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October

20

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: College Football Against The Spread Outliers

08.25.2014     07:23 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
College football season kicks off on Thursday Night. By Labor Day, we’ll have seen 78 teams play other FBS opponents and another 46 teams play against FCS foes, available for betting at many top books on the Extra Games board. How important are those Week 1 results when we project forward? What about Week 2 and Week 3? Read on to find out!

Twenty-four college football teams were pointspread outliers last year. Twelve squads hit 70% or better ATS. Twelve more squads hit 30% or worse for the full season. This falls within recent historical patterns – in every recent season, 20-25% of the teams are strong bet-on or bet against squads. If we broaden the base to 67% ATS wins or losses for the full season, it’s not unusual to see one third or more of the teams in college football fall into bet-on or bet-against categories.

In 2013, Auburn, Missouri, Florida State, Duke, Navy, North Texas, Houston, Florida Atlantic and Wisconsin all finished the season hitting 75% ATS or better, with Bowling Green, Colorado State, Georgia State right behind. And that list doesn’t even include significant moneymakers (9-4 ATS) like Baylor, UCLA, Minnesota, Tulane, Read more


Tags: College Football Teddy Covers




College Football Betting: Virigina Tech names former Texas Tech quarterback its starter

08.25.2014     07:13 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For the first time since 2011, Virginia Tech will have a new starting quarterback. Michael Brewer, who transferred from Texas Tech, was named the team's Week 1 starter. Brewer played in 13 games for the Red Raiders the last two seasons (51-of-58, 440 yards, 5 TDs, 0 INTs). Dating back to high school, Brewer has played almost exclusively in a shotgun/spread offense. He'll be asked to play under center with OC Scot Loeffler running more of a pro-style attack.


"Both guys are going to be needed in the season," said Tech offensive coordinator Scot Loeffler in the statement released by Tech. "You always need a good, solid starter and a good backup. Both of them need to be ready to go. Brenden Motley will be third on the depth chart and will continue to develop."

"I'd say when we're spread out and throwing the ball around, that's what I'm used to, stuff like that," said Brewer on Friday regarding his greatest strength as a quarterback since arriving at Virginia Read more



Tags: College Football Virginia Tech Hokies ACC




College Football Gambling: Vanderbilt goes with experience, names Robinette starting QB

08.22.2014     06:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Vanderbilt first-year head coach Derrick Mason has named Patton Robinette the team’s starting quarterback. Robinette was under center for historical wins over Georgia and Florida but his numbers weren't all too impressive (52.3%, 4 TDs, 5 INTs). He's the only signal caller on the roster with starting experience at the collegiate level.


"I think (playing experience) had little to do with it in the long run," Mason said after practice Thursday night. "For us, we were just looking for the most consistent guy day in and day out. He had very few lows, a lot of highs and really just did a great job of keeping his composure."



 



Tags: College Football Vanderbilt Commodores SEC




College Football Handicapping: Big XII conference schedule breakdown

08.21.2014     10:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With the Big XII having 10 teams and each team playing each other once there are obviously an uneven amount of conference games. Below is a breakdown of the home, road, and neutral games.

5 Home, 4 Road
Iowa State
Home: Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, West Virginia
Road: Oklahoma State, Texas, Kansas TCU

West Virginia
Home: Oklahoma, Kansas, Baylor, TCU, Kansas State
Road: Texas Tech, Oklahoma State, Texas, Iowa State

TCU
Home: Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Iowa State
Road: Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas, Texas

4 Home, 4 Road, 1 neutral
Texas Tech
Home: West Virginia, Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma
Road: Oklahoma State, Kansas State, TCU, Iowa State
Neutral: Baylor (Arlington)

Baylor
Home: TCU, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Kansas State
Road: Iowa State, Texas, West Virginia, Oklahoma
Neutral: Texas Tech (Arlington)

Oklahoma
Home: Kansas State, Baylor, Kansas, Oklahoma State
Road: West Virginia, TCU, Iowa State, Texas Read more


