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October

31

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NFL Handicapping: SuperContest consensus picks with a chance at winning week

10.28.2013     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It all comes down to tonight – if Seattle covers -10.5 vs. St. Louis it will mark the first winning week of the year for the LVH SuperContest's top 5 consensus picks. Heading into this evening's MNF contest, the overall record stands at 10-28-1 ATS.

OVERALL RESULTS
WEEK 1: 0-4-1
WEEK 2: 2-3
WEEK 3: 0-5
Week 4: 2-3
Week 5: 2-3
Week 6: 1-4
Week 7: 1-4
Week 8: 2-2 (Seattle -10.5 pending)



Tags: NFL




NFL Week 8 Betting Recap

10.28.2013     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Week 8 recap...

If you’re new to the site, “Drive Points” are those scored on drives of 60 yards or more. “Stat Score” is an estimate of what the final score should have been based only on rushing and passing yardage. The formula for that is 2 times rushing yardage…plus passing yardage…times 0.67…divided by 15. Sloppiness is a quickfire stat to measure execution…the formula is 5 times giveaways plus the number of incomplete passes…lower is better because you want to avoid sloppiness.

San Francisco (-16) 42, Jacksonville 10

S. Francisco: 398 yards, 7.2 per-play, 1 turnovers, 67% third downs

Jacksonville: 318 yards, 4.5 per-play, 1 turnovers, 28% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: San Francisco 221, Jacksonville 90

Passing Stats: San Francisco 11-17-0-177, Jacksonville 29-45-0-228

Drive Points: San Francisco 28, Jacksonville 3

Stat Score: San Francisco 28, Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: New York Jets at Cincinnati Bengals

10.27.2013     07:10 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
New York Jets at Cincinnati
Sunday, 1:05 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -7 O/U 40
CRIS Current: Cincinnati -4.5 O/U 41
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Cincinnati -9
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: Cincinnati

The Cincinnati Bengals were impressive last week in their 27-24 win at Detroit.  Off to a 5-2 start, I have to give credit to this team that I’ve doubted at times this season.  This is a well-rounded bunch that ranks 12th in total offense and 9th in total defense. Offensively they’ve found ways to both throw and run the football.  The tight end play continues to be a difference maker, which opens the sidelines for AJ Green.  Andy Dalton is starting to make better decisions with the football, although the Bengals could still be more efficient – 22nd in points scored, but 12th in total yards.  Of course, the offensive line has played sturdy football as well, as left Read more


Tags: NFL New York Jets Cincinnati Bengals Erin Rynning




Football Handicapping: MAC Totals, SMU, and NFL Correlated Parlays

10.25.2013     12:26 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Is there any bet in college football right now that is more of a “no brainer” than playing Mid-American Conference games under the total? There have been 22 MAC league games played heading into Saturday’s slate and the under has gone 17-5 for a winning percentage of 77.2%. The only team in this conference that has recorded more over results than under is Eastern Michigan whose horrendous defense (49.7 points allowed vs. MAC) has led them to a 3-0 O/U mark in league play. Akron, Central Michigan, Massachusetts, Miami (Ohio) and Northern Illinois all have yet to record a conference game over the total.

SMU has certainly had their troubles this season. They’re mostly beaten up by detractors for being a poor team but from a totals perspective right now, you have to love them. The staff of offensive “evil geniuses” that has been assembled in Dallas has given “over” backers the gift of five winning tickets in six tries and they are just beginning to hit stride. After struggling behind QB Garrett Gilbert for the majority of their first four games, the “Air Raid/Run & Shoot” combo scheme has cranked out 86 points and Read more


Tags: College Football NFL MAC SMU Mustangs Rob Veno




NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions

10.25.2013     12:20 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Dallas at Detroit
Sunday, 10 am PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Detroit -3 O/U 51
CRIS Current: Detroit -3 O/U 50.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Detroit -1.5
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Detroit

A pair of NFC contenders will collide Sunday at Ford Field in Detroit, where the Lions will take on Dallas on FOX. Most betting shops have installed Detroit (4-3 straight up, 4-3 against the spread) as a three-point favorite (with a -120 price tag) with a total of 51.

