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NFL Gambling Update: Arizona hints Palmer will play vs. San Francisco

10.04.2016     11:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A lot of back and forth on the status of Carson Palmer for Thursday's game at San Francisco. Palmer must pass the league's concussion protocol before being cleared. Bruce Arians hints that Palmer will play but a decision won't be made until Wednesday. In the meantime, Drew Stanton is prepping to be the starter just in case. The Cardinals opened -2.5 but have been hammered up to -4.5. After facing the 49ers and Jets, Arizona plays Seattle, at Carolina, vs. San Francisco, at Minnesota, and at Atlanta.

“He got better last night and improved,” Arians said. “I talked to him last night and his wife … (but) it’s all up to the doctors.”

Tags: NFL Arizona Cardinals San Francisco 49ers

NFL Handicapping: Colts made choice to skip bye week following London trip

10.04.2016     09:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting scheduling quirk as the reeling Indianapolis Colts will become the first NFL team to not have a bye week following a trip to London. The decision was based on wanting a bye week later in the season (Week 10).

Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Chicago Bears

NFL Handicapping: Steelers respond, concerns continue for Buccaneers and Panthers

10.03.2016     12:54 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
For this week’s article, I will be discussing a trio of teams that suffered bad Week 3 losses and whether their response in Week 4 was a positive sign moving forward or a warning sign of further problems.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were one of a handful teams pegged for improvement by both the media and bettors during the preseason. After winning six games in 2015, Tampa was bet up from 7 to 7.5 wins in the futures market. And Week 1’s road win against Atlanta only strengthened that opinion. But since then, it’s been a disaster. After getting blown out in Week 2 at Arizona, the Bucs returned home to face Los Angeles in what was an optimal spot for a big effort. Instead, they coughed up 37 points in a loss. Amazingly, Tampa outgained the Rams by over 150 yards, had 12 more first downs, and were even in the turnover battle and still found a way to lose.

Fast forward to to this past weekend and instead of laying -5, Tampa was +3 home underdogs to Denver. Again, it was another situation that suggested a solid effort. But the Broncos dominated from start to finish as Jameis Winston threw two interceptions and posted a dreadful 40.1 QB rating. Winston Read more

Tags: NFL Tampa Bay Buccaneers Carolina Panthers Pittsburgh Steelers Ian Cameron

NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus drop to 4-16 ATS year-to-date

10.03.2016     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly

SuperContest consensus plays are now on a 1-14 ATS slide the last three weeks. The least picked Sunday side is now 4-0 ATS with Philadelphia covering Week 1, Los Angeles Week 2, Cleveland Week 3, and Seattle this past Sunday.

1. NY JETS +2.5 vs. Seattle - LOSS
2. DENVER -3 at Tampa Bay - WIN
3. CAROLINA -3 at Atlanta - LOSS
4. NEW ENGLAND -5.5 vs. Buffalo - LOSS
5. SAN FRANCISCO +2.5 vs. Dallas - LOSS

Year-to-date results
Week 1: 3-2
Week 2: 0-5
Week 3: 0-5
Week 4: 1-4

NFL Gambling: Jets go off as surprising SuperContest top consensus pick

10.01.2016     11:02 PM     View Original Read more

Tags: NFL SuperContest

NFL Gambling: Jets go off as surprising SuperContest top consensus pick

10.01.2016     11:02 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Below are the top five consensus picks for Week 4 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. NY JETS +2.5 vs. Seattle
2. DENVER -3 at Tampa Bay
3. CAROLINA -3 at Atlanta
4. NEW ENGLAND -5.5 vs. Buffalo
5. SAN FRANCISCO +2.5 vs. Dallas

Least picked Sunday side: SEATTLE -2.5 at NY Jets

Tags: NFL New York Jets SuperContest

NFL Gambling Preview: Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots

10.01.2016     10:51 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Buffalo at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -6.5 O/U 43.5
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 43
Recommendation: Buffalo

The Patriots have survived the Tom Brady suspension pretty darn well, going 3-0 SU and ATS without their four time Super Bowl winning QB. But with Brady on the way back next week, facing a divisional rival with a real chip on their shoulder, I’m expecting the Patriots to be tested on Sunday in a clear flat spot for the home favorite.

New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now. Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury. Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers.

And the Pats are an overvalued commodity this week. Think about their season. They started with an upset win over Arizona, devalued now because Arizona hasn’t looked anything like the elite squad they were last year in early season play. The Pats nearly blew a big lead against Miami, Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills New England Patriots Teddy Covers

Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Betting Podcast 9-30-2016

09.30.2016     12:46 PM     Printer Friendly

Here is Sportsmemo's NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast for Week 4. Handicappers Erin Rynning and Teddy Covers joined host Andrew Lange to break down Sunday's slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Teddy Covers Andrew Lange

NFL Handicapping: Houston's Watt out, O'Brien takes over offense

09.30.2016     10:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Houston's JJ Watt is out for the year and now head coach Bill O'Brien has taken over the team's play calling duties. The Texans are 2-1 but the offense is averaging a near league-worst 4.6 yards per play (29th) and newly acquired Brock Osweiler sports a dismal 72.2 QB rating. O'Brien was in charge of the offense in 2014 as the Texans averaged a respectable 23.3 ppg (14th).

Tags: NFL Houston Texans

NFL Handicapping: Buffalo Bills make adjustments under new OC

09.28.2016     08:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
A week removed from the firing of offensive coordinator/scapegoat Greg Roman, the Buffalo Bills hung 33 points in a must-win over Arizona. Really good article on the changes made by new OC Anthony Lynn. One difference was the offense's tempo which was sped up at different occasions during the game. Overall, Buffalo still only had 297 totals yards on 61 plays. They remain the slowest paced team in the league based on plays per game (53).

“There was rhythm, it’s pace,” said Incognito. “Those plays are coming in really quick and we’re getting in and out of the huddle and it helps pick up first downs. When you’re physical and you pick up first downs and you’re not in third and long, it kind of changes the make of the ball game. And when you’re scoring touchdowns that helps as well.”

“The way we mixed in our no huddle was definitely beneficial with the touchdown that Shady had off the trap,” said Taylor. “That was a big one

Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills

NFL Handicapping: First-year quarterbacks continue to cover pointspreads

09.27.2016     06:49 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
For my very first weekly entry discussing the NFL from a betting perspective, I decided to focus on the success rate of first-year and/or rookie starting quarterbacks. For decades, conventional wisdom pointed toward betting against “green” quarterbacks. But there has been a paradigm shift in that regard so far in 2016. There have been six quarterbacks that have made their first ever start in the NFL: Trevor Siemian (Denver), Carson Wentz (Philadelphia), Dak Prescott (Dallas), Jimmy Garoppolo (New England), Jacoby Brissett (New England) and Cody Kessler (Cleveland). Siemien and Wentz appear to be the only two poised to be starter for the duration of the season while others are simply keeping the seat warm. Nevertheless, the collective amount of success from that group through three weeks of the season, specifically from a pointspread perspective, is impressive.

Denver, New England, and Philadelphia are all 3-0 SU/ATS. Dallas is a solid 2-1 SU/ATS. And Cleveland lost to Miami in overtime last week as +9.5 underdogs. The aforementioned group of signal callers have a combined for a 65.7% completion rate and a 15-to-3 TD-to-INT ratio (all 3 INTs via Siemian). They Read more

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Philadelphia Eagles New England Patriots Cleveland Browns Denver Broncos Ian Cameron


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