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College Football Handicapping: Strength of Schedule for Bowl Game Matchups

12.13.2013     07:07 AM     Printer Friendly
Strength of schedule has long been a handicapping tool for college football bowl games. Below is a chart of this year's matchups and their Sagarin SOS ranking. There are 12 games with a difference of "50 or more." They are as followed...

1. Washington State (1) vs. Colorado State (105)
2. USC (14) vs. Fresno State (111)
3. Mississippi State (8) vs. Rice (103)
4. Pittsburgh (33) vs. Bowling Green (123)
5. Oregon State (12) vs. Boise State (93)
6. Notre Dame (17) vs. Rutgers (90)
7. North Carolina (52) vs. Cincinnati (120)
8. Maryland (72) vs. Marshall (126)
9. Arizona State (2) vs. Texas Tech (54)
10. San Diego  State (77) vs. Buffalo (128)
11. Stanford (4) vs. Michigan State (56)
12. Georgia (9) vs. Nebraska (59)

Of those 12 matchups, the team with the weaker SOS if favored twice (Bowling Green -5.5 vs. Pitt and Buffalo -2 vs. San Diego State).

2013 College Football Bowl Games - Strength of Schedule
Bowl
Team
SOS Rank
Team
SOS Rank
New Mexico
Colorado State
105
Washington State
1
Las Vegas
USC
14
Fresno State
111
Idaho Potato
Buffalo
128
San Diego State
77
New Orleans
UL-Lafayette
133
Tulane
98
Beef O' Brady
Ohio
129
East Carolina
108
Hawaii
Oregon State
12
Boise State
93
Little Caesars
Pittsburgh
33
Bowling Green
123
Poinsettia
Utah State
82
Northern Illinois
113
Military
Marshall
126
Maryland
72
Texas
Syracuse
48
Minnesota
46
Fight Hunger
Washington
13
BYU
35
Pinstripe
Rutgers
90
Notre Dame
17
Belk
Cincinnati
120
North Carolina
52
Russell
Miami (FL)
58
Louisville
107
Buffalo Wild Wings
Michigan
39
Kansas State
43
Armed Forces
Middle Tennessee
119
Navy
70
Music City
Ole Miss
10
Georgia Tech
42
Alamo
Texas
25
Oregon
28
Holiday
Texas Tech
54
Arizona State
2
Independence
Boston College
47
Arizona
18
Sun
Virginia Tech
41
UCLA
6
Liberty
Mississippi State
8
Rice
103
Chick fil-A
Duke
62
Texas A&M
29
Gator
Nebraska
59
Georgia
9
Heart of Dallas
UNLV
97
North Texas
117
Capital One
Wisconsin
49
South Carolina
30
Outback
Iowa
40
LSU
27
Rose
Michigan State
56
Stanford
4
Fiesta
Central Florida
92
Baylor
60
Sugar
Oklahoma
44
Alabama
45
Cotton
Oklahoma State
38
Missouri
31
Orange
Clemson
55
Ohio State
57
Compass
Houston
78
Vanderbilt
53
GoDaddy.com
Arkansas State
124
Ball State
137
BCS
Auburn
20
Florida State
63




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting: Kansas State looks to snap bowl win drought

12.12.2013     11:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan vs. Kansas State -3.5 O/U 56

For all the pointspread success Kansas State has had during Bill Synder's second stint in Manhattan (a very quiet 7-5 ATS this year), the Wildcats haven't had much of it in the postseason. Since Snyder's return in 2009, KSU is 0-3 SU/ATS. And as a program, they haven't won a bowl game since 2002.

2012: 35-17 SU/ATS (+8) Loss vs. Oregon
2011: 29-16 SU/ATS (+9) Loss vs. Arkansas
2010: 36-34 SU/ATS (+1) Loss vs. Syracuse
2006: 37-10 SU/ATS (+8.5) Loss vs. Rutgers
2003: 35-28 SU/ATS (-7) vs. Loss vs. Ohio State


“Nobody on our whole team has won a bowl game, with the exception of coaches,” junior linebacker Jonathan Truman said. “We need it and we want it really bad.

