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NFL Gambling Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs. Houston Texans

09.26.2013     02:30 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Seattle at Houston
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Seattle -3 (-120) O/U 45
CRIS Current: Seattle -2 O/U 41.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Seattle -2.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

The Houston Texans stock is beginning to slide after three very underwhelming performances to start the season. Current media and fan scrutiny make things sound a bit worse than what they actually are according to this week’s power ratings which show Houston just 1.5 points below their season opening number. The betting public’s expectations haven’t been met by hea coach Gary Kubiak’s team as they’ve gone 0-3 ATS and shredded a lot of tickets. Line movement this week indicates bettors haven’t given up on Houston as they’ve remained a +2/+2.5-point underdog fairly steadily the past three days. It makes sense to believe that at some point the Texans are going to play up to their talent level and Read more

Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Houston Texans Rob Veno

NFL Betting Consensus: Bettors line up on the chalk and OVER for MNF

09.09.2013     01:55 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for tonight's two Monday Night Football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Houston -4 (91.1%) at San Diego
Washington -4 (69.2%) vs. Philadelphia

Philadelphia-Washington OVER 52 (77.3%)
Houston-San Diego OVER 44 (71.8%)

Houston -210 (81.9%) an San Diego
Philadelphia +162 (55.0%) at Philadelphia

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins Houston Texans San Diego Chargers

NFL Preseason Betting: Houston to plays starters a half vs. New Orleans

08.21.2013     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New Orleans at Houston -2.5 O/U 43.5

The Houston Texans announced that they will play their starters the first half of Sunday's game against New Orleans.

“No, he’s going to play," Kubiak said of Schaub's status. "We’ll play our starters a good half of football or a number of snaps, whichever comes first. He’s had an excellent camp and I think he’s benefited from the other two pushing each other and the way they’ve played.”

“Yeah, we need to all pick it up,” Kubiak said of the upcoming game. “We need to play our most snaps this week.”

Tags: NFL Houston Texans New Orleans Saints

NFL Preseason Betting: Houston's Keenum and Yates battle for backup QB spot

08.13.2013     05:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Miami at Houston -2.5 O/U 40.5

We've spoke multiple times on the Sportsmemo Podcast about finding situations in the NFL Preseason where there is a backup quarterback battle. It looks as if we have one in Houston with Case Keenum and TJ Yates. Starter Matt Schaub missed practice yesterday (death in the family) which gave Keenum and Yates extra reps. The duo both played well in Week 1's win over Minnesota. Yates went 13-of-21 for 151 yards and a touchdown while Keenum finished 13-of-18 for 125 yards and a touchdown. Expect to see both players get plenty of action during Saturday's game against Miami.

Tags: NFL Houston Texans Miami Dolphins

NFL Preseason Betting: Minnesota's Frazier focused on evaluating players

08.09.2013     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Houston at Minnesota -1 O/U 35.5

Sounds like Minnesota head coach Leslie Frazier's top priority for tonight's game against Houston is evaluation. In the last two preseason openers under Frazier, the Vikings went 0-2 SU and ATS. They scored a combined nine points in the two games.

"Those preseason games have more importance because you're trying to identify the right 53 (players), so you have to utilize those games correctly," Frazier said. "For us, it's a chance to evaluate our young guys, and then for our veteran guys, just to get them a gauge on where they are at this point in the preseason."

"You can't lose sight of what you want to get done in preseason," he said. "There are some emotions when it comes to being at Mall of America Field opening the preseason, but it can't override

Read more

Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Houston Texans

NFL Gambling Trends: Teams that won by 20+ during regular season only 3-7 ATS in playoff rematch

01.08.2013     08:34 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Houston at New England -9 O/U 47.5

A quick database search shows that NFL teams that won by 20 points or more during the regular season were 6-4 SU but only 3-7 ATS against those teams in the postseason (dating back to 2003). Note also that of those 10 games, eight went over the total. New England beat Houston 42-14 at 5.5-point home favorites back in Week 15. Ironically, the last instance where this occurred was two years ago when the Patriots beat the Jets 45-3 but lost in the Divisional Round 28-21 at 9.5-point favorites.

