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NFL Betting News: Cleveland Browns change philosophy under new DC

07.24.2013     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on Cleveland Browns first-year defensive coordinator Ray Horton. Horton spent the last two seasons as Arizona's DC.


“I keep saying there’s a learning curve, a transition period to get accustomed to what we’re doing, how I call a game, how they best react to a game, what they do best,” Horton said. “The players like it. I like it. What I’m hoping is the opponents don’t like it.” -

“We play run first, we really do,” he said. “Our guys upfront are big, strong, I love our guys upfront. I hope our guys will embrace being a total defense, not just an attacking defense, not just a coverage defense. I want smart football players that understand the football game and it’s a run and pass league.”






Tags: NFL Cleveland Browns




NFL Handicapping: Team-by-Team Turnover Margin 2010-12

07.23.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is a chart of NFL turnover margins over the past three seasons. During that span, New England was a combined +70… +29 ahead of no. 2 Green Bay (+41). New England, Green Bay, Atlanta, Chicago, and Baltimore posted plus margins each of the past three seasons. Miami, Indianapolis, Denver, Arizona, Minnesota, and Oakland posted negative margins each of the past three seasons. Last season's biggest "gainers" include Washington (-14 to +17), Chicago (+2 to +20), Tampa Bay (-16 to +3), Arizona (-13 to -1), and Denver (-12 to -1). Last season's biggest "losers" include San Francisco (+28 to +9), Green Bay (+24 to +7), Detroit (+11 to -16), and Kansas City (-2 to -24). 

NFL Turnover Margin 2010-12
Team
2012
2011
2010
Total
Arizona Cardinals
-1
-13
-5
-19
Atlanta Falcons
13
8
14
35
Baltimore Ravens
9
2
7
18
Buffalo Bills
-13
1
-17
-29
Carolina Panthers
1
1
-8
-6
Chicago Bears
20
2
4
26
Cincinnati Bengals
4
0
-8
-4
Cleveland Browns
3
1
-1
3
Dallas Cowboys
-13
4
0
-9
Denver Broncos
-1
-12
-9
-22
Detroit Lions
-16
11
4
-1
Green Bay Packers
7
24
10
41
Houston Texans
12
7
0
19
Indianapolis Colts
-12
-12
-4
-28
Jacksonville Jaguars
-3
5
-15
-13
Kansas City Chiefs
-24
-2
9
-17
Miami Dolphins
-10
-6
-12
-28
Minnesota Vikings
-1
-3
-11
-15
New England Patriots
25
17
28
70
New Orleans Saints
2
-3
-6
-7
New York Giants
14
7
-3
18
New York Jets
-14
-3
9
-8
Oakland Raiders
-7
-4
-2
-13
Philadelphia Eagles
-24
-14
9
-29
Pittsburgh Steelers
-10
-13
17
-6
San Diego Chargers
2
-7
-6
-11
San Francisco 49ers
9
28
-1
36
Seattle Seahawks
13
8
-9
12
St. Louis Rams
-1
-5
5
-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3
-16
9
-4
Tennessee Titans
-4
1
-4
-7
Washington Redskins
17
-14
-4
-1




Tags: NFL New England Patriots




NFL Gambling News: Buffalo Bills go with first-time offensive coordinator

07.23.2013     07:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article on the backstory of Buffalo Bills offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett. Hackett's dad, Paul, worked under Bill Walsh during the 80's and held head coaching gigs at Pitt and USC. Nathaniel came over with Doug Marrone from Syracuse where he served as OC. He previously spent time as an offensive quality control coach with the Buccaneers and Bills. In looking at the Bills heading into the season, we have a first-time NFL head coach, first-time NFL offensive coordinator, and if EJ Manuel earns the starting gig, a rookie quarterback.


“When he worked in Tampa, I kept hearing about this guy doing great things in quality control that would blow you away, and it was Nathaniel,” said Van Pelt, now running backs coach in Green Bay. “We were fortunate to get him in Buffalo. You could tell right away he had great organizational skills, and he was very bright with computers. He understood the connection with the younger players, that generation, and how to reach them.”



 



Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills




NFL Handicapping: Average offensive line age

07.23.2013     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
If you are into in-depth NFL offensive line analysis, here's the link for you.



Tags: NFL




NFL Betting News: Colts hire former Stanford assistant to serve as OC

07.22.2013     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Bruce Arians now the head coach of the Arizona Cardinals, the Indianapolis Colts dipped into the college ranks for a new offensive coordinator. Pep Hamilton, who served as Stanford's OC/QB coach during Andrew Luck's tenure, will take over for Arians. Hamilton has experience at the NFL level having served as QB coach for the Jets, 49ers, and Bears. According to various media reports, it was a great hire for the Colts.