“We’ve tried our best in preparation in the past, the Read more



Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Michigan Wolverines Big Ten




College Football Gambling: San Diego State doesn't have much cold weather experience

12.12.2013     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buffalo -2.5 at San Diego State O/U 54

San Diego State talks about its preparation for the likelihood of cold weather at next Saturday's Famous Idaho Potato Bowl. According to one article, SDSU's 27-20 win at Air Force earlier this season was its coldest (49 degrees) game since 2009. Temperatures at last year's Potato Bowl were fairly mild (low 40's/high 30's). The current 10-day forecast (which has little to no accuracy) has game day temps in the high 20's.




Tags: College Football San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West Buffalo Bulls MAC




College Football Handicapping: Wisconsin looking for better defense vs. South Carolina

12.12.2013     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wisconsin -1 vs. South Carolina O/U 51

Wisconsin is eager to atone for it defensive mishaps in the regular season finale loss to Penn State. The Badgers allowed 465 totals yards after not having surrendered more than 391 in a Big Ten contest. Head coach Gary Andersen pointed out that it was the big plays that cost UW the game. South Carolina has at times shown big play ability this season with 20 plays of 50 yards or more. Against its three toughest offensive opponents, Arizona State, Ohio State, and BYU, Wisky allowed 26 ppg and 409.3 ypg (5.07 ypp).


"A lot of us got kind of a sick feeling in our stomach Read more



Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten South Carolina SEC




College Football Gambling Update: Gambler wants to hedge on Auburn bet

12.11.2013     01:58 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Looks like one of the bettors with an Auburn BCS Championship futures ticket will be hedging some of his bet.





College Football Gambling: Sportsbook exposed on Auburn BCS title bets

12.11.2013     07:48 AM     View Original Blog


Seems like every time there is an unexpected participant in a championship game reports surface of bettors holding juicy futures tickets. According to LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay, if Auburn wins the BCS National Championship, his sportsbook will take around a Read more



Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers SEC




College Football Handicapping: USC focuses on Las Vegas Bowl

12.11.2013     01:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some quotes following one of USC's recent practices. The focus was on getting over the departure of Ed Orgeron and trying to avoid another Sun Bowl disaster. The Trojans play Fresno State in the Las Vegas Bowl and week from Saturday.


"We can't underestimate no team," said defensive captain Hayes Pullard.  "We have to go in there and prepare like we are second place and play like we are first place."

"We have a goal," said interim head coach Clay Helton. "Any time you have faced the adversity that they have faced and you are going to get the opportunity to get your 10th win, that's pretty special.  That's what their ultimate goal is."

"I feel like the emotions have died," said DL George Uko.  "He was like a dad to us as a d-line and became a dad to the rest of them over the eight weeks, so it was a sad loss."





Tags: College Football USC Trojans PAC-12 Fresno State Bulldogs Mountain West




College Football Gambling: Sportsbook exposed on Auburn BCS title bets

12.11.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seems like every time there is an unexpected participant in a championship game reports surface of bettors holding juicy futures tickets. According to LVH oddsmaker Jay Kornegay, if Auburn wins the BCS National Championship, his sportsbook will take around a $50K hit.


“Being in the gambling world every once in a while you’re going to get in situations that might not be favorable for your property,” said Jay Kornegay, who runs the sports book at the LVH hotel in this gambling city. “This is one of them.”

“We’re a player friendly book and are very aggressive with our futures odds,” Kornegay said. “I wish we had opened them at 100-1, but we didn’t.”





Tags: College Football Auburn Tigers




College Football Handicapping: Early thoughts on Rose, Fiesta, Sugar, BCS and more

12.11.2013     07:38 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rose Bowl / Rose Bowl / Pasadena, CA
255 Michigan State
256 Stanford -2 (Power Rating)

Game Opened: Stanford -3 Total Not posted
Current Line: Stanford -4 or -4.5 Total Not yet posted

Early Thoughts
1. Obviously a battle of mirror images as similar style offenses and arguably the nation’s toughest defenses meet. Both teams are extremely happy to be in this game which should equate to 60 minutes of full effort from each side.   
  
