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July

28

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Betting College Football Totals: High numbers continue to produce OVERS

10.09.2013     12:38 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I was going to write about something else this in this column until some college football handicapping work I was doing prompted me to change. As one who releases and plays totals in football and basketball far more than sides, I have a substantial personalized list of things that I make decisions off of. One of the elements takes place every three weeks of the college football season where over/under results are categorized in groups of tens beginning with 30 through 39.5 and nowadays ending with 80-89.5. The every three week premise is just to get larger sample sizes and break the season into quarters which I feel is important. This season’s six week records showed the sixties to be a totals group that is really endearing themselves to over bettors. Disregarding extra board games, college football closing totals ranging from 60-69.5 are 40-28, 58.9% O/U. There have been two pushes which had +1.5 and +2 point increases off the opener so if you got in early you could be 42-28, 60% O/U. Those are strong bankroll building numbers. A logical would be the swarm of overs may have slowed down last week because of the overwhelming number of conference game but totals in this Read more



Tags: College Football Rob Veno




College Football Gambling: Las Vegas bettors all over Baylor Bears

10.09.2013     12:02 PM     Printer Friendly
Umm, yeah. Note that LVH opened -17 and has since moved only a half point to -17.5.

copy_baylor.JPG




Tags: College Football Baylor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Big XII Las Vegas




College Football Gambling: Marshall's defense among nation's leaders

10.09.2013     08:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Marshall -13 at Florida Atlantic O/U 54

Take a look at the top 20 defenses in the country in terms of yards per game allowed and you'll see a lot of familiar faces: Michigan State, Florida, Virginia Tech, and Alabama. But checking in at No. 8 is a bit of surprise...the Marshall Thundering Herd. We don't need to go into detail about just how historically bad MU's stop unit was last season. Just know that through five games, the Herd has yet to allow more than 4.5 yards per play. First-year defensive coordinator Chuck Heater deserves a lot of credit and head coach Doc Holliday noted that the team is a lot more athletic at linebacker and in the secondary. The numbers could improve considering Marshall's next four opponents; Florida Atlantic, Middle Tennessee, Southern Miss, and UAB all rank 92nd or worse nationally in total offense. Four of the Herd's five games have gone UNDER the Read more



Tags: College Football Marshall Thundering Herd Florida Atlantic Owls C-USA




NCAA Football Gambling: Purdue turns to freshman quarterback

10.09.2013     07:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska -14 at Purdue O/U 57

During the bye week, Purdue decided to make a switch at quarterback and will start 19-year old freshman Danny Etling vs. Nebraska on Saturday. Etling came in for senior Rob Henry during Week 5’s 55-24 blowout loss to Northern Illinois. He finished 19-of-39, 241 yards, two TDs, and two INTs. Note that CFBstats.com only ranks the top 100 quarterbacks in terms of QB Rating and Henry (100.7) isn’t even on the list – Georgia State’s Ronnie Bell is 100th at 106.6. Nowhere to go but up, bettors.


"I slept on it, and I had a pretty good idea and I called coach (John) Shoop in and we talked about it," Hazell said. "I said a few weeks ago, when we go to Danny, if we go to Danny, that when we go, we have to go.

"We can't go back and forth. I said, 'When we decide if we

Read more



Tags: College Football Purdue Boilermakers Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten




College Football Handicapping: San Diego State has fared well vs. option offenses

10.09.2013     07:16 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego State -3.5 at Air Force O/U 54

San Diego State has seen plenty of the option over the last three seasons having played six games against Service Academies. And not only is there experience but success as well as the Aztecs went 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in those contests.

2012
SDSU (-7) 28 vs. Air Force 9
SDSU (-5.5) 42 vs. Army 7

2011
SDSU (+7) 41 at Air Force 27
SDSU 23 at Army (+9.5) 20

2010
SDSU (-3) 35 vs. Navy 14
SDSU (+1) 27 vs. Air Force 25




Tags: College Football San Diego State Aztecs Air Force Falcons Mountain West




College Football Handicapping: Georgia Bulldogs coping with injuries

10.08.2013     12:47 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Missouri at Georgia -8 O/U 63.5

Injuries galore for the Georgia Bulldogs as they prepare for Saturday's home game vs. Missouri.

