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Not satisfied with 4-1 start and a healthy QB, Chicago Bears consider no-huddle

10.10.2012     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
You're 4-1 with wins by 20, 17, 16, and 38. Why mess with a good thing? Well for one, we're dealing with the Chicago Bears so common logic has a way of not always prevailing. Heading into the bye week, there are rumblings that the offense wants to use more no-huddle.

‘‘They give me two or three plays — a list of plays — and we have a package for each game that we like to go to,’’ Cutler said. ‘‘But you can catch defenses off guard, you really can, and you get into a rhythm if you’re a little stale, if you have a lot of three-and-outs, stuff like that, or you’re coming out of the half or after a turnover.’’

“[Quarterbacks] try to operate the game plan,” Tice said. ‘‘We did have some no-huddle the other day where we gave Jay some really, really good chances to do either-or, and I thought he did a great job with the no-huddle. We like him managing the no-huddle.”

Tags: NFL Chicago Bears

NFL Week 5 Betting Recap: Underdog-Under remains league's top parlay

10.09.2012     01:57 PM     Printer Friendly
By the betting numbers...NFL Week 5 (see results below). We utilize CRIS's opening and closing lines.

Based on closing lines…

Home teams came out on top 9-5 ATS (Home teams are 37-36-4 ATS YTD).

Favorites and underdogs split out 7-7 ATS (Underdogs are 44-29-4 ATS YTD).

Games lined at a touchdown or more were 2-1 ATS in favor of the chalk (+7 or more underdogs are 11-7-1 ATS YTD).

Totals went 7-6-1 O/U (39-37-1 O/U YTD).

Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" six times and "incorrect" four times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously "incorrect." In four games, the game opened and closed at the same number.
Week 4 Parlay combo breakdown (72 games YTD) 
Favorite-Over: 6 (18)
Favorite-Under: 1 (11)
Underdog-Over: 1 (18)
Underdog-Under: 5 (25)

Note that we did not include pick ‘em lines and pushes for our parlay combos.

2012 NFL Week 5 Betting Recap
Away Team
Home Team
ATS Close
O/U Close
St. Louis
ARI -3
ARI -1.5
STL 17, ARI 3
Under 37.5
ATL -3
ATL -3
ATL 24, WAS 17
Over 51
PIT -4
PIT -4
PIT 16, PHI 14
Under 44
Green Bay
GB -6.5
GB -6
IND 30, GB 27
Over 49.5
NY Giants
NYG -10.5
NYG -7.5
NYG 41, CLE 27
Over 43.5
MIN -6.5
MIN -6
MIN 30, TEN 7
Under 44
CIN -5.5
CIN -3
MIA 17, CIN 13
Under 45
Kansas City
BAL -6.5
BAL -6
BAL 9, KC 3
Under 46
CAR -3
CAR -1.5
SEA 16, CAR 12
Under 42.5
CHI -5.5
CHI -6
CHI 41, JAX 3
Over 38.5
New England
NE -6.5
NE -6
NE 31, DEN 21
Over 50.5
San Francisco
SF -10
SF -10
SF 45, BUF 3
Over 45.5
San Diego
New Orleans
NO -3
NO -3
NO 31, SD 24
Over 53.5
NY Jets
HOU -7
HOU -9.5
HOU 23, NYJ 17
Push 40

Tags: NFL

NFL Betting News and Notes Week 5

10.09.2012     11:23 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
You can forgive Pittsburgh Steelers backers for being a little upset after Sunday’s game. The Steelers defeated the Eagles 16-14 but failed to earn the pointspread cover as 3-point home favorites. Pittsburgh outgained Philadelphia 343-246, had a 136-78 on the ground, and were +2 in turnovers but still could not get the ATS win. It was a frustrating instance where statistical domination did not take the cash.

Imagine the surprise for Denver Broncos supporters who might have turned off the game when New England led 31-7 thinking a +6 pointspread cover was impossible. Sure enough two consecutive Denver touchdowns followed by a New England turnover and it was suddenly 31-21 with the Broncos inside the red zone looking for more points. The air was then taken out of the balloon when Broncos running back Willis McGahee fumbled inside the 10 and it was recovered by New England. This was another version of an NFL teaser. New England ran its no-huddle offense at a pace that would have made coaches like Chip Kelly and Dana Holgorsen proud. New England ran 77 offensive plays in the game and if they can finish off drives as efficiently in the red zone as they did on Sunday, Read more

Tags: NFL Ian Cameron

NFL Handicapping: Kansas City Chiefs expected to start Quinn

10.09.2012     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Kansas City at Tampa Bay

The Kansas City Chiefs are expected to start quarterback Brady Quinn against Tampa Bay. Matt Cassel (head) hasn't been officially ruled out but he remains doubtful. Last week against Baltimore, the Chiefs attempted to shorten the game (34:10 TOP) by running the ball 50 times vs. only 18 passes. It worked to a certain degree as KC was down three in the fourth quarter but four turnovers (3 by Cassel) proved to be the difference. Sportsbooks have yet to put a line on Sunday's game against the Buccaneers.

