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NFL Handicapping: Mild but potentially wet weather for Divisional Round

01.08.2014     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is Wednesday so handicapping the weather for this weekend is notoriously risky. However, it looks like the nation-wide deep freeze will have passed as temperatures expect to be very mild for all four Divisional Round matchups. Rain is expected in Seattle and Foxboro.

Saturday games
Seattle - 1:30 pm local
Mid-to-high 40's, 100% chance of rain, winds up to 20 mph

New England - 8:15 pm local
High 40's, 60% chance of rain, winds 10-15 mph

Sunday games
Carolina - 1 pm local
High 50's, no chance of rain, winds 5-10 mph

Denver - 2:30 pm local
High 40's, 10% chance of rain, winds 12-17 mph





Tags: NFL




NFL Playoff Gambling: Sportsbooks offer differing opinions on Indianapolis-New England

01.07.2014     12:12 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting line move at Grande for Saturday's Indianapolis-New England game. Grande, which is commonly referred to as a "leading indication sportsbook" has moved its line six times – all towards the Indy side. Grande opened the Colts +7.5-10 and from there dropped to +7.5-15, +7.5-20, +7.5-25, +7ev, and to its current number of +7-25. That number is a far cry from Las Vegas shops like LVH and William Hill that offer 7.5-110. CRIS has also shown respect for the Colts; opening +7-110 and yet to move off the key number to +7.5.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots Indianapolis Colts




NFL Handicapping: Regular season meetings between Chargers and Broncos were even

01.06.2014     12:52 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Each game is its own separate entity but as pointed out on today's Sportsmemo Podcast by handicapper Teddy Covers the statistical discrepancy between the Denver Broncos and San Diego Chargers based on their two regular season meetings was minimal. In Week 10, Denver (-7) won and covered 28-20 in San Diego. In Week 15, San Diego (+10) won outright, 27-20. Below are the combined numbers from both games.

Points
Denver - 48
San Diego - 47

First Downs
Denver - 41
San Diego - 44

Total Yards
Denver - 113 plays, 692 yards (6.12 ypp)
San Diego - 134 plays, 666 yards (4.97 ypp)

Rushing
Denver - 33-for-102 yards (3.1 ypc)
San Diego - Read more



Tags: NFL San Diego Chargers Denver Broncos Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Divisional Round Betting Trends

01.06.2014     11:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Couple of betting trends for this weekend's NFL Divisional games. Since 2003, there have been 11 instances of a playoff rematch after a regular season game was decided by 20 points or more. Seattle beat New Orleans 34-7 in Week 13. The team that lost by 20 or more is 4-7 SU and 7-4 ATS in the playoffs. Also note, nine of those 11 games went over the total. We also looked up how playoff teams fared in the second of back-to-back road games. Teams in that spot have gone 14-20 SU but a healthy 20-14 ATS. The Saints, 49ers, and Chargers are in that spot this weekend.




Tags: NFL




Sports Betting Podcast 1-6-2014 with Handicapper Teddy Covers

01.06.2014     09:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his initial thoughts and opinions on this weekend's NFL Divisional games.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Divisional

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Divisional Playoff Betting History 2002-present

01.06.2014     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly
Below are the betting results for the NFL Divisional Playoffs dating back to the 2002-03 season. The results are broken down teams that played the previous week in the Wild Card and teams that had a first round bye. Teams that had a bye went 28-16 SU but only 19-25 ATS. Totals went 23-21 O/U (4-0 O/U last year, 11-1 O/U last three years).

Saturday Matchups - CRIS Current Lines
New Orleans at Seattle -8 O/U 48
Indianapolis at New England -7 O/U 52.5

Sunday Matchups - CRIS Current Lines
San Francisco -2 at Carolina O/U 43
San Diego at Denver -9.5 O/U 54.5

