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College Football ATS Analysis: Golden Nugget's GOY vs. CRIS - Week 4

09.16.2013     11:29 AM     Printer Friendly
Checking in with the college football betting markets as we compare the Golden Nugget's Games of the Year from early June vs. CRIS's current numbers.

2013 College Football Lines Golden Nugget GOY vs. CRIS - Week 4
Away
Home
Golden Nugget
CRIS Current
Clemson
NC State
Clemson -11
Clemson -14
Oregon State
San Diego State
Oregon State -6.5
Oregon State -11
Arizona State
Stanford
Stanford -10
Stanford -7 (-115)
Michigan
UConn
Michigan -12
Michigan -17.5
Tennessee
Florida
Florida -12
Florida -17
North Carolina
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech -4.5
Georgia Tech -5
Michigan State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame -6
Notre Dame -7 (-105)
Auburn
LSU
LSU -18
LSU -17.5
West Virginia
Maryland (Baltimore)
West Virginia -2
Maryland -5
Arkansas
Rutgers
Rutgers pk
Rutgers N/L
Kansas State
Texas
Texas -9
Texas -6
Utah
BYU
BYU -7.5
BYU -7
Colorado State
Alabama
Alabama -41
Alabama -39.5




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 3

09.16.2013     06:33 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I'm well aware that Nebraska doesn't have the defensive players it had a few years back AND that the offense is playing at a faster clip hence more plays/opportunities for the opposition. However over the last two years we've seen the Cornhuskers fail repeatedly when asked to face competent offenses and what’s baffling to me is the lack of any sort of adjustment.

2012 Week 2 - UCLA racked up 653 yards on nearly 6.95 ypp.

2012 Week 6 - Ohio State popped for 63 on the Huskers at over 8 ypp.

2012 Big Ten Championship - Wisconsin hung 70 and nearly 11 ypp!

2012 Bowl Game - Georgia fell just shy of 600 yards at 8.3 ypp.

2013 Week 1 - Wyoming rolled into Lincoln and put up 602 yards (8.1 ypp) and nearly won outright as 31-point dogs.

These days playing defense against top-notch offenses isn't easy. But there are tons of teams with far less talent that are finding ways to get the occasional three-and-out.

One of my biggest bets of Week 3 was on Washington -4 second half vs. Illinois. The Huskies absolutely dominated the first half box score, kicked a FG right before half, and received the ball to start the second. It Read more


Tags: College Football Andrew Lange




College Football Betting Recap: Alabama wins but A&M slips through the backdoor

09.15.2013     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted from Stat Intelligence

It wasn't exactly the Game of the Century that the endless pre-game hype on CBS and ESPN would have had you believe (there are no Super Bowls in September!). But, Alabama/A&M was plenty entertaining. Let's get to the numbers.

Alabama 49, Texas A&M 42 (+8)

Alabama: 568 yards, 8.6 per-play, 1 turnovers, 50% third downs

TX A&M: 628 yards, 8.8 per-play, 2 turnovers, 63% third downs

The offenses ruled the defenses to such an extreme degree in this one…that Alabama only faced six third down attempts all afternoon…and Texas A&M only eight. Both teams were moving the ball all day long in big bursts. Not exactly classic SEC football. The Aggie turnovers were high impact. One came in the end zone, spiking what was likely a TD drive (nobody had to settle for a field goal all day). The other was returned for a TD.

In that sense…it felt much more like a big time tennis match. Turnovers were service breaks. The Read more


Tags: College Football Alabama Crimson Tide Texas A&M Aggies SEC Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: 2nd Half Kickoff List - Week 3