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Houston Texans

NFL Betting Trends: New England Patriots have been money burners in the postseason

01.07.2013     10:38 AM     Printer Friendly
Houston at New England -9 O/U 48

If you've been betting on the New England Patriots over the last few regular seasons, you've made a decent chunk of change. But that success hasn't carried over to the postseason. Dating back the 2007-08 campaign, Belichick and Brady are a combined 4-4 SU and a dismal 1-7 ATS.

New England Patriots Postseason Betting History 2007-present
Patriots SU
Patriots ATS
NY Giants +3
NYG 21, NE 17
Baltimore +7
NE 23, BAL 20
Denver +14
NE 45, DEN 10
NY Jets +9.5
NYJ 28, NE 21
Baltimore +3.5
BAL 33, NE 14
NY Giants +12.5
NYG 17, NE 14
San Diego +14
NE 21, SD 12
Jacksonville +13.5
NE 31, JAX 20

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Houston Texans

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Analyzing the AFC's Final Four

01.07.2013     08:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
With three more NFL playoff weekends still ahead of us, there are eight teams still standing; the top quartile of the league. This week, I’m going to write about all eight of those teams; assessing their respective chances for a trip to the Super Bowl. But first, it’s time for a brief history lesson for the Divisional Round of the playoffs.

If you’re looking for active trends for next weekend’s round of the playoffs, you’re not going to find much when it comes to sides. Over the past ten years, the rested team has only gone 17-23 ATS in this round, but we’ve seen some dramatic swings. From 2006-2008, the teams coming off a bye went only 2-10 ATS in this round. In 2009, the teams coming off their bye went 3-1 ATS. In each of the last two years, it’s been a 2-2 ATS split. In other words, there’s not much of a trend.

It’s a similar story with totals. Over the last ten years, there’s no prevailing trend to report, with 21 Unders compared to 19 Overs. But over the last two years, it’s 7-1 to the Over. In the two years before that, it was 6-2 to the Under. In the two years prior to that, Overs and Unders Read more

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Houston Texans Denver Broncos New England Patriots Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Cincinnati's defensive turnaround results in 7-1 ATS run

01.04.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Cincinnati at Houston -4.5 O/U 43.5

It's been an amazing defensive transformation by the Cincinnati Bengals who allowed 34 ppg their first three game of the season and ended up one of the best stop units in the league. Eight games into the season, the Bengals were 3-5 SU, 2-5-1 ATS, and 5-3 O/U. After a dominating 31-13 win in over the Giants in Week 10, the switch was flipped. Cinci closed out the year 7-1 SU, 7-1 ATS and 1-7 O/U. One of the strengths of the defense has been its ability to apply pressure without blitzing.

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texans

NFL Wild Card Handicapping: Line moves update

01.03.2013     12:25 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A quick look at this weekend's NFL Wild Card line moves.

Cincinnati at Houston
CRIS Opener: Houston -5 O/U 44
CRIS Current: Houston -4.5 O/U 43.5

Early money came in on the Texans driving the line down to -4 but those were quickly bought up. The total has been bet down from and opener of 44 to as low as 43. A rematch of last year's Wild Card in which Houston won 31-10 as 4-point home favorites. The total in that game closed 38.

Minnesota at Green Bay
CRIS Opener: Green Bay -8 O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -8 O/U 46

Sportsbooks not scared to death by bettors teasing Green Bay below a field goal have been dealing -8 and -7.5 for much of the week. Pinnacle of course protecting themselves with -9.5 +115. The prevailing total is 46 with Greek dealing 46.5 and Grande 45.5. Weather expected to be decent; 25 degrees with a small chance of snow.

Indianapolis at Baltimore
CRIS Opener: Baltimore -6.5 O/U 46.5
CRIS Current: Baltimore -7 (-115) O/U 47

Earlier today, all of the 6.5's were taken out as Baltimore is now a touchdown favorite across the board. Read more

Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens Indianapolis Colts Washington Redskins Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Houston Texans Cincinnati Bengals


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