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NCAAF Betting Notes: Kansas wants to feature run-heavy offense

08.18.2011     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas offensive coordinator Chuck Long said that the Jayhawks are going with a more run-based offense this season. Long claimed that last year KU went with a 40-60 run/pass ratio and that number could be flip-flopped in 2011. Long may want to employ a fact checker as last season Kansas actually finished with a 57-43 run/pass ratio. Regardless, it is clear that Kansas doesn't feel all too confident in its quarterbacks nor the offensive line (37 sacks allowed). We would expect a conservative approach on offense in attempt to shorten their games, especially when outclassed in Big XII play. If the defense can improve (8 returning starters), the Jayhawks have all of the makings of being a strong "under" team.


“Last year it was more 60-40 pass-to-run,” offensive coordinator Chuck Long said. Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas Jayhawks Big XII




NCAA Football Betting Notes: New Clemson offense ahead of schedule

08.18.2011     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Troy at Clemson -15 O/U -15 O/U 54.5

More positive news out of Clemson camp regarding the development of its new up-tempo offense. First-year offensive coordinator Chad Morris (Tulsa) said the offense was "a little ahead of schedule" with quarterback Tajh Boyd looking extremely sharp. Clemson's highest point total against an FBS opponent last year was a 35-point effort vs. a sub-par North Texas defense. The Tigers appear on track to top that in Week 1 against Troy. The Trojans have had a difficult time stopping BCS Conference foes over the last three seasons: Oklahoma State (41, 55), South Carolina (69), Arkansas (56), Florida (56) Read more


Tags: College Football Clemson Tigers ACC Troy Trojans




NCAAF Betting Alert: Boston College loses ACC Preseason POY

08.18.2011     06:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Northwestern at Boston College -3 O/U 46.5

Typically don't want to overreact to running back injuries but a fairly significant one as ACC Preseason Player of the Year Montel Harris (3,600 career yards) will miss 3-4 weeks after undergoing knee surgery yesterday. Harris had been practicing but said is knee didn't feel right and noticed swelling. Boston College does have a capable back-up in Andre Williams who as a freshman ran for 461 yards (4.85 ypc) and two touchdowns.


“I was very concerned about Montel in January. And I was very concerned about him in spring ball. I was feeling a little bit better when he was feeling better and I was telling you guys he looked like his old self. Now I’m very concerned again. And I feel bad for him, because he’s concerned, obviously,” said Read more



Tags: College Football Boston College Eagles ACC




NCAAF Betting Update: Middle Tennessee with major issues in the trenches

08.17.2011     02:37 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Last week (see below) we discussed Middle Tennessee's projected struggles on the defensive side of the football. This week, it is the offense with issues, most notably the offensive line which entered camp one of only 12 teams in the country with more than 100 career starts worth of experience. Three projected starters are currently sidelined with injuries. Third-year starting left tackle Mike Williams (knee) has yet to practice. All-conference guard Preston Bailey has shoulder and knee problems. And Colin Boss, who started 11 games at center in 2010, is also out with an injury. Which major issues along both offensive and defensive fronts, MTSU may be a bit more focused on keeping/getting everyone healthy in Weeks 1 and 2 against Purdue and Georgia Read more


Tags: College Football Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Sun Belt




NCAAF Betting Notes: Wynn's health holding back Utah offense

08.17.2011     01:25 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Keep an eye on the health of Utah's offensive line and quarterback Jordan Wynn. The o-line currently has two starters and a back-up nursing injuries while Wynn's practice time has been cut short due to the flu. Wynn missed three games last year with injuries and also had offseason shoulder surgery. Head coach Kyle Whittingham said that the development of the offense – with first-year OC Norm Chow – has been lacking due to Wynn not being 100%. Keep in mind that the Utes don't have the luxury of Terrance Cain who graduated after serving as an effective alternative for when Wynn was unable to play. None of Utah's three back-ups this season have played at the DI level. According to Whittingham, the one positive out of camp has been the play of the defense, especially the secondary which was Read more


Tags: College Football Utah Utes PAC-12 Kyle Whittingham




NCAAF Betting Preview: Illinois has tools to win Big Ten Leaders Division

08.17.2011     12:06 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In reading some of the Big Ten offseason/preseason talk, little to no attention has been paid to Illinois. Wisconsin nabbed Russell Wilson, Ohio State is in trouble with the law, Joe Paterno got tackled in practice, Indiana's new head coach is a fiery dude, Nebraska is going to crush, Northwestern is a dark horse contender, Michigan could go 10-2 or 2-10...the list goes on. But outside of all of the hoopla, the Illini lie seemingly in weeds with what looks to be a good shot at a banner season. The No. 1 thing in their favor is a very manageable schedule. With five straight home games to open the season followed by a trip to Indiana, it is very possible the Illini could start out 5-1 or 6-0. They have the easiest road slate in the Big Ten with games at Indiana, Purdue, Penn State and Minnesota – should be favored in at least three of those four contests. All of their “tough” opponents travel to Champaign (Arizona State, Ohio Read more


Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting llini Big Ten Andrew Lange




NCAAF Betting Analysis: Ole Miss could stuggle again on defense

08.17.2011     09:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston Nutt has never been regarded as a defensive genius but prior to last season his stop units were typically no worse than average. During his career as Mississippi and Arkansas the worst defensive numbers under his watch were: 26.5 ppg, 180.3 ypg rushing, 243.5 ypg passing and 397.2 ypg total offense. Three of those four were eclipsed last year. The team's points per game allowed jumped a whopping 17.5 points. The worst year-to-year decline prior to that was just over a touchdown. The question now becomes, will Ole Miss' defense improve this season? The easy answer would be yes, but unfortunately, there isn't a lot to suggest the improvement will be massive. Since 2002, Nutt returned six or more defensive starters eight of nine seasons. The lone time he didn't was in 2004 when Arkansas brought back only three starters and finished 5-6 – by far Nutt's worst defense statistically prior to 2010. It is clear that experience or lack thereof is the best tool in predicting Nutt’s defenses. This year, the unit returns only four starters which logically keep us from projecting a huge spike in production. 