09.14.2013     07:04 AM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating our College Football 2nd half kick-off list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2013 College Football Week 3 2nd Half Kick-Off List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
111
Eastern Michigan
Rutgers
Eastern Michigan
113
Stanford
Army
Army
115
Georgia State
West Virginia
West Virginia
117
Louisville
Kentucky
Louisville
119
Marshall
Ohio
Ohio
121
Akron
Michigan
Michigan
123
Bowling Green
Indiana
Bowling Green
125
Virginia Tech
East Carolina
Virginia Tech
127
Maryland
Connecticut
Maryland
129
New Mexico
Pittsburgh
New Mexico
131
Louisiana-Monroe
Wake Forest
Wake Forest
133
Western Kentucky
South Alabama
South Alabama
135
Fresno State
Colorado
Canceled
137
Nevada
Florida State
Florida State
139
UCLA
Nebraska
Nebraska
141
Georgia Tech
Duke
Georgia Tech
143
Tennessee
Oregon
Tennessee
145
Mississippi
Texas
Texas
147
Boston College
USC
Boston College
149
Iowa
Iowa State
Iowa
151
Alabama
Texas A&M
Alabama
153
Northern Illinois
Idaho
Northern Illinois
155
Mississippi State
Auburn
Mississippi State
157
Washington
Illinois
Washington
159
Central Florida
Penn State
Penn State
161
Ball State
North Texas
North Texas
163
Memphis
Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State
165
Southern Miss
Arkansas
Southern Miss
167
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina
169
Tulsa
Oklahoma
Tulsa
171
Ohio State
California
Ohio State
173
Massachusetts
Kansas State
Massachusetts
175
Florida Atlantic
South Florida
Florida Atlantic
177
Kansas
Rice
Kansas
179
Kent State
LSU
Kent State
181
Notre Dame
Purdue
Notre Dame
183
UTEP
New Mexico State
UTEP
185
Western Michigan
Northwestern
Western Michigan
187
UTSA
Arizona
Arizona
189
Oregon State
Utah
Utah
191
Central Michigan
UNLV
UNLV
193
Wisconsin
Arizona State
Wisconsin




Tags: College Football




Hey Bettors! Don't miss today's College Football Live Forum Chat

09.14.2013     07:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The Sportsmemo Handicappers are ready for Week 3 of the College Football season! Join us today starting at 9 am PT at our Live Forum Chat as we share our analysis on the games and provide free halftime betting recommendations. Be there or be square! If you aren't a Sportsmemo.com posting forum member, click here for your free registration.



Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Consensus: Bettors load up on the big chalk for Saturday

09.13.2013     01:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for Saturday's Week 3 College Football card courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Sides
Northern Illinois -28.5 (95.4%) at Idaho
Louisville -13.5 (94.6%) at Kentucky
Maryland -6 (90.3%) at UConn
Michigan -37 (88.1%) vs. Akron
Oregon -27.5 (87.4%) vs. Tennessee
Arkansas -23 (87.6%) vs. Southern Miss

Totals
Kansas-Rice OVER 59 (100%)
Georgia Tech-Duke OVER 58 (95.8%)
Wisconsin-Arizona State OVER 54 (94.6%)
Western Michigan-Northwestern OVER 58.5 (93.8%)
UTEP-New Mexico State OVER 57 (88.2%)
Central Michigan-UNLV UNDER 54 (88.2%)




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting Preview: Tennessee Volunteers at Oregon Ducks

09.13.2013     12:08 PM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee at Oregon
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener:
Oregon -20 O/U 70
CRIS Current: Oregon -27.5 O/U 72
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oregon -28
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Oregon

After hooking up its betting supporters for the ninth straight time as a road favorite in last week’s 59-10 win at Virginia, Oregon returns home Saturday to take on Tennessee for a 12:30 pm PT start on ABC.

As of early Friday, most books had the Ducks installed as 28-point favorites with the total as low as 71 and as high as 72.5. The line on Oregon opened -20 at CRIS and -24.5 Pinnacle but has steadily climbed throughout the week.

Gamblers can take the Volunteers on the money line for a +1610 payout at CRIS (risk $100 to win $1,610). For first-half wagers, Oregon is favored by -16 or -17 with a total of 37.

These schools met at Neyland Stadium in Knoxville during Week 2 of the Read more


Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC Oregon Ducks PAC-12 Brian Edwards




College Football Betting Stock Watch: Wisconsin Badgers should thrive under Andersen

09.13.2013     08:13 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Buy the Wisconsin Badgers – The Badgers have a new face of the program as Gary Andersen moves to Wisconsin from Utah State.  Andersen obviously took over for Bret Bielema, who left the program for the SEC and Arkansas.  The move for the Badgers figures to be a step forward on Saturdays when the games are actually being played.  Bielema did a tremendous job on the recruiting trail and the development of players; however he was largely questioned as an in-game tactician.  This shouldn’t be the case for Andersen who overachieved with his teams at Utah State.  The Badgers will now feature tremendous talent and the X and O’s/game management of Andersen.  Offensively, the Badgers are loaded this season and perhaps flying under the radar.  As always, the run game will be the focus with the three-headed monster of James White, Melvin Gordon and super freshman Corey Clement.  The offensive line is deep and strong, while big play receiver Jared Abbrederis is a true difference maker.  Quarterback Joel Stave doesn’t garner much praise but don’t sleep in him as he runs the play action fake as well as Read more


Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten Erin Rynning




College Football Betting Preview: Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Oklahoma Sooners

