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College Football Betting: Take a closer look at home field advantage

07.13.2013     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

When I ran an early estimate of market ratings for college football a few weeks ago, I noted that I generally use a standard 3 points for home field advantage, just like I do in the NFL. A few people have asked me about that, the most recent being by way of twitter early today when @BigDings asked “Shouldn’t HFA be different for a lot of teams, and not always just a standard three points?”

There are different schools of thought about this. And those schools have some contempt for each other. In a nutshell:

*One school says that OBVIOUSLY some teams enjoy much bigger home field advantages than others, so you should account for that in your process. Teams with bigger home field edges should get 4 or even 5 points. Teams who gain little advantage could get as little as 0 or even 1 if they don’t have much talent and don’t draw home Read more


Tags: College Football Stat Intelligence




College Football Gambling: With Golson out, Notre Dame goes with 2011 starter Rees

07.11.2013     01:31 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame second-year offensive coordinator Chuck Martin discusses the team's quarterback situation. With Everett Golson out for at least a year, the Irish will go revert back to Tommy Rees who started for much of the 2011 season (2,871 yards, 65.5%, 20 TDs, 14 INTs) and played last year when Golson was injured.


“We can definitely develop in some areas,” Martin told Blue & Gold. “You’re in the second year with this offensive staff intact and the kids kind of get what’s going on, so there’s going to be some growth. There were some things we would have liked to do last year; we just couldn’t do them, or weren’t ready to do them.”






Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish




College Football Handicapping: Big XII league play schedule breakdown

07.11.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On yesterday's Sportsmemo Podcast, handicapper Rob Veno gave his initial thoughts and opinions on the Big XII (listen here). Rob noted that because of the 10-team format, team plays nine conference games, meaning some will play five home games while others will obviously play only four. Note that Texas vs. Oklahoma and Baylor vs. Texas Tech are neutral site games (thanks to "Crow" for the tip). Here's a quick breakdown of the splits.

Kansas State (5 home/4 road)
Home: Baylor, West Virginia, Iowa State, TCU, Oklahoma
Road: Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Kansas

Kansas (5 home/4 road)
Home: Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Kansas State
Road: TCU, Texas, Oklahoma State, Iowa State

Oklahoma State (5 home/4 road)
Home: Kansas State, TCU, Kansas, Baylor, Oklahoma
Road: West Virginia, Iowa State, Texas Tech, Texas

Texas (4 home/4 road/1 neutral)
Home: Kansas State, Kansas, Oklahoma State, Texas Read more


Tags: College Football Big XII Rob Veno




College Football Betting: Oklahoma Sooners must replace Landry Jones

07.11.2013     07:28 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on the Oklahoma Sooners starting over at the quarterback position after the departure of Landry Jones. It looks as if Blake Bell will get the starting nod after serving as a goal line specialist last season (11 TDs).



Tags: College Football Oklahoma Sooners Big XII




College Football Gambling: Wisconsin's Andersen wants more from QB

07.10.2013     01:03 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Interesting article about Wisconsin's quarterback situation and the plan of attack under first-year head coach Gary Andersen. Anderson is seeking more mobility from the position but it doesn't appear that Wisky will stray too far from the pro-style, power run game of old.


And you wonder if Stave, who does not possess a lot of mobility, will be the type of quarterback Andersen wants going forward. At Utah State the past two years, he started Chuckie Keeton after handing him the reins as a true freshman. Keeton ran for 618 yards and eight touchdowns last year for the Aggies.






Tags: College Football Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten




College Football Betting: Tennessee Vols start over with Butch Jones

07.10.2013     12:46 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
There's a new regime at Tennessee with former Cincinnati head coach Butch Jones taking over for Derek Dooley. The Vols had plenty of problems last year but most noticeable was its horrific defense which ranked 110th nationally. Those numbers came under the watch of first-year defensive coordinator Sal Sunseri who has since moved on to Florida State. Jones brought with him John Jancek to serve as DC. Jancek spent time at Georgia and Cincinnati.

