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April

22

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NFL Gambling News: To some, staying in Bay Area makes more sense for Oakland Raiders

05.25.2016     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
While most of the attention on the Raiders' potential move to Las Vegas is centered around gambling, there are a few folks who are questioning whether or not the location is viable. The Bay Area has nearly 8 million people whereas Las Vegas has less than a million.


"That's why we're doing studies on that now to determine whether it's viable," Davis said. "We're not looking to make this something where the fans fly in on weekends for games. For the first year, it would probably be like that, but we want to have a local fan base. That's important to us."

"If you look at demographics around the league, over the next 10 years, the East Bay/San Francisco/San Jose area will grow more than any other NFL market. I

Read more



Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to Handicap NFL Season Over/Under Wins Part II

05.09.2016     10:47 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week, I wrote about how taking a look back at EXACTLY what happened throughout the course of the 2015 season can help bettors create more accurate opening power ratings for the 32 NFL teams for the upcoming 2016 campaign.  Instead of looking at aggregate numbers compiled at the end of the season, my methodology here is to track strength of schedule based on power ratings on the week the games were played. 

Taking the time to do that accurately gives bettors a much better idea of how a team came to accumulate their final record.  Did they underachieve because their schedule was tougher than it looked?  The Giants and Cowboys stood out here.  Did they overachieve because their schedule was weaker than it looked?  The Cardinals and the Jets stood out in that regard.

Once last year’s numbers are compiled and filed, it’s time to do the same thing for the upcoming campaign – creating more accurate numbers than you can commonly Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to Handicap NFL Season Over/Under Wins Part I

05.02.2016     10:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Over the past decade, the NFL betting marketplace has evolved into a year round process. The very first Super Bowl odds for 2017 came out before the Broncos beat the Panthers in the Super Bowl this past February.  CG Technology posted lines for every NFL game through the first 16 weeks of the season prior to the draft.  Week 1 regular season lines are widely available right now.  And the NFL Season Win Total marketplace, while still a long way from maturity, has seen a handful of key shops, like the Westgate Superbook, post virgin numbers in recent days.

My process for handicapping the upcoming NFL season begins immediately after the draft.  This is the time of year to focus on those aforementioned season win totals.  My NFL prep work begins each spring with a thorough look back at last year’s results.

Why look back, you ask?  The answer, of course, is simple – because that’s where I find my very first edges when approaching the upcoming season.  If my base power rating heading into the offseason wasn’t wholly accurate, it results in inaccurate adjustments moving forward.  Part 1 of my process begins Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling News: Oakland Raiders to Las Vegas has financial backing

04.29.2016     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So, this Oakland to Las Vegas thing has legs. Raiders owner Mark Davis is willing to pony up a half billion dollars to make it happen. And Roger Goodell is apparently leaving the decision in the hands of the owners.


"All of us have evolved a little bit on gambling. To me, where I cross the line is anything that can impact on the integrity of the game. If people think it is something that can influence the outcome of a game, we are absolutely opposed to that."

The NFL has long shunned Las Vegas, refusing its TV ads and telling players not to make appearances at casinos. But Davis said he believes owners will approve the move if the stadium is built.

“If we give them an offer they can’t refuse and that’s what we’re talking about now, I don’t see a problem,” Davis said.






Tags: NFL Oakland Raiders Las Vegas




NFL Gambling: Prop bets galore for tonight's draft

04.28.2016     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NFL Draft begins tonight at 5 pm PT on ESPN. That means a number of sportsbooks will be offering prop bets on the outcomes. Below are a few options currently being offered at 5Dimes.

QBs in Round 1
2.5 Over -3000
2.5 Under +1300

RBs & WRs in Round 1
5.5 Over +4.5
5.5 Under -750

Offensive Players in Round 1
13.5 over +115
13.5 under -155

Defensive Players in Round 1
17.5 Over -170
17.5 under +130

Ohio State Players Drafted
13.5 Over -115
13.5 Under -125

SEC Players in Round 1
8.5 Over -190
8.5 Under +150

Mr. Irrelevant (last player drafted)
Offensive Player -110
Defensive Player -110




Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Sportsbook adjusts odds following Brady suspension

04.26.2016     08:33 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Sportsbooks have reacted to the news of Tom Brady's four-game suspension. New England is still priced among the favorites to win Super Bowl LI but Week 1's game at Arizona went from a pick 'em to +4.5 at CG Technology. Following Week 1, the Patriots play three consecutive home games (vs. Miami, vs. Houston, and vs. Buffalo) and are projected to be -3 favorites or higher in all three sans Brady.




