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College Football Handicapping: Week 1 results for first-year head coaches

09.03.2013     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly
Quick look at home first-year head coach fared in Week 1. All told, first-year coaches were 15-15 SU and 14-16 ATS. There were three instances where first-year coaches faced one another. The results were very similar to that of last year (13-12 SU, 12-12 ATS vs. FCS/FBS – one game was not lined). If we eliminate games against FCS competition, first-year head coaches vs. FBS schools went 9-13 SU and 11-11 ATS this past weekend.

2013 First-Year Head Coaches Week 1 Results
Team
New Coach
Week 1 Opponent
SU
ATS
Arkansas
Brett Bielema
vs. UL-Lafayette
Win
Win
Arkansas State
Bryan Harsin
vs. Ark-Pine Bluff
Win
Win
Auburn
Gus Malzahn
vs. Washington State
Win
Loss
Boston College
Steve Addazio
vs. Villanova
Win
Loss
California
Sonny Dykes
vs. Northwestern
Loss
Loss
Cincinnati
Tommy Tuberville
vs. Purdue*
Win
Win
Colorado
Mike MacIntyre
vs. Colorado State
Win
Win
FIU
Ron Turner
vs. Maryland
Loss
Loss
Georgia State
Trent Miles
vs. Samford
Loss
Loss
Idaho
Paul Petrino
at North Texas
Loss
Loss
Kent State
Paul Haynes
vs. Liberty
Win
Loss
Kentucky
Mark Stoops
vs. Western Kentucky*
Loss
Loss
Louisiana Tech
Skip Holtz
at NC State*
Loss
Loss
N.C. State
Dave Doeren
vs. La. Tech*
Win
Win
Nevada
Brian Polian
at UCLA
Loss
Loss
New Mexico State
Doug Martin
at Texas
Loss
Loss
Northern Illinois
Rod Carey
at Iowa
Win
Win
Oregon
Mark Helfrich
vs. Nicholls State
Win
Win
Purdue
Darrell Hazell
at Cincinnati*
Loss
Loss
San Jose State
Ron Caragher
vs. Sacramento St.
Win
Win
Southern Miss
Todd Monken
vs. Texas State
Loss
Loss
Syracuse
Scott Shafer
vs. Penn State
Loss
Win
Temple
Matt Rhule
at Notre Dame
Loss
Win
Tennessee
Butch Jones
vs. Austin Peay
Win
Loss
Texas Tech
Kliff Kingsbury
at SMU
Win
Win
USF
Willie Taggart
vs. McNeese State
Loss
Loss
Utah State
Matt Wells
at Utah
Loss
Loss
UTEP
Sean Kugler
Bye Week
N/A
N/A
Western Kentucky
Bobby Petrino
vs. Kentucky*
Win
Win
Western Michigan
P.J. Fleck
at Michigan State
Loss
Win
Wisconsin
Gary Andersen
vs. UMass
Win
Win
Results
 
 
15-15
14-16




Tags: College Football




College Football Gambling Trends: How FBS teams fare after a loss to FCS

09.03.2013     07:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
For the curious, here are the betting results of FBS teams off a loss to an FCS team dating back to 2008. There are some examples of bounce back performances (see: Virginia Tech and Kansas in 2010) but more often than not, when a team loses outright to an FCS squad, it's an indication said team just isn't very good. Note that we did not include FBS newbies South Alabama and Georgia State among this year’s “casualties.” Overall, it is clear that top-tier FCS teams are just as good if not better than a majority of the FBS. North Dakota State's win at K-State, while shocking to some, was hardly a fluke. The Bison have won back-to-back FCS national titles and since 2008, made our list four times. Overall, FBS teams off a loss to an FCS squad are 7-23 SU, 16-13-1 ATS. Taking it a step further, BCS Conference teams off a loss to FCS are only 4-7 SU/ATS. San Diego State, South Florida, Oregon State, and Kansas State are all in play this week. Iowa State has a bye before playing host to Iowa.