Houston Nutt Defensive Results 1998-2010
Year
Team
Record
PPG Allowed
Rush YPG Allowed
Pass YPG Allowed
Total YPG Allowed
2010
Ole Miss
4-8
35.2
152.8
246.3
399.2
2009
Ole Miss
9-4
17.7
140.3
174.4
314.7
2008
Ole Miss
9-4
19.0
85.5
221.7
307.2
2007
Arkansas
8-4
26.5
160.2
205.4
365.6
2006
Arkansas
10-4
18.3
114.6
185.1
299.6
2005
Arkansas
4-7
24.6
132.5
209.4
341.9
2004
Arkansas
5-6
24.5
180.3
216.9
397.2
2003
Arkansas
9-4
23.5
157.0
187.0
344.0
2002
Arkansas
9-5
19.8
113.6
234.5
348.1
2001
Arkansas
7-5
23.2
139.2
223.1
362.3
2000
Arkansas
6-6
24.1
149.1
158.3
307.4
1999
Arkansas
8-4
18.9
103.3
201.6
304.9
1998
Arkansas
9-3
16.5
95.5
210.9
306.4




Tags: College Football Ole Miss Rebels Houston Nutt




Sportsbooks react to situations with Oregon and Miami-Florida

08.17.2011     06:26 AM     Printer Friendly
Sportsbooks reacting to two potentially impactful situations with Oregon/LSU and Miami (FL)/Maryland matchups currently off the board. News broke yesterday that Oregon quarterback Darron Thomas was in the car during Cliff Harris’ infamous 118 mph late night jaunt. According to Ducks head coach Chip Kelly however, Thomas will not be suspended or even disciplined. Nevertheless, offshore and Vegas sportsbooks are currently no longer offering odds on the game.

Meanwhile, Miami is in hot water after an incarcerated Ponzi schemer recently came forth and said he kept as many as 72 Hurricane football players "afloat" over and eight year stretch. And by Read more


Tags: College Football Miami (FL) Hurricanes Oregon Ducks




SEC Betting Results West vs. East 2008-10

08.16.2011     01:50 PM     Printer Friendly
Betting results for the SEC West vs. East over the last three seasons. Despite the perception of strong home fields throughout most of the league, road teams in this particular series have fared quite well, especially the West. West teams went 17-10 SU and 18-9 ATS on the road against the East. Ten of those 17 wins came as underdogs.

SEC Betting Results West vs. East 2008-10
Team
Home SU
Home ATS
Road SU
Road ATS
2011 Opponents
Alabama
4-0
1-3
4-1
4-1
at UF, vs. VAN, vs. TEN
Arkansas
2-2
2-2
2-3
4-1
at VAN, vs. SC, vs. TEN
Auburn
3-2
3-2
2-2
1-3
at SC, vs. UF, at UGA
LSU
2-2
0-3-1
4-1
4-1
vs. KEN, vs. UF, at TEN
Mississippi
2-3
2-3
2-2
2-2
at VAN, at KEN, vs. UGA
Mississippi State
3-2
4-1
3-1
3-1
at UGA, vs. SC, at KEN
Results
16-11
12-14-1
17-10
18-9
 
Team
Home SU
Home ATS
Road SU
Road ATS
2011 Opponents
Florida
2-3
1-4
3-1
2-2
vs. ALA, at AUB, at LSU
Georgia
1-3
1-3
3-2
2-3
at MISS, vs. MSU, vs. UF
Kentucky
1-3
1-3
2-3
3-2
at LSU, vs. MSU, vs. MISS
South Carolina
3-2
3-2
1-3
2-2
vs. AUB, at MSU, at ARK
Tennessee
2-3
2-3
0-4
3-1
vs. LSU, at ALA, at ARK
Vanderbilt
1-3
1-3
2-3
2-2-1
vs. MISS, at ALA, vs. ARK
Results
10-17
9-18
11-16
14-12-1
 




Tags: College Football SEC




NCAAF Betting Stock Watch: Senior experience means big things for Northwestern

08.16.2011     12:14 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Northwestern Wildcats – Head coach Pat Fitzgerald looks to build on three straight winning seasons with a host of experience back in Evanston. Fitzgerald, who has passed on other jobs, clearly bleeds purple and has the tools to make 2011 a very special season. The Wildcats obviously don’t have the resources of most big time programs around the country, and with their high academic standards it’s virtually impossible to churn out a true Big Ten title contender on a yearly basis.  But every so often we’ve seen this is a program pop for a big campaign and I project that type of success here thanks to a senior class with as many as 14 starters. 

Obviously, much will hinge on the play of stalwart quarterback Dan Persa who’s back after rupturing his Achilles late last year.  The fifth year senior was fantastic last season in completing over 73% of his passes with Read more


Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Pat Fitzgerald Erin Rynning Big Ten



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Marty Otto, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Alf Musketa, and Ian Cameron. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jun 18, 2013 08:06 PM.