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Backyard Brawl Gambling: West Virginia and Pitt try to stay in Big East race
11.22.2011 09:47 AM
Printer Friendly
Pittsburgh
at
West Virginia
-6.5 O/U 57
The
Backyard Brawl rivalry
commences this weekend in Morgantown with West Virginia playing host to Pittsburgh. Perhaps some bad blood between the two head coaches as Dana Holgorsen accused (and supposedly caught) then Tulsa coach Todd Graham of having his player fake injuries to slow down the Cougars' offense during a 2009 game.
Both teams come in off of bye weeks and are 3-2 in Big East play with two games remaining. Louisville and Rutgers are 4-2 but close out the regular season on the road.
"Yeah, they were cheating," Holgorsen told radio station KGOW-AM in Houston. "We've got some inside information on how they did it."
"It goes back to the coaching thing," Holgorsen said. "There is always a tremendous amount of respect when it comes to coaching
Read more
Tags:
College Football
West Virginia Mountaineers
Pittsburgh Panthers
Big East
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College Football Gambling: Monte Kiffin didn't agree with oddsmakers prior to Oregon game
11.22.2011 07:26 AM
Printer Friendly
If you were to guess a coach who follows the pointspread and uses it to motivate his team, USC's
Lane Kiffin
(correction, it was actuallly his dad, Monte) would probably be one of your first few choices. Monte
checked out the line
prior to last Saturday's game against Oregon and was shocked – he claimed +19, though offshore the game opened +14/+15, peaked +17, and closed +15. Wonder what Kiffin thinks about the -14.5 his Trojans are laying against rival UCLA on Saturday?
"On Monday, I was checking the point spread," Kiffin said Monday on the Mason & Ireland Show on 710 ESPN radio. "I loved it. I put it on the first time we met, Tuesday morning, with the defense and I said, '19-point underdog? Are you kidding me?' We were eight-and-a-half point [underdogs] at Notre Dame and we thought that was a lot.
"Bring it on, baby. I love it."
Tags:
College Football
USC Trojans
PAC-12
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NCAAF Gambling News: Arizona State's Erickson rumored to be on his way out
11.21.2011 07:55 AM
Printer Friendly
California
at
Arizona State
-5.5
It doesn't look like Arizona State head coach Dennis Erickson is going to be around for the 2012 season. Rumors are circulating that the long time head coach will
retire at the end of the year
. The Sun Devils are in the midst of one off their annual meltdowns – 0-3 SU/ATS run. With USC ineligible for the postseason and a 4-1 start to PAC-12 play, ASU look primed to represent the PAC-12 South Division in the conference championship. On Saturday however, Arizona State below a 10-point fourth quarter lead to rival Arizona. It was the second straight game ASU lost outright as a double-digit favorite. Erickson denied the rumors that he was stepping down and told reporters that there is
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College Football Handicapper Free Pick: Clemson Tigers at NC State Wolfpack
11.18.2011 10:57 AM
ER Sports
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Clemson
-7.5 at
NC State
O/U 52.5
Recommendation: Over
Clemson takes its high octane offense to Raleigh this weekend. A lot of buzz was made in the off-season as the Tigers brought in Chad Morris to serve as offensive coordinator. Morris, of course, is part of a new wave of Texas high school coordinators that employ a run-and-gun philosophy. The changes Morris made have produced some incredibly productive offensive spurts – 624 yards of offense against Auburn one of many examples. What makes this offense a bit unique is their reliance on the deep pass with quarterback Taj Boy – big chunks of yards and quick points. Meanwhile, NC State has certainly played the role of an under team (0-4 O/U run). However, that provides value for us in this contest with the short number of 52. The ACC has set-up as more of an under conference this season with a litany of questionable offenses and quarterbacks while a few stout defenses remain. In its last four games NC
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Erin Rynning
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College Football Handicapping: Analyzing this week's situational plays
11.18.2011 07:07 AM
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There are a number of college football games this week with situations involving inflated lines, look-ahead games and momentum versus letdown. It’s important at this time of the college football season to recognize which teams have ‘tossed the towel’ with either a losing season ensured or underachieving overall. Likewise, there are stronger teams that may not have top energy and effort with more meaningful games ahead. It’s important to not get caught analyzing only statistical profiles when late season games dictate more motivational and situational factors. Here are some games and situations for you to consider this weekend.
