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NBA Gambling: Warriors and Hawks big favorites to close out series

05.12.2015     08:09 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Down 2-1, both road teams grabbed wins last night that greatly altered their respective adjusted series price. Let's take a look at how much the each win was worth.

Prior to last night
Golden State -200
Atlanta -170

After last night
Golden State -700
Atlanta -550

Both series are tied 2-2 with a home-road-home format remaining for the top seed.

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Wizards and Grizzlies have been postseason ATS darlings

05.11.2015     08:27 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The 2014 NBA Playoffs were something of an exception to the rule, because there were no red hot pointspread runs to open the playoffs.  In most years, one or two teams stand out as postseason pointspread overachievers as the playoffs begin.  This year, for example, we’ve got two of them – the Memphis Grizzlies and the Washington Wizards, a combined 12-3 ATS through the first two rounds.  

I first really began paying serious attention to this phenomenon in 2009, when the Denver Nuggets opened up the playoffs on a 12-0 ATS run (11-0-1 ATS for some).  My clients and I were onboard for 11 of those 12 ATS victories; and I vowed to look for and find similar teams in the future – teams that hit their stride in late April after being widely overlooked by both bookmakers and bettors at the start of the postseason for whatever reason.

In 2010, Orlando swept their first two opponents in the playoffs, going 7-0-1 ATS in the process. The Phoenix Suns were also major moneymakers, going 8-2 ATS before running into the Lakers in the Western Conference Finals.  2011 saw the Dallas Mavericks open up the playoffs by cashing at a Read more

Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Washington Wizards Teddy Covers

NBA Handicapping: Clippers getting bet despite Paul's questionable status

05.08.2015     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
More injury related betting market moves as the Los Angeles Clippers have jumped from -2.5 to -4.5 for tonight's Game 3 matchup vs. Houston. Chris Paul (hamstring) practiced yesterday but is still listed as a game-time decision. The series is tied 1-1.

"My guess is it's going to come down to the eye and a feel test, the eye test by us and our trainer and then how he feels," Rivers said during a conference call with reporters. "I think with hamstrings, there really is no gauge, so I think that's what we're going to look for."

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets

NBA Gambling: Betting markets continue to pile on Atlanta following Wall injury

05.08.2015     07:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Often times when there is a significant injury the betting markets are quick to react. Like what we saw yesterday when news broke John Wall's wrist wasn't in good shape. Atlanta shot up to a -1 favorite for Game 3 and the adjusted series price went from -155 to around -200. When something like this occurs, the market can go one of two ways. Some bettors will buy back and/or look to take advantage of the market's tendency to overreact. Other times, there'll be another wave of steam. And man, has there been a lot of it. Over the course of about 24 hours Atlanta went from +2 to now as high as -3.5. And the adjusted series price of -155 heading into Game 3 is now as high as -285. Now technically Wall hasn't been ruled out -- he's listed as questionable. But most reports suggest he's done for the season -- something the betting markets appear confident is the case.

Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks

NBA Gambling Update: Wall's injury leaves status in doubt

05.07.2015     01:15 PM     Printer Friendly

It doesn't look like three days will be enough time for Washington's John Wall as reports indicate he has multiple fractures to his wrist and hand. That caused a stir in the betting markets with Atlanta now a -1 road favorite for Game 3 as well as a -200 series favorite.

"I hope he could have played Game 2," Wittman said of Wall, who was a late scratch before that game. "But he didn't. We just got to move one day at a time. There's no timetable for something like this, I guess is the best way I can put it. We got to be prepared as a team to play without him. I think the guys are doing that."

NBA Handicapping: Washington's Wall gets extra time to rest, heal

05.07.2015     09:01 AM     Read more

Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks

NBA Handicapping: Washington's Wall gets extra time to rest, heal

05.07.2015     09:01 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Atlanta Hawks have really been up against it schedule-wise this postseason. After beating Brooklyn on the road in Game 6 to advance the next round, they had only one day off before playing host to Washington in Game 1 -- a game they obviously lost. Atlanta then took advantage of the absence of John Wall and bounced back with a win in Game 2. Without Wall, the Wizards are obviously a far lesser team but there's a chance he'll return with Game 3 not until Saturday giving him five full days of recovery.

Game 3 Line: Washington -1.5
Adjusted Series Price: Atlanta -155

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards

NBA, Adam Silver looking into European betting sponsors

05.06.2015     01:45 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Man, Adam Silver sure isn't messing around with this whole sports betting thing. Rumor has it the NBA is now looking into partnerships with European sportsbooks.

"It's pretty simple—just look around the world to see where betting is legal," Mavericks owner Mark Cuban told Bleacher Report. "That's what we will be doing, and then as technology gets better, we will invent new things. Something that is also important: The NBA is in more countries where betting is legal than where it is not."

"The NBA has seen the success that English Premier League soccer clubs have had with sports betting operators, and they're following that same model," a source with knowledge of the discussions said. "They've seen the naming rights and the size of those deals, and they understand that it's an opportunity to open up another revenue stream overseas, in the hundreds of millions of dollars."

Tags: NBA

NBA Gambling Alert: Paul's status for Game 2 questionable/doubtful

05.06.2015     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Uggg. Chris Paul's status for tonight's Game 2 vs. Houston is once again up in the air. Doc Rivers pretty much has no clue and neither do bettors with "questionable" and "doubtful" the two most common listings. Houston is currently a -6.5/-7.5 favorite. Game 3 is scheduled for Friday.

"I honestly don't know,” Rivers said Tuesday. “My gut before last night was there would be a good chance (he would play Wednesday) so I'd probably lean that way. He looked good walking today."

Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets

NBA Handicapping: Fluky fourth quarter dooms Atlanta Hawks in Game 1

05.05.2015     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Interesting article on Atlanta's late game collapse vs. Washington. The Hawks has a double-digit lead at half but shot 5-for-28 from the floor in the fourth quarter including 1-of-10 from three.

Since the playoffs expanded to 16 teams in 1983-84, only one other #1 seed has lost a game in the first or second round in which it led by double digits at halftime.

Tags: NBA Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards

NBA Gambling: Three of four road teams win Game 1

05.05.2015     07:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Three of the four conference semifinals just got interesting with road teams snagging Game 1 victories. That caused oddsmakers to make some pretty hefty series price adjustments.

Chicago vs. Cleveland
Opening Series Price: Cleveland -215/Chicago +180
Current Series Price: Cleveland -115/Chicago -105

Washington vs. Atlanta
Opening Series Price: Atlanta -240/Washington +200
Current Series Price: Atlanta -120/Washington +100

Los Angeles vs. Houston
Opening Series Price: Houston -145/Los Angeles +125
Current Series Price: Los Angeles -175/Houston +155

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Clippers Houston Rockets


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