Tags: College Football Big XII




College Football Gambling: Returning quarterback has historically meant good things for K-State

08.21.2014     09:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kansas State's Bill Snyder has a pretty impressive track record with a returning quarterback under center. The last five times it has occurred the most recent in 2013 with Colin Klein the Wildcats have gone on to win 11 games. Jake Waters is back after throwing for 2,469 yards with 18 TDs and 9 INTs. Getting to 11 wins will be a daunting task according to the betting markets with KSU lined at 7.5ov-144 wins at Pinnacle. The Wildcats play five of their nine Big XII games on the road including trips to Oklahoma and Baylor.


“The expectations we put on ourselves are way higher than last year and way higher than anything anyone else is going to put on us,” Waters said. “We are a very confident group with what we have coming back, but we also know how hard we have to go out and work to win. We have a chance to be a special team.”





Tags: College Football Kansas State Wildcats Big XII




College Fotball Gambling Update: CRIS reopens Ohio State -12.5 at Navy

08.20.2014     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

A lot of talk over the last 48 hours about how oddsmakers and the betting markets would react to Ohio State's Braxton Miller being out for the year. The Buckeyes were 17-point road favorites at Navy for Week 1 before sportsbooks pulled the game off the board. CRIS just reopened the game -12.5.





College Football Gambling Alert: Sportsbooks take Ohio State-Navy off the board following Miller injury

08.19.2014     07:02 AM     View Original Blog


Ohio State's Braxton Miller reportedly re-injured his shoulder during yesterday's Read more



Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Betting Podcast 8-19-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno

08.19.2014     09:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange broke down all 13 teams in the MAC.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - MAC Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football MAC Rob Veno




College Football Gambling Alert: Sportsbooks take Ohio State-Navy off the board following Miller injury

08.19.2014     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ohio State's Braxton Miller reportedly re-injured his shoulder during yesterday's practice and is awaiting results on an MRI. During Braxton's absence last year, the Buckeyes didn't miss a beat with Kenny Guiton (14-2 TD-INT ratio) under center. Guiton however has since graduated leaving redshirt freshman J.T. Barrett as the team's top option. Barrett obviously has no game experience but saw plenty of work in spring practice while Braxton was recovering from offseason shoulder surgery. The Buckeyes open the season at Navy. Prior to Miller's injury, OSU was a 17-point road favorite. Most sportsbooks have since taken the game off the board.



Tags: College Football Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Football Gambling: Purdue names sophomore Etling starting QB

08.18.2014     12:57 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There weren't many BCS conference passing attacks as bad as Purdue last season as the Boilermakers ranked 108th nationally in QB Rating (111.8). Rob Henry was nothing short of a disaster and midseason the Boilermakers went the youth route with freshman Danny Etling. Etling took his lumps but did close the season strong (67%, 670 yards, 6 TDs, 2 INTs) albeit against much softer competition (Penn State, Illinois, and Indiana). Second-year head coach Darrell Hazell recently named Etling the team's Week 1 starter vs. Western Michigan. The Boilermakers are currently 11-point home chalk.

 






Tags: College Football Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten




College Football Betting: Tennessee Volunteers go with Worley

08.14.2014     02:00 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Gotta love it when coaches announce their starting quarterback and tell us Player X gives the team its best chance to win.  What they really want to say is, "Listen, there is no way in hell I'm starting a true frosh or the JC transfer who we wasted a scholarship on. That leaves the guy who played last year even though he stunk. Next question." You can't help but feel that is the situation for Tennessee’s Butch Jones who earlier today announced that Justin Worley earned the starting gig. In four games vs. the SEC last year, Worley's QB rating was 108.3. The Vols are 6.5-point home favorites over Utah State to open the season.


"Right now Justin Worley gives this football team and this football program the best opportunity to win," Jones said via GoVols247.








Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 20, 2014 03:44 PM.