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College Football Betting Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan State Spartans

10.01.2014     06:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Nebraska at Michigan State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Michigan State -8 O/U 58
CRIS Current: Michigan State -7 O/U 58
Rob Veno’s Power Rating: Michigan State -10
Andrew Lange’s Recommendation: Michigan State

Thanks to yesterday's market move we can step in and grab the key number of -7 with Michigan State as it plays host to Nebraska this Saturday. The Spartans were as high as -9 on Monday but some bettors appear to be buying into the Cornhuskers' 5-0 start.

In typical Nebraska fashion we've seen flashes of solid play as well as ineptitude throughout the first month of the season. They were lucky to beat FCS McNeese State, crushed Fresno on the road, played "box score even" with Miami, and then bashed Illinois who was without its starting quarterback. During those swatch of games, the Cornhuskers establishing a run-first identity with over 1,774 Read more

Tags: College Football Nebraska Cornhuskers Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Andrew Lange

College Football Handicapping: CRIS vs. Power Ratings Week 6

09.30.2014     02:43 PM     Printer Friendly
Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week 6.

2014 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 6
Away Team
Home Team
Veno Power
CRIS Current
Florida Atlantic
Florida International
Florida Atlantic -9.5
Florida Atlantic -6.5
Central Florida
Central Florida -1
Houston -3
Oregon -19.5
Oregon -23
Louisville -6
Louisville -2.5
San Diego State
Fresno State
San Diego State -0.5
Fresno State -3
Utah State
BYU -16.5
BYU -21
Georgia -31
Georgia -33.5
Wake Forest
Florida State
Florida State -37
Florida State -38.5
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL) -0.5
Miami (FL) -2
North Texas
Indiana -8
Indiana -13.5
Illinois -10
Illinois -10
Ohio State
Ohio State -10
Ohio State N/L
East Carolina
East Carolina -27
East Carolina -41
Cincinnati -8
Cincinnati -4
Virginia -4
Virginia -6.5
Central Michigan
Central Michigan -3.5
Central Michigan -4
West Virginia
West Virginia -20
West Virginia -26
Western Michigan
Toledo -10
Toledo -5
Old Dominion
Marshall -16
Marshall -17.5
Virginia Tech
North Carolina
North Carolina -0.5
Virginia Tech -1.5
Kent State
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois -20
Northern Illinois -24
Wisconsin -11
Wisconsin -8
Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) -6
Miami (OH) -3.5
South Alabama
Appalachian State
South Alabama -7.5
South Alabama -4.5
South Carolina
South Carolina -11
South Carolina -5
Ball State
Ball State -1
Army -2.5
Bowling Green
Bowling Green -13
Bowling Green -5
Eastern Michigan
Akron -22
Akron -22.5
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State -10
Kansas State N/L
Rice -5
Rice -6.5
Colorado State
Colorado State -15
Colorado State -15
Georgia State
Louisiana-Lafayette -19
Louisiana-Lafayette -16.5
Notre Dame
Stanford -1.5
Stanford -1
Arizona State
USC -8
USC -11.5
Auburn -8
Auburn -7.5
Air Force
Navy -6.5
Navy -4
Oklahoma -6.5
Oklahoma -4
Florida -2
Tennessee -2.5
Baylor -12
Baylor -16.5
Iowa State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State -17
Oklahoma State -17
Alabama -6.5
Alabama -6
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
Texas A&M -4
Mississippi State -1.5
UCLA -11.5
UCLA -13
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech -12
Louisiana Tech -12
Southern Miss
Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State -17.5
Middle Tennessee State -18
Oregon State
Oregon State -8.5
Oregon State -7
Washington State
Washington State -4
Washington State -3
Texas State
Texas State -15.5
Texas State -17
Rutgers -0.5
Rutgers -3
New Mexico
UTSA -19
UTSA -17
Arkansas State
Arkansas State -10
Arkansas State -11
NC State
Clemson -15
Clemson -14
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky -11
Western Kentucky -9
Michigan State
Michigan State -10
Michigan State -7
Georgia Southern
New Mexico State
Georgia Southern -14.5
Georgia Southern -17.5
San Jose State
San Jose State -11.5
San Jose State -10
Boise State
Boise State -2.5
Boise State -3.5

