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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Total Sacks by Both Teams
02.01.2013 08:00 AM
Alatex Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports
Total Sacks by Both Teams
Recommendation: Under 4.5 (-150 @ CRIS)
Neither one of these quarterbacks has been sacked much lately, and the pass rush for both teams has not been great as well. Colin Kaepernick has obviously shown that he is not afraid to tuck the ball and run, and he is also not given the opportunity to stand in the pocket and go through a long progression of receivers. Most of San Francisco’s pass plays are read and throw, or read and run, and as a result, Kaepernick has been sacked exactly one time in each of his last five games. Joe Flacco is also making quick decisions in the pocket and getting good protection from his offensive line. He has been sacked just four times in his last four games, not counting the throw away game against Cincinnati in the season finale when he barely played. With both teams placing an emphasis on running the ball, there should be fewer opportunities for the quarterbacks to be sacked. I see lots of value with under 4.5.
Tags:
NFL
San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
Brent Crow
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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Michael Crabtree total receptions
02.01.2013 07:55 AM
Alatex Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports
Michael Crabtree Total Receptions
Recommendation: Over 6 (-140 @ CRIS)
Instead of using the entire 16-game season to analyze the San Francisco 49ers box scores for making our prop bets, we really only need about half the season. This is due to the change at quarterback, with Colin Kaepernick taking over for Alex Smith midseason. As a result, looking at games with Smith as the starting quarterback is useless, and there is a much smaller sample size than usual to base our wagers. One thing that really stands out in the games with Kaepernick under center is how much he targets his top receiver, Michael Crabtree. Crabtree has caught six or more passes in six of the last seven games, and will no doubt be targeted heavily on Sunday. The game plan shouldn’t change that much, and the number and price here offers us plenty of value that he will hang on to the majority of balls thrown his way.
Tags:
NFL
San Francisco 49ers
Super Bowl XLVII
Brent Crow
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Super Bowl XLVII Betting: Kornegay says LVH is heavy on 49ers and OVER
02.01.2013 07:39 AM
Printer Friendly
According to LVH's Jay Kornegay, San Francisco 49ers and OVER are the least desirable outcomes for his sportsbook.
Tags:
NFL
Super Bowl XLVII
San Francisco 49ers
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Perry's Super Bowl XX touchdown started the prop bet explosion
02.01.2013 07:32 AM
Printer Friendly
Cool article by
David McIntire
on the history of prop bets in Las Vegas.
As Ditka publicly down-played Perry’s role, the odds soared to as high as 75 to 1, potentially earning bettors $750 in winnings for every ten dollars bet on Perry to score. Then the national media picked up the story, relishing another colorful hook associated with a team that had created their own music video mid-season. As the publicity flowed in to Las Vegas, so did money. By kick-off the odds dropped to 2 to 1. Now a 10 dollar bet on Perry would only earn back 20 bucks.
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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Joe Flacco longest completion
01.31.2013 12:34 PM
Sammy P Sports
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Submitted by Sammy P Sports
Joe Flacco Longest Completion
Recommendation: Over 40.5 (-110 @ LVH)
If the Baltimore Ravens are going to win this game, they will need to do it by exploiting San Francisco’s secondary. That means Joe Flacco will need to make some big plays down field. Flacco has shown a deft touch downfield throughout the season. This postseason, we’ve already seen him toss passes of 47, 50, 59 and 70 yards. And in 19 total games this season, Flacco has hit for 40 or more yards 16 times. The 49ers have surrendered at least one 40+ yard pass in five straight games dating back to the regular season. Look for a sixth here on Sunday.
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Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
Sammy P
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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Baltimore Total Sacks
01.31.2013 08:03 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Baltimore Total Sacks
Recommendation: Under 2 (-130 @ 5Dimes)
San Francisco’s Colin Kaepernick was sacked three times or more in three games this season. In his first real extended playing time of his career, Kaepernick was brought down three times against St. Louis, who finished second in the NFL in sacks. The Rams got to him again three times in Week 13 and Miami, another above average pass rush, took him down four times. Other than that, including both postseason games, Kaepernick was sacked either once or not at all. Baltimore posted a league average 37 sacks during the regular season. En route to the Super Bowl, they notched three apiece against Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck – two of the least mobile quarterbacks in the league. And against Tom Brady, who also isn't very swift and threw the ball 54 times, the Ravens came up empty in the sack department. To lose this bet, Baltimore will need to record three sacks. I don’t see that happening.