FBS Teams Off Loss to FCS 2008-present
Year
Team
Opponent
Next Opponent
SU Result
ATS Result
2013
Iowa State
Northern Iowa
vs. Iowa (9/14)
???
???
2013
San Diego State
Eastern Illinois
at Ohio State -27.5
???
???
2013
South Florida
McNeese State
at Michigan State -23.5
???
???
2013
Oregon State
Eastern Washington
vs. Hawaii +27
???
???
2013
Kansas State
North Dakota State
vs. UL-Lafayette +10
???
???
2012
Army
Stony Brook
vs. Boston College -7
Win
Win
2012
Wyoming
Cal Poly
at Idaho -2.5
Win
Win
2012
UNLV
Northern Arizona
vs. Washington State -8
Loss
Push
2012
Colorado State
North Dakota State
at San Jose State -11.5
Loss
Loss
2012
Colorado
Sacramento State
at Fresno State -14.5
Loss
Loss
2012
Eastern Michigan
Illinois State
at Purdue -24
Loss
Loss
2012
Idaho
Eastern Washington
at Bowling Green -16.5
Loss
Win
2012
Memphis
UT-Martin
at Arkansas State -22.5
Loss
Win
2012
Pittsburgh
Youngstown State
at Cincinnati -3.5
Loss
Loss
2012
Middle Tennessee
McNeese State
vs. Florida Atlanta +8
Win
Win
2011
Western Kentucky
Indiana State
vs. Arkansas State -12
Loss
Win
2011
New Mexico
Sam Houston State
vs. New Mexico State -1
Loss
Loss
2011
UNLV
Southern Utah
at Nevada -20.5
Loss
Loss
2011
Minnesota
North Dakota State
at Michigan -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Oregon State
Sacramento State
at Wisconsin -21
Loss
Loss
2011
Duke
Richmond
vs. Stanford -21
Loss
Loss
2010
Virginia Tech
James Madison
vs. East Carolina +20.5
Win
Win
2010
Minnesota
South Dakota
vs. USC -11.5
Loss
Win
2010
Kansas
North Dakota State
vs. Georgia Tech -13.5
Win
Win
2010
Ole Miss
Jacksonville State
at Tulane +20.5
Win
Loss
2010
San Jose State
UC Davis
at Nevada -37.5
Loss
Win
2010
Akron
Garner-Webb
at Kentucky -24.5
Loss
Loss
2010
Ball State
Liberty
at Purdue -16.5
Loss
Win
2009
Duke
Richmond
at Army +1
Win
Win
2009
Virginia
William & Mary
vs. TCU -11
Loss
Loss
2009
Temple
Villanova
at Penn State -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
at Navy -29.5
Loss
Win
2009
Ball State
New Hampshire
at Army -9.5
Loss
Win
2008
San Diego State
Cal Poly
at Notre Dame -21.5
Loss
Win
2008
Army
New Hampshire
vs. Akron -10
Loss
Loss
Results
 
 
 
7-23
16-13-1




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 1

09.03.2013     07:01 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With Penn State holding a narrow 13-10 lead late in the third quarter of Saturday's game against Syracuse, the Orange came up with a forced fumble on big PSU pass play. Syracuse's Allen Robinson looked like he had a clear lane to the end zone, a score that would have given his team a 17-13 lead. Instead, PSU offensive tackle Garry Gilliam (a converted tight end) made a great open field, touchdown saving tackle. Syracuse took over at the PSU 27-yard line and ended up missing a field goal. Early in the fourth quarter, Penn State kicked a field goal, tacked on a touchdown, and held on for the 23-17 win. The Nittany Lions failed to cover (-8) but had Gilliam not made that play, the straight up outcome of the game may have been different. 

Favored by -34, Ohio State's Urban Meyer was all business (and perhaps all dick) when he went for and converted two, two-point conversions on the Buckeyes' first two touchdowns of the game. Perhaps some karma involved as Buffalo snagged an easy ATS victory in the 40-20 loss. Boosters Beware! Meyer is now 2-6 ATS when laying double-digits since arriving in Columbus.

Last season, Iowa at times toyed with the idea of Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Recap: Louisville, Colorado Score Sunday Statement Wins

09.02.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Sunday afternoon, the Louisville Cardinals made a very strong case for being a legitimate top 10 caliber team rather than a media invention with a rout of Ohio. Later Sunday, Colorado may have rejoined big time football with a victory over state rival Colorado State that was more one-sided than the score made it look.

Let’s run the numbers…

Louisville 49 (-21), Ohio 7

Total Yardage: Ohio 273, Louisville 615

Passing Stats: Ohio 15-31-1-192, Louisville 25-31-1-416

Yards-per-Play: Ohio 4.6, Louisville 8.7

Turnovers: Ohio 1, Louisville 1

Drive Points: Ohio 0, Louisville 42

Stat Score: Ohio 16, Louisville 36

If you watched the first few series, you knew it was going to be ugly. Louisville showed up ready to play. It was as if they were tired of hearing they didn’t belong in the Top 10. Skeptics believed the early poll nod was a result of a decent team playing an easy schedule rather Read more


Tags: College Football Colorado Buffaloes PAC-12 Louisville Cardinals AAC Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Using coach-speak in your handicap

09.02.2013     07:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Part of the standard handicapping mantra includes ‘checking the local papers’ and ‘watching the coach’s press conference’ in an effort to get quality information that the betting markets aren’t paying attention too.  Computer algorithms designed to beat pointspreads can’t and don’t handicap coach-speak.  Few bettors actually take the time to do their homework.  So ‘cappers who make and take the time to check local sources and press conferences can find legitimate edges that are overlooked by most others – good information.

There’s no dictionary to help you translate coach-speak into betting decisions.  And in all the years I’ve been writing about sports betting, I’ve never once written a how-to article on how to approach coaches quotes.  It’s time.

