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April

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NBA Handicapping: Back-to-Back Situations 10/30-11/13

10.30.2013     06:31 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Rob Veno was kind enough to put together a list of upcoming back-to-back situations in the NBA. Enjoy.

2013 NBA Back-to-Back Teams 10/30-11/13
Date
B2B Team
Opponent
10/30
Miami
at Philadelphia
10/30
Orlando
at Minnesota
10/30
Indiana
at New Orleans
10/30
LA Lakers
at Golden State
10/31
New York
at Chicago
10/31
Golden State
at LA Clippers
11/2
Cleveland
at Indiana
11/2
Philadelphia
vs. Chicago
11/2
Charlotte
at New Orleans
11/2
Toronto
at Milwaukee
11/2
Milwaukee
vs. Toronto
11/2
Memphis
at Dallas
11/2
Dallas
vs. Memphis
11/2
Houston
at Utah
11/2
Utah
vs. Houston
11/2
San Antonio
at Portland
11/2
Portland
vs. San Antonio
11/2
Sacramento
at Golden State
11/4
Minnesota
at Cleveland
11/4
Boston
at Memphis
11/5
Houston
at Portland
11/6
Indiana
vs. Chicago
11/6
Toronto
at Charlotte
11/6
Charlotte
vs. Toronto
11/6
Utah
at Boston
11/6
New Orleans
at Memphis
11/6
Phoenix
at San Antonio
11/6
San Antonio
vs. Phoenix
11/6
Dallas
at Oklahoma City
11/7
LA Clippers
at Miami
11/8
LA Lakers
at New Orleans
11/8
Denver
at Phoenix
11/9
Utah
at Toronto
11/9
Toronto
vs. Utah
11/9
Orlando
at Atlanta
11/9
Indiana
at Brooklyn
11/9
Brooklyn
vs. Indiana
11/9
Philadelphia
at Cleveland
11/9
Cleveland
vs. Philadelphia
11/9
Boston
at Miami
11/9
Golden State
at Memphis
11/9
Dallas
at Milwaukee
11/9
Portland
at Sacramento
11/11
San Antonio
at Philadelphia
11/11
Minnesota
at LA Clippers
11/12
Detroit
at Golden State
11/13
Milwaukee
at Orlando
11/13
Washington
at San Antonio
11/13
LA Lakers
at Denver
11/13
New Orleans
at Utah




Tags: NBA Rob Veno




NBA Handicapping: ESPN decides to show up at the Philadelphia 76ers' Tankfest

10.29.2013     02:35 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's not a good sign when prior to start of the regular season, ESPN has an article on its front page talking about your ridiculously low season over/under wins number and the likelihood of a total tank job.


"They've pretty much made it known in Philadelphia they're trying to get the No. 1 pick for Andrew Wiggins and not holding back," Sherman said. "Teams try for the draft pick sometimes late in the season, but they're basically doing it the whole season."






Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers




NBA Handicapping: 2013-14 Regular Season Over/Under Wins

10.28.2013     08:00 AM     Printer Friendly
Below is a chart of this year's NBA Regular Season Over/Under wins courtesy of Bookmaker. We included 2012's record, the percentage of bets on a particular side (ex. 81.8% of bets were on Atlanta OVER 39.5), and the differential between last year's wins and this year's numbers.

Biggest Gainers
Cleveland +15
New Orleans +13.5
Chicago +13
Detroit +11
Washington +10.5

Biggest Decliners
Utah -18
Philadelphia -17
Boston -13
Denver -11
Milwaukee -10.5

