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NFL Handicpaping: Week 2 Betting and Statistical Recap

09.16.2013     07:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers…

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness)

San Diego 33 (+7.5), Philadelphia 30

S-Diego: 539 yards, 6.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 67% third downs

Philadel: 511 yards, 8.7 per-play, 1 turnovers, 45% third downs

(Whoever had the ball last was going to win, because both offenses were getting enough YPP at will to move the ball into scoring position. First glaring sign of Philly’s defensive weaknesses this Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




LVH SuperContest consensus bets crushed for a second straight week

09.16.2013     06:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another bad week for consensus bets at the LVH SuperContest. Last week's top six picks included Houston, Tampa Bay, Cleveland, Carolina, Indianapolis, and Cincinnati which produced a 0-5-1 ATS result. This week New Orleans, New York Giants, Baltimore, Indianapolis, Arizona, and Kansas City went 2-4 ATS. Note that the Buccaneers were one of the most popular picks prior to their Week 1 loss to the Jets. This week, the complete opposite as New Orleans, Tampa's opponent, was the top consensus play. The Saints won 16-14 as 3-point chalk.



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

09.15.2013     08:04 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at Indianapolis
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Indianapolis pk O/U 43
CRIS Current: Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 43.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Indianapolis -2
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Indianapolis

The Dolphins were able to coast to a 23-10 win last week in Cleveland against the Browns.  However, they failed to overwhelm and were actually outgained by the Brown by 16 yards.  Their rushing attack was a grave concern with just 20 yards on 23 carries. Second year quarterback Ryan Tannehill is yet to prove he can play at a high level in the NFL.  It doesn’t help that he lacks weapons as well, and the tight end injury to Dustin Keller will prove difficult to overcome.  One could argue that free agent addition wide receiver Mike Wallace will be that true difference maker, but I feel strongly he’ll disappoint.  No question, the defense for the Dolphins will carry this team Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts Erin Rynning




NFL Betting Podcast 9-13-2013 with Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning

09.13.2013     10:37 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured NFL Week 2 Every Game on the Board coverage. Brent Crow and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Erin Rynning - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Brent Crow Erin Rynning




NFL Betting Recap: Ugly win and ATS loss for New England Patriots

09.13.2013     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was a perfect storm for sloppiness. Thursday night games have been sluggish in the NFL to begin with because it’s hard to prepare for an opponent in just a few days after going to war on a Sunday. The Jets were starting a rookie quarterback. The Patriots have a lot of new receivers. Naturally, at halftime, it also started to rain!

New England 13, NY Jets 10 (+10.5)

NYJ: 318 yards, 4.5 per-play, 4 turnovers, 33% third downs

N.E.: 232 yards, 3.6 per-play, 0 turnovers, 22% third downs

Wow…232 yards for a Tom Brady offense and only 22% on third down conversions. The team did manage to avoid turnovers, which was the difference-maker.

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: NY Jets 129, New England 54

Passing Stats: NY Jets 15-35-3-189, New England 19-39-0-178

Drive Points: NY Jets 3, New England 7

Stat Score: NY Jets 20, New England 13

Sloppiness: NY Jets 40, New England Read more


Tags: NFL New England Patriots New York Jets Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: San Diego Chargers at Philadelphia Eagles

09.13.2013     08:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego at Philadelphia
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Philadelphia -7 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current: Philadelphia -7 (-120) O/U 55
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Philadelphia -5.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Philadelphia

There’s no doubt that the Eagles offense is the flavor of the week this week. Head coach Chip Kelly’s innovative, extreme tempo system figures to be a lot for San Diego to handle, especially on a short work week. Couple those tasks with a cross country fight, an early 1:00 local time start, and their heart breaking season home opening loss to Houston and you instantly have a strong case for a fade. Defensive fatigue could also be a valid argument against the Chargers since Philadelphia is conditioned for their style and the entire nation saw Washington’s defense gassed in the first quarter last Monday night. A reenergized and rabid Eagles fan base will pack Lincoln Financial Field Read more


Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Philadelphia Eagles Rob Veno




NFL Betting Stock Watch: Expect Dallas' mediocre ways to continue

09.13.2013     07:53 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sell the Dallas Cowboys – The Cowboys have been the poster boys for mediocrity in the NFL in each of the last two seasons with identical 8-8 records.  Obviously much more is expected but the franchise continues to underachieve.  Their underachieving ways are clearly noted in their ATS record of 12-20 over the prior two campaigns.  This season has much the same feel as the Cowboys are expected to fight for a playoff spot, however their leadership will fail to lead the way.  The management of the franchise continues to lack the cohesiveness and foresight to put things together on Sundays whether it’s the failings in the player personnel department or their in-game strategy.  The offense remains a question without an front five that can control the line of scrimmage over the course of the season.  The unit looked adequate Sunday night against the Giants, but a commanding lead eased the Giants' pass rush, which looked to be a notch down to begin with.  Other questions loom about 73-year-old defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin.  This was the strangest hire in the NFL off-season to begin with.  There’s Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Erin Rynning




NFL Betting Consensus: Nothing new as bettors line up with Patriots and the OVER for TNF

09.12.2013     12:35 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Jets at New England

Here are the top consensus bets for tonight's Thursday Night Football game between the New York Jets and New England Patriots courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Side
New England -11 (58%) vs. New York

Total
New York-New England OVER 42.5 (63.1%)

Moneyline
New England -542 (61.4%) vs. New York



Tags: NFL New York Jets New England Patriots




NFL Gambling Trends: Overs have been the play following MNF Divisional games

09.12.2013     12:27 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsmemo Handicapper Marty Otto spotted this potentially useable NFL trend: Teams off Monday Night Football divisional contests are 22-8 over/under (73%) in their following game (since start of 2011). Philadelphia and Washington are in play this week with the Eagles playing host to the Chargers (total of 55) and the Redskins traveling to Green Bay (total of 49.5).



Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings - Week 2

09.12.2013     06:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back Wednesday with an updated estimate of how the market currently has all 32 NFL teams pegged on a Power Rating scale. If you’re new to the site…I use the current pointspreads to create “couplets” for the two teams in each game (allotting 3 points for home field), then I place those couplets on the scale based on where they most likely belong according to recent form, and past scales.

These aren’t my “personal” assessments of the teams. It’s my personal assessment of how the market is probably rating the teams. If you disagree, feel free to post a comment, or tweet me @jefffogle. Maybe you think the market is more enthusiastic about a team than I’ve accounted for, or more pessimistic.

Estimated NFL Market Power Ratings

86: San Francisco, Seattle, Denver

83: Green Bay, New England (dealing with injuries)

82: Houston, New Orleans (at home)

81: Atlanta, New Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 21, 2014 10:54 PM.