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NFL Handicapping: Miami tabs Tannehill starter, bettors show support for Houston
08.21.2012 07:03 AM
Printer Friendly
The Miami Dolphins announced that rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill will be the team's
Week 1 starter
at Houston. There has been a steady trickle of Texans money over the last few weeks. Even prior to the official announcement, most offshore sportsbooks have moved off of the opening number of -7. Houston is now anywhere from -7.5 (Vegas) to -9 (offshore).
“It was a close competition, but in the end, we feel like this is the best decision for our football team at the present time,” Philbin said. “We like the way he handles himself.
“He’s relatively mature. We like his poise.
“We don’t think it’s too big for him. We think he has a chance to be an accurate passer in this league. He has good mobility, throws the ball on the move. I think he has a chance to be a very good player.”
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Miami Dolphins
Houston Texans
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NFL Betting Stock Watch: Buffalo Bills on the rise defensively
08.20.2012 02:25 PM
ER Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports
Buy the Buffalo Bills
– After starting 5-2 last season, the Bills’ offense went into remission, the defense couldn’t stop anyone and they limped to a 1-8 finish. It marked the 12th straight time the team failed to earn a postseason berth – the longest current drought in the NFL. The fast start was keyed by the efficient play of quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick who in those first seven games posted a solid 15/9 TD-to-INT ratio. That rate however nearly flip-flopped (9/14) the final nine games and rumors circulated that Fitzpatrick was playing with cracked ribs. It wasn’t the only key injury with DT Kyle Williams, arguably the team’s best defensive player, and RB Fred Jackson, who suffered a broken leg, both missing substantial time.
Heading into 2012, I think there is an excellent opportunity for improvement and it starts on the defensive side of the football. Much maligned for his work as a head coach, Dave Wannstedt steps into a more ideal situation as defensive coordinator. The stop unit will lean on a 4-3 format with extra emphasis on the front four. The group consists of the aforementioned and now
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Erin Rynning
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NFL Preseason Betting Results Weeks 1 and 2
08.20.2012 12:19 PM
Printer Friendly
Updated betting results for Weeks 1 and 2 of the NFL Preseason. We graded plays using CRIS's opening and closing odds. Underdogs went 20-11-1 ATS based on closing odds. Road teams went 18-14 ATS based on closing odds. The OVER was 18-13-1 based on closing odds. In week 2, CRIS's openers went 12-2-1 to the OVER (10-5 O/U based on closing odds).
NFL Preseason Betting Results Weeks 1 and 2
Week 1 H/A
CRIS Open/Close
ATS
CRIS Open/Close
O/U
AZ 10, NO 17
NO -3/NO -3
Favorite
35.5/37
Under
TAM 20, MIA 7
MIA -3/MIA -3
Underdog
33.5/33
Under
NYG 31, JAX 32
JAX -1/JAX -2
Push/Underdog
33.5/35
Over
AZ 17, KC 27
KC -3/KC -1.5
Favorite
34.5/34
Over
CLE 19, DET 17
DET -4.5/DET -3
Underdog
36/36
Push
NYJ 6, CIN 17
NYJ -1.5/NYJ -1.5
Underdog
33/34
Under
MIN 6, SF 17
SF -4/SF -3
Favorite
33/34
Under
WAS 6, BUF 7
BUF -2/WAS -2.5
Underdog/Underdog
34/35
Under
PIT 23, PHI 24
PHI -3/PHI -1
Underdog/Push
34/35
Over
NO 6, NE 7
NE -2.5/NE -4.5
Underdog
40/37.5
Under
BAL 31, ATL 17
ATL -2.5/ATL -1
Underdog
34/35
Over
GB 13, SD 21
SD -2.5/SD -2.5
Favorite
36.5/38.5
Under
DEN 31, CHI 3
CHI -2.5/CHI -3
Underdog
34/34
Push
HOU 26, CAR 13
CAR -2/CAR -3