09.13.2013     07:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tulsa at Oklahoma
Saturday, 9 am PT - ESPN 2
CRIS Opener:
Oklahoma -28 O/U 49
CRIS Current: Oklahoma -24.5 O/U 49.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Oklahoma -23
Andrew Lange's Recommendation: Oklahoma -14 1st half

Oklahoma's offense has looked pretty pedestrian thus far following the departures of quarterback Landry Jones and key wide receivers Kenny Stills and Justin Brown to the NFL. Trevor Knight was named the team's Week 1 starter but has been ruled out leaving Blake Bell in charge for Saturday's game against Tulsa. I'm not expecting the Sooners to march the ball up and down the field like we've seen in years past but I think this serves as good opponent and situation (bye week upcoming) for some offensive success. Tulsa currently has only two returning starters on its stop unit and we saw both Bowling Green (233 yards) and Colorado State (178) have success against the Golden Hurricane on the ground. Read more


Tags: College Football Tulsa Golden Hurricane C-USA Oklahoma Sooners Big XII Andrew Lange




College Football Gambling: CRIS vs. Rob Veno's Power Ratings Week 3

09.13.2013     06:37 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno has been creating his own Power Ratings for nearly two decades. His numbers are very well respected and an excellent tool for discovering value. Rob’s PRs are a baseline and do not include key injuries or situations but they also don't overreact as much as the betting markets do week to week. Below is a chart of CRIS's current lines and Rob's College Football Power Ratings for Week 3.

2013 College Football CRIS Lines vs. Rob Veno Power Ratings - Week 3
Away Team
Home Team
CRIS Current
Veno Power
Air Force
Boise State
Boise State -23
Boise State -16.5
Eastern Michigan
Rutgers
Rutgers -27.5
Rutgers -26
Stanford
Army
Stanford -30
Stanford -30.5
Georgia State
West Virginia
West Virginia -39.5
West Virginia -41
Louisville
Kentucky
Louisville -13.5
Louisville -17
Marshall
Ohio
Marshall -8
Marshall -5
Akron
Michigan
Michigan -37
Michigan -38.5
Bowling Green
Indiana
Indiana -3 (ev)
Indiana -2
Virginia Tech
East Carolina
Virginia Tech -7.5
Virginia Tech -5.5
Maryland
Connecticut
Maryland -6
Maryland -6
New Mexico
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -21.5
Pittsburgh -17
Louisiana-Monroe
Wake Forest
Wake Forest -3 (-105)
Wake Forest -1.5
Western Kentucky
South Alabama
Western Kentucky -9
Western Kentucky -6.5
Fresno State
Colorado
Fresno State -8
Fresno State -10
Nevada
Florida State
Florida State -34
Florida State -24.5
UCLA
Nebraska
Nebraska -3 (-120)
Nebraska -1.5
Georgia Tech
Duke
Georgia Tech -8.5
Georgia Tech -9.5
Tennessee
Oregon
Oregon -27.5
Oregon -28
Mississippi
Texas
Texas -2 (-120)
Texas -1
Boston College
USC
USC -13.5
USC -14.5
Iowa
Iowa State
Iowa State -2.5
Iowa State -2.5
Alabama
Texas A&M
Alabama -7.5
Alabama -1
Northern Illinois
Idaho
Northern Illinois -28.5
Northern Illinois -30
Mississippi State
Auburn
Auburn -6
Auburn -6
Washington
Illinois
Washington -10
Washington -11
Central Florida
Penn State
Penn State -5.5
Penn State -5
Ball State
North Texas
Ball State -3
Ball State -4.5
Memphis
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee -7.5
Middle Tennessee -10.5
Southern Miss
Arkansas
Arkansas -23.5
Arkansas -27
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
South Carolina -14
South Carolina -14
Tulsa
Oklahoma
Oklahoma -24.5
Oklahoma -23
Ohio State
California
Ohio State -15.5
Ohio State -14
Massachusetts
Kansas State
Kansas State -38.5
Kansas State -42.5
Florida Atlantic
South Florida
South Florida -12.5
South Florida -10
Kansas
Rice
Rice -6
Rice -11.5
Kent State
LSU
LSU -36
LSU -31
Notre Dame
Purdue
Notre Dame -20
Notre Dame -16
UTEP
New Mexico State
UTEP -4.5
UTEP -11.5
Western Michigan
Northwestern
Northwestern -30
Northwestern -28
UTSA
Arizona
Arizona -24.5
Arizona -20
Oregon State
Utah
Utah -3
Utah -2
Central Michigan
UNLV
UNLV -7.5
Central Michigan -0.5
Wisconsin
Arizona State
Arizona State -5
Arizona State -1.5




Tags: College Football Rob Veno



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