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College Football Handicapping: What to do with bad football teams?

09.17.2013     12:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We're through Week 3 of the college football season and for a few teams it's been a struggle. Some of those struggles oddsmakers and bettors spotted well in advance while others weren't as obvious. Let's take a look at some of these teams and decide whether or not they have "bet on" potential moving forward.

Wake Forest (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) - For years the Demon Deacons fielded a competitive team with pointspread value under long-time head coach Jim Grobe. But the program has unquestionably deteriorated with records of 5-7, 3-9, 6-7, and 5-7 the last four years. Even with solid turnover margins of +8 and +9 – a staple under Grobe –the last two seasons, Wake looks outmanned and slow compared to the rest of the ACC. They're off to a 1-2 start and once again can't run the football (86.3 ypg) or find consistency in the passing game with senior Tanner Price. This is likely a do-or-die season Grobe and I don't see many more chances for straight up wins on the schedule. This week's price of -3 at Army tells us all we need to know about Wake's place in the betting markets.

Florida International (0-3 SU/ATS) - Pretty Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting: Syracuse names Hunt starting quarterback

09.17.2013     11:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulane at Syracuse -15 O/U 54.5

Syracuse is making a change at quarterback with sophomore Terrel Hunt getting the start against Tulane. Senior Drew Allen started the Orange's first three games and was replaced by Hunt during last week's win over Wagner. Note that Allen, who has undoubtedly struggled (2 TDs, 6 INTs),, played against Northwestern and Penn State while Hunt played a half against Wagner (15-for-18, 265 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT).


"We'll take it one series at a time and one game at a time," Shafer said. "And as long as the production is where we expect it to be, then whoever is getting those snaps will continue to play."







Tags: College Football Syracuse Orange ACC Tulane Green Wave C-USA




College Football Betting Podcast 9-17-2013 with Handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron

09.17.2013     10:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tuesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicappers Rob Veno and Ian Cameron. Brian recapped Week 3 College Football (SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC) and Ian did the same (Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC).

Today's segments
Full Show

Rob Veno - CFB Week 3 Recap: SEC, Big XII, ACC, AAC

Ian Cameron - CFB Week 3 Recap: Sun Belt, C-USA, MAC

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Football Rob Veno Ian Cameron




College Football Handicapping: Big passing numbers and OVERS the norm for PAC-12

09.17.2013     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last season, the PAC-12 featured two teams (Washington State and Oregon State) that averaged over 300 ypg passing. Based on the early results in 2013, that number could triple in part because a majority of the league has been even more pass happy than usual.

California, Washington State, Oregon State, Arizona State, and Colorado all rank among the top 11 nationally in pass attempts per game. Utah, Oregon, Washington, Stanford and UCLA are a bit more balanced but rank among the top 25 in QB rating.

The only two teams that haven't put up strong passing numbers is USC (Kessler looked good last week vs. Boston College) and Arizona (Wildcats have played three cupcakes and dominated by just running the football).

To no surprise this pass-happy style has lent itself to a lot of games going over the total. If we eliminate USC's pedestrian offense (0-3 O/U) and its 10-7 loss to Washington State, the rest of the PAC-12 is a combined 17-9 O/U.




Tags: College Football PAC-12




College Football Handicapping: Week 4 Bye Teams

09.16.2013     02:30 PM     Printer Friendly
It's still a little early for bye weeks to have that much significance though for some teams it still provides time to lick their wounds (Georgia, Florida) or break up a tough early season schedule (Hawaii). Below is a list of Week 4's bye squads.

2013 College Football Week 4 Bye Teams
Team
Opponent
CRIS Opener
CRIS Current
Georgia
vs. North Texas
Georgia -36.5
Georgia -32
Florida
vs. Tennessee
Florida -15.5
Florida -17
Missouri
at Indiana
Missouri -3
Missouri -3
Baylor
vs. UL-Monroe
Baylor -30
Baylor -28
Clemson
at NC State
Clemson -13
Clemson -13.5
NC State
vs. Clemson
NC State +13
NC State +13.5
Miami (FL)
vs. Savannah State
Miami NL
Miami NL
North Carolina
at Georgia Tech
North Carolina +3.5
North Carolina +5
Virginia
vs. VMI
Virginia NL
Virginia NL
Houston
vs. Rice
Houston -4
Houston -2.5
SMU
at Texas A&M
SMU +26.5
SMU +28.5
San Diego State
vs. Oregon State
San Diego State +8
San Diego State +11
San Jose State
at Minnesota
San Jose State NL
San Jose State NL
Hawaii
at Nevada
Hawaii +14
Hawaii +12.5
UAB
vs. Northwestern State
UAB NL
UAB NL
BYU
vs. Utah
BYU -6.5
BYU -7
Miami (OH)
vs. Cincinnati
Miami +24
Miami +22
Texas State
at Texas Tech
Texas State +25
Texas State +26.5






