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NFL Gambling News: Bettors react to preseason results

08.26.2013     08:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With each team playing at least three preseason games, we're starting to see movement in the betting markets for Week 1 of the regular season. Let's check out some of the bigger line moves that have taken place over the last few weeks. Lines based on CRIS.

New England at Buffalo - The Patriots opened -6.5 and were bet up to -7. Following injuries to EJ Manuel (probable for Week 1) and Kevin Kolb (out indefinitely) a flood of money came in on New England; now -9.5.

Minnesota at Detroit - The Lions opened -3 way back in late May and were quickly bet up to -3.5 where is stood for most of the summer. The Vikings haven't look very good this preseason (0-3 SU/ATS) and as a result the Lions are now 4.5-point home favorites.

Oakland at Indianapolis - Like Minnesota, Oakland had its struggled this preseason (1-2 SU/ATS). Prior to Week 1 of the preseason the Colts moved from -6.5 to -7. Two weeks later they went to -7.5 and are now -8 (or -9.5-plus money teaser line). 

Houston at San Diego - The Chargers may have won and covered last week's game against Arizona (24-7) but it Read more


Tags: NFL




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Saturday Dress Rehearsals

08.25.2013     07:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Ten games on the Saturday schedule. One is a very late starter that we’ll save until our next report. Grab some popcorn because this one's going to take awhile. Numbers and notes from the first nine Saturday finishers in market rotation order...

(If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15)

Washington 30, Buffalo 7

Total Yardage: Buffalo 155, Washington 452

Passing Stats: Buffalo 12-21-0-63, Washington 18-35-0-244

Turnovers: Buffalo 2, Washington 0

Drive Points: Buffalo 0, Washington 17

Stat Score: Buffalo 15, Washington 29

About as ugly from the Buffalo perspective as it could be…

*Kevin Kolb Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Seattle improves to 3-0 ATS with win at Green Bay

08.24.2013     06:30 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It wasn’t a full dress rehearsal because Green Bay was careful with Aaron Rodgers. It’s like they decided, “Man, Pete Carroll is a MANIAC during preseason games…let’s give Rodgers one series to get points on the board then we’ll call it a night.”

Rodgers played one series…led to team to a field goal…and watched a few more hours of players yelling at each other, pushing, shoving, and drawing penalties. Seattle had 14 penalties for 182 yards. Green Bay had 8 for 69. And, there were several offsetting penalties that didn’t count against either team.

Here are the final numbers…

Seattle 17 (-3), Green Bay 10

Total Yardage: Seattle 362, Green Bay 201

Passing Stats: Seattle 18-28-2-232, Green Bay 18-34-0-126

Turnovers: Seattle 2, Green Bay 2

Drive Points: Seattle 10, Green Bay 7

Stat Score: Seattle 25, Green Bay 12

Quick points:

*Seattle Read more


Tags: NFL Seattle Seahawks Green Bay Packers Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Free Betting Pick: Chicago Bears at Oakland Raiders

08.23.2013     11:02 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago at Oakland +3.5 O/U 38
Recommendation: Oakland


My very first thought process for any preseason football game involves the favorite, particularly favorites of more than a field goal like Chicago is tonight.  Why is the team favored?  Do they deserve to be favored by more than a field goal?  In this instance, my question to myself was are the Bears legitimate favorites this evening?  My answer?  No way!
The Bears offense scored ten points in their preseason opener and struggled throughout trying to move the football in their first game running Marc Trestman/Aaron Kromer’s brand new offense.   Chicago had 16 first downs, 291 total yards on 14 drives, averaging a well-below-average 4.9 yards per play.

Last week, the Bears hung 33 points on the Chargers.  But don’t be fooled by that final score!  The Bears offense was downright lousy again: 185 total yards, only 13 first downs and a lowly 3.4 yards per play Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Oakland Raiders Teddy Covers




NFL Preseason Betting Recap: Patriots, Ravens Stunned to Learn Dress Rehearsals Were Thursday!

08.23.2013     08:12 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It would have been bad enough if crappy teams from last year were playing like this. But, the first team offenses for the two teams who played in the AFC Championship Game last year had absolute debacles playing what was supposed to be “real” football Thursday night.

