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December

10

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NFL Gambling Update: SuperContest consensus plays now 33-23 ATS YTD

11.17.2014     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Like a runaway train, NFL SuperContest consensus plays churned out a fifth consecutive winning week bringing the YTD total to 33-23 against the spread.

Weekly Results
Week 11: 3-2
Week 10: 4-1
Week 9: 3-2
Week 8: 3-2
Week 7: 3-2
Week 6: 2-3
Week 5: 2-3
Week 4: 3-2
Week 3: 5-1
Week 2: 3-2
Week 1: 2-3
Totals: 33-22 YTD





NFL Gambling: Patriots, Chiefs, and Packers to SuperContest picks for Week 11

11.16.2014     06:38 AM     View Original Blog


Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.


1. New England +3 at Indianapolis
2. Read more



Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Elo Ratings vs. Market Prices Week 11

11.16.2014     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Link to FiveThirtyEight.com's Elo Ratings and spreads for NFL Week 11. Some of the biggest discrepancies include...

Denver at St. Louis
Elo: Denver -6.5
Market: Denver -9.5

Oakland at San Diego
Elo: San Diego -14
Market: San Diego -10


Detroit at Arizona
Elo: Arizona -6
Market: Pick 'em

New England at Indianapolis
Elo: New England -0.5
Market: Indianapolis -3




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling: Patriots, Chiefs, and Packers to SuperContest picks for Week 11

11.16.2014     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are the top consensus plays for Week 11 of the NFL SuperContest.

1. New England +3 at Indianapolis
2. Kansas City -1.5 vs. Seattle
3. Green Bay -6 vs. Philadelphia
4. Cleveland -3 vs. Houston
5. Detroit +2.5 at Arizona

Least picked Sunday side: Washington -7.5 vs. Tampa Bay




Tags: NFL




NFL Gambling Preview: Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers

11.13.2014     02:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Philadelphia at Green Bay
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT - FOX
CRIS Opener:
Green Bay -5.5 O/U 56.5
CRIS Current: Green Bay -6 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Green Bay -5
Teddy Covers' Recommendation: Philadelphia

Green Bay is coming off a near perfect game, absolutely annihilating the Chicago Bears from start to finish.  Aaron Rodgers was at his best, tying the all time NFL record with six touchdown passes before halftime.  "We just kind of got things going our way. The line did a good job of giving me time to extend plays. If you extend plays, you look down the field and there's Jordy Nelson. He made some nice catches." That win improved the Packers record following a bye week under Mike McCarthy to 9-0 ATS. 

The last time the Packers played a near perfect game (destroying Carolina), they followed it up with a clunker the following week in New Orleans.  Following another near Read more



Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers Teddy Covers




NFL Betting: Detroit playing good football AND getting the favorable bounces

11.13.2014     11:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on Detroit's good fortunes this season. Last year was littered with close, coin flip type outcomes that went the way of the opposition. This year, the tide has turned and the Lions are winning those types of games. Case in point: three straight wins by margins of 1, 1, and 4. That's not to say the Lions aren't a good football team -- most notably a defense that is tied with Denver for the best yard per play (4.7) allowed mark in the league. That and they are +2 in turnover margin vs. -12 last season.

 

"It's the NFL. Every game is somewhat close," Quin said. "I think throughout the journey, you need these games. You need games of adversity, you need games where you have to try to come back, you need games where you've got to try to keep a lead. You need all of those type of games, because we're in a situation now where each week, every game gets bigger."






Tags: NFL Detroit Lions




NFL Gambling: Week 11 features the two highest totals of the season

11.11.2014     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We talking during the preseason that given the rules changes in the NFL bettors would likely witness totals reach this 60's this season. Amazingly, it has yet to happen with betting market resistance on anything in the mid- to high-50's. This week however we have the two highest totals of the season with Philadelphia-Green Bay at 57 and New England-Indianapolis at 57.5. Quick breakdown of some of the results from totals above 50 this year...

50 or higher
12 overs, 4 unders, 2 pushes

54 or higher
3 overs, 1 under, 1 push

Last season, the highest total was 58 with Denver beating Philadelphia 52-20. In 2012, New Orleans-Detroit had a total of 59.5 with the Saints winning 45-28. The last time an NFL game closed with a total above 60 was 2000 when the Rams and 49ers produced 58 points with a total of 62.




Tags: NFL




NFL Handicapping: Philadelphia and Sanchez look good, pointspread vs. Green Bay shifts

11.11.2014     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Another example of how week-to-week performances in the NFL impact pointspreads. In yesterday's Opening Line Report podcast with Teddy Covers we discussed the look-ahead lines for the Philadelphia-Green Bay matchup. The Westgate had Green Bay -6 while a few offshore sportsbooks were showing -6/-6.5. The Packers were obviously off an impressive showing as they destroyed the Bears 55-14. The thought was if the Eagles "looked good" on MNF vs. the Panthers, the line would likely come -6. If they struggled, perhaps as high as -7. Instead, Philly rolled and Mark Sanchez looked like the second coming of Peyton Manning. So instead of -6 the prevailing number is currently -4.5. Not a huge difference but significant enough to warrant mention and another example of the what-have-you-done-for-me-lately mentality of sports betting.




Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Green Bay Packers




NFL Monday Night Football Betting Consensus: Over 60% of bets placed on Eagles and OVER

11.10.2014     02:53 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets (side, total, and moneyline) for tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles courtesy of Bookmaker. Public and market seem to be in agreement with Eagles bet up from -5.5 to -7 and total up to 48.5 after an opener of 48. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

SIDE
62.9% - Philadelphia -7

TOTAL
63.5% - OVER 48.5

MONEYLINE
65.9% - Carolina +265




Tags: NFL Carolina Panthers Philadelphia Eagles




NFL Betting Podcast 11-10-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

11.10.2014     09:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Monday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper and Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange talked NFL openers and early line moves for Week 11.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NFL Opening Line Report Week 11

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NFL Teddy Covers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: AFC News and Notes

11.10.2014     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Cleveland Browns went into Thursday Night’s matchup at Cincinnati with a winning record, but without much respect from the betting markets.  Cleveland had spent the last month feasting on the weak, facing off against the likes of the Titans, Jaguars, Raiders and Bucs in their previous five games; arguably the four worst teams in the NFL.  The Browns didn’t blow out any of those squads; locked in tight, competitive games each time except their only loss during that span – a blowout defeat at Jacksonville.

Without pro bowl center Alex Mack in the lineup over their previous three games, the Browns offense became completely one-dimensional; a team that couldn’t run the football one iota.  Against Tampa’s shoddy rush D, it was 26 carries for 50 yards.  The week before, it was 25 rushes for 39 yards.  The week before that, it was 30 rushes for 69 yards.  That’s less than two yards per carry against weaklings.

So what did the Browns do in their step-up game on Thursday Night at Cincinnati?  Simple – they dominated on both sides of the football, start to finish, rushing for 170 yards and Read more



Tags: NFL Teddy Covers Las Vegas



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, Drew Martin, and Alex B. Smith. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Dec 10, 2016 12:27 PM.