NFL Divisional Playoff Betting History 2002-12
Year
Away (WC)
Home (Bye)
Score
Total
SU
ATS
2012
Baltimore +9.5
Denver
BAL 38, DEN 35 2 OT
Over
WC
WC
2012
Houston
New England -9.5
NE 41, HOU 28
Over
Bye
Bye
2012
Green Bay
San Francisco -3
SF 45, GB 31
Over
Bye
Bye
2012
Seattle +2.5
Atlanta
ATL 30, SEA 28
Over
Bye
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2011
New Orleans
San Francisco +3.5
SF 36, NO 32
Over
Bye
Bye
2011
Denver
New England -14
NE 45, DEN 10
Over
Bye
Bye
2011
Houston +7.5
Baltimore
BAL 20, HOU 13
Under
Bye
WC
2011
NY Giants +8
Green Bay
NYG 37, GB 20
Over
WC
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2010
Baltimore
Pittsburgh -3.5
PIT 31, BAL 24
Over
Bye
Bye
2010
Green Bay +1
Atlanta
GB 48, ATL 21
Over
WC
WC
2010
Seattle
Chicago -10
CHI 35, SEA 24
Over
Bye
Bye
2010
NY Jets +9.5
New England
NYJ 28, NE 21
Over
WC
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2009
Arizona
New Orleans -7
NO 45, ARI 14
Over
Bye
Bye
2009
Baltimore
Indianapolis -6.5
IND 20, BAL 3
Under
Bye
Bye
2009
Dallas
Minnesota -2.5
MIN 34, DAL 3
Under
Bye
Bye
2009
NY Jets +7.5
San Diego
NYJ 17, SD 14
Under
WC
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2008
Baltimore +3
Tennessee
BAL 13, TEN 10
Under
WC
WC
2008
Arizona +10
Carolina
ARI 33, CAR 13
Under
WC
WC
2008
Philadelphia +4
NY Giants
PHI 23, NYG 11
Under
WC
WC
2008
San Diego
Pittsburgh -6.5
PIT 35, SD 24
Over
Bye
Bye
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
Seattle
Green Bay -7.5
GB 42, SD 20
Over
Bye
Bye
2007
Jacksonville +13.5
New England
NE 31, JAX 20
Under
Bye
WC
2007
San Diego +10.5
Indianapolis
SD 28, IND 24
Over
WC
WC
2007
NY Giants +7
Dallas
NYG 21, DAL 17
Under
WC
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2006
Indianapolis +4
Baltimore
IND 15, BAL 6
Under
WC
WC
2006
Philadelphia +5.5
New Orleans
NO 27, PHI 24
Over
Bye
WC
2006
Seattle +9.5
Chicago
CHI 27, SEA 24
Over
Bye
WC
2006
New England +5
San Diego
NE 24, SD 21
Under
WC
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2005
Carolina +2.5
Chicago
CAR 29, CHI 21
Over
WC
WC
2005
Washington
Seattle -9.5
SEA 20, WAS 10
Under
Bye
Bye
2005
Pittsburgh +10
Indianapolis
PIT 21, IND 18
Under
WC
WC
2005
New England
Denver -3
DEN 27, NE 13
Under
Bye
Bye
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2004
Indianapolis
New England pk
NE 20, IND 3
Under
Bye
Bye
2004
NY Jets +9.5
Pittsburgh
PIT 20, NYJ 17
Over
Bye
WC
2004
St. Louis
Atlanta -7
ATL 47, STL 17
Over
Bye
Bye
2004
Minnesota
Philadelphia -7.5
PHI 27, MIN 14
Under
Bye
Bye
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2003
Carolina +7
St. Louis
CAR 29, STL 23
Over
WC
WC
2003
Green Bay +4.5
Philadelphia
PHI 20, GB 17
Under
Bye
WC
2003
Indianapolis +3
Kansas City
IND 38, KC 31
Over
WC
WC
2003
Tennessee +6.5
New England
NE 17, TEN 14
Under
Bye
WC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2002
Pittsburgh +5
Tennessee
TEN 34, PIT 31
Over
Bye
WC
2002
NY Jets
Oakland -5.5
OAK 30, NYJ 10
Under
Bye
Bye
2002
San Francisco
Tampa Bay -6.5
TB 31, SF 6
Under
Bye
Bye
2002
Atlanta
Philadelphia -7.5
PHI 20, ATL 6
Under
Bye
Bye





Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Early line moves for Divisional Round

01.06.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Next week's NFL Divisional Round playoff matchups are set and lines have been posted both offshore and in Las Vegas. So far we haven’t seen a significant amount of market activity. There was/is some differing opinion on the Colts-Patriots game with LVH opening NE -9 and most of Las Vegas currently -7.5. Offshore, most shops have NE -7 with juice. A few (CRIS, Heritage) are offering 7 -110 on both sides.

New Orleans at Seattle
Saturday, 1:35 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener: Seattle -8 O/U 48
CRIS Current: Seattle -8 O/U 48
LVH Opener: Seattle -7.5 O/U 48
LVH Current: Seattle -8 O/U 47.5



Indianapolis at New England
Saturday, 5:15 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: New England -7 O/U 52.5
CRIS Current: New England -7 O/U 52.5
LVH Opener: New England Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Recap: Teams with better strength of schedule sweep Wild Card Round

01.06.2014     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Taking a look back at our NFL Wild Card Round Strength of schedule betting trend. From a straight up perspective, this year's SOS teams swept the board with Indianapolis, New Orleans, San Diego, and San Francisco all winning outright. Against the spread, the results vary. The Chargers and Saints were easy covers no matter what number you bet. The Colts won by 1 and spent much of the week as 2.5-point favorites before a flood of Chiefs money came in game day and made KC a 2.5-point favorite before closing -2/-1.5. San Francisco opened -2.5 and slowly trickled up to -3 before steam pushed it up to as high as -3.5 at a few shops (Grande, 5Dimes) whereas other shops held on to -3 with heavy juice. The game of course landed three with the 49ers prevailing 23-20. In the end if you grade the games using early week numbers it comes out to 3-1 ATS. That pushes the SOS trend 36-12 SU and 35-13 ATS since 2002. And if you grade Indy as an underdog, teams catching points with better SOS are now 14-8 SU and 17-5 ATS.




Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Wild Card Round Betting Recap

01.06.2014     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of the NFL Wild Card Round for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Indianapolis (+1.5) 45, Kansas City 44

New Orleans (+3) 26, at Philadelphia 24

San Diego (+6.5) 27 at Cincinnati 10

San Francisco 23 at Green Bay (+3.5) 20




Tags: NFL Stat Intellingence




NFL Betting News: Seattle and Denver co-Super Bowl XLVIII favorites

01.03.2014     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Quick look at Pinnacle's current NFL Futures market...

To Win Super Bowl XLVIII
Seattle +244
Denver +263
New England +782
Carolina +872
San Francisco +906
Philadelphia +1460
Cincinnati +1552
Green Bay +1750
New Orleans +1999
Indianapolis +2612
Kansas City +2613
San Diego +3107

To Win NFC
Seattle -118
Carolina +497
San Francisco +619
Green Bay +1042
Philadelphia +1100
New Orleans +1440

To Win AFC
Denver -142
New England +281
Cincinnati +733
Kansas City +1408
Indianapolis +1556
San Diego +1817




Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Denver Broncos Super Bowl XLVIII



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