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College Football Betting Preview: Boise State Broncos at Michigan State Spartans
08.29.2012 10:49 AM
ER Sports
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports
Boise State
at
Michigan State
Erin Rynning's Recommendation:
Under
Friday, 5 pm PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -4.5 O/U 51.5
CRIS Current:
Michigan State -6.5 O/U 46
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Michigan State -6
It’s difficult to write off Boise State in this contest as a +7 underdog. All they’ve done over the seven year tenure of head coach Chris Petersen is produce a 73-6 record. Keep in mind they’ve also beaten Oregon, Virginia Tech and Georgia in their last three season openers. Of course, the immense question in this clash is what Boise will bring to the table after huge losses on both sides of the football. No question, this is a much, much different team than at any time under Petersen. The Broncos have to replace quarterback Kellen Moore who posted the best record of any signal caller in college football history, along with five
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Tags:
College Football
Boise State Broncos
Moutain West
Michigan State Spartans
Big Ten
Erin Rynning
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NCAAF ATS Notes: No A/C, secret game planning highlight Northwestern-Syracuse
08.29.2012 07:04 AM
Printer Friendly
Northwestern
-1.5 at
Syracuse
O/U 53.5
Northwestern has been limited in its
game planning
for Week 1's opener against Syracuse because the Orange closed spring practices to the public. Also note that the Carrier Dome (named for a company which makes air conditioners) is
not air conditioned
.
“Obviously they’re changing some things,” Fitzgerald said, “or else they would not have closed practice.”
“Game-plan wise we could take the whole dang thing, potentially, and throw it out after the first quarter,” Fitzgerald said Monday. “We’ll try to be as prepared as we can be but be
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Tags:
College Football
Northwestern Wildcats
Big Ten
Syracuse Orange
Big East
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College Football Gambling Trends: How team fare without a bye week
08.29.2012 06:42 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Revisiting a blog from last year that tracked the results of college football teams without a bye week during the regular season. The theory is that these teams will eventually wear down both physically and mentally. The results (last three games SU and ATS) aren’t mind-blowing, but the 37% SU winning percentage does stands out. Note that in 2009, virtually the entire Big Ten didn’t have a bye so the numbers are somewhat skewed with “none bye teams” often playing one another. If you completely eliminate the ’09 Big Ten, the overall numbers are even stronger at 23-49 SU and 30-41-1 ATS.
Like most of our studies, we aren’t necessarily looking for a formula to bet blind – they rarely if ever exist. Rather, we find schedule situations that can put teams at an advantage or disadvantage. In the case of not having a bye week, it certainly isn’t helpful and a factor worth adding to your handicap.
Some schools (marked with asterisks) had their bye in Week 1 and played continuously for the remainder of the season. We included them because it really doesn’t serve as an advantage.
This year,
California,
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College Football
Andrew Lange
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A must have for bettors: Rob Veno's College Football Power Ratings
08.28.2012 02:00 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's
College Football Power Ratings
are now available. Rob's been providing his numbers to the betting public for years – a fabulous tool for bettors looking for soft sports in the market. Rob will also have NFL Power Ratings following Week 4 of the preseason.
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College Football
Rob Veno
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College Football Betting Preview: Clemson Tigers vs. Auburn Tigers
08.28.2012 01:40 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Clemson
-3.5 vs.
Auburn
Rob Veno's Recommendation:
Auburn
Saturday, 4 pm PT, Atlanta - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
Clemson -1 O/U 59.5
CRIS Current:
Clemson -3.5 O/U 55.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Clemson -3.5
Highly anticipated matchup at the Georgia Dome on Saturday as Clemson looks to shake off the memory of last season’s Orange Bowl humiliation while Auburn seeks revenge for last year’s 38-24 loss and to prove it is still an SEC threat after a subpar 2011 campaign.
There are a host of interesting circumstances in this game which makes it a tricky handicap. From the Clemson side, they’ll be without sophomore star WR Sammy Watkins (suspended for the first two games) and a quartet of NFL draft selections. They also have a new defensive coordinator in Brent Venables who comes over from Oklahoma. The losses of Watkins and TE Dwayne Allen means that 17 of the 30 catches from last
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Clemson Tigers
Auburn Tigers
Rob Veno
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College Football Gambling: Florida goes with QB rotation vs. Bowling Green
08.28.2012 12:53 PM
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Bowling Green
at
Florida
-29 O/U 48
Perhaps not a good sign that Florida is going with a
quarterback rotation
for their Week 1 opener against Bowling Green. Head coach Will Muschamp said either Jacoby Brissett or Jeff Driskel will play the first quarter while the other will play the second quarter. At halftime, the coaching staff will reevaluate the situation. Muschamp said he's not concerned with the QB position but bettors should be, especially if you missed -23 on the opener and are considering laying the current price of -29. When a coach can't commit to one quarterback it more often than not means none of the candidates were good enough to earn the job.
