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October

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College Football Handicapping: Utah moves offensive coordinator to sideline

10.30.2012     06:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington State at Utah -12 O/U 49

Through its first four PAC-12 games, Utah's offense produced only 56 points. Last week against Cal, the Utes exploded for a season-high 49. They got some help by returning two kickoffs for touchdowns but also put offensive coordinator Brian Johnson on the sideline which according to quarterback Travis Wilson was a positive move. Utah averaged only 5.0 yards per play and is still committed to the run but perhaps we could see a slight uptick in offensive production with games against the soft defenses of Washington State, Arizona and Colorado upcoming.


"We definitely got the plays in faster," he said. "Coach Johnson was there to give us more juice too so that was a big help."

"We streamlined the package a bit," he said. "It wasn't as voluminous as in Read more



Tags: College Football Utah Utes Washington State Cougars PAC-12




College Football Betting Trends: Kent State laying big price against rival Akron

10.29.2012     01:55 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

Akron at Kent State -21

Here’s some good database info on Kent State who enters this weekend's contest against rival Akron at 7-1 SU/ATS and off a huge road win at Rutgers. The Golden Flashes have thrived in the role of a favorite since 2009 (15-3 SU, 13-4-1 ATS) but were on average a touchdown favorite in those 18 games. Here KSU is being asked to lay three touchdowns – they were -7 vs. Towson back in Week 1.

Kent State Betting Results as a Favorite since 2009
Date
Opponent
Final
KSU Line
KSU SU
KSU ATS
9/26/09
Miami-OH
29-19
-8
Win
Win
10/17/09
Eastern Michigan
28-6
-6.5
Win
Win
10/31/09
Western Michigan
26-14
-2.5
Win
Win
11/7/09
Akron
20-28
-3.5
Loss
Loss
9/2/10
Murray State
41-10
-30
Win
Win
10/2/10
Miami-OH
21-27
-2
Loss
Loss
10/9/10
Akron
28-17
-17
Win
Loss
10/23/10
Bowling Green
30-6
-2.5
Win
Win
10/30/10
Ball State
33-14
-10
Win
Win
9/10/11
UL-Lafayette
12-20
-8.5
Loss
Loss
9/24/11
South Alabama
33-25
-8
Win
Push
11/4/11
Central Michigan
24-21
-1.5
Win
Win
11/12/11
Akron
35-3
-6
Win
Win
11/19/11
Eastern Michigan
28-22
-3.5
Win
Win
8/30/12
Towson
41-21
-7
Win
Win
10/6/12
Eastern Michigan
41-14
-3.5
Win
Win
10/13/12
Army
31-17
-1.5
Win
Win
10/20/12
Western Michigan
41-24
-4
Win
Win
11/3/12
Akron
???
-21.5
???
???





Tags: College Football Kent State Golden Flashes Akron Zips MAC Otto Sports




Texas can't cover football games because of the Longhorn Network

10.29.2012     08:19 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Don't blame Mack Brown and Texas (0-4 ATS run) for barely beating Kansas this past weekend, blame the Longhorn Network.

 

"We know they (opponents) have it for a fact," Brown said. "Lots of them do. And people are taping it across the country and sending it to the coach if they don't have it in their area. We know that for a fact. We've been told that too many times."

"Art (Briles) and I were talking about it before the game," Brown said. "It's in Waco. Baylor sees every practice. So it's not like it used to be. We're a little overexposed.

"And I do have three shows over there that take you 20 minutes to get there and 20 minutes to get back and an hour to do them. So there's no question it takes away some of your time. And when you do a show, if your mind is somewhere else, you're screwing that up, too.

"So I don't think there's any question it's trial and error. And we'll sit down at the end of the year and look at what's best for them and what's best for us. It's sure new ground. And it is better on the wins Read more



Tags: College Football Texas Longhorns Big XII




College Football ATS Analysis: Betting markets in love withTexas A&M Aggies

10.29.2012     08:06 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M -7 at Mississippi State

Texas A&M should change its nickname to The Steam based on how much support they've received from the betting markets of late. Last week, the Aggies opened -9 at Auburn and were bet as high as -16.5 before closing -14. They could have closed -41.5 and still covered against the Tigers (63-21). This week, more of the same for A&M's trip to Mississippi State. A&M opened -3.5 at CRIS (-2.5 at BetOnline) and is now -7 across the board.

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Tags: College Football Texas A&M Aggies Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC




College Football Betting: If you need a job and can say hike, give Maryland a call

10.29.2012     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Georgia Tech -7 at Maryland

In Spinal Tap drummer-like fashion, Maryland has now lost four starting quarterbacks this season due to injury. The team may be forced to play a linebacker or tight end under center against Georgia Tech. If the Terps were smart, they'd borrow former starter and current Wisconsin back-up Danny O'Brien this week while the Badgers enjoy their bye. Considering how lost O'Brien looked in last week's loss to Michigan State, Wisconsin would probably be more than willing. To be 4-4 is quite the accomplishment for Randy Edsall's group though upcoming games against Clemson, Florida State and North Carolina put the postseason is serious doubt. Read more


Tags: College Football Maryland Terrapins ACC




Sportsmemo's College Football Week 9 Betting Recap

10.29.2012     06:51 AM     Printer Friendly
By the betting numbers...College Football Week 9 (see results below). Note that we use CRIS's opening and closing lines. We do not include games involving FCS teams.

Based on closing lines…

Home teams were the stronger bet at 30-26 ATS (Road teams are 226-208 ATS YTD). There was one neutral site game (Florida vs. Georgia). We graded Arkansas' game in Little Rock as a home game. There was one push (Louisville -3 vs. Cincinnati).