Tags: College Football




College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 4

09.16.2013     11:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 4
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Clemson
NC State
Clemson -11
Clemson -14
Oregon State
San Diego State
Oregon State -6.5
Oregon State -11
Arizona State
Stanford
Stanford -10
Stanford -7 (-115)
Michigan
UConn
Michigan -12
Michigan -17.5
Tennessee
Florida
Florida -12
Florida -17
North Carolina
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -4.5
Georgia Tech -5
Michigan State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -6
Notre Dame -7 (-105)
Auburn
LSU
LSU -18
LSU -17.5
West Virginia
Maryland (Baltimore)
West Virginia -2
Maryland -5
Arkansas
Rutgers
Rutgers pk
Rutgers N/L
Kansas State
Texas
Texas -9
Texas -6
Utah
BYU
BYU -7.5
BYU -7
Colorado State
Alabama
Alabama -41
Alabama -39.5





Tags: College Football




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more



Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Recap: Alabama wins but A&M slips through the backdoor

09.15.2013     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted from Stat Intelligence

It wasn't exactly the Game of the Century that the endless pre-game hype on CBS and ESPN would have had you believe (there are no Super Bowls in September!). But, Alabama/A&M was plenty entertaining. Let's get to the numbers.

Alabama 49, Texas A&M 42 (+8)

Alabama: 568 yards, 8.6 per-play, 1 turnovers, 50% third downs

TX A&M: 628 yards, 8.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 63% third downs

The offenses ruled the defenses to such an extreme degree in this one…that Alabama only faced six third down attempts all afternoon…and Texas A&M only eight. Both teams were moving the ball all day long in big bursts. Not exactly classic SEC football. The Aggie turnovers were high impact. One came in the end zone, spiking what was likely a TD drive (nobody had to settle for a field goal all day). The other was returned for a TD.

In that sense…it felt much more like a big time tennis match. Turnovers were service breaks. The Read more



Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Texas A&M Aggies SEC Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: 2nd Half Kickoff List - Week 3

09.14.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating our College Football 2nd half kick-off list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2013 College Football Week 3 2nd Half Kick-Off List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
111
Eastern Michigan
Rutgers
Eastern Michigan
113
Stanford
Army
Army
115
Georgia State
West Virginia
West Virginia
117
Louisville
Kentucky
Louisville
119
Marshall
Ohio
Ohio
121
Akron
Michigan
Michigan
123
Bowling Green
Indiana
Bowling Green
125
Virginia Tech
East Carolina
Virginia Tech
127
Maryland
Connecticut
Maryland
129
New Mexico
Pittsburgh
New Mexico
131
Louisiana-Monroe
Wake Forest
Wake Forest
133
Western Kentucky
South Alabama
South Alabama
135
Fresno State
Colorado
Canceled
137
Nevada
Florida State
Florida State
139
UCLA
Nebraska
Nebraska
141
Georgia Tech
Duke
Georgia Tech
143
Tennessee
Oregon
Tennessee
145
Mississippi
Texas
Texas
147
Boston College
USC
Boston College
149
Iowa
Iowa State
Iowa
151
Alabama
Texas A&M
Alabama
153
Northern Illinois
Idaho
Northern Illinois
155
Mississippi State
Auburn
Mississippi State
157
Washington
Illinois
Washington
159
Central Florida
Penn State
Penn State
161
Ball State
North Texas
North Texas
163
Memphis
Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State
165
Southern Miss
Arkansas
Southern Miss
167
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina
169
Tulsa
Oklahoma
Tulsa
171
Ohio State
California
Ohio State
173
Massachusetts
Kansas State
Massachusetts
175
Florida Atlantic
South Florida
Florida Atlantic
177
Kansas
Rice
Kansas
179
Kent State
LSU
Kent State
181
Notre Dame
Purdue
Notre Dame
183
UTEP
New Mexico State
UTEP
185
Western Michigan
Northwestern
Western Michigan
187
UTSA
Arizona
Arizona
189
Oregon State
Utah
Utah
191
Central Michigan
UNLV
UNLV
193
Wisconsin
Arizona State
Wisconsin





Tags: College Football




Hey Bettors! Don't miss today's College Football Live Forum Chat

09.14.2013     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Sportsmemo Handicappers are ready for Week 3 of the College Football season! Join us today starting at 9 am PT at our Live Forum Chat as we share our analysis on the games and provide free halftime betting recommendations. Be there or be square! If you aren't a Sportsmemo.com posting forum member, click here for your free registration.




Tags: College Football



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Jul 06, 2015 10:48 AM.