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NFL
Baltimore Ravens
San Francisco 49ers
Super Bowl XLVII
Andrew Lange
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Las Vegas provides bettors with endless options for Super Bowl XLVII
01.31.2013 06:59 AM
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If you live in Las Vegas and are looking for somewhere to watch Super Bowl XLVII, here is your definitive guide courtesy of the
Las Vegas Sun
. The options range from $1 hotdogs and $2 beer specials to $400 group packages that include bottles of top shelf booze and enough Miller Lites to take down an elephant. Enjoy.
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NFL
Super Bowl XLVII
Las Vegas
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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Will there be three straight scores?
01.30.2013 02:54 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Will There Be Three Consecutive Scores for Either Team?
Recommendation: Yes (-170 @ LVH)
The 49ers-Falcons NFC Championship Game was a real nail-biter that came down to the final possession; a tight, thrilling contest. But if you bet the “Yes” on this prop in that ballgame, you cashed a winning bet by the first play of the second quarter. Football is a game of momentum swings; even in competitively lined contests like this one. On a stage like the Super Bowl, those momentum swings are magnified. That’s why this prop has cashed 24 times in the last 31 Super Bowls, including three of the last four years – all tight, competitive Super Bowls. And if this Super Bowl turns out to be not so tight and competitive, this prop will cash with ease.
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NFL
San Francisco 49ers
Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
Teddy Covers
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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Frank Gore Rushing Yards vs. Louisville Points
01.30.2013 01:01 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Frank Gore Rushing Yards vs. Louisville Points (vs. Marquette on Sunday)
Recommendation: Gore +3.5 (-110 @ LVH)
Frank Gore is the heart and the soul of the 49ers offense. We can expect the Ravens defense to concentrate on slowing Colin Kaepernick’s big play ability on the read-option, much like Atlanta did in the NFC Championship Game. The end result of that defensive effort for Gore was a 21 carry, 90-yard effort on the heels of his 23 carry, 119-yard effort against the Packers the previous week. If San Fran has a second half lead, there’s going to be a steady stream of Gore rushing yards. Louisville’s offense has struggled for the last few weeks; averaging just 62 points per game over its last four contests; well shy of their season long 74 ppg average. Marquette certainly isn’t going to try to run with Louisville – they did that in the Big East tournament last year and got run out of the gym! The Golden Eagles have only let one team hang 70+ on them in regulation since Christmas, and I don’t expect Louisville to change that.
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San Francisco 49ers
Super Bowl XLVII
Teddy Covers
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Super Bowl XLVII Prop Bet Recommendation: Will Baltimore score a rushing touchdown?
01.30.2013 12:26 PM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
Will Baltimore score a rushing touchdown?
Recommendation: Yes (-135 @ 5Dimes)
For some reason the Ravens are not looked upon as a strong rushing team, yet they have two Pro Bowl running backs in Ray Rice and Vonta Leach who is perhaps the best fullback in the NFL. They also have a solid offensive line that is now healthy at the right time. So why is the line on this prop compared to San Francisco scoring a rushing touchdown (-360) not getting much attention?
Obviously the 49ers defense has something to do with it surrendering just seven rushing touchdowns and 94.2 yards per game during the regular season and one rushing touchdown in the postseason. However, Baltimore has been on a roll scoring at least one rushing touchdown in its last eight games through the postseason. We've seen Baltimore go for it on fourth a goal many times this season with Ray Rice and we expect much of the same in the Super Bowl with coach John Harbaugh's gutsy calls.
And then there's the Ravens other weapons. I expect quarterback Joe Flacco to run a few times in this game and with his height can easily reach over the goal line. Running back
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Baltimore Ravens
Super Bowl XLVII
Alf Musketa
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