*The New England Patriots committed FOUR turnovers in the first half, and went 1 of 7 on third downs on their way to a 16-3 halftime deficit in Detroit. The score would have been worse, but the Lions were having their own issues…going 2 of 9 on third downs and missing a field goal try.

*The defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens turned the ball over THREE times in the first half. Two of those were returned for touchdowns. Baltimore’s special teams also allowed a punt return TD to the Carolina Panthers. The halftime score was 24-7, with 21 of Carolina’s points coming on those non-offensive scores.
 
Not a great way for these AFC powers to set the tone for Read more


Tags: NFL Baltimore Ravens New England Patriots Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Gambling: Less PT for Redskins' starters vs. Bills?

08.22.2013     01:26 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo at Washington -1 O/U 41.5

Washington Redskins head coach Mike Shanahan hinting that he may not follow the normal protocol with Saturday's preseason game in terms of playing time for the starters. The Redskins opened -3.5 but were bet down to -1. In other news Robert Griffin practiced against the starters.


“That’s why everybody played in the first half, or the majority of the team played in the first half last week, offensively and defensively,” Shanahan said. “A couple of guys didn’t. I think Pierre [Garcon] and Alfred [Morris] were the only guys that didn’t on offense, and we took out Kirk Read more



Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Buffalo Bills




NFL Preseason Gambling: Atlanta says it's game planning for Tennessee

08.22.2013     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Atlanta at Tennessee -3 O/U 42.5

It sounds like Atlanta is doing a little game planning for Saturday's Week 3 preseason game at Tennessee.


“When you watch them from a schematic stand point, they do things completely different from what we see every day in camp,” Ryan said. “So that will be a good change for us to go against a different scheme as we start to get ready for the regular season.”

“This is the first time that we watch film on the team before we go in and play them,” Ryan said. “I think that will help.”






Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons Tennessee Titans




NFL Handicapping: Defenses That "Force" Sloppiness

08.22.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here now, the companion piece to yesterday’s article on sloppiness. These are the defenses that most (or least) encouraged sloppiness from their opposing offenses last season. The formula in this case is 5 times takeaways…plus the number of opponents’ incomplete passes.

Defenses That Forced Sloppiness in 2012

Chicago 28.9

New England 26.9

Houston 26.1

Washington 24.9

Seattle 24.5

Arizona 23.9

How about Lovie Smith! Give the man credit for coaching defense (and knowing how to exploit poor home turf and bad late season weather!).

Some of what gets credited as “forced sloppiness” by top contenders is simply the fact that opponents are constantly playing catch up. New England’s defense does benefit from panic attacks other teams have in shootouts. The Patriots play much softer vs. quality. They were third worst Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Preseason Betting Update: Bears to spread the wealth vs. Raiders

08.22.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Chicago -3.5 at Oakland O/U 38

Update on Chicago's game plan for tomorrow's game at Oakland. Apparently everyone is making a stink about the Cutler/Marshall lovefest so expect more people to get involved in the offense. The Bears however don't plan on showing much in terms of formations and reportedly put together a "limited game plan."


"I mean you guys are hitting the panic button after two preseason games and 30 plays," Cutler said. "Yeah, we're gonna spread it around. We can't just throw to Brandon and give the ball to [running back] Matt [Forte]. We've got to find ways to get other guys involved."







Read more


Tags: NFL Chicago Bears Oakland Raiders




NFL Preseason Gambling: Colts' starters expected to play at least a half vs. Browns

08.21.2013     11:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cleveland at Indianapolis -2.5 O/U 42.5

According to ESPN, look for Indianapolis' starters to play the entire first half and potentially into the third quarter of Saturday's preseason game against Cleveland.


“Again, depending on how many plays we play will determine how we handle that situation,” coach Chuck Pagano said. “We always take it case-by-base. If we got a veteran guy that is over a number that we’ve deemed from a play count before the half, then we likely get a guy out.”






Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts Cleveland Browns



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 23, 2014 09:22 PM.