Tags: College Football Rob Veno

College Football Betting Podcast 9-30-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno

09.30.2014     10:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Ian Cameron and Rob Veno. Ian covered the Big XII while Rob discussed early Week 6 line moves.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - Big XII Report

Rob Veno - College Football Week 6 Line Moves

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Football Big XII Ian Cameron Rob Veno Andrew Lange

College Footbal Gambling: Oregon struggling to cover big numbers

09.30.2014     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Article on Arizona's prep for Thursday's game vs. Oregon. The Wildcats embarrassed the Ducks last year in Tucson, 42-16. It smells of a revenge spot but Sportsmemo Handicapper Paul Stone pointed out that the Ducks are on an 0-6 ATS run at favorites of 18.5 or more dating back to last season. They are currently -23.5 vs. the Wildcats.

Oregon -23 vs. Washington State = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -42 vs. Wyoming = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -52 vs. South Dakota = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -24 vs. Oregon State = SU Win, ATS Loss
Oregon -20.5 vs. Arizona = SU Loss, ATS Loss
Oregon -28.5 vs. Utah = SU Win, ATS Loss

Tags: College Football Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks PAC-12

College Football Betting: Texas well aware of big underdog status vs. Baylor

09.30.2014     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Baylor -16.5 at Texas

Texas head coach Charlie Strong needs to refresh his odds screen. You were 14-point dogs for all of a few hours, Chuck.

On being the underdog: “Well, I don’t have a choice. I’m a 14 point underdog, 14 point spread right now. We’re going to have to play really well. We’re going to have to play really well to be in the ballgame.”

Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Big XII

College Football Handicapping: Early line moves for Week 6

09.30.2014     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick look at some of the early moves in the Week 6 college football betting markets.

Louisville at Syracuse
CRIS Opener: Louisville -4.5
CRIS Current: Louisville -2.5
Comment: Louisville quarterback Will Gardner (knee) didn't play vs. Wake Forest and is questionable vs. Syracuse.

Miami (FL) at Georgia Tech
CRIS Opener: Georgia Tech -1.5
CRIS Current: Miami (FL) -2
Comment: GT off huge win at Virginia Tech. Canes have somehow won five straight in the series including last year's 45-30 blowout.

SMU at East Carolina
CRIS Opener: East Carolina -34.5
CRIS Current: East Carolina -41
Comment: ECU with an extra week to digest blowout of UNC. SMU with 12 points YTD.

Kansas at West Virginia
CRIS Opener: West Virginia -22
CRIS Current: West Virginia -26.5
Comment: Mountaineers off of a bye week. Kansas finally rid itself of Charlie Weis.

South Carolina at Kentucky
CRIS Opener: South Carolina -7.5
CRIS Current: South Carolina -5.5
Comment: Following last second loss to Missouri, markets Read more

Tags: College Football

College Football Gambling: Florida State still winless on the year against the spread

09.30.2014     07:19 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The BCS Championship hangover continues for Florida State as the Seminoles are 0-4 ATS on the year. After allowing 12.1 ppg in 2013, the defense ranks 64th nationally in yards per play (5.6) vs. FBS foes. In last week's come-from-behind win over NC State, the Seminoles missed 33 tackles. FSU will try to notch its first spread cover of the year laying -38.5 vs. Wake Forest on Saturday.

"Yes, it is," Fisher said Monday when asked if Saturday's game resulted in the most missed tackles since he's been at FSU. "And the bad part [is] we were in position to make a lot of plays. I mean, it wasn't like you were out of position. I mean, the calls were there. We're there. We've gotta tackle better."

