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October

25

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NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 8

10.25.2013     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are per-game averages on offense and defense for Drive Points to this point in the NFL season. If you’re new to the site, these are points scored and allowed only on drives of 60 yards or more as listed in boxscores that itemize scoring drives. We don’t count special teams or defensive points. We don’t count relatively cheap field position points that come off turnovers or long kick returns. The goal is to determine which offenses are best and worst at driving the field…and which defenses are best and worst and preventing opponents from doing so.

I’ll run the numbers in market order because most of you reading this are thinking in those terms. It is possible to use the differentials in the same way you would use Power Ratings. If one team is +6.0 or so, and their opponent is near even…that would suggest the first team is about six points better on a neutral field. Best to use those for general assessments rather than something you try to Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos

10.24.2013     12:24 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Denver
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -12 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Denver -11.5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -12
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

As the Broncos continue to show the betting public that you can mechanically play over in every one of their games, oddsmakers don’t seem to be posting a price tag high enough to deter that. This week, the Washington-Denver total was opened too low according to the early money and it’s been pushed from 55 all the way to the key number of 58 and in some shops, beyond. It’s important to note that on all occasions this season, Denver has had an opponent with at least one attribute which helped greatly in producing final scores totaling 58 or higher in six of seven contests. This week is no different as Washington rolls into Sports Authority Field at Mile High with a sieve of a defense (389.0 ypg, 30.7 ppg) and an offense Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos Rob Veno




NFL Gambling News: Cleveland Browns ditch Weeden for Campbell

10.23.2013     12:32 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland at Kansas City -7.5 O/U 39.5

It’s hard to survive as a quarterback in the NFL completing only 52.8 percent of your passes. The Cleveland Browns are finally going to sit Brandon Weeden and give Jason Campbell a shot as the team heads to Kansas City on Sunday. It won’t take much for Campbell to outperform Weeden but on the road against a stout KC defense is far from ideal.


"It's not about one person. I know everyone wanted to say it's about Brandon. But it really wasn't about one person," Campbell said Wednesday. "We all as a collective group have to do a better job play in and play out.

"One thing that I could do is try to be a leader. At the same time try to do my job to the best of my abilities. Not try to do anything to the extreme. Try to stay within the game and find your Read more



Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns Kansas City Chiefs




NFL Handicapping: Vikings may go with Ponder vs. Packers

10.23.2013     12:21 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Green Bay -8.5 at Minnesota O/U 47.5

The Josh Freeman experiment failed badly last week against the Giants and while the Vikings were ready to give him a second chance, the decision may be out their hands with Freeman currently dealing with a concussion. If he is unable to play, get ready for a little dose of Christian Ponder.


"Looking at the history of guys who have concussions on a short week that are able to at least get cleared for Sundays, we'll have to proceed as if [Freeman]'s not going to make it," Frazier said Wednesday.

"It's important," Frazier said. "That quarterback position, you want to know who's going to be lining up, week-in and week-out. But that's the circumstance where we are, and Christian will do a good job for us on Sunday night."





Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings Green Bay Packers




NFL Gambling Preview: Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots

10.23.2013     12:14 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Miami at New England
Sunday, 10 am PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
New England -7 (+101) O/U 45.5
CRIS Current: New England -6.5 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New England -7
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Miami

The New England Patriots are a very different team now compared to where they were a month ago.  The biggest difference between the Pats now and when they started the season 4-0 is a barrage of injuries on the defensive side of the football.  After four weeks of play, the Patriots D looked like an elite level unit; ranked among the league leaders in nearly every significant statistical category.  But they’ve been torched by the Jets and Saints for 57 points and more than 750 yards in their last two ballgames.