Cincinnati's Defense Under Butch Jones
Year - YPG Allowed (National Rank)
2010 - 369.4 (63rd)
2011 - 356.4 (42nd)
2012 - 388.1 (55th)

Tennessee’s Defense Under Derek Dooley
Year - YPG Allowed (National Rank)
2010 - 382.2 (69th)
2011 - 340.5 (27th)
2012 - 471.3 (110th)



Tags: College Football Tennessee Volunteers SEC




College Football Betting Podcast: Big XII Conference Preview

07.10.2013     10:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob and host Andrew Lange previewed the Big XII and talked Season Over/Under Wins.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - Big XII Preview

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Football Rob Veno Big XII




College Football Gambling: Utah Utes primed for more production through the air

07.09.2013     01:12 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
In each of their first two seasons in the PAC-12, the Utah Utes finished dead last in passing yards per game. They also attempted the fewest passes during that span but make no mistake, this was not a very dangerous team through the air. Freshman Travis Wilson started the final seven games of the season and at times showed some ability (28-of-40, 311 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs vs. Arizona). Note that Wilson was 19 years old last year and working with newbie offensive coordinator (and former Utes quarterback) Brian Johnson. This season, Dennis Erickson joins Johnson as co-OC, which coupled with Wilson's sophomore season, should provide the Utes with much improved passing numbers.



Tags: College Football Utah Utes PAC-12




College Football Betting: Season O/U Wins - Greek vs. 5Dimes

07.09.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
Below is a chart of College Football Regular Season Over/Under Wins from The Greek and 5Dimes. Most of the numbers are similar with the only difference being a few cents worth of juice. There is however some varying opinion, most notably teams lined a flat 6 wins at the Greek are all lined 5.5 at 5Dimes (Iowa, Mississippi State, Missouri, Tennessee, and West Virginia). Also interesting is the price on Alabama. The Greek has the Crimson Tide at 11 wins but heavy juice (-200) towards the under. 5Dimes meanwhile lists Alabama at 11 wins but slightly towards the over (-120). There is also some opinion on USC with The Greek at a flat 9 wins and 5Dimes 9.5ov-125.

2013 College Football Season O/U Wins - Greek vs. 5Dimes
Team
Greek
5Dimes
Alabama
11un-200
11ov-120
Arizona
7.5ov-130
7.5un-135
Arizona State
8.5
8ov-150
Auburn
7un-155
6.5un-180
Baylor
8un-120
7.5ov-175
Boise State
10
9.5ov-120
Clemson
9.5
9.5ov-130
Florida
9un-135
9un-160
Florida State
10ov-120
10ov-150
Georgia
9.5ov-135
9.5ov-150
Georgia Tech
8.5un-135
8.5
Iowa
6
5.5un-140
Iowa State
6un-125
5.5un-185
Kansas State
8ov-150
8.5un-195
Louisville
10.5ov-155
10.5ov-170
LSU
9un-120
8.5ov-135
Miami (FL)
9un-135
8.5
Michigan
8.5ov-125
8.5ov-140
Michigan State
8.5
8.5ov-145
Mississippi
8
8.5un-170
Mississippi State
6
5.5un-135
Missouri
6
5.5ov-260
NC State
7
6.5ov-185
Nebraska
9.5un-130
9.5ov-125
North Carolina
9
9.5un-230
Notre Dame
9
9un-150
Ohio State
11un-240
11un-125
Oklahoma
8.5ov-130
9un-120
Oklahoma State
9.5un-135
9.5un-125
Oregon
11un-155
11un-160
Oregon State
8.5ov-130
8.5ov-170
Penn State
8
8.5un-175
Pittsburgh
6un-135
5.5un-130
Rutgers
7un-120
6.5un-150
South Carolina
9.5
9.5ov-140
Stanford
9.5un-135
9.5
TCU
8ov-120
8un-120
Tennessee
6
5.5ov-210
Texas
9.5ov-125
9.5ov-160
Texas A&M
9.5un-125
9.5ov-150
UCLA
7.5un-120
7.5un-135
USC
9
9.5ov-125
Vanderbilt
7ov-125
7.5un-165
Virginia Tech
8.5ov-120
8.5ov-155
Washington
7.5ov-125
7.5ov-160
West Virginia
6
5.5ov-245
Wisconsin
9un-135
9un-140




Tags: College Football




College Football Betting: Ted Roof takes over DC duties at Georgia Tech

07.08.2013     01:07 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article from SI.com on Georgia Tech defensive coordinator Ted Roof, who played linebacker for the Yellow Jackets back in the mid-80's. Roof takes over for Al Groh who spent the last three years running his 3-4 defense. Tech, who returns eight defensive starters, will now switch to a 4-3. This marks Roof's fifth DC gig over the last six years, the last of which at Penn State. From a points-per-game allowed perspective, Georgia Tech's defense has gotten progressively worse each of the last five seasons.

Georgia Tech's PPG allowed (NCAA rank)
2012 - 28.3 (65th)
2011 - 26.1 (60th)
2010 - 25.2 (57th)
2009 - 24.8 (56th)
2008 - 20.3 (28th)




Tags: College Football Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets ACC



61

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