Tags: College Football Florida State Seminoles Wake Forest Demon Deacons ACC

College Football Betting: Ugly teams deliver pointspread wins

09.29.2014     07:43 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
This past weekend was a great one for "ugly" teams in college football. And by "ugly" we mean teams that had vastly underachieved the first month of the season leaving bettors little reason to offer their support. But "ugliness" can be overcompensated for in the betting markets and these teams not only had value but came through with their best efforts of the season. Let's take a look...

Northwestern - The Wildcats had looked horrible during their 1-2 SU/0-3 start. Questions loomed whether or not Pat Fitzgerald was losing the team and with Penn State and Wisconsin on deck, a 1-4 start seemed likely. But bettors witnessed a reborn NU squad that was dynamic offensively and stout defensively in Saturday's 29-6 drubbing of Penn State. The Nittany Lions were no doubt flat but it was the first time all season that Northwestern played up to its capabilities and some. NW is catching +9.5 at home vs. the Badgers on Saturday.

Florida International - Make no mistake, Ron Turner isn't a good coach and the Panthers are still one of the worst teams in the country. But pointspreads have a way of offsetting Read more

Tags: College Football Northwestern Wildcats Florida International Panthers Vanderbilt Commodores Andrew Lange

College Football Gambling: Texas Tech trending in wrong direction

09.29.2014     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Despite a slew of issues and injuries, Texas Tech managed to escape Stillwater with a pointspread cover (+14) in last Thursday’s 45-35 loss. But with quarterback Davis Webb's status for Saturday at Kansas State in doubt and the team's inability to correct correctable issues (turnovers, penalties) the Red Raiders could be headed towards a losing season. TTU has lost the turnover battle with a negative margin in all four games. In terms of penalty yardage, they have nearly double (442) their opposition (221). And since starting 7-0, Kliff Kingsbury is on a 2-7 run vs. FBS competition.

“We would play to Pat’s strengths. He does some things really well. We’d make sure we’re calling plays that he likes,” coach Kliff Kingsbury said.

“There’s no magical thing we can do to stop this,” Tech senior wide receiver Marquez said. “It’s just got to be as a player you’ve got to know when you can do certain things and when you cannot. Rules are rules. You can’t hold.

Read more

Tags: College Football Texas Tech Red Raiders Big XII

College Football Handicapping: Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6

09.29.2014     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Week 6's breakdown of Golden Nugget's Game of the Year lines vs. CRIS's current numbers. It's a great tool to spot changes in perception from oddsmakers and the betting markets. A lot of opinions have obviously changed since the summer, most notably with Baylor and TCU. Most projected the Bears to take a step back this season but oddsmakers continue to struggle with pricing this team. Note than the current -14.5 was bet up from an opener of -12.5. Oklahoma is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS and has looked the part of a playoff contender. But in the eyes of most TCU (3-0 SU/ATS) is much improved with blowout wins over Samford, Minnesota, and SMU. This week's outcome will likely have a big impact on how the Horned Frogs are priced in October with games at Baylor, vs. Oklahoma State, vs. Texas Tech, and at West Virginia.

2014 College Football Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 6
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Oregon -25
Oregon -22.5
Louisville -1
Louisville -3.5
Auburn -6.5
Auburn -9
Arizona State
USC -11
USC -10
Miami (FL)
Georgia Tech
Miami (FL) -4
Georgia Tech pk
Georgia -24
Georgia -32
Wisconsin -7
Wisconsin -10
Ole Miss
Alabama -9
Alabama -5
Virginia Tech
North Carolina
North Carolina -10
North Carolina pk
NC State
Clemson -23
Clemson -14
Baylor -3
Baylor -14.5
Texas A&M
Mississippi State
Mississippi State -3
Mississippi State -1
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State -7
Kansas State N/L
Boise State
Boise State -6
Boise State -2.5
Oklahoma -14
Oklahoma -5
Florida -4.5
Florida -1
Notre Dame
Stanford -6
Stanford -1
Michigan State
Michigan State -8
Michigan State -9.5

Tags: College Football Baylor Bears TCU Horned Frogs Big XII


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