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April

16

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College Football Betting Preview: Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers

09.05.2012     10:35 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Georgia at Missouri
Rob Veno's Recommendation:
Over
Saturday, 4:45 pm PT - ESPN2
CRIS Opener:
Georgia -3 O/U 54
CRIS Current: Georgia -2 O/U 54.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Missouri pk

The time has come for SEC newcomer Missouri to either prove or dis-prove the prevailing thought amongst college football experts that they will struggle versus a steady diet of SEC competition. No doubt the anticipation and emotions at Faurot Field will be overwhelming which could be one of many factors that determine this outcome. 

For Georgia, prior suspensions at key positions are now combining with injuries to become a significant issue. Or are they? Georgia head coach Mark Richt has yet to confirm this week whether previously stated multi-game suspensions to star players ILB Alec Ogeltree and FS Baccari Rambo will be either upheld or lifted. Neither played last week due to violation of the Read more


Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs Missouri Tigers SEC Rob Veno




College Football ATS Analysis: MTSU hasn't won or covered a game since October 2011

09.05.2012     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee State -8.5 O/U 48

Most bettors know that the difference between lower-tier FBS and upper-tier FCS isn't much. So Middle Tennessee’s loss to McNeese State shouldn't come as a shock (MTSU closed -7.5). But what concerns us in the state of MTSU's program. In 2009, the Blue Raiders won 10 games and in 2010, they reached the postseason. Last year, they started 2-4 but were very competitive with three-point losses to Purdue, Troy and Western Kentucky. But since defeating Florida Atlantic 38-14 back in late October, the wheels have completely fallen off. In their last seven games, MSTU is 0-7 SU/ATS and outscored by a whopping 273-99 margin. Six of those seven foes were from the Sun Belt with the other being McNeese. This week's opponent, FAU, provides a good opportunity to stop the Read more


Tags: College Football Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Florida Atlantic Owls Sun Belt




College Football Betting: Florida content to stick with run-heavy offense

09.05.2012     07:35 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida at Texas A&M -1.5 O/U 51

Until they establish a starting quarterback and feel confident with the passing game, expect the Florida Gators to stick with a ground-and-pound philosophy. Florida ran the ball 42 times vs. only 21 passes in last week's win over Bowling Green. Note that Bowling Green ranked 104th at stopping the run last year while this weekend's opponent, Texas A&M, was 12th.


"I’m not doing anything that I don’t feel comfortable with, because if I was doing something I wasn’t comfortable with I wouldn’t have come here," he said.





Tags: College Football Florida Gators Texas A&M Aggies SEC




Bettors react to Scheelhaase injury, Arizona State now a 3-point home fav

09.05.2012     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois at Arizona State -3 O/U 49

According to Sports Options, Illinois quarterback Nathan Scheelhaase (ankle) is probable for Saturday's game at Arizona State but one report – and the betting markets – feel that he may not play.


“Nathan did not take reps today, but he was out there on the field working on rehabbing and getting the ankle prepared. He was much better today.”



The Sun Devils opened -2 at CRIS but early action came in on the Illini as they were bet up to -1. Then a flood of money came in on ASU with the current line -3 and headed to -3.5.

Scheelhaase led Illinois in rushing attempts (191) and yards (624) last season.



Tags: College Football Illinois Fighting Illini Big Ten Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12




Western Kentucky head coach not phased by 40-point spread vs. Alabama

09.05.2012     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Western Kentucky at Alabama -40 O/U 54

40-point underdogs? Western Kentucky head coach Willie Taggart doesn't want to hear it.


"We’re going out there and we’re gonna go play football," he said. "If anything, let’s go out there and show we’re not gonna lose by 39 points, we’re going to go out there and we're going to win this ballgame.”



We applaud Taggart's fearless nature. Remember, he was on Stanford's coaching staff when the Cardinal beat USC outright as 41-point underdogs back in 2007.

Unfortunately, he also said preparing for Navy's option wasn't that big of a deal heading into last year's meeting. The Midshipmen rolled up 410 yards (7.2 ypc) on the ground and won 40-14 as -9.5 road chalk.




