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NFL Week 16 Betting Recap

12.23.2013     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of NFL Week 16 for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Early Sunday Recap

Late Sunday Recap

Week 16 Pace Factors

Eagles destroy Bears



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Betting Podcast 12-20-2013 with Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning

12.20.2013     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured NFL Week 16 Every Game on the Board coverage. Brent Crow and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Erin Rynning - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Brent Crow




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 16

12.20.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Are you missing NFL football on a Thursday night? Here are this week’s Drive Point averages to help you make it to the weekend. Games are presented market rotation order. If you’re new to the blog, these are per-game averages for points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more (weeding out all defensive points, special teams points, and otherwise “cheap” points from drives of 59 yards or less as itemized in standard boxscores). The first sent of parenthesis shows the current strength of schedule rankings from Jeff Sagarin of USA Today and Football Outsiders (in that order). The second set of parenthesis shows turnover differential to this point in the season.

That composite helps you visualize strengths, weaknesses, and team styles for all 32 teams. Sometimes they help you find matchup advantages in a given game. Here we go…

Miami: 11.8 on offense, 12.3 on defense (14-6) (+2 turnovers)

Buffalo: 11.4 on offense, Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: Cleveland Browns at New York Jets

12.19.2013     12:47 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland at New York Jets
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New York -1 O/U 39.5
CRIS Current: New York -2.5 O/U 40
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New York -3.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: New York

The Browns are 1-8 since Brian Hoyer got hurt, suffering yet another heartbreak in a season full of them in last week’s loss to the Bears; their fifth consecutive defeat.  Despite scoring two defensive touchdowns, and entering the fourth quarter with the lead for the third straight week, the Browns defense wilted during crunch time and their offense couldn’t move the football when it mattered most. 

The Browns haven’t won on the road since their Week 3 victory at Minnesota, and they’re priced here as a team that likely needs to win the game in order to cover the pointspread.  To make matters even worse, the injury bug continues to bite, leaving pro bowl Read more


Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns New York Jets Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Brady wants offense to play at faster tempo

12.19.2013     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New England at Baltimore -2.5 O/U 44.5

A couple of quotes from New England quarterback Tom Brady about potentially picking up the pace against the Baltimore Ravens.


“Maybe we should do it more often,” Brady said on Wednesday, after the team’s first practice of the week in advance of their final regular-season road game, Sunday at Baltimore. “I just think we’re trying to figure out what we think is best to do to help us win. It just hasn’t really required that. But we go fast plenty of times, in those two-minute situations where we’ve done a good job.”

“To run three plays and punt really quickly doesn’t do you any more good than running three plays and huddling and all that, and [then] punting. Ultimately we have to score enough points and that Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor heading into Week 15

12.19.2013     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

If you’re new to the blog, these are per-game averages in the sum of total plays + penalties + field goal attempts + punts for games involving each team. Buffalo’s games have had the most plays at 167.4 by my count, even faster paced than the “Oregon-style” Philadelphia Eagles at 166.8. Of course, Buffalo also has a first-year coach that just came up from the college level. The slowest paced team by this measure is Carolina, with 146.0 in their games on average. Hasn’t that pace helped the defense drive while encouraging Cam Newton to play relatively mistake-free?

The scale…

Helter Skelter (159 and up)

Buffalo 167.4

Philadelphia 166.8

Cleveland 165.6

Denver 163.6

New England 163.0

Baltimore 161.7

Kansas City 159.4
 
Faster Than Average (156-158)

Jacksonville 157.3 (influenced by playing from behind so Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: CRIS vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 16

12.17.2013     10:43 AM     Printer Friendly
Back in early May, Cantor Gaming posted lines on every NFL regular season game. We took those lines and stacked them up against the current market numbers at CRIS. It's a good handicapping tool to identify some of the changes in opinion the market has had over the course of the regular season.

2013 NFL CRIS Lines vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 16
Away
Home
Cantor
CRIS Current
Miami
Buffalo
Buffalo pk
Miami -2.5
New Orleans
Carolina
Carolina pk
Carolina -3
Dallas
Washington
Washington -2.5
Dallas -3
Tampa Bay
St. Louis
St. Louis -1
St. Louis -5.5
Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia pk
Philadelphia -3
Cleveland
NY Jets
NY Jets -3
NY Jets -2.5
Indianapolis
Kansas City
Kansas City -1
Kansas City -7
Minnesota
Cincinnati
Cincinnati -2.5
Cincinnati -7
Denver
Houston
Houston pk
Denver -10
Tennessee
Jacksonville
Jacksonville pk
Tennessee -5.5
Arizona
Seattle
Seattle -8.5
Seattle -10.5
NY Giants
Detroit
Detroit -1.5
Detroit -9
Oakland
San Diego
San Diego -4.5
San Diego -10
Pittsburgh
Green Bay
Green Bay -3
N/L
New England
Baltimore
Baltimore pk
Baltimore -2.5
Atlanta
San Francisco
San Francisco -3.5
San Francisco -12




Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Seahawks now favored to win Super Bowl XLVIII

12.17.2013     10:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Seattle Seahawks are currently priced as Super Bowl XLVIII betting favorites according to LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay. The Seahawks are 3-2 followed by the Broncos (5-2), and 49ers (8-1). The Patriots, Saints, Bengals, and Panthers are all 12-1.


"There are three factors that led to the odds change," said Jay Kornegay, sports director for the LVH super book. "One, the offense didn't play that well against San Diego. Two, the defense is concerning. And three Seattle has consistently played well."





Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl XLVIII




NFL Gambling: Seattle looks to lock up NFC West and homefield advantage

12.17.2013     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at Seattle -10 O/U 44.5

The Seattle Seahawks have two opportunities to lock up the NFC West – at home vs. Arizona and St. Louis – and homefield advantage.


"I'm more concerned about losing the edge we've gained," Carroll said. "It's taken months to get here and all of a sudden you kick into a month mode where it could be different."

"We're going to make the most of what we got," said Carroll. "I would have wanted it as soon as we could have won it and then dealt with that challenge, but right now I think we understand clearly what we're trying to get done here."






Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Arizona Cardinals




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFL Pointspread Plays of the Year

12.16.2013     12:55 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last year, I wrote a Pointspread Plays of the Year NFL article at this stage of the season, at a time of year when Top 10 lists seem to formulate out of thin air.  It was so much fun to write, I decided to do it again this year, even though there was no clear Pointspread Play of the Year like we had last year with the Seahawks-Packers final play Hail Mary TD on Monday Night Football!

In my world, there’s nothing better than a right side winner – no drama, no sweating; an easy rocking chair cover. Of course, cashing nothing but right side winners is MUCH easier said than done.  In the real world, there are so many games that come down to a single key late play that determines the SU and/or ATS winner. I’ve gone back through my notes, looking at the some of the wackiest pointspread outcomes of the year – the really memorable ones. End of the year Top 10 lists are so passé, so I’ll call this my Top 8 Pointspread Plays of the Year.  Let’s start the countdown with Read more


Tags: NFL Teddy Covers



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