2. Can’t help but feel the edge in this game goes to Stanford because they’ve produced equally stellar defensive results against far superior offensive competition. Indiana, Nebraska and Ohio State are the best offenses MSU faced this season and they allowed 28, 28, and 24 points to those teams for an average of 26.7 per game. The Spartans overall defensive numbers are somewhat skewed by the seven lousy offenses they played.             

3. The passing game and offensive line will be vital to each team’s success and probably determine the Read more


Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: CRIS vs. Rob Veno's Power Ratings - Bowl Games

12.10.2013     01:13 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Here's a chart of Rob Veno's Power Ratings vs. CRIS current numbers for the upcoming bowl season.

2013 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Bowl Games
Bowl
Team
Team
Veno Power
CRIS Current
New Mexico
Colorado State
Washington State
Washington State -4.5
Washington State -3.5
Las Vegas
USC
Fresno State
USC -5.5
USC -5.5
Idaho Potato
Buffalo
San Diego State
San Diego State -0.5
Buffalo -2.5
New Orleans
UL-Lafayette
Tulane
UL-Lafayette -5
N/L
Beef O' Brady
Ohio
East Carolina
East Carolina -12
East Carolina -13
Hawaii
Oregon State
Boise State
Boise State -2
Oregon State -2.5
Little Caesars
Pittsburgh
Bowling Green
Bowling Green -5
Bowling Green -6
Poinsettia
Utah State
Northern Illinois
Utah State -1
Northern Illinois -1.5
Military
Marshall
Maryland
Marshall -4
Marshall -2.5
Texas
Syracuse
Minnesota
Minnesota -7.5
Minnesota -4.5
Fight Hunger
Washington
BYU
Washington -3
Washington -3
Pinstripe
Rutgers
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -18.5
Notre Dame -15.5
Belk
Cincinnati
North Carolina
North Carolina -3.5
North Carolina -3
Russell
Miami (FL)
Louisville
Louisville -3.5
Louisville -3
Buffalo Wild Wings
Michigan
Kansas State
Kansas State pk
Kansas State -3
Armed Forces
Middle Tennessee
Navy
Navy -3
Navy -6
Music City
Ole Miss
Georgia Tech
Ole Miss -3.5
Ole Miss -3
Alamo
Texas
Oregon
Oregon -16
Oregon -13
Holiday
Texas Tech
Arizona State
Arizona State -12
Arizona State -13.5
Independence
Boston College
Arizona
Arizona -6
Arizona -7
Sun
Virginia Tech
UCLA
UCLA -7.5
UCLA -7
Liberty
Mississippi State
Rice
Mississippi State -7.5
Mississippi State -7
Chick fil-A
Duke
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -14
Texas A&M -11.5
Gator
Nebraska
Georgia
Georgia -7.5
Georgia -9
Heart of Dallas
UNLV
North Texas
North Texas -6.5
North Texas -6.5
Capital One
Wisconsin
South Carolina
South Carolina pk
Wisconsin -1
Outback
Iowa
LSU
LSU -10
LSU -7
Rose
Michigan State
Stanford
Stanford -2
Stanford -3.5
Fiesta
Central Florida
Baylor
Baylor -15.5
Baylor -16.5
Sugar
Oklahoma
Alabama
Alabama -16.5
Alabama -15
Cotton
Oklahoma State
Missouri
Missouri pk
Missouri -1
Orange
Clemson
Ohio State
Ohio State -6
Ohio State -3
Compass
Houston
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt -4
Vanderbilt -3
GoDaddy.com
Arkansas State
Ball State
Ball State -5.5
Ball State -9
BCS
Auburn
Florida State
Florida State -12.5
Florida State -9




Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Handicapping: Clawson out at Bowling Green, will not coach bowl game

12.10.2013     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly
Bowling Green just announced that head coach Dave Clawson will be headed to Wake Forest. Special teams/tight ends coach Adam Scheier will serve as BG's interim coach for the Little Caesars Bowl (Dec. 26).



Tags: College Football Bowling Green Falcons



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