Underdog
35.5/35.5
Over
TEN 17, SEA 27
SEA -3/SEA -3
Favorite
34/36
Over
STL 3, IND 38
IND -2.5/IND -2
Favorite
33.5/35
Over
DAL 3, OAK 0
OAK -1.5/OAK -1.5
Underdog
34/34.5
Under
Week 2 H/A
CRIS Open/Close
ATS
CRIS Open/Close
O/U
CLE 35, GB 10
GB -4.5/GB -3
Underdog
38/41
Over
CIN 24, ATL 19
ATL -3.5/ATL -4
Underdog
37/38
Over
TEN 30, TB 7
TB -3/TB -2
Underdog
37/38
Push/Under
DET 27, BAL 12
BAL -3.5/BAL -2.5
Underdog
37.5/40
Over/Under
JAX 27, NO 24
NO -6.5/NO -6.5
Underdog
39/39.5
Over
BUF 14, MIN 36
MIN -2.5/MIN -2.5
Favorite
36/36.5
Over
MIA 17, CAR 23
CAR -5/CAR -3
Favorite
36/38
Over
OAK 27, AZ 31
AZ -3/AZ -6.5
Favorite/Underdog
36.5/37
Over
NYG 26, NYJ 3
NYG -2/NYJ -1.5
Underdog
36.5/37
Under
SF 9, HOU 20
HOU -3/HOU -3
Favorite
36/38
Under
DAL 20, SD 28
SD -4/SD -3.5
Favorite
37/39.5
Over
WAS 31, CHI 33
CHI -2.5/CHI -1.5
Underdog/Favorite
36/38
Over
KC 17, STL 31
STL PK/KC -1
Underdog
35.5/37
Over
SEA 30, DEN 10
DEN -3/DEN PK
Underdog
37.5/40.5
Over/Under
IND 24, PIT 26
PIT -4.5/PIT -4
Underdog
37.5/38.5
Over
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Handicapper Teddy Covers talks NFC North Betting on the Sportsmemo Podcast
08.20.2012 10:03 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers and host Andrew Lange discussed the NFC North Division on Monday's Podcast. You can
listen here
.
2012 NFC North Betting Results and Odds
NFC North
2011 SU W-L
2011 ATS W-L
Season O/U (Pinny)
Division Odds (Pinny)
Chicago
8-8
8-8
9.5un-140
+400
Green Bay
15-1
11-5
12un-199
-225
Minnesota
3-13
6-8-2
6ov-119
+2000
Detroit
10-6
7-7-2
9.5un-198
+488
Teddy Covers 2012 NFL Season O/U Wins [61-27 69% Lifetime] $199
Teddy’s NFL Win Total Report is, quite simply, the best in the business, off another moneymaking season in 2011. He’s 61-27 (69%) lifetime with his win total recommendations dating back to 2002, including an outstanding 9-1 (90%) mark with his 20* Big Tickets. This is one report that even professional bettors can’t do without! Sign up today for full access to the entire package.
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Teddy Covers
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NFL Betting Notes: Tennessee Titans name Locker Week 1 starter
08.20.2012 07:33 AM
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So the Tennessee Titans named
Jake Locker
their starting quarterback which means Matt Hasselbeck will retake the job by Week 3. We don't see a huge advantage or disadvantage with either quarterback. Locker can make more plays, but will inevitably make more mistakes. The opposite holds true for Hasselbeck. The concern is if the Titans decide to play musical chairs and don't allow either signal caller to develop and sort of continuity.
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Tennessee Titans
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NFL Preseason Betting: Ryan says Jets starters will play first half vs. Giants
08.18.2012 07:30 AM
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-NY Giants- at -NY Jets- -1 O/U 36.5
New York Jets head coach Rex Ryan said a majority of his starters will play the
entire first half
vs. the Giants. A few exceptions include guard Brandon Moore (1 quarter), Santonio Holmes (back, out), Jeremy Kerley (hamstring, out) and Eric Smith (knee, out).
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New York Jets
New York Giants
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NFL Preseason Gambling: Redskins starters slated for 30-35 plays vs. Bears
08.18.2012 07:20 AM
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Washington
at
Chicago
-1 O/U 37
Washington Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan said his starters will play
30-35 snaps
against the Chicago Bears tonight.
