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November

26

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NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 10

11.09.2014     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 10. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

St. Louis at Arizona
Elo: Arizona -9.5
Market: Arizona -7

San Francisco at New Orleans
Elo: New Orleans -2.5
Market: New Orleans -5/-5.5/-6


Pittsburgh at NY Jets
Elo: Pittsburgh -6.5
Market: Pittsburgh -3.5/-4

Dallas vs. Jacksonville
Elo: Dallas -10.5
Market: Dallas -7



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Sportsbook offers prop bet on Oakland's potential winless season

11.08.2014     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Las Vegas South Point Sportsbook posted a "yes" or "no" prop bet on whether or not the Oakland Raider would win or tie a regular season game. The "no" is a juicy +1000 whereas the "yes" is -1800. To no surprise 53 of the 54 bets taken were on the "no." Below is Oakland's remaining schedule; likely to be underdogs in eight games. Their best chance could be Week 17 if Denver is locked into a playoff spot and plays its fourth stringers.

vs. Denver
at San Diego
vs. Kansas City
at St. Louis
vs. San Francisco
at Kansas City
vs. Buffalo
at Denver



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas




NFL Betting Podcast 11-7-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Rob Veno and Erin Rynning

11.07.2014     12:21 PM     Printer Friendly
copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured NFL Week 10 Every Game on the Board coverage. Rob Veno and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Erin Rynning - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Rob Veno Erin Rynning Andrew Lange




NFL Gambling Update: Pinnacle opens Dallas -7.5 vs. Jacksonville

11.07.2014     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Back-to-back practices for Tony Romo was enough for a few offshore sportsbooks to hang a number on Sunday's game vs. Jacksonville. Pinnacle opened Dallas -7.5ev but has since been bet down to -7-05. The total of 45.5 hasn't budged. In Las Vegas, the Westgate posted -7 and 45.5 earlier this morning.





NFL Gambling: Jones say Romo will play vs. Jacksonville

11.06.2014     06:59 AM     View Original Blog


According to Dallas owner Jerry Jones, Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Jacksonville Jaguars




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Detroit Lions

11.06.2014     02:45 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 42.5
CRIS Current: Detroit -2.5 O/U 2.5 O/U 43.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Detroit -2.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Under

Both the Lions and the Dolphins rank outside the top half of the NFL in red zone touchdown percentage on offense; both teams settling for field goals far too regularly.  Defensively, both the Lions and Dolphins are above average at keeping teams out of the end zone when they reach the red zone. 

Any NFL totals bettor will tell you that one of the key aspects of the handicap is trying to gauge the ratio of field goals vs. touchdowns.  Given how both teams have played on both sides of the ball throughout the first half of the campaign, it’s quite reasonable to assume that the trend of ‘more field goals and fewer touchdowns’ will continue this week.

On a yards-per-play basis, Miami Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Detroit Lions Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling: Jones say Romo will play vs. Jacksonville

11.06.2014     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to Dallas owner Jerry Jones, Tony Romo will play in Sunday's game against Jacksonville in London. Sportsbooks however are taking a more cautious approach with the game still off the board. Back-up Brandon Weeden posted a QB Rating of 55.5 in last week's loss to Arizona.


“I’m anticipating him playing,’’ Jones said. “I have no reason to think that he won’t.

“Anytime he can play, we want him to play. We’re a better team, to be trite, with him playing. There’s no such thing as holding him out and foregoing the potential chance that we win.’’





Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Jacksonville Jaguars




NFL Handicapping: Cincinnati surviving with stellar pass defense

11.04.2014     07:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Run through the teams stats and rankings and the Cincinnati Bengals don't do a lot of things well. But according to Football Outsiders, their saving grace has been "the league’s best pass defense.” Great read.


"Their passing game is average," Hornsby said. "(It's helped) slightly by (Mo) Sanu and (A.J.) Green, when he was healthy. They are struggling to run, (but) their overall ground game is about at the NFL average. Their penalty level is at the NFL average. Notice a trend?

"They are really struggling in run defense. They are getting beaten at the point of attack and the only good run defenders in the front seven are either injured (Vontaze Burfict) or coming back from injury (Geno Atkins).

"If you're the best in Defensive Passer Rating, chances are you're going to make a (playoff) run," Byrne says.





Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Over 80% of bets placed on Colts and OVER

11.03.2014     01:59 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Indianapolis Colts and New York Giants courtesy of Bookmaker. Not much market movement on the side outside of some juice. After getting bet up off of the opener, the total has bounced around the key numbers of 50, 50.5, and 51. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDE
82.5% - Indianapolis -3

TOTAL
80.6% - OVER 51

MONEYLINE
55.6% - Indianapolis -165



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts New York Giants




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NFC News and Notes

11.03.2014     12:00 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’re into November, just past the halfway point of the 2014 NFL season.  The truths that we learned in September aren’t proving to be quite so true now that the season has progressed.  In this week’s wiseguy report, we’ll take a quick tour around the NFC landscape, focusing on some hidden gems of knowledge from around the league.

With their dominating win on Sunday, the Arizona Cardinals are now 14-3 SU, 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 ballgames.  Only one of those three losses came by more than a field goal – their game at Denver, when third string rookie QB Logan Thomas was forced into action after injuries to Carson Palmer and Drew Stanton.

Yet the Cardinals statistical profile continues to confound wiseguy bettors.  Arizona went into their game at Dallas on Sunday with a -0.6 yards per play differential.  To put that number in perspective, the Oakland Raiders entered the weekend with a - 0.5 yards per play differential, the Jacksonville Jaguars had a -0.7 ypp differential.    And the Cards have been on the lucky end of the turnover equation this year, now +10 for the season after winning the Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Philadelphia's Mark Sanchez takes over for Nick Foles

11.03.2014     06:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A slew of injuries for the Philadelphia Eagles during Sunday's win at Houston. DeMeco Ryans (Achilles) and Nick Foles (shoulder) are feared out for the season. Mark Sanchez filled in for Foles and completed 15-of-22 passes for 202 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs. Looking ahead, Philly faces three teams currently in the top ten in passing defense. The Eagles play host to Carolina on Monday Night Football.

Opponent - YPG Passing Defense Rank
vs. Carolina - 17th
at Green Bay - 9th
vs. Tennessee - 16th
at Dallas - 15th
vs. Seattle - 6th
vs. Dallas - 15th
at Washington - 7th
at NY Giants - 25th



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Carolina Panthers



3

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November

26


 
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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 26, 2014 06:39 PM.