Perennial pro bowl defensive tackle Vince Wilfork tore his Achilles; out for the year.  His counterpart at defensive tackle, veteran Tommy Kelly hasn’t been able to suit Read more


Tags: NFL Miami Dolphins New England Patriots Teddy Covers




NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 7

10.23.2013     08:28 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I decided to switch things up with my weekly NFL News and Notes article this week by focusing on the obscene amount of key injuries. Sunday had to be close to a record number of injuries for one day’s worth of football and many of them are significant so I’m going to mention several of them and the impact they could have…

Chicago Bears
The Bears are dealing with a pair of key injuries suffered last week. Quarterback Jay Cutler went down with a torn groin muscle which will put him out of action for 4-6 weeks and linebacker Lance Briggs will miss approximately the same amount of time with a small fracture in his left shoulder. Most people will automatically look at Cutler’s absence being more significant but the loss of Briggs is undoubtedly an impact injury. Chicago’s defense has been sliced and diced whenever they aren’t forcing turnovers. Teams have been moving the football up and down against the Bears and putting up points with regularity. Briggs was one of the few players that had a positive impact throughout the season. He had eight tackles, one tackle for loss, and two passes defended against Washington Read more


Tags: NFL. Chicago Bears St. Louis Rams Cincinnati Bengals Houston Texans Indianapolis Colts Ian Cameron




NFL Handicapping: CRIS vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 8

10.23.2013     08:13 AM     Printer Friendly
Back in early May, Cantor Gaming posted lines on every NFL regular season game. We took those lines and stacked them up against the current market numbers at CRIS. It's a good handicapping tool to identify some of the changes in opinion the market has had through the first seven weeks of the regular season.

2013 NFL CRIS Lines vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 8
Away
Home
Cantor
CRIS Current
Carolina
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay -1.5
Carolina -5.5
San Francisco
Jacksonville (London)
San Francisco -10.5
San Francisco -16
Dallas
Detroit
Detroit -1
Detroit -3 (-115)
NY Giants
Philadellphia
Philadelphia pk
Philadelphia -5.5
Cleveland
Kansas City
Kansas City -2.5
Kansas City -8 (ev)
Buffalo
New Orleans
New Orleans -6.5
New Orleans -11
Miami
New England
New England -7
New England -6.5
NY Jets
Cincinnati
Cincinnati -4.5
Cincinnati -6.5
Pittsburgh
Oakland
Pittsburgh -4.5
Pittsburgh -2.5
Washington
Denver
Denver -6
Denver -12
Atlanta
Arizona
Atlanta -4
Arizona -3 (+105)
Green Bay
Minnesota
Green Bay -1
Green Bay -9.5
Seattle
St. Louis
Seattle -4
Seattle -10.5




Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Ravens tried to open up offense vs. Steelers

10.22.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Desperate to get their run game going, the Baltimore Ravens tried to spread things out during last week's game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Joe Flacco worked out of the shotgun and ran the no-huddle for a majority of the game. The change didn't do much as the Ravens finished with 287 totals yards and 82 yards on the ground (3.2 ypc). They were fairly efficient in between the 20-yard lines but settled for four field goals. Baltimore is on a bye and plays host to Cincinnati the following Sunday.


“We wanted to do a little of that and see if we could keep them on the field and run them around a little bit,” Flacco said.

“We wanted to see if we could run the ball still with some good looks rather than just sticking it up in there,” Flacco said. “We wanted to see if we could get ourselves some advantageous looks to run against. I thought we moved the ball pretty well.”






Tags: NFL Balimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers Cincinnati Bengals




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Giants win in a snoozer over Vikings

10.22.2013     05:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

My apologies to Indianapolis and San Diego. Last week I made a crack about how boring their Monday Night game was. We now have a new definition for awfulness on a Monday…probably the modern-day poster child considering the incompetence on both sides of the ball.

You know…sometimes incompetence can be entertaining. Seems like I remember an old Monday Nighter in the Howard Cosell era where bad versions of the NY Giants and the then St. Louis Cardinals were playing a really ugly game. For some reason…it was hysterical! Mishaps, total buffoonery. Tonight was just sad.

*Minnesota’s only touchdown came on a punt return

*Their offense was seemingly on strike because of the goofy QB situation

*Their receivers were justifiably terrified of getting throttled by head-hunting defenders

*The Giants played poorly but coasted to a win anyway

The numbers…

NY Giants 23 (-4), Minnesota 7

Minnesota: Read more


Tags: NFL Minnesota Vikings New York Giants Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: It must be Monday because everyone is betting the favorite and over

10.21.2013     12:15 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Minnesota Vikings and New York Giants courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDE
New York -3-120 (72.7%) vs. Minnesota

TOTAL
New York-Minnesota OVER 48 (78.7%)

MONEYLINE
Minnesota +155 (50.9%) at New York



Tags: NFL New York Giants Minnesota Vikings



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 25, 2014 10:04 PM.