"I think both guys are good
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Florida Gators
SEC
Bowling Green Falcons
MAC
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College Football Betting Preview: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen
08.28.2012 07:43 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
Notre Dame
vs
Navy
Alf Musketa's Recommendation:
Navy
Saturday, 6 am PT, Dublin, Ireland - CBS
CRIS Opener:
Notre Dame -17 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current:
Notre Dame -16 O/U 57
Rob Veno's Power Rating:
Notre Dame -11.5
One would think a team named the Fighting Irish would have a tremendous advantage playing in Dublin, Ireland. Not so fast. A closer look reveals Notre Dame with many injuries and suspensions for this Week 1 contest. Quarterback Tommy Rees, running back Cierre Wood, cornerback Lo Wood, linebacker Carlo Calabrese and the defensive line which is down to three healthy starters spells potential disaster against a Navy team who at the start of the season is always in tip-top shape.
Notre Dame head coach Brian Kelly has said, "We are working on it every day." He is referring to the Midshipmen's triple option running attack and yes with the entire offseason
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Alf Musketa
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College Football Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars at BYU Cougars
08.28.2012 06:47 AM
Otto Sports
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Submitted by Otto Sports
Washington State
at
BYU
Marty Otto’s Recommendation:
Washington State
Thursday, 7:15 PT - ESPN
CRIS Opener:
BYU -13.5 O/U 58.5
CRIS Current:
BYU -13 O/U 62
Reb Veno's Power Rating:
BYU -10.5
An early season ESPN game has caught my attention and I think the underdog could have some bite. Washington State travels to Provo to take on a BYU team that won 10 games a year ago. Those 10 wins marked the fifth time in seven prior seasons that the Cougars had posted double-digit wins under Bronco Mendenhall.
BYU obviously has a solid pedigree; they are well coached and boast a solid home field advantage having gone 27-4 straight up here since 2006. Whereas a bit of a quarterback controversy and identity crisis (are we a running team or throwing team?) popped up last year, 2012’s squad looks quite settled. Reports out of Provo suggest the offense looks as dangerous as it has in
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Washington State Cougars
PAC-12
BYU Cougars
Marty Otto
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College Football Handicapping: Alf Musketa's Line Moves Report
08.28.2012 06:08 AM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
In this edition of my line moves report, we'll discuss several significant changes in the college football betting markets. Some of the numbers on key games have been out for over two months, and yet some have not moved at all. I'll tell you why and which way I think they will go.
South Carolina
at
Vanderbilt
South Carolina opened -4, now -6.5
The first game on the board of the 2012 college football season was hit hard at the opening and we can certainly see why with potential Heisman running back Marcus Lattimore returning to action and a defense that is one of the best in the nation starting seven seniors. Vandy was much improved going 6-7 last season from 2-10 two years ago but they are not the sexy public team here. What I saw was early market players grabbing -6 or less, the public and square sharps jumping on board to take it to -7 and then on Monday the market players taking +7 back. In today's betting market you must be
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Alf Musketa
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College Football Gambling: Auburn hopes experience, new DC will spark turnaround
08.27.2012 12:03 PM
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We think it’s reasonable to project that Auburn's defense will be improved in 2012. With only three returning starters, the Tigers finished 10th or 11th in the SEC in every major defensive category last season. This year, they welcome back as many as nine starters and brought in a new coordinator, Brian VanGorder (DC Atlanta Falcons, Georgia). According to
local reports
, due to the team's lack of experience, they were forced to play a lot of vanilla packages. That is all expected to change under VanGorder who is installing much more sophisticated schemes.
“He laid down the ground rules,” senior defensive back T’Sharvan Bell said. “He said I’m not compromising with anybody. It was going to be his way or no way. That kind of lit up everyone’s eyes that this guy is for real. That’s what we needed. We needed someone who is straightforward and is going to tell you the truth.”
“It means a
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Auburn Tigers
SEC
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