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NFL Gambling: Pass interference continues to have big impact on outcomes

11.21.2013     11:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article from the Wall Street Journal on the NFL and pass interference. Defensive PI calls are obviously on the rise due to more passing but the rate of offensive PI calls remains similar to that of past seasons.
 

"It's a big grey area," said McCaffrey. He said the reason a penalty is not called more often is that the move is nearly impossible to decipher. He said it's hard for referees to distinguish receiver-created "picks" from contact initiated by defenders, who are allowed to get physical at the line of scrimmage. He said two things are key for the offense to avoid a penalty: Don't throw a forearm or otherwise make upper-body contact, and after setting a pick, at least pretend to run a route.







Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Drive Point Averages Week 12

11.20.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I was able to put together updated Drive Point averages early this week. The math is so easy when almost everyone’s played exactly 10 games! I also wanted to include strength of schedule data for each team as well, because that can pollute the numbers a smidge. I usually go to Sagarin for those (USA Today). And, his are usually in the neighborhood of Football Outsiders to. Figured I’d grab those too. Then, I can get any feng shui stuff out of my system now so I don’t have to write up a full report.

The numbers you see below are per-game Drive Point averages for every offense and defense. Drive Points are those scored and allowed on Drives of 60 yards or more. All other scoring is excluded (shorter drives, defensive points, special teams points). We’re looking to capture as best as possible each team’s ability to drive the field for points on offense, while preventing opponents from doing so.

In parenthesis, I’ve put the strength of schedule Read more



Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: CRIS vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 12

11.19.2013     12:11 PM     Printer Friendly
Back in early May, Cantor Gaming posted lines on every NFL regular season game. We took those lines and stacked them up against the current market numbers at CRIS. It's a good handicapping tool to identify some of the changes in opinion the market has had through 11 weeks of the regular season.

2013 NFL CRIS Lines vs. Cantor Gaming Summer Lines - Week 12
Away
Home
Cantor
CRIS Current
New Orleans
Atlanta
Atlanta -2.5
New Orleans -7.5
Tampa Bay
Detroit
Detroit -3.5
Detroit -9
Jacksonville
Houston
Houston -10
Houston -10
Minnesota
Green Bay
Green Bay -4.5
Green Bay -5
San Diego
Kansas City
Kansas City -1
Kansas City -5
Carolina
Miami
Miami -1.5
Carolina -4
Pittsburgh
Cleveland
Pittsburgh -3
Cleveland -2.5
Chicago
St. Louis
Chicago -1
St. Louis -1
NY Jets
Baltimore
Baltimore -6
Baltimore -3.5
Tennessee
Oakland
Oakland -1
Oakland -1
Indianapolis
Arizona
Arizona pk
Arizona -2.5
Dallas
NY Giants
NY Giants -2.5
NY Giants -2.5
Denver
New England
New England -1.5
Denver -2.5
San Francisco
Washington
San Francisco -1.5
San Francisco -5





Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping Trends: Kansas City Chiefs try to bounce back after first loss

11.19.2013     11:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A couple of historical numbers regarding NFL teams off a loss after starting the season at least 8-0. This is obviously in play for the Kansas City Chiefs following Sunday's loss at Denver. KC is currently a 5-point home favorite against San Diego.

Since 1990, teams 8-0 or better off a loss are 22-13 SU but only 17-18 ATS. Totals in those games were 24-11 O/U.

Using the same parameters but as home favorites the results were 12-3 SU, 8-7 ATS, and 11-4 O/U.




Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs San Diego Chargers




Monday Night Football Betting Recap: Carolina slips past New England

11.19.2013     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It definitely had the feel of a playoff game…matching two teams who are clearly playoff caliber right now. A lot of those go right down to the wire. You watched. You know the tightrope wire this game was walking in the final minutes. Let’s see the numbers…

Carolina 24 (-3), New England 20

New England: 390 yards, 5.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 50% third downs

Carolina: 300 yards, 5.6 per-play, 0 turnovers, 73% third downs

Other Numbers

Rushing Yards: New England 107, Carolina 103

Passing Stats: New England 29-40-1-283, Carolina 19-28-0-197

Drive Points: New England 14, Carolina 24

Stat Score: New England 22, Carolina 18

Sloppiness: New England 21, Carolina 9

Pace: 139 plays + penalties + punts + field goal attempts (extreme clock eating)

Another game where both teams moved the ball very effectively in a slow-motion “take what the defense gives Read more



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Carolina Panthers Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: NFC Super Bowl Contenders

11.18.2013     12:31 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It’s late November.  Thanksgiving is next week.  And that means it’s time for me to take a break from my typical team notes column that I’ve been writing here in the Vegas Wiseguy Report since the start of the NFL season.

It’s time to focus on the big boys – teams with playoff aspirations.  Who can get hot down the stretch and make us some money winning games and covering pointspreads?  Which squads are legitimate Super Bowl contenders; which are pretenders.  Let’s take look through the NFC this week, gauging which squads have ATS value moving forward, and which squads have already reached their zenith, poised to tumble back to earth down the stretch.

I did not include notes on Carolina (they don’t play till Monday Night) and Dallas (on bye this week) due to space limitations.  That leaves Philadelphia, the New York Giants, Detroit, Chicago, Green Bay, New Orleans, Seattle, San Francisco and Arizona to consider; all of whom remain live for the postseason as Week 12 approaches.

Serious Super Bowl Contenders

Seattle Seahawks - I Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Sports Betting Podcast 11-18-2013 with Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.18.2013     10:03 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy gave his thoughts and opinions on the line moves for NFL Week 12.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 12

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




NFL Week 11 Betting Recap

11.18.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Betting Consensus: SuperContest Week 11 top picks include Saints and Chiefs

11.17.2013     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Can the LVH SuperContest making it two winning weeks in a row? We shall see. Here is Week 11's top five consensus plays...

1. New Orleans
2. Kansas City
3. New England (Pats off a bye week, bro!)
4. San Diego
5. NY Jets

The least selected side for Sunday was Minnesota.

OVERALL RESULTS
WEEK 1: 0-4-1
WEEK 2: 2-3
WEEK 3: 0-5
Week 4: 2-3
Week 5: 2-3
Week 6: 1-4
Week 7: 1-4
Week 8: 2-3
Week 9: 1-4
Week 10: 3-2
Total: 14-35-1 ATS




Tags: NFL




NFL Betting Podcast 11-15-2013 with Handicapper Erin Rynning

11.15.2013     10:58 AM     Printer Friendly

copy_nfl_podcast_bar.jpg

Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured NFL Week 11 Every Game on the Board discussion with handicapper Erin Rynning. ER broke down the entire slate of games from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Erin Rynning - NFL Every Game on the Board

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL Erin Rynning



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Aug 04, 2015 12:56 PM.