“It all depends,” Shanahan said after yesterday’s practice. “A lot has to depend on the number of series, number of plays. I shouldn’t say the number of plays, because sometimes the series really don’t dictate the amount of plays that you have. But we’re going to get certain guys a certain amount of plays. We’ll see if we get that done.”
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Chicago Bears
Washington Redskins
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NFL Preseason ATS Notes: Chicago Bears look for better showing in Week 2
08.18.2012 07:14 AM
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Washington
at
Chicago
-1 O/U 37
Because of a wet field the Chicago Bears played it cautious in Week 1 with some of their top players. Lovie Smith – one of the least trustable coaches in the league when it comes to preseason info – claims
more emphasis
will be placed on tonight's game vs. Washington. Smith said some starters will play the entire first half.
“We didn’t play as well as we needed to last time,” Bears coach Lovie Smith admitted. “So we’re anxious to play a good Washington team that got a win last week.”
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Chicago Bears
Washington Redskins
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NFL Betting Stock Watch: Chicago Bears have look of an OVER team in 2012
08.17.2012 02:15 PM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
While I cashed my first Bears tickets this season with a never-in-doubt winner on the relationship of Brian Urlacher and Jenny McCarthy not making it to the regular season opener, I’ll be looking to cash many more involving this team as the season progresses. Front and center for the Bears this season will be their remodeled offense. There’s no question that the pairing of Mike Martz and Jay Cutler was a disaster with sacks and turnovers highlighting their brief tenure. Cutler is out of that Brett Favre mold; a talented gun slinger who in the right system could thrive. Favre had Mike Holmgren while in Green Bay and the Bears are hoping first-year offensive coordinator Mike Tice can provide Cutler with a similar path to riches.
Despite the offensive struggles, the Bears were at one point 7-3 last season before Cutler and then running back Matt Forte got hurt. The offense got progressively worse and the Bears missed the postseason at 8-8. During the offseason, coupled with the departure of Martz, the Bears managed to bring in stud wide receiver Brandon Marshall, who used to play with Cutler in Denver. Once a major weakness, the wide receiver position is
Read more
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Chicago Bears
Erin Rynning
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NFL Handicapping: Comparing Cantor's openers vs. CRIS's current odds
08.17.2012 12:51 PM
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Here in the Sportsmemo Blog we like to do a lot of line comparisons. Offshore vs. Vegas, openers vs. current numbers, sharp shops vs. square shops, etc. Tracking the changes and differences is a great way to better understanding oddsmakers and the betting markets. Today, we take a look at Cantor Gaming's NFL regular season Week 1 lines from way back in early May and compared them to CRIS's current numbers. Remember, Cantor not only posted Week 1 but also
every game through Week 16
. Since then, practically every offshore sportsbook has Week 1 posted and bettors have had a crack at seeing every team at least once during the preseason.
NFL Week 1 Line Comparisons: Cantor vs. CRIS
Away
Home
Cantor 5/9
CRIS Current
Dallas
NY Giants
NYG -3
NYG -3 (-130)
Indianapolis
Chicago
CHI -9.5
CHI -9.5
Philadelphia
Cleveland
PHI -7
PHI -8
Buffalo
NY Jets
NYJ -5.5
NYJ -3 (-120)
Washington
New Orleans
NO -9.5
NO -9
New England
Tennessee
NE -6.5
NE -6.5
Jacksonville
Minnesota
MIN -4
MIN -4.5
Miami
Houston
HOU -6
HOU -7
St. Louis
Detroit
DET -9.5
DET -8.5
Atlanta
Kansas City
KC PK
ATL -1
San Francisco
Green Bay
GB -6.5
GB -6
Carolina
Tampa Bay
CAR -3
CAR -2.5
Seattle
Arizona
ARI -2
ARI -1
Pittsburgh
Denver
DEN -2
DEN -1
Cincinnati
Baltimore
BAL -7
BAL -5.5
San Diego
Oakland
OAK PK
SD -1.5
As you can see, some games are the same (Chicago vs. Indianapolis and New England at Tennessee) while others came off or where bet to key numbers including the Jets who dropped to -3 against Buffalo. Note that in all four games lined -2 or less, bettors came out in support of the road side (Atlanta, Seattle, Pittsburgh and San Diego).
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