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October

31

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NFL Handicapping: Public lined up on San Francisco, Baltimore, and both overs

01.18.2013     07:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
A quick look at few betting consensuses for this weekend's NFL Conference Championships.

OddsShark shows 63.1% lined up on San Francisco while underdog Baltimore checks in at 55.6%. The over for both games is right at 64%.

Sports Options shows a similar output with 71% of the "public" on the 49ers and 57% on the Ravens. Both totals again, at 60% or more to the over.

Bookmaker's numbers are even stronger – these represent the number of bets, not handle. San Fran has taken a whopping 74.6% of bets and the over (wow!) at 83.8%. Baltimore is just shy of 60% and the over at 77.7%.



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens




Sportsbooks and bettors react to San Francisco 49ers, Kaepernick

01.18.2013     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Francisco -4 at Atlanta O/U 48.5

Last week, with minimal line shopping, you could have bet the San Francisco 49ers -3 (+100/+105) at home against Green Bay. That seemed like legalized stealing considering as of this morning only a few sportsbooks are offering the 49ers -3.5 on the road at Atlanta for Sunday’s NFC Championship.

 

"We all knew they were pretty good," said Las Vegas oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro, public relations director for William Hill and its 75 Nevada sportsbooks. "Now you throw this kid in there who is energizing the process, and it just means more money on the 49ers. And rightfully so. How high can it go? I don't know."

"We act much quicker on these things than we once did," Vaccaro said. "We have the whole world betting these games, so you have to make them Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons




NFL Handicapping: Why The Atlanta Falcons are +4

01.17.2013     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

There’s a growing chorus in the handicapping/betting world that the line has over-adjusted in Sunday’s San Francisco/Atlanta matchup for the NFC Championship…with little apparent justification for the current number of San Francisco -4.

Let’s review a few keys.

*Sharps aren’t betting the 49ers at -4. But, they sure loved them at a field goal or less. It’s hard to know for sure from the outside how much of the moves beyond the three can be linked to sharp sentiment or square sentiment (the public). What’s clear is that sharps weren’t thinking the line should be pick-em or -1. Sharps had the 49ers at least 6 or 6.5 points better on a neutral field. Sharps stopped betting the Niners at a number that represented 7 points better on a neutral field.

*The advanced analytic stuff I’ve seen around the web supports that passion at an affordable price. Measures are showing that San Francisco has a much better offense when you adjust for Read more


Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers Stat Intelligence




Proposed Las Vegas stadium an ideal fit for NFL games/team

01.17.2013     06:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
So Las Vegas wants to build some sort of "Mega Events Center" similar to that of Cowboys Stadium. If built, said facility would obviously have the capabilities to host football games. What's funny is that those backing the plan aren't asking the NFL to do something logical like pull the plug on Jacksonville or go the expansion route. Instead, they're starting small, like playing host to a preseason game, or the pro bowl. If that works and Bill Belichick and Tom Brady aren’t involved in some elaborate point shaving scandal, then maybe the NFL would warm up to the idea of placing  a franchise in Sin City. The odds on that happening? Not good, according to some.



Tags: Las Vegas NFL




NFL Gambling Trends: Conference Championships in Domed Stadiums

01.16.2013     11:28 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

Let’s take a look at AFC and NFC Championship history since 2000 when games are played in domes. It seems like the old adage of the indoor stadium being a fast track has held true, even in a most pressurized sense of playoff football! All five contests went OVER the total. The total for Sunday's NFC Championship in Atlanta was bet up from an opener of 47 to 49.

