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NFL Handicapping: New England preps for Carolina's Cam Newton

11.14.2013     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
New England at Carolina -2.5 O/U 45.5

Good article on New England's preperation for mobile quarterbacks. The Patriots take on Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers on Monday Night Football. 

"I do [like practicing against Tebow]," Wilfork said. "There might be some times this year that we have to face a quarterback like that. He brings a whole different aspect to the game for us, being able to play against a guy who can run that type of offense is a plus for this team. Not just Tim being here, but it's a plus for this defense because we have to be able to stop some teams that come out and do that to us."

We knew coming into the season this was going to be an area we needed to make sure that we had enough defense for and we spent enough time so our players understood their different responsibilities with this type of

Read more

Tags: NFL New England Patriots Carolina Panthers

NFL Betting News and Notes - Week 10

11.13.2013     08:27 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
The red hot Carolina Panthers
The Carolina Panthers are the hottest team in the NFL both SU and ATS following their 10-9 victory as 6-point underdogs at San Francisco. Carolina is on a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS roll with wins over Minnesota, St. Louis, Tampa Bay, Atlanta and the 49ers. As a result oddsmakers and the betting markets have been forced to adjust as we see the Panthers favored by -2.5 (with juice) for Monday night’s game against New England. Note that Carolina was a small home underdog to the New York Giants back in Week 3 prior to the start of their winning streak. And when Cantor Gaming released its summer lines, the Patriots (who come in off of a bye) were field goal chalk.

The Denver Broncos Over train finally stops chugging
One of the strongest betting trends of the season finally saw its unblemished streak come to an end as Denver’s 28-20 win over San Diego last week fell 10 points short of the closing line.  The thing that stuck out to me in that contest was the fair amount of improvement from Denver’s defense. The Broncos held the Chargers to just 329 total yards which is well under their Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers New England Patriots Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs Ian Cameron

Bettors claims to have made five-figure (losing) NFL parlay wager

11.13.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
You'll get a kick out of this one even though there is a 99.9% chance it’s a hoax. On the 49ers' Reddit page a user claimed to have he bet his life savings ($65K) on a two-team parlay last week – Cincinnati -1 and San Francisco -6 (both plays obviously lost). The bet was allegedly made at Bovada which almost assuredly doesn't take five-figure NFL parlays. Maybe one of our blog readers who has an account there can verify if A., the open bet screen of our parlay bettor is accurate and B., what Bovada's two-team parlay limits are going for these days.  Thanks in advance.

Tags: NFL

NFL Handicapping: CRIS vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 11

11.12.2013     12:39 PM     Printer Friendly
Back in early May, Cantor Gaming posted lines on every NFL regular season game. We took those lines and stacked them up against the current market numbers at CRIS. It's a good handicapping tool to identify some of the changes in opinion the market has had through the first 10 weeks of the regular season.

2013 NFL CRIS Lines vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 11
CRIS Current
Indianapolis -1
Indianapolis -3 (ev)
Tampa Bay
Atlanta -1
NY Jets
Buffalo -1.5
Buffalo -1.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
Detroit -1.5
Philadelphia pk
Philadelphia -3.5
San Diego
Miami -3
Chicago pk
Chicago -3
Cincinnati -6
Cincinnati -5.5
Houston -7.5
Houston -7 (-121)
Jacksonville pk
Arizona -6.5 (-115)
Kansas City
Denver -7.5
Denver -8
Seattle -6
Seattle -13.5
Green Bay
NY Giants
NY Giants pk
NY Giants -6
New England
New England -3
Carolina -2.5

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling Trends: Andy Reid has been ATS gold following a bye week

11.12.2013     12:11 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Marty Otto passed along a noteworthy NFL trend of Andy Reid coached teams off a bye week. Obviously the body work includes Reid's tenure with the Eagles. Under Reid, Philly was 14-1 SU and 11-4 ATS (4-12 O/U) following its bye week. Kansas City, Reid's new team, travels to Denver for a Sunday Night Football showdown. The Chiefs are currently 8-point underdogs.

Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos

NFL Week 10 Betting Recap

11.11.2013     11:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of NFL Week 10 for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Boxscore Recap Early Sunday Games

Boxscore Recap Afternoon Games

Boxscore Recap Cowboys-Saints

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 10

11.11.2013     11:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 10.

Cincinnati Bengals - Five key starters are missing from this defense. Geno Atkins, Robert Geathers, Taylor Mays and Leon Hall are all on injured reserve. Rey Maualuga was out today, as was fellow LB Michael Boley. That's one heck of a lot of talent to be missing! So for this stop unit to shut down the Ravens for the better part of the last three quarters speaks volumes about their depth and defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer’s schemes.

All the questions about Andy Dalton's ability to guide this team to postseason success continue to linger. Dalton won the AFC Offensive Player of the Month award in October, but here in November he could win the 'biggest downgrade of any QB this month' award. Dalton was awful last Thursday against the Dolphins and he was even worse today.

Dalton held the ball too long, taking sacks instead of making quick decisions. His accuracy Read more

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: SuperContest consensus picks produce winning week

11.11.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
WINNER! It took 10 weeks but the LVH SuperContest finally turned a profit – albeit by a hook. The Arizona-Houston game was priced -2.5 in the contest and the Cardinals won by three, 27-24. It was however a loser based on the closing market number of -4.

1. Saints - Win
2. 49ers - Loss
3. Cards - Win
4. Bears - Loss
5. Ravens - Win

WEEK 1: 0-4-1
WEEK 2: 2-3
WEEK 3: 0-5
Week 4: 2-3
Week 5: 2-3
Week 6: 1-4
Week 7: 1-4
Week 8: 2-3
Week 9: 1-4
Week 10: 3-2
Total: 14-35-1 ATS

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling Preview: Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers

11.10.2013     07:14 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Carolina at San Francisco
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
San Francisco -6.5 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: San Francisco -5.5 O/U 42.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: San Francisco -8
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: San Francisco

On the surface, the Panthers are as hot as any team in the NFL.  They’ve won four straight and in the process outscored their opposition 130-48.  However, the strength of schedule over their four-game win streak was sketchy at best.  The Vikings, Rams, Buccaneers and Falcons own a combined record of 7-27.  No question the Panthers are still a quality football team, one that I’ve bet numerous times over the last couple of seasons.  Their defensive front has developed into one of the top units in the NFL and quarterback Cam Newton has solidified the offense while largely riding the running game. 

But this afternoon Newton will be tested in a major Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers San Francisco 49ers Erin Rynning

NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 10

11.10.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Drive Points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. What you see below are per-game averages on offense and defense for each team. Quick standards if you weren’t with us earlier in the week:

Below 12: bad on offense, good on defense

12-14: near league average

Above 14: good on offense bad on defense

I present the games in market rotation order so you can make notes in your schedules if you wish. Otherwise…you know…there’s NO WAY I would start off with a horrible game like Jacksonville/Tennessee

Jacksonville:  4.5 on offense, 17.3 on defense

Tennessee: 11.0 on offense, 13.3 on defense

(Jacksonville has one of the worst offenses of the modern era to this point in the season. Will be fun watching them and Tampa Bay battle from 0-8 to try and get the top draft Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence


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