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NFL Handicapping: Conference Championship pointspreads and power ratings

01.12.2015     10:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick run through of the pointspreads and power ratings for this weekend's NFL Conference Championship matchups. Note that we applied -3 for home field advantage with Sagarin's lines. Places like Seattle are typically given more respect by oddsmakers and the betting markets.

Indianapolis at New England
CRIS Opener: New England -7
CRIS Current: New England -7 (+105)
Veno Power: New England -6
Sagarin: New England -3.5

Green Bay at Seattle
CRIS Opener: Seattle -7
CRIS Current: Seattle -7.5 (+105)
Veno Power: Seattle -5
Sagarin: Seattle -5.5



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Green Bay Packers Seattle Seahawks




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFL Conference Championship matchups are set

01.12.2015     07:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL has never embraced the Final Four moniker, but that’s exactly what we’ve got left in this NFL season.  Four teams.  Three remaining meaningful games (sorry, I’m not counting the pro bowl as meaningful, even if you choose to wager on it).  One champion, yet to be crowned.

And there’s one strong commonality among the four teams still standing after two weekends of NFL Playoff action.   Each of the four teams still standing is there because of their quarterback.  As the league has adjusted their rules year by year, making it more difficult to defend the passing game, the very best QB’s have taken advantage of those rule changes, making them nearly impossible to defend.

Bettors probably remember the Patriots gameplan when they travelled to Indy in Week 11; one of four games this year where the Pats were installed as underdogs by the betting markets.  Bill Belichick installed a radically different gameplan than most Pats fans (and their betting supporters) were used to.  New England played for extended stretches with six offensive linemen in power rushing formations, finishing the game with Read more


Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New England Patriots Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers Las Vegas




NFL Gambling Update: Betting market show love toward underdogs

01.09.2015     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Checking in on the current pointspreads for this weekend's NFL Divisional Playoff games. As of Friday morning, all four underdogs have seen play the betting markets based on CRIS's openers.

Baltimore opened +7 and after early money on New England the Patriots are now -7 even money.

Seattle opened -11.5 but has settled -10.5 offshore and -11 in Las Vegas.

Green Bay opened -6.5 and was -6 for much of the week before dropping to -5.5 yesterday. Still plenty of +6's for those interested in the Cowboys.

Denver opened -7.5 even money but is now -7 (-105) across the board.





NFL Handicapping: Divisional Round pointspreads and power ratings

01.05.2015     07:49 AM     Read more


Tags: NFL




NFL Betting: Rodgers dealing with calf issues, bettors jump on Dallas

01.08.2015     02:02 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Screw the weather! Is Aaron Rodgers going to healthy enough to play? Probably but due to what they are calling a "slight calf tear" Rodgers is not expected to be 100 percent for Sunday's playoff game vs. Dallas. Perhaps connected, the Packers just dropped from -6 to -5.5.


"There's no question he will play, but there's also no question he will not be 100 percent," said one doctor familiar with the injury. "The question is whether he'll be 95 percent or 50 percent." 





Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys




NFL Gambling News: Cold temps expected at Lambeau

01.08.2015     09:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you're thinking about betting this weekend's Dallas vs. Green Bay game, part of your handicap will likely include the weather. Packers in Lambeau, sub-freezing temps, Cowboys outdoors...it's going to be a lay up, right? As of today, the weather isn't going to be that bad. No snow, little to no wind, just damn cold seems to be the consensus forecast.


The Packers' record in subfreezing games in the Rodgers era is 16-6-1. One of the victories, two of the losses and the tie came with Rodgers out of the lineup due to injury, so he is 15-4 in those conditions.

"You can't duplicate the cold in the practice setting, but that really (is it)," offensive coordinator Tom Clements said of a cold-weather team's advantage. "That could be an advantage, but it's not necessarily an advantage.

"Teams are going to come in here in the playoffs and they're going to Read more



Tags: NFL Green Bay Packers Dallas Cowboys




NFL Handicapping: Divisional Round pointspreads and power ratings

01.05.2015     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick run through of the pointspreads and power ratings for this weekend's NFL Divisional Round playoff matchups.

Baltimore at New England
CRIS Opener: New England -7
CRIS Current: New England -7
Veno Power: New England -7
Sagarin: New England -7

Carolina at Seattle
CRIS Opener: Seattle -11.5
CRIS Current: Seattle -11
Veno Power: Seattle -11.5
Sagarin: Seattle -13


Dallas at Green Bay
CRIS Opener: Green Bay -6.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -6.5
Veno Power: Green Bay -6.5
Sagarin: Green Bay -5

Indianapolis at Denver
CRIS Opener: Denver -7
CRIS Current: Denver -7
Veno Power: Denver -6.5
Sagarin: Denver -5



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Alert: Potential wet weather for Saturday's Wild Card games

01.02.2015     12:14 PM     Printer Friendly
As always, you'll want to double check the weather report the day of the game.

Charlotte
copy_carolina_weather.JPG

Pittsburgh
copy_pitt_weather.JPG

 



Tags: NFL Pittsburgh Steelers Baltimore Ravens Arizona Cardinals Carolina Panthers




NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices vs. Power Ratings - Wild Card Round

01.02.2015     11:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings, spreads, and Power Ratings for this weekend's NFL Wild Card round.

Baltimore at Pittsburgh
Elo: Pittsburgh -4
Market: Pittsburgh -3
Veno Power: Pittsburgh -2

Arizona at Carolina
Elo: Carolina -0.5
Market: Carolina -6.5
Veno Power: Carolina -1

Detroit at Dallas
Elo: Dallas -5.5
Market: Dallas -6.5
Veno Power: Dallas -3

Cincinnati at Indianapolis
Elo: Indianapolis -2.5
Market: Indianapolis -3/-3.5
Veno Power: Indianapolis -3



Tags: NFL Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Update: Cantor bumps Carolina to -7

01.01.2015     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Know for taking large bets and offering opinion with its lines, Cantor (CG Technology) didn't even bother moving to Carolina to -6.5. Their last recorded line move came on Tuesday when they moved the Panthers from -5.5 to -6. Then this morning, a lone wolf -7 popped up. It'll be interesting to see if the rest of the market heads that way or stays in the -6.5/-6 range.

copy_carolina_seven.JPG








NFL Handicapping: Carolina Panthers bet up to 6-point favorites vs. Arizona Cardinals

12.30.2014     01:37 PM     View Original Blog


Pretty amazing that a few weeks ago Arizona had a shot to earn the top seed in the NFC and Carolina had less than a 10 percent chance to Read more



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Arizona Cardinals




NFL Handicapping: Carolina Panthers bet up to 6-point favorites vs. Arizona Cardinals

12.30.2014     01:37 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pretty amazing that a few weeks ago Arizona had a shot to earn the top seed in the NFC and Carolina had less than a 10 percent chance to make the playoffs. Now we see the Panthers not only favored against the Cardinals but getting a ton of market support. Carolina opened -4.5 and have since hit as high as -6 at key offshore sportsbooks like CRIS and Pinnacle. The Cardinals do have one thing in their favor; 12 years of an incredibly high return on Wild Card teams with the stronger strength of schedule. According to Sagarin, Arizona's schedule ranked 10th while Carolina's was 22nd.



Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Arizona Cardinals



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Mar 02, 2015 04:42 AM.