AFC and NFC Championship Betting History in Domes
Year
Matchup
Total
Score
O/U
2009
Colts vs. Jets
40
30-17
Over
2009
Saints vs. Vikings
53.5
31-28
Over
2008
Cardinals vs. Eagles
47
32-25
Over
2006
Colts vs. Patriots
48.5
38-34
Over
2001
Rams vs. Eagles
50.5
29-24
Over
Results
 
 
57.6 ppg
5-0 O/U




Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers




NFL Handicapping: Atlanta Falcons become a more attractive teaser bet at +10.5

01.15.2013     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly
With San Francisco now at -4.5 vs. Atlanta it gives bettors the option of teasing the Falcons up to +10.5 (crossing the key numbers of +6, +7, and +10). Over the last 12 NFL conference championships, using a 6-point teaser on the underdog resulted in an 11-1 record.

6-point underdog tease
NY Giants +8 - WIN
Baltimore +13 - WIN
Chicago +9.5 - WIN
NY Jets +10 - WIN
Minnesota +10 - WIN
NY Jets +14 - WIN
Arizona +9.5 - WIN
Baltimore +12 - WIN
San Diego +20 - WIn
NY Giants +13.5 - WIN
New Orleans +8.5 - LOSS
New England +9.5 - WIN



Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers




NFL Gambling Update: For a second straight day, betting markets poound 49ers

01.15.2013     06:17 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Fresh off Sunday's move from -3 to -3.5, another wave of San Francisco 49ers money came pouring in yesterday driving the line as high as as -4.5 for Sunday's NFC Championship vs. Atlanta. If you were to poll bettors at halftime of last week's divisional games (San Francisco led 24-21 and Atlanta led 20-0) on a 49ers-Falcons line, we seriously doubt there would be many saying -4.5 road chalk. Line history courtesy of CRIS.

copy_49ers_falcons.JPG





NFL Handicapping: 49ers bet hard off opening number for NFC Championship

01.14.2013     06:39 AM     View Original Blog


Read more



Tags: NFL San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons




NFL Gambling News: Super Bowl XLVII betting lines

01.14.2013     02:02 PM     Printer Friendly
Here are your look-ahead lines for Super Bowl XLVII courtesy of 5Dimes.

AFC -2.5 (-115) vs. NFC
San Francisco -3.5 vs. Baltimore
New England -2 vs. San Francisco
Atlanta -1.5 vs. Baltimore
New England -5.5 vs. Atlanta



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens San Francisco 49ers Atlanta Falcons Super Bowl XLVII




NFL Handicapping: Dual-threat quarterbacks vs. Atlanta Falcons

01.14.2013     01:37 PM     Printer Friendly
A quick look at how dual-threat quarterbacks fared against the Atlanta Falcons this season. San Francisco's Colin Kaepernick, the opitome of a dual-threat, threw for 262 yards and rushed for 181 yards in last week's playoff win over Green Bay. Note that Washington's Robert Griffin III was forced to leave the game early with a concussion.

Cam Newton (Game 1): 15-of-24, 215 yards, 2 TD, 0 INTs, 9 rushes, 86 yards, 1 TD

Cam Newton (Game 2): 23-of-35, 287 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs, 9 rushes, 116 yards

Michael Vick: 21-of-35, 191 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs, 7 rushes, 42 yards

Robert Griffin: 10-of-15, 91 yards, 0 TDs, 0 INTs, 1 rush, 7 yards

Russell Wilson: 24-of-36, 385 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 7 rushes, 60 yards

Combined: 93-of-145, 64% completions, 7 TDs, 1 INT, 36 rushes, 311 yards, 8.6 ypc




Tags: NFL Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers




NFL Gambling Trends: New England Patriots 8-3 ATS with same season revenge

01.14.2013     01:12 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baltimore at New England -9 O/U 51.5

One angle to consider in your handicap of the AFC Championship Game this weekend is same season revenge. Over the past ten seasons the New England Patriots are 8-3 SU and ATS when playing with same season revenge. If we pare that down to same season revenge while playing at home they are a remarkable 6-0 SU and ATS. Baltimore defeated New England way back in Week 3 in a game the Ravens led for only about five minutes.



Tags: NFL New England Patriots Baltimore Ravens



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