Tags: NFL Indianapolis Colts




NFL Handicapping: NFL Summer Review

07.20.2013     06:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Yesterday we reviewed Drive Point numbers and schedule strengths for the AFC (you can read that here if you missed it). Today, as promised, we’re back to do the NFC.

It was a really strange year in the NFC…and we have to talk about that strangeness before running the numbers. Those of you who have seen our estimated Power Rating scale in all sports know that I generally make 85 championship caliber…and rank everybody with that in mind. Last year, through most of the season, the NFC consisted of:

*About 6 teams who were 82-ish, and not consistent enough to make a run at 85

*About 9 teams who were 78-79-ish much of the time

*Arizona, who was well off the pace

San Francisco peaked at the right time…and rode that all the way to the Super Bowl. Seattle peaked late, and could make a legitimate case for being within arm’s length of 85 at the very Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: AFC Summer Review

07.20.2013     06:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stats Intelligence

Our main stat of focus last year in the NFL is something we call “Drive Points.” Those are points scored and allowed on drives of 60 yards or more. It’s a stat I’ve been keeping by hand ever since USA Today first started running boxscores that itemized scoring drives many years ago. They do a lot of heavy lifting when it comes to defining “true” offense and defense because:

*You don’t get credit for non-offensive points

*You don’t get credit for cheap field position points off of turnovers

*You have to drive the field REPEATEDLY to grade out well

Good offenses move the ball and turn their drives into points. Good defenses prevent opponents from doing that.

I don’t want to suggest this is “everything.” The risk/reward ratio as expressed in turnover differential is also very important. The Detroit Lions put up a lot of Drive Points last year, but turned the ball over a million times in the process. Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers Las Vegas Wise Guys Report: NFL Season O/U Wins

07.15.2013     10:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve written a couple of columns about the first NFL win totals posted here in Las Vegas. Now that the betting markets are starting to mature, it’s time to take another look at the Over/Under win totals for all 32 teams for the coming year. This week’s focus is on strength of schedule for the upcoming campaign.

I closed out my last column on NFL win totals by looking back at last year’s final strength of schedule, based on my power rating numbers for each opponent on the week that the game was played. Here was my final assessment:

“The New York Giants faced single toughest schedule from last year based on my numbers on the weeks the games were played. The Saints weren’t far behind. Arizona, San Francisco, Tennessee, Baltimore and St Louis all faced abnormally tough slates.
“On the easy side, the Colts, Texans and Bengals all stood out; by far the three easiest schedules in the league. Miami, Atlanta and San Diego also had much easier than average slates. In my next column, I’ll write about the next step in the process -- identifying accurate strength of schedule numbers for 2013.”

That Read more


Tags: NFL Season Wins Teddy Covers




NFL Handicapping: Notes on Power Ratings for the 2013 Season

07.05.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As we get closer to the NFL season, you’re going to see a lot of prediction articles in the mainstream and stathead media. The fact that Las Vegas now actively markets and publicizes their Regular Season Win Total propositions has certainly helped. Sportwriters and fans loved making predictions anyway. Now there’s an outline of expectations that people can refer too.

The stathead articles in this area all basically say the same thing over and over again. This has been true for years. I used to ghostwrite them myself…until it got boring just repeating the same things over and over again. The general themes are:
 
*Assume that turnover extremes will regress toward the mean

*Assume that records in close games will regress toward the mean

*Be skeptical of teams with bad point differentials who had decent records

*Be sure you know who played easy schedules and who played hard schedules

*Remember who had key injuries, and pencil in good Read more


Tags: NFL Stat Intelligence




NFL Handicapping: Let the Chip Kelly era begin

07.01.2013     12:40 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The over/under on number of blogs dedicated to Philadelphia Eagles first-year head coach Chip Kelly and how fast/slow/good/bad the offense is this season is currently 83.5. Here's one that focuses in on who exactly will be the starting quarterback. The short answer is no one knows at this point. Michael Vick and Nick Foles are expected to see plenty of PT during the preseason.


"Who can move us the best, and who gets the football team up and down the field," Kelly said. "You know that's the most important thing. It doesn't have to be that he throws a prettier ball or all those things. There [are] a lot of different things. How do you manage a game? How do you secure the football? Are we not turning it over? Are we constantly moving in a positive direction? Are we getting into third-and-short and converting them? Things like that. It really is who moves the team the best is what we are looking for at the quarterbacks."






Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 25, 2014 09:02 AM.