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Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers' AFC West Gambling Preview
08.09.2012 10:55 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Denver Broncos
Last year, in John Fox’s first season at the helm in Denver, the Broncos got hot down the stretch, in large part due to some Tim Tebow magic, and won the division with an 8-8 record (7-9 ATS, 9-7 to the Over). They faced a schedule that was right around the league average in terms of toughness, yet were outgained by 0.4 yards per play while finishing -12 in turnovers.
2012 Issues:
Fox returns as the head coach, as does offensive coordinator Mike McCoy, but the Broncos have a new defensive coordinator; former Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio. Del Rio served at the same position under Fox in Carolina prior to his ascension in Jacksonville.
But nobody in Denver is talking about the coaching staff – they’re talking about Peyton Manning. Manning is 36 years old, coming off a lost season and four neck surgeries. He’ll be throwing to a largely unproven group of receivers – no WR on the squad has more than 124 career catches. And Denver doesn’t have much of a Plan B if Manning doesn’t work out – backup Caleb Hanie was nothing short of a
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Denver Broncos
Oakland Raiders
San Diego Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs
Teddy Covers
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NFL Preseason Betting Pick: Green Bay Packers at San Diego Chargers
08.09.2012 10:00 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
Green Bay
at
San Diego
-2.5 O/U 37.5
Recommendation: Under
Sure, in the regular season, these two offenses would likely be more than capable of lighting up the scoreboard. But here in the preseason, there’s absolutely no reason to expect a high octane shootout.
Green Bay’s defense was nothing short of awful last year, struggling to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks and come up with key third down stops on defense. In fact, the Packers ranked dead last defensively in the NFL, allowing a league high 299.8 passing yards per game and a league high 411.6 total yards per game. What do you think the Packers spent the offseason and training camp concentrating on?
The Chargers, too, were a defensive sieve a year ago, allowing an NFL worst 49% third down conversions. They’ve got a new defensive coordinator and a stop unit with something to prove right from the get-go this August.
Both teams have much weaker QB rotations this year than in
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Green Bay Packers
San Diego Chargers
Teddy Covers
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Teddy Covers breaks down Thursday's NFL Preseason on the Sportsmemo Podcast
08.09.2012 09:21 AM
Teddy Covers
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers
The NFL Preseason features six games on tap for Thursday. Handicapper Teddy Covers analyzed them all from a betting perspective on today's Podcast.
Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Preseason Thursday
To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our
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NFL Preseason Betting: Eagles expected to play four quarterbacks vs. Steelers
08.09.2012 07:46 AM
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Pittsburgh
at
Philadelphia
-1 O/U 35
Philadelphia's
gameplan
looks to be Michael Vick and the starters for the first quarter followed by Mike Kafka and the second unit. In the second half, expect to see rookie Nick Foles and Trent Edwards. Note that the Steelers will be
testing out the waters
under new offensive coordinator Todd Haley as well as starting two rookie offensive linemen. Reports indicate that backup Jerrod Johnson will get an extended look in the second half.
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Philadelphia Eagles
Pittsburgh Steelers
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NFL Preseason Gambling: Falcons focused on themselves, not Ravens
08.09.2012 07:34 AM
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Baltimore
at
Atlanta
-1.5 O/U 34
Nothing out of the ordinary for Week 1 of the preseason but the Atlanta Falcons don't appear
very focused
on the Baltimore Ravens.
“Philosophically, we just felt like we need to evaluate guys in this first preseason game,” Smith said. “Go back to the first year we were here, we were working to try and figure out who was going to be on our 53-man roster.”
“All of this stuff is good in terms of practice,” Smith said Tuesday. “We’re going to get to see how these guys perform under the lights.”
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Atlanta Falcons
Baltimore Ravens
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NFL Preseason Betting: Manning makes debut for Denver Broncos
08.09.2012 06:02 AM
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Denver
at
Chicago
-3 O/U 34.5
Good
preview
of tonight's Denver at Chicago preseason opener.