P Collin Barber (?)
LB James DeLoach (?)
LB Ryne Rankin (?)
CB Connor Norman (?) 14 tackles
S Tray Matthews 20 tackles
RB Todd Gurly (DOUBTFUL) 450 yards rushing, 6.3 ypc, 4 TDs
WR Jonathon Rumph (DOUBTFUL)
WR Michael Bennett (OUT) 14 catches, 176 yards, 2 TDs
WR Justin Scott-Wesley (OUT) 16 catches, 318 yards, 2 TDs
RB Keith Marshall (OUT) 246 yards rushing, 4.4 ypc, 1 TD


“Well, you know, I’m tired about talking about the injury report,” Richt said. “That’s all everybody talks about. We need to talk about who’s healthy. We need to talk about who’s going to play in this ballgame. We’re sorry for the

Read more



Tags: College Football Georgia Bulldogs Missouri Tigers SEC




College Football Betting Update: Holgorsen and Trickett still not on the same page

10.08.2013     11:34 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Heading into last week's game at Baylor, we posted a blog on the communication difficulties between West Virginia head coach Dana Holgorsen and quarterback Clint Trickett. By all accounts those issues continued as Trickett finished 9-of-28 for 161 yards and the Mountaineers did little to nothing offensively until the fourth quarter when the game out of reach. WVU will try to shore things up during the bye week as it prepares for a home tilt vs. Texas Tech.


“I’m not doing something right,” Holgorsen said. “There (were) a lot of times in the first couple of series’ where I was giving (Trickett) specific orders, and they weren’t being followed.”

“Offensively, we’re not equipped to keep up at this point in time. Hopefully we get there at some point,” said West Virginia head coach Dana Holgorsen.







Read more



Tags: College Football West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII




College Football Betting: Utah State loses Keeton and two other starters

10.07.2013     01:36 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boise State -7 at Utah State

Only if the entire team comes down with the flu can things get worse for Utah State. Star quarterback Chuckie Keeton is out for the year with a knee injury. The Aggies are TBA on either junior Craig Harrison or freshman Darell Garretson as his replacement. Harrison finished 18-of-41 for 185 yards and a touchdown in last week's 31-14 loss to BYU. The Aggies also lost running back Joe Hill (252 yards, 4.75 ypc) and guard Kyle Whimpey to season-ending injuries.


"You’ll know on game day. That’ll be about the last time I answer that," Wells said. "Those two guys are going to work together. We’re going to see who settles in the best, and whoever it is, that’s who we’re going with."







Tags: College Football Utah State Aggies Boise State Broncos Mountain West




College Football Gambling: USC Trojans use bye week to regain focus

10.07.2013     11:07 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona at USC -5.5

Following Lane Kiffin's departure, USC had a bye week to adjust to life under interim head coach Ed Orgeron. Early reports use terms like "looser" and "enthusiastic" when describing the state of the team. Wide receiver Marqise Lee (knee) remains questionable for Thursday's game against Arizona. Dating back to the start of last season, the Trojans are on a 4-14 ATS run.


“I don’t feel more relaxed,” Kessler said. “I feel more focused because I don’t want to mess up because you don’t want Coach O yelling at you.”

“I need to be careful about over-emphasizing the emotional part,” Orgeron said. “We need to play with great poise.”






Tags: College Football USC Trojans Arizona Wildcats PAC-12




College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10.04.2013     12:59 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State vs. Notre Dame
Saturday, 4:30 pm PT - NBC (Arlington, Texas)
CRIS Opener:
Arizona State -6.5 O/U 63
CRIS Current: Arizona State -6.5 O/U 62.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Notre Dame -2
Brian Edwards' Recommendation: Arizona State

Notre Dame and Arizona State will collide Saturday night at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington. Most betting shops have tabbed the Sun Devils as 6-point favorites with a total of 62 for over/under wagers.

Gamblers can back the Fighting Irish on the money line for a +200 return (risk $100 to win $200). For first-half wagers, ASU is favored by three with a total of 31.

Arizona State (3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) bounced back from a 42-28 loss at Stanford to blast USC by a 62-41 count as a 3.5-point home chalk. The 103 combined points soared over the 48.5-point total. Taylor Kelly threw for 351 yards and three TDs against the Read more



Tags: College Football Notre Dame Fighting Irish Arizona State Sun Devils PAC-12 Brian Edwards



83

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July

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