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: The Secret Truth About the NFL

04.25.2016     08:25 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everybody is talking about quarterbacks, with the NFL draft upcoming, starting on Thursday.  In recent weeks, both the St Louis Rams and the Philadelphia Eagles paid a steep price to move up to #1 and #2. The expectations are that California's Jared Goff and North Dakota State's Carson Wentz will go with the top two picks, although their draft order is still up in the air. 

If things go well with those two picks, the Rams and Eagles will be set up for the long term with above average quarterbacks.  If things go poorly with those two picks, the Rams and Eagles will be steady, consistent losers until the next time they draft a QB in the first round.  In fact, that’s exactly where the Rams have just been since they picked Sam Bradford #1 overall back in 2010.

The advanced metric pundits are all screaming bad deal for the two teams that traded up, and great deal for the two teams that traded down (Tennessee and Cleveland).  And the history of QB’s going #1 and #2 in the draft hasn’t seen two above average quarterbacks in those spots since 1971. 

Here’s the list:
2015- Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Gambling Update: Tony Romo goes after NFL

02.25.2016     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Dallas quarterback Tony Romo is suing the NFL for $1 million over last year's canceled Fantasy Football event that was slated to be held at Las Vegas' Sands Expo. They perhaps picked up a little ammo with Rob Gronkowski recently hosting a cruise that reportedly offered gambling.


“We hope to find out from the very person solely in charge of enforcing the gambling policy,” said lawyer Michael Hurst, who along with Julie Pettit, is representing the NFFC. “We want to know what his position is and why the NFL has taken inconsistent positions in the past.”







NFL gets pissy over Fantasy Football convention in Las Vegas

06.10.2015     08:29 AM     Read more



Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys




NFL Gambling: CG Technology releases 2016-17 Season O/U Wins

02.25.2016     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
Never too early for NFL Regular Season Over/Under Wins. We spotted CG Technology's numbers that will reportedly be offered to the public ($500 limit) starting today.

2016-17 NFL Regular Season O/U Wins - CG Technology
Team
2015-16 Record
2016-17 O/U Wins
Difference
Arizona
13-3
9.5ov-120
-3.5
Atlanta
8-8
7
-1
Baltimore
5-11
7.5un-125
+2.5
Buffalo
8-8
8
--
Carolina
15-1
10.5un-130
-4.5
Chicago
6-10
6.5ov-120
+0.5
Cincinnati
12-4
9.5
-2.5
Cleveland
3-13
4.5ov-130
+1.5
Dallas
4-12
9un-125
+5
Denver
12-4
9.5un-120
-2.5
Detroit
7-9
7
--
Green Bay
10-6
10.5
+0.5
Houston
9-7
8un-130
-1
Indianapolis
8-8
8.5ov-130
+0.5
Jacksonville
5-11
6ov-130
+1
Kansas City
11-5
9
-2
Miami
6-10
7un-125
+1
Minnesota
11-5
9ov-120
-2
New England
12-4
10.5ov-120
-1.5
New Orleans
7-9
7un-130
--
NY Giants
6-10
7.5ov-130
+1.5
NY Jets
10-6
8ov-125
-2
Oakland
7-9
7.5ov-135
+0.5
Philadelphia
7-9
7.5
+0.5
Pittsburgh
10-6
10.5un-120
+0.5
San Diego
4-12
7un-120
+3
San Francisco
5-11
5ov-120
--
Seattle
10-6
10.5ov-125
+0.5
St. Louis (now LA)
7-9
7ov-130
--
Tampa Bay
6-10
6.5un-125
+0.5
Tennessee
3-13
5.5ov-130
+2.5
Washington
9-7
7.5un-120
-1.5





Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: An early look at 2016-17 strength of schedule

02.15.2016     09:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We assume you've recovered from your Super Bowl 50 hangover which means it's time to check out next season's strength of schedule numbers. The league's schedule partners are set, the only thing lacking is the order and dates of games.




Tags: NFL



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