“It’s serious business out there on Thursday,” Peyton Manning said. “There’s jobs being competed for, there’s jobs that people are trying to keep. That’s where all of us have something to play for. Sure, you want to win the game, but everybody’s competing, trying to do their jobs well.”
“You don’t play the game to hurt anyone, but it’s a physical game,” Bears coach Lovie Smith said. “Our pass rushers want to get to the quarterback, whoever he is.”
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Denver Broncos
Chicago Bears
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NFL Preseason Betting Trends for teams who played in the Hall of Fame game
08.08.2012 02:20 PM
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A quick look of how teams who played in the Hall of Fame game fared the next time out – obviously facing squads that had yet to play. The results both straight up and against the spread appear pretty random. Totals however trended UNDER at 3-7 O/U. Note that last year's HOF game was canceled due to the lockout. *Indicate winning team (SU).
NFL Preseason Hall of Fame Betting Trend
Year
Team
2nd game
SU
ATS
O/U
2012
New Orleans*
at New England
???
???
???
2012
Arizona
at Kansas City
???
???
???
2010
Dallas*
vs. Oakland
Loss
Loss
Under
2010
Cincinnati
vs. Denver
Win
Win
Over
2009
Tennessee*
at Pittsburgh
Loss
Win
Under
2009
Buffalo
vs. Chicago
Loss
Push
Over
2008
Washington*
vs. Buffalo
Win
Loss
Under
2008
Indianapolis
at Carolina
Loss
Win
Over
2007
Pittsburgh*
vs. Green Bay
Loss
Loss
Under
2007
New Orleans
vs. Buffalo
Loss
Loss
Under
2006
Oakland*
vs. Cleveland
Win
Win
Under
2006
Philadelphia
at Minnesota
Win
Win
Under
Results
4-6
5-4-1
3-7
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NFL Preseason Betting: New York Jets may give first-team offense extended look
08.08.2012 11:23 AM
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NY Jets at Cincinnati -1.5 O/U 34
The New York Jets will
play their starters about a quarter
during Friday's preseason opener at Cincinnati. The second-team is expected to play a half. Rex Ryan did hint that the first-team offense may get more playing time as they adjust to Tony Sparano’s offense. Tim Tebow will play a half but is unlikely to see work with the starters.
"It’s a new offense, and I think everyone needs reps," Ryan said. "That’s why, will we extend the first offense more than a quarter? We’ll see."
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New York Jets
Cincinnati Bengals
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NFL Preseason Handicapping: Jacksonville OC says passing game in weak
08.08.2012 08:53 AM
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NY Giants at Jacksonville -1.5 O/U 35
Jacksonville Jaguars offensive coordinator Bob Bratkowski provides an honest report of the current state of the
team's passing game
.
“There’s no doubt — our passing game right now is not very good,” Jaguars offensive coordinator Bob Bratkowski said Monday. “It starts with the protection, drops, running routes properly. When you stand on the sidelines, a lot of times it looks like the quarterback, but I’ll be honest with you: In many cases, the quarterback’s getting fooled, or he’s under pressure and having to make decisions faster than you want him to make. But we’ve got time. That’s why we’re practicing. It’s a work in progress.”
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Jacksonville Jaguars
New York Giants
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NFL Preseason Gambling: Baltimore starters slated to play about a quarter
08.08.2012 08:04 AM
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Baltimore
at
Atlanta
-1.5 O/U 34
Baltimore's John Harbaugh said that the starters
won't play more than a quarter
during Thursday's preseason opener at Atlanta.
“It will be a standard first preseason game concept, so we’ll be looking at anywhere from a certain set number of plays to about a quarter, maybe a quarter-plus for some of the starters,” Harbaugh said. “Some guys won’t play at all. Some of the more senior veteran guys won’t play at all by design.”
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Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons
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