“They’re going to run several tests to see where he is. Generally, concussions are not good, but we’re concerned about the safety and welfare of the player and we’re going to give him an opportunity to get well. In the meantime, Brady Quinn has to get ready to play, and Ricky Stanzi has to be ready to Read more

Tags: NFL Kansas City Chiefs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday Night Football Odds Update: Bettors continue support of Houston Texans

10.08.2012     11:44 AM     Printer Friendly
Houston -9 at New York Jets O/U 40

Betting market support for the Houston Texans has continued with tonight's Monday Night Football contest now -9/-9.5 across the board. According to Bookmaker, 78% of the side bets they have taken have come on the road favorite.  Houston has covered seven of its last eight road games.


Tags: NFL Houston Texans New York Jets

Teddy Covers' Wiseguy Report: A look back at NFL Week 5 action

10.08.2012     07:49 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
A full quarter of the NFL teams entered Week 5 at .500 and two more reached the .500 mark after notching victories on Sunday. I focused on five of those teams closely during this week’s NFL mayhem. Here are my notes from their respective performances.

Buffalo Bills - How bad is this defense? Well, they set an NFL record for futility – no team in league history had ever allowed 300 rushing yards and 300 passing yards in the same game. And that came just one week after they allowed 45 second half points on seven consecutive scoring drives against New England, making the Bills the first team since 1950 to allow 550+ yards in back-to-back weeks. Now that’s a struggling stop unit!

This pass D has awful fundamentals, giving up yardage in chunks. Every decent QB should have a field day throwing downfield -- there's no pass rush, and these cornerbacks are not shutdown guys. And there’s no question that this defense lacked effort throughout the second half here – they flat out quit.

We got the ‘bad’ Ryan Fitzpatrick today. Fitz continues to struggle with his deep throws, missing Stevie Johnson for a sure Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers Washington Redskins New York Giants Seattle Seahawks Teddy Covers

Monday Night Football Betting: Houston laying big chalk at New York

10.08.2012     07:39 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Houston -9 at New York Jets O/U 40

A week removed from getting blitzed by San Francisco, 35-0, the New York Jets attempt to bounce back against the undefeated Houston Texans tonight on Monday Night Football. It is remarkable to see what has taken place in the betting markets with both of these teams. In Week 2, the Jets were +4.5 at Pittsburgh and last week +3.5 vs. San Francisco. Houston meanwhile was -6.5 at Jacksonville back in Week 2. New York head coach Rex Ryan is once again saying all of the right things – everything short of guaranteeing victory. And in practice this week, there was reportedly extra emphasis placed on stopping the run. The Jets are currently tied with New Orleans for the league's worst rush defense (172.8 ypg).

"So we put (the) guys out there," Ryan said, "and just put the ball down and said, 'Let's Read more

Tags: NFL Houston Texans New York Jets

NFL Betting Free Play: Philadelphia Eagles at Pittsburgh Steelers

10.07.2012     05:34 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Philadelphia at Pittsburgh -3 (-125) O/U 43
Recommendation: Pittsburgh

The Steelers will be looking forward to getting back out on the football field Sunday after stewing about their loss to the Oakland Raiders for two weeks.  Yes, the Steelers will be off their bye week for this game, but perhaps more importantly will welcome back defense stalwarts Troy Polamalu and James Harrison.  When you’re talking about two of the last four defensive players of the year, you’re talking about real impact players.  With the Eagles vulnerable from an offensive line standpoint, the Steelers should add to their disappointing amount of just five sacks.  In addition, Rashard Mendenhall is expected to return to the field as well.  Pittsburgh’s running game is averaging 2.6 yards per carry with its longest run from scrimmage just 13 yards.  Look for the Steelers to hit a few big runs up the middle where the Eagles can be vulnerable.  The Read more

Tags: NFL Philadelphia Eagles Pittsburgh Steelers Erin Rynning

Sports Betting Podcast 10-5-2012 NFL Every Game on the Board

10.05.2012     10:22 AM     Printer Friendly

Week 5 NFL Every Game on the Board Podcast. Erin Rynning and Alf Musketa joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - NFL Every Game on the Board

Erin Rynning - NFL Game on the Board Part I

Alf Musketa - NFL Every Game on the Board Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NFL Erin Rynning Alf Musketa

NFL Handicapper Preview: Buffalo Bills at San Francisco 49ers

10.04.2012     02:18 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Buffalo at San Francisco
Erin Rynning’s Recommendation:
Sunday, 1:30 pm PT – CBS
CRIS Opener:
San Francisco -10 O/U 44
CRIS Current: San Francisco -9.5 O/U 44.5
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: San Francisco -12

The Bills were embarrassed in a monumental way last Sunday losing at home to the Patriots 52-28.  Yes, the final score was troubling but the context of blowing a two touchdown lead and being outscored 45-7 down the stretch makes matters much worse.  The Bills were expected to be a true playoff contender this season with the addition of the $100 million man, Mario Williams, and the return of Kyle Williams to bolster the defensive line.  Well, at 2-2 this team can still be that contender, but defensively they must improve under new coordinator Dave Wannstedt. In addition, quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick must quit throwing the opposition the football.  Making matters Read more

Tags: NFL Buffalo Bills San Francisco Giants Erin Rynning


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