Tags: College Football Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Sun Belt Alabama Crimson Tide SEC




We're shocked it took until Tuesday for a Texas State moneyline winner to surface

09.04.2012     12:50 PM     Printer Friendly
According to Las Vegas Review-Journal columnist Matt Youmans (@mattyoumans247), a bettor made a $4K moneyline bet on Texas State last weekend. He got 30-1 odds which paid out $120K. A few Twitter responses indicate that the gentleman commonly places these types of bets on big underdogs.

copy_youmans.JPG



Tags: College Football Texas State Bobcats




College Football ATS Analysis: Bettors fade UConn for second straight week

09.04.2012     12:12 PM     Printer Friendly
Looks like there are group of bettors that don't feel too highly about the UConn Huskies. For a second straight week, we've seen a ton of anti-UConn money come pouring in with NC State up to as high as -6.5 road chalk for Saturday’s contest. In Week 1, the Huskies opened -25 vs. UMass and were bet down as low as -20.5 before closing -21. They held the Minutemen to 59 yards en route to a 37-0 victory. Line history courtesy of CRIS.

copy_NC_State_Uconn.JPG



Tags: College Football UConn Huskies Big East NC State Wolfpack ACC




College Football Handicapping: Experience vs. Inexperience Week 1

09.04.2012     11:55 AM     Printer Friendly
Taking a look at how some of the most experienced and inexperienced college football teams in the country fared in Week 1. We used Phil Steel's "Total Experience Points" as a guideline. Our experienced group went 8-2 SU but only 5-5 ATS. Note than Eastern Michigan lost to Ball State who was just outside the top 10 with 71.1 points. Our inexperienced group went 5-4 SU and 6-3 ATS (Cincinnati did not play). Note that Miami won and covered as Boston College which had 70.5 points. Obviously our study covers just one game so we’ll revisit our 20 teams around Week 5 or 6 and see where they stand.

College Football Experience vs. Inexperience Week 1
Experienced
Steele Rating
Opponent
SU
ATS
Tennessee
78.8
NC State
Win
Win
Central Michigan
76.6
SE Missouri
Win
Loss
Oklahoma
75.6
UTEP
Win
Loss
Kent State
75.4
Towson
Win
Win
Eastern Michigan
73.7
Ball State
Loss
Loss
West Virginia
73.2
Marshall
Win
Win
Duke
72.4
Florida International
Win
Win
Miami (OH)
72.2
Ohio State
Loss
Loss
Rutgers
72.1
Tulane
Win
Loss
Inexperienced
Steele Rating
Opponent
SU
ATS
Colorado
37.8
Colorado State
Loss
Loss
Miami (FL)
38.1
Boston College
Win
Win
Hawaii
41.4
USC
Loss
Win
Air Force
42.1
Idaho State
Win
Loss
Arizona State
42.5
Northern Arizona
Win
Win
New Mexico State
43.5
Sacramento State
Win
Win
Boise State
43.6
Michigan State
Loss
Win
Temple
44.7
Temple
Win
Win
SMU
45.2
Baylor
Loss
Loss
Cincinnati
45.7
DNP
-
-




Tags: College Football




College Football Gambling: Nevada win and USC ATS loss help sportsbooks

09.04.2012     08:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
According to William Hill's Jimmy Vaccaro, the books made out OK during last weekend’s college football action thanks to a few key results


“The Nevada upset win at Cal really turned the tide for us,” said William Hill sports book director Jimmy Vaccaro. “But the biggest key to our day was USC not covering the spread against Hawaii. The USC game was so pivotal for us.”

“It was a very good day for us, with great action throughout all of our books,” said Vaccaro. “The biggest key for us was the night games. I haven’t seen a run of underdogs come on like they did Saturday night in a while.”






Tags: College Football




College Football Gambling: Odds indicate little to no gap between Iowa-Iowa State

09.04.2012     08:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa State at Iowa -3.5 O/U 46

Interesting handicap for this weekend's Cy-Hawk Series between Iowa State and Iowa. Last Saturday, the Cyclones looked strong in their spread covering win over Tulsa while Iowa barely slipped past Northern Illinois in Chicago. The Hawkeyes have been double-digit home favorites four straight times in the series. The Cyclones however have been the best bet, covering seven of the last 10 including last year's 44-41 overtime win in Ames.


"We had a tough time," Ferentz said. "We had a tough time protecting at times, and we certainly had a tough time getting open. It just didn't seem like we were in great sync throughout the game."

 

Iowa-Iowa State Betting Results 2002-11
DATE
AWAY/HOME
LINE
O/U
2011
IOWA 41, ISU 44 OT
Iowa State +6.5
Over 44
2010
ISU 7, IOWA 35
Iowa -12
Under 45.5
2009
IOWA 35, ISU 3
Iowa -6.5
Under 47.5
2008
ISU 5, IOWA 17
Iowa State +13
Under 47.5
2007
IOWA 13, ISU 15
Iowa State +17.5
Under 43
2006
ISU 17, IOWA 27
Iowa State +14
Under 48
2005
IOWA 3, ISU 23
Iowa State +9.5
Under 46
2004
ISU 10 , IOWA 17
Iowa State +20.5
N/L
2003
IOWA 40, ISU 21
Iowa -5.5
Over 51.5
2002
ISU 36, IOWA 31
Iowa State +3
Over 54





Tags: College Football Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten Iowa State Cyclones Big XII



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April

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