of information slip by without a significant reaction!

In particular, the lowest totals have been the best Over bets during this run of relatively high scoring affairs.  Totals of 36.5 or less have been enormous profit makers for Over bettors.  From 2009 through 2013, games totaled at 36.5 or less went Over at a 93-57 (62%) clip.  Games totaled at 37 or higher were essentially split 50-50 between Over cashes and Under cashes – all the profits came from betting lower totals Over.

So what happened in Week 1 this year?  A huge run of Unders!  Including the Hall of Fame Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Gambling: Week 1 produces 76% unders

08.11.2014     12:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look back at the barrage of UNDERS from Week 1 of the NFL Preseason. Based on CRIS's closing lines, 13 of 17 games went UNDER the total. OVER bettors who got the opening number would have pushed in two instances. All but one game (Tampa Bay-Jacksonville) closed with a higher total than the opener. Two games (Green Bay-Tennessee and Houston-Arizona) closed the same at the opene -- both games however were initially bet OVER before the late buyback.

2014 NFL Preseason Over/Under Results - Week 1
Game
CRIS Opener
CRIS Closer
Game Score
O/U Result
Giants vs. Bill
32.5
36.5
30
Under
Colts at Jets
35.5
37.5
23
Under
Patriots at Redskins
37
38.5
29
Under
49ers at Ravens
35
37
26
Under
Begals at Chiefs
34.5
37
80
Over
Seahawks at Broncos
37
37.5
37
Under
Cowboys at Chargers
36.5
37
34
Under
Dolphins at Falcons
36.5
37
26
Under
Bills at Panthers
36
37.5
38
Over
Buccaneers at Jaguars
35.5
35
26
Under
Saints at Rams
37
38
50
Over
Eagles at Bears
38.5
41.5
62
Over
Raiders at Vikings
36.5
38
16
Under
Browns at Lions
37.5
40.5
25
Under
Steelers at Giants
36
36.5
36
Under
Packers at Titans
37
37
36
Under
Texans at Cardinals
37
37
32
Under
Results
 
 
35.6 ppg
4-13 O/U





Tags: NFL




NFL Preseason Gambling Consensus: Bettors heavy on Minnesota and Buffalo

08.08.2014     12:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's NFL Preseason games according to Bookmaker. Interesting that despite all of the upward pressure on overs in the betting markets a few games are shaded towards the under in terms of public support. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Sides
Minnesota -3 (69.7%) vs. Oakland
Buffalo -2.5 (63.8)%) at Carolina
Atlanta -3.5 (59.0%) vs. Miami
Philadelphia pk (56.6%) at Chicago
New Orleans +1.5 (55.1%) at St. Louis
Tampa Bay +3 (52.7%) at Jacksonville

Totals
Tampa Bay-Jacksonville UNDER 35.5 (69.9%)
Buffalo-Carolina UNDER 37 (67.3%)
Oakland-Minnesota OVER 38 (59.0%)
Philadelphia-Chicago OVER 41.5 (54.3%)
Miami-Atlanta OVER 37 (51.7%)
New Orleans-St. Louis 38 (50%)




Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Buffalo Bills




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Carolina's Newton doubtful, Anderson next up

08.08.2014     06:03 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo -1.5 at Carolina O/U 37

Another banged up starting quarterback with Carolina's Cam Newton (ankle) expected to sit vs. Buffalo. The Panthers' backups include Derek Anderson, Matt Blanchard, and Joe Webb.


"Do I want to play? I do," Newton said Thursday. "I think this is an opportunity for me to play. But I'm sticking to the program and what coach is asking me to do and (trainer) Ryan Vermillion is asking me to do."






Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Buffalo Bills




NFL Preseason Gambling: Saints likely to sit Brees vs. Rams

08.08.2014     05:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New Orleans at St. Louis -3 O/U 38

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees (oblique) is expect to sit tonight's preseason opener at St. Louis. That leaves Luke McCown, Ryan Griffin, and Logan Kilgore. McCown and Griffin are currently neck-and-neck for the honor of being Brees' back-up once the regular season rolls around.




Tags: NFL New Orleans Saints St. Louis Rams




NFL Preseason Handicapping: Bettors should be aware of rule changes

08.07.2014     01:25 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good breakdown from the Washington Post on the NFL rule changes/emphasis heading into tonight's preseason action. The most notable include more policing of illegal contact and pushing back of extra points which are now 33 yards.




Tags: NFL



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 04, 2015 12:00 AM.