Oklahoma State
-27 at
Iowa State
(Friday) – Another mismatch it appears for undefeated Oklahoma State and its explosive offense. After four straight Big Xll beatings by at least 15 points, Iowa State bounced back with a pair of conference wins and now play its final home game following a bye week. In two weeks,
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Fairway Jay: Cashing in on college football situational handicapping
11.18.2011 06:55 AM
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We cashed another 20* Big Drive last Saturday with our college football Underdog Game of the Month when Navy (+9) beat SMU 24-17. Following another weekday winner on Western Michigan Wednesday, our top-rated college football Big Drive plays are 12-7, 63% the past six weeks and providing plenty of profit in all of our football selections this season.
Regular Fairway followers that check my weekly blogs, updates and rushing guidelines know that Navy was likely to continue its strong rushing attack even against a pretty statistically solid SMU run defense. Navy rolled up 335 total yards; all of it via their ground-and-pound option attack with just two passes and 64 running plays. Teams that outrush their opponent have covered the pointspread at a 77% rate this season (over 250 game sample).
But the situation with SMU last week was not a favorable one, and something you can look for and identify for future seasons. Few situations are stronger than this proven profile I have utilized for profit in many college football seasons. Preparing for Navy’s triple-option attack in the middle of a conference season can result in many struggles for opposing teams.
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College Football Betting Preview: New Mexico State Aggies at BYU Cougars
11.17.2011 11:37 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
New Mexico State
+22.5 at
BYU
O/U 60.5
Recommendation: New Mexico State
I've backed New Mexico State on multiple occasions this season and had fairly good results. The Aggies are much improved across the board and have been competitive in nearly all of their games this season. They have two competent quarterbacks in Matt Christian and Travaughn Colwell and enough of a run game (141.2 ypg) to keep opposing teams honest. BYU may be 7-3 but can hardly be considered an elite level team. Last week they crushed Idaho 42-7 but the Vandals were off a rare victory and showed absolutely no effort from the opening whistle. The Cougars are back with Jake Heaps at quarterback after Riley Nelson was hurt last game. They are both essentially the same player (Nelson more of a runner) in terms of production but the constant shuffling has created inconsistency and lack of continuity with the offense. And prior to the win over Idaho, BYU hadn’t posted a blowout win despite a
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Andrew Lange
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NCAAF Betting Notes: Southern Miss eager for revenge over UAB
11.17.2011 08:22 AM
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Southern Miss
-23 at
UAB
O/U 61
Two things in play for tonight's UAB-Southern Miss contest. The first is the C-USA East Division title which the Golden Eagles can wrap up with a victory. The second is a bit of
revenge
after the Blazers upset USM as 10.5-point underdogs in a wild 50-49 overtime affair last season. In fact, UAB beat Southern Miss 30-17 in 2009 as well, again as 10.5-point dogs. Won't be easy though as the pointspread has been heavily adjusted for USM's success and UAB's failures this season.
“We want to get them back, not just for the game two years ago but for last year when they came in here and beat us,” Southern Miss offensive lineman Austin Quattrochi said. “We definitely have a chip on our shoulder coming into Thursday.”
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College Football Pointspread News: Washington State to start frosh QB
11.16.2011 11:18 AM
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Utah
-3.5 at
Washington State
O/U 50.5
Washington State is down to its third-string quarterback but he may be the their best option. Jeff Tuel was injured earlier this season and hasn’t recovered. Marshall Lobbestael took over for Tuel and performed adequately for but didn't offer much in terms of big play ability. He started last week's game against Arizona State but was replaced by freshman Connor Halliday. Halliday made the most of his opportunity by tossing for nearly 500 yards and four touchdowns as the Cougars won 37-27. We got a chance to watch Halliday in action and though somewhat unconventional with his throwing motion, he looked very comfortable in the pocket. Don't expect a repeat performance but with a shot at a bowl, the
Cougars and Halliday
enter this one with some confidence.
"He's got a great knack,"
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NCAAF Betting Notes: Washington QB Price doubtful vs. Oregon State
11.16.2011 07:35 AM
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Washington
at
Oregon State
Washington got some good news yesterday as quarterback Keith Price's MRI (knee) showed no damage. He was however noticeably
limping at practice
. The question now becomes, is it
worth it to play Price
at less than 100% with the Apple Cup looming? The Huskies are already bowl eligible at 6-4 and obviously have no shot at winning the PAC-12 North Division. Price has been phenomenal this season with the league's third-best QB rating. But he has taken a beating with ankle, shoulder and now knee problems. If Price doesn't play, the Huskies would turn to freshman Nick Montana who has seen action in four games this season. UW opened as a 3.5-point road favorite but most sportsbooks have taken the game off
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