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NFL Week 10 Betting Recap

11.11.2013     11:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Excellent betting recap of NFL Week 10 for our friend Stat Intelligence. Check out the links below...

Boxscore Recap Early Sunday Games

Boxscore Recap Afternoon Games

Boxscore Recap Cowboys-Saints

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: AFC News and Notes from Week 10

11.11.2013     11:22 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Welcome to Teddy’s unique look at the NFL. Teddy watches games all day on Sunday, typing furiously on his laptop while giving you the key info that the box scores and game recaps don’t necessarily have. This week: AFC thoughts and opinions from Week 10.

Cincinnati Bengals - Five key starters are missing from this defense. Geno Atkins, Robert Geathers, Taylor Mays and Leon Hall are all on injured reserve. Rey Maualuga was out today, as was fellow LB Michael Boley. That's one heck of a lot of talent to be missing! So for this stop unit to shut down the Ravens for the better part of the last three quarters speaks volumes about their depth and defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer’s schemes.

All the questions about Andy Dalton's ability to guide this team to postseason success continue to linger. Dalton won the AFC Offensive Player of the Month award in October, but here in November he could win the 'biggest downgrade of any QB this month' award. Dalton was awful last Thursday against the Dolphins and he was even worse today.

Dalton held the ball too long, taking sacks instead of making quick decisions. His accuracy Read more

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Jacksonville Jaguars Indianapolis Colts Tennessee Titans Baltimore Ravens Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: SuperContest consensus picks produce winning week

11.11.2013     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
WINNER! It took 10 weeks but the LVH SuperContest finally turned a profit – albeit by a hook. The Arizona-Houston game was priced -2.5 in the contest and the Cardinals won by three, 27-24. It was however a loser based on the closing market number of -4.

1. Saints - Win
2. 49ers - Loss
3. Cards - Win
4. Bears - Loss
5. Ravens - Win

WEEK 1: 0-4-1
WEEK 2: 2-3
WEEK 3: 0-5
Week 4: 2-3
Week 5: 2-3
Week 6: 1-4
Week 7: 1-4
Week 8: 2-3
Week 9: 1-4
Week 10: 3-2
Total: 14-35-1 ATS

Tags: NFL

NFL Gambling Preview: Carolina Panthers at San Francisco 49ers

11.10.2013     07:14 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Carolina at San Francisco
Sunday, 1 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
San Francisco -6.5 O/U 41.5
CRIS Current: San Francisco -5.5 O/U 42.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: San Francisco -8
Erin Rynning's Recommendation: San Francisco

On the surface, the Panthers are as hot as any team in the NFL.  They’ve won four straight and in the process outscored their opposition 130-48.  However, the strength of schedule over their four-game win streak was sketchy at best.  The Vikings, Rams, Buccaneers and Falcons own a combined record of 7-27.  No question the Panthers are still a quality football team, one that I’ve bet numerous times over the last couple of seasons.  Their defensive front has developed into one of the top units in the NFL and quarterback Cam Newton has solidified the offense while largely riding the running game. 

But this afternoon Newton will be tested in a major Read more

Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers San Francisco 49ers Erin Rynning

NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 10

11.10.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Drive Points are those scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. What you see below are per-game averages on offense and defense for each team. Quick standards if you weren’t with us earlier in the week:

Below 12: bad on offense, good on defense

12-14: near league average

Above 14: good on offense bad on defense

I present the games in market rotation order so you can make notes in your schedules if you wish. Otherwise…you know…there’s NO WAY I would start off with a horrible game like Jacksonville/Tennessee

Jacksonville:  4.5 on offense, 17.3 on defense

Tennessee: 11.0 on offense, 13.3 on defense

(Jacksonville has one of the worst offenses of the modern era to this point in the season. Will be fun watching them and Tampa Bay battle from 0-8 to try and get the top draft Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

NFL Gambling Preview: Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

11.08.2013     02:08 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards blog entry.
Cincinnati at Baltimore
Sunday, 10 am PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
Cincinnati -2.5 O/U 42
CRIS Current: Cincinnati O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Baltimore pk
Brian Edwards’ Recommendation: Over

If Baltimore (3-5 straight up, 3-5 against the spread) has any hopes of getting back into the AFC North race, it desperately needs a win Sunday vs. Cincinnati. As of Friday, most books had the Bengals favored by -1.5 with a total of 44.