This past week, while doing my research for the upcoming college football games, I ran into a press conference from Skip Holtz.  Skip was a very successful coach at East Carolina and UConn, then a very unsuccessful coach at South Florida.  In 2013, Holtz is taking over at Louisiana Tech, now that Sonny Read more


Tags: College Football NC State Wolfpack ACC Louisiana Tech Bulldogs C-USA Teddy Covers




College Football Betting Recap: Clemson, LSU Score Showcase Victories

09.01.2013     08:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, back with numbers and notes from the two marquee prime time games in Saturday night college football. Let’s see what happened in Georgia/Clemson and LSU/TCU…

Clemson 38 (+1.5), Georgia 35

Total Yardage: Georgia 544, Clemson 467

Passing Stats: Georgia 20-29-1-323, Clemson 18-30-0-270

Yards-per-Play: Georgia 7.8, Clemson 6.1

Turnovers: Georgia 2, Clemson 1

Drive Points: Georgia 35, Clemson 24

Stat Score: Georgia 34, Clemson 30

Exhilarating first half, followed by more of a sluggish second half (42 combined points in the first half, jut 31 in the second). Georgia screwed up a chippy field goal attempt that ended up being the difference maker. You can see that Georgia had the better stats outside of turnovers. Turnovers are usually worth about four points in value. Apply that to the stat score and we get a dead heat. If Georgia doesn’t muck up that short field goal it’s a Read more


Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Clemson Tigers ACC Stat Intelligence




College Football Betting Consensus: LSU and Oklahoma State top picks for Saturday

08.31.2013     08:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for today's College Football games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Sides
Oklahoma State -11 (83.6%) vs. Mississippi State
LSU -4 (82.9%) vs. TCU
North Texas -16.5 (82.2%) vs. Idaho
New Mexico -3 (80.1%) vs. Texas-San Antonio
Washington State +14 (73.8%) at Auburn

Totals
Wyoming-Nebraska OVER 66.5 (96.2%)
UL-Monroe-Oklahoma OVER 61 (93.8%)
Texas State-Southern Miss UNDER 55 (93.2%)
UAB-Troy OVER 63.5 (92.9%)
Nevada-UCLA OVER 68 (91.9%)



Tags: College Football LSU Tigers SEC Oklahoma State Cowboys Big XII




College Football Gambling: 2nd Half Kickoff List - Week 1

08.31.2013     08:01 AM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating the list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2013 College Football Week 1 2nd Half Kick-Off List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
155
Massachusetts
Wisconsin
Massachusetts
157
Central Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
159
Buffalo
Ohio State
Ohio State
161
Louisiana Tech
NC State
Louisiana Tech
163
Florida International
Maryland
Florida International
165
Northern Illinois
Iowa
Northern Illinois
167
Temple
Notre Dame
Temple
169
BYU
Virginia
BYU
171
Alabama
Virginia Tech
Alabama
173
UAB
Troy
UAB
175
Purdue
Cincinnati
Cincinnati
177
Kentucky
Western Kentucky
Kentucky
179
Miami (OH)
Marshall
Marshall
181
Mississippi State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
183
Louisiana-Monroe
Oklahoma
Louisiana-Monroe
185
Texas State
Southern Miss
Texas State
187
New Mexico State
Texas
Texas
189
Rice
Texas A&M
Rice
191
Toledo
Florida
Florida
193
Louisiana-Lafayette
Arkansas
Louisiana-Lafayette
195
Washington State
Auburn
Auburn
197
Idaho
North Texas
North Texas
199
Penn State
Syracuse
Syracuse
201
Wyoming
Nebraska
Nebraska
203
UTSA
New Mexico
UTSA
205
Georgia
Clemson
Georgia
207
LSU
TCU
TCU
209
Boise State
Washington
Boise State
211
Nevada
UCLA
UCLA
213
Northwestern
California
Northwestern




Tags: College Football




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers co-hosting LV Sportsline this afternoon

08.30.2013     12:22 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Just a quick head's up. Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers will be co-hosting this afternoon's Las Vegas Sportsline show on ESPN 1110AM from 2-3 pm PT. The topic will of course be college football from a betting perspective.



Tags: College Football Teddy Covers Las Vegas




Sports Betting Podcast 8-30-2013 College Football Every Game on the Board

08.30.2013     10:25 AM     Printer Friendly
copy_cfb_podcast_bar.jpg

Today marked our first College Football Every Game on the Board Podcast of the season. Teddy Covers, Ian Cameron and Rob Veno joined host Andrew Lange to break down the entire slate from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Full Show - College Football Every Game on the Board

Ian Cameron - College Football Every Game on the Board Part I

Rob Veno - College Football Every Game on the Board Part II

Teddy Covers - College Football Every Game on the Board Part III

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can Read more


Tags: College Football Ian Cameron Rob Veno Teddy Covers



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 22, 2014 11:13 PM.