Favorites had the edge this week at 30-27 ATS (Underdogs are 226-214 ATS YTD). There was one push (Louisville -3 vs. Cincinnati).

Double-digits favorites went 12-10 ATS (DD underdogs are 110-102 ATS YTD).

Totals went 34-24 Over/Under (228-224-3 O/U YTD).

Beating the Market: If you bet the opening number on a team that moved three points or more based on the closing line (i.e. Rice +2) you went: 4-1 ATS (52-29 ATS YTD)

Chasing the Market: If you bet the closing number on a team that moved three points or more (i.e. Rice -2.5) you went: 4-1 ATS (42-36-3 ATS YTD).

Based on the opening and closing lines, the market was "correct" 32 times but "incorrect" 21 times. "Correct" meaning if a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite won by 7, the market was “correct.” If a game opened -3 and closed -4 and the favorite lost outright, the market was obviously "incorrect." Note that in 5 games, the game opened and closed at the same number.

Parlay combo breakdown (57 games) (436 games YTD)
Favorite-Over: 19 (117 YTD)
Favorite-Under: 11 (95 YTD)
Underdog-Over: 14 (101 YTD)
Underdog-Under: 13 (123 YTD)

Note that we did not include pick ‘em lines and pushes in our parlay Read more


Tags: College Football




College Football Betting: Week 9 2nd Half kickoff list

10.27.2012     08:35 AM     Printer Friendly
We'll be updating the list throughout the day to help you with your second half wagers.

2012 College Football Week 9 2nd half Kickoff List
Game #
Away Team
Home Team
Receive 2nd Half Kick
111
Navy
East Carolina
Navy
113
Massachusetts
Vanderbilt
Massachusetts
115
Ohio
Miami (OH)
Ohio
117
Ball State
Army
Army
119
Akron
Central Michigan
Akron
121
Eastern Michigan
Bowling Green
Eastern Michigan
123
Northern Illinois
Western Michigan
Western Michigan
125
Temple
Pittsburgh
Temple
127
Indiana
Illinois
Illinois
129
Purdue
Minnesota
Purdue
131
Iowa
Northwestern
Iowa
133
Duke
Florida State
Florida State
135
Maryland
Boston College
Boston College
137
Mississippi State
Alabama
Mississippi State
139
Utah State
UTSA
Utah State
141
Hawaii
Colorado State
Colorado State
143
Baylor
Iowa State
Iowa State
145
Texas A&M
Auburn
Auburn
147
California
Utah
Utah
149
Texas
Kansas
Texas
151
Michigan State
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
153
Colorado
Oregon
Colorado
155
NC State
North Carolina
NC State
157
Boise State
Wyoming
Boise State
159
UTEP
Houston
Houston
161
BYU
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech
163
Florida
Georgia
Georgia
165
Kentucky
Missouri
Missouri
167
UCLA
Arizona State
UCLA
169
USC
Arizona
Arizona
171
Kent State
Rutgers
Kent State
173
Texas State
San Jose State
Texas State
175
Washington State
Stanford
Stanford
177
Ohio State
Penn State
Penn State
179
Oregon State
Washington
Oregon State
181
Texas Tech
Kansas State
Kansas State
183
Syracuse
South Florida
Syracuse
185
TCU
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
187
Central Florida
Marshall
Central Florida
189
Toledo
Buffalo
Toledo
191
Tennessee
South Carolina
South Carolina
193
Mississippi
Arkansas
Mississippi
195
Louisiana Tech
New Mexico State
Louisiana Tech
197
Notre Dame
Oklahoma
Notre Dame
199
UAB
Tulane
Tulane
201
Memphis
SMU
Memphis
203
Southern Miss
Rice
Southern Miss
205
Michigan
Nebraska
Nebraska
207
UNLV
San Diego State
UNLV
209
Fresno State
New Mexico
Fresno State
211
South Alabama
Louisiana-Monroe
South Alabama
213
Western Kentucky
Florida International
Western Kentucky
215
North Texas
Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee
217
Troy
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic




Tags: College Football




Hey Bettors! Don't miss Sportsmemo's Week 9 College Football Live Forum Chat

10.26.2012     12:53 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We'll be back in action tomorrow with the Sportsmemo College Football Live Forum Chat. Follow us throughout the day with analysis and input from the Sportsmemo Handicappers as well as free halftime recommendations. Be there or be square! If you aren't a posting forum member, click here for your free registration.



Tags: College Football




College Football Handicapping: UNLV's Sherry expected to start behind banged up o-line

10.26.2012     12:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UNLV at San Diego State -18 O/U 57

UNLV's Nick Sherry (back) is expected to start Saturday's game at San Diego State. It doesn't sound like he is 100% and he'll be working behind an injury-riddled offensive line.


“Every week it seems like somebody’s dealing with something,” said senior tackle Yusef Rodgers, who this week is listed as doubtful with a leg injury.

“It is kind of discouraging because we had high hopes,” Rodgers said of the offensive line. “We feel like with what we’ve got, we’re still doing all right.”






Tags: College Football UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Mountain West




College Football ATS Trends: Oregon laying monster price of -47 vs. Colorado

10.26.2012     11:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado at Oregon -47 O/U 67.5

Out of curiosity, we looked up the betting results of college football conference games lined -45 or higher. Since 1986, it has occurred 26 times which underdogs 15-10-1 ATS. We've seen three such instances over the last four years with the favorite (USC, Boise State twice) obviously winning outright but failing to cover. This weekend, Oregon had been bet up from -45.5 to -47 against Colorado.




Tags: College Football Oregon Ducks Colorado Buffaloes PAC-12



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