Cincinnati (6-3 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) has had a few extra days of preparation after losing a 22-20 decision at Miami last Thursday. The Bengals suffered the overtime defeat as 3-point road chalk.

Marvin Lewis’s team leads the AFC North with a 1.5-game advantage over second-place Cleveland. The Bengals had won four in a row before being knocked off by the Dolphins.

Even worse than the loss at Miami was the season-ending ACL tear sustained by Read more

Tags: NFL Cincinnati Bengals Baltimore Ravens Brian Edwards

NFL Gambling Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints

11.07.2013     01:52 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Dallas at New Orleans
Sunday, 5:30 pm PT - NBC
CRIS Opener:
New Orleans -6.5 O/U 52
CRIS Current: New Orleans -6.5 O/U 53.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: New Orleans -7.5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Over

Dallas can’t stop the pass, plain and simple.  Monte Kiffin’s Cover-2 defense has been an improvement over Rob Ryan’s stop unit from last year in one regard only – they force more turnovers.  Last year, the Cowboys finished the season creating only 16 takeaways in 16 games.  This year, the Cowboys have 21 takeaways through their first nine games and rank #2 in the NFL with a +10 turnover margin.

Drew Brees threw a pair of interceptions in an ugly loss at the Jets last Sunday.  This offense is clearly built for domes, not for outdoor venues.  They were held to just two field goals and one third down conversion after halftime, reminiscent of their road showing at Read more

Tags: NFL Dallas Cowboys New Orleans Saints Teddy Covers

NFL Handicapping: Feng Shui/Analytics

11.07.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I talked about this some in past seasons…how we keep seeing such differences in team rankings amongst the various “analytic” approaches that get media play across the landscape. I mostly stayed away from what those sites were saying this year. But, the recent talk about how poorly some of those approaches have done against market prices got me to thinking about it again.

So, I dropped in on Football Outsiders today, and saw they had the Chicago Bears ranked  #4 in the NFL in their “weighted DVOA.” Now…we KNOW that the Chicago Bears aren’t the fourth best team in pro football. That jumped right out. Figured I’d check out what Brian Burke’s Advanced NFL Stats site had in their rankings. And, Cincinnati was sitting at the top of the heap even though they lost to Miami last week. Again, we KNOW that the Cincinnati Bengals aren’t the best team in the NFL. Obviously it’s time to revisit the topic.

This stuff Read more

Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence

NFL Gambling: With Rodgers out, Packers only -1.5 at home vs. Eagles

11.06.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Philadelphia at Green Bay -1.5 O/U 47

Taking a look at the line history of Week 10's Philadelphia-Green Bay matchup now that Aaron Rodgers has been ruled out. Prior to Rodgers' injury, the Packers would have be around a 10-point home favorite. Instead, CRIS opened the game Green Bay -3 but it has since been bet down to -1.5. Seneca Wallace is expected to start. He finished 11-of-19 for 114 yards and an interception last week against the Bears. It was Wallace's first regular season appearance since the 2011-12 season with Cleveland. It sounds as if the Packers are wisely going to rely more on the run-game until Rodgers returns.

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers

NFL Gambling: Buffalo's Manuel may play vs. Pittsburgh

11.06.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Buffalo at Pittsburgh -3 O/U 43.5

Buffalo quarterback EJ Manuel has been cleared to play following a sprained knee. Manuel however has yet to be officially named the starter for Week 10's matchup at Pittsburgh. Back-up Thad Lewis remains questionable with bruised ribs.

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers


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