Gamblers can take the Cowboys on the money line for a +145 payout (risk $100 to win $145). For first-half wagers, the Lions are favored by -1.5/-2 with a total of 26.

Dallas (4-3 SU, 6-1 ATS) has won back-to-back games, including its first road win. After smashing Washington 31-16 two weeks ago, the Cowboys won 17-3 at Philadelphia as three-point road underdogs.

The Dallas defense knocked Nick Foles out of the game with a concussion and then Read more


Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys Detroit Lions Brian Edwards




NFL Betting Consensus: Redskins-Broncos OVER most popular play for Week 8

10.25.2013     12:12 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for Week 8 of the NFL courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDES
New Orleans -10.5 (85.9%) vs. Buffalo
Green Bay -8 (85.1%) at Minnesota
Kansas City -8 (80.3%) vs. Cleveland

TOTALS
Washington at Denver OVER 57.5 (96.9%)
Dallas at Detroit OVER 50.5 (96.0%)
San Francisco at Jacksonville OVER 40 (83.6%)

MONEYLINE
Atlanta +120 (79.6%) at Arizona
Green Bay -400 (79.2%) at Minnesota
Dallas +135 (76.1%) at Detroit



Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos




NFL Betting Podcast 10-25-2013 with Handicappers Brent Crow and Erin Rynning

10.25.2013     10:45 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured NFL Week 8 Every Game on the Board coverage. Brent Crow and Erin Rynning joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Erin Rynning - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: NFL Brent Crow Erin Rynning




NFL Handicapping: Pace Factor Averages Week 8

10.25.2013     06:50 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Won’t have time to update these every single week. Will aim for every other week. I think most teams settled into their preferred styles pretty quickly.

If this is your first visit, we’re trying to paint the picture of pace styles by counting up total plays, penalties, punts, and field goal attempts per game…then tabulating team-by-team averages for the games that they play. This approach has confirmed what everyone had been assuming about up-tempo teams. Philadelphia is up near the top with their “Oregon” approach. Buffalo also brought in a college head coach and talked about playing at a fast pace. New England tends to play very fast unless it’s late in a game and they’re sitting on a lead. Those guys are in your top three. Cleveland told everyone in the offseason they would be emphasizing pace. They’re fourth.

To the degree we’ve been able to find something new and interesting…it’s down at the bottom. I Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 8

10.25.2013     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are per-game averages on offense and defense for Drive Points to this point in the NFL season. If you’re new to the site, these are points scored and allowed only on drives of 60 yards or more as listed in boxscores that itemize scoring drives. We don’t count special teams or defensive points. We don’t count relatively cheap field position points that come off turnovers or long kick returns. The goal is to determine which offenses are best and worst at driving the field…and which defenses are best and worst and preventing opponents from doing so.

I’ll run the numbers in market order because most of you reading this are thinking in those terms. It is possible to use the differentials in the same way you would use Power Ratings. If one team is +6.0 or so, and their opponent is near even…that would suggest the first team is about six points better on a neutral field. Best to use those for general assessments rather than something you try to Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Gambling Preview: Washington Redskins at Denver Broncos

10.24.2013     12:24 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Denver
Sunday, 1:25 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Denver -12 O/U 55
CRIS Current: Denver -11.5 O/U 57.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Denver -12
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Over

As the Broncos continue to show the betting public that you can mechanically play over in every one of their games, oddsmakers don’t seem to be posting a price tag high enough to deter that. This week, the Washington-Denver total was opened too low according to the early money and it’s been pushed from 55 all the way to the key number of 58 and in some shops, beyond. It’s important to note that on all occasions this season, Denver has had an opponent with at least one attribute which helped greatly in producing final scores totaling 58 or higher in six of seven contests. This week is no different as Washington rolls into Sports Authority Field at Mile High with a sieve of a defense (389.0 ypg, 30.7 ppg) and an offense Read more


Tags: NFL Washington Redskins Denver Broncos Rob Veno



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 31, 2014 11:04 PM.