2013 NBA Regular Season Over/Under Wins
Team
2012 Record
2013 O/U
Bookmaker %
Diff
Atlanta
44-38
39.5un-121
81.8% OVER
-4.5
Boston
41-40
28
71.2% UNDER
-13
Brooklyn
49-33
52.5
95.1% OVER
+3.5
Charlotte
21-61
26.5
80.0% OVER
+5.5
Chicago
45-37
58un-133
64.8% UNDER
+13
Cleveland
24-58
39
84.8% OVER
+15
Dallas
41-41
45un-133
71.9% UNDER
+4
Denver
57-25
46
83.0% UNDER
-11
Detroit
29-53
40ov-115
87.1% OVER
+11
Golden State
47-35
51.5
64.3% UNDER
+4.5
Houston
45-37
55
70.6% UNDER
+10
Indiana
49-32
55.5
71.4% UNDER
+6.5
LA Clippers
56-26
55.5
96.6% OVER
-0.5
Memphis
56-26
51.5
81.0% UNDER
-4.5
Miami
66-16
61.5
76.1% UNDER
-4.5
Milwaukee
38-44
27.5
89.7% OVER
-10.5
Minnesota
31-51
40ov-121
95.8% OVER
+9
New Orleans
27-55
40.5un-121
73.7% UNDER
+13.5
New York
54-28
49.5un-126
98.6% UNDER
-4.5
Oklahoma City
60-22
55un-122
71.2% UNDER
-5
Orlando
20-62
22.5ov-121
87.0% OVER
+2.5
Philadelphia
34-48
17un-121
75.8% UNDER
-17
Phoenix
25-57
19.5un-115
73.1% OVER
-5.5
Portland
33-49
38ov-120
91.7% OVER
+5
Sacramento
28-54
31ov-115
68.3% OVER
+3
San Antonio
58-24
55.5
66.7% UNDER
-2.5
Toronto
34-48
36.5ov-121
82.1% OVER
+2.5
Utah
43-39
25
93.2% OVER
-18
Washington
29-53
39.5ov-133
93.0% OVER
+10.5




Tags: NBA




NBA Handicapping: LVH posts Regular Season Over/Under Numbers

10.09.2013     08:24 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Earlier this month, the LVH sportsbook posted NBA Regular Season Over/Under numbers. The Miami Heat are lined at 60, followed by the Los Angeles Clippers (57), Chicago Bulls (56.5), and San Antonio Spurs (55.5). At the bottom of the list are the Philadelphia 76ers (16.5), Phoenix Suns (21.5) and Orlando Magic (24.5). For a listing of all 30 teams, click here



Tags: NBA




The one about the New York Knicks, copious amounts of coke, and point shaving

09.16.2013     06:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
If you lived in New York City during the 80's there's a good chance you either used coke or knew someone who did. But what's interesting is that the dude providing you or your acquaintance with recreational drugs may have also been a big sports bettor. The type of drug dealer/sports bettor who supplied the local NBA team with product and “suggestions” on how to get said product at a discounted rate.


“Over . . . the last two months, all three [players] have given . . . tips on when to bet the Knicks to lose. This has occurred seven times and six of the tips were good,” according to FBI files citing two unnamed “sources.”

“So many people say it’s impossible to fix a game because guys are paid so much money,” Tuohy told The Post. “But you can see how easily they can get hooked on some drug, be gambling themselves and get in deep with a bookie.”






Tags: NBA New York Knicks




In Stat Evaluations, Be a Judge, Not a Lawyer

06.30.2013     07:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’ve touched on this periodically over the years, often in throwaway comments when I’m whining about something I just saw or read. I was thinking it was time to go into the topic again because we have so many new readers thanks to twitter (@jefffogle) and word-of-mouth. Then, a PERFECT example jumped out at me in something I was reading at Grantland.

There’s an article up this weekend about the Philadelphia 76ers. Author Ben Detrick said this about the role new general manager Sam Hinkie might have played in the development of point guard Jrue Holiday:

“When Hinkie took the reins, some thought he could help transform Holiday into the Sixers’ version of James Harden. Both are big guards with lightning-quick first steps, equally capable Read more


Tags: NBA Philadelphia 76ers Stat Intelligence




NBA Gambling News: LeBron and the Heat +250 to win next year's title

06.21.2013     11:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everyone's favorite stat nerd Nate Silver says LeBron James has two more NBA Championships left in him. And not even 24 hour removed from their second straight title, the Miami Heat are even money to win the Eastern Conference and +250 to three-peat according to The Greek.


What seems safe to say is that you wouldn’t want to bet on James at even money. There are just too many things that can go wrong with a player’s career as he ages: injury or illness, early retirement, bad teammates or bad luck.

Even a team as strong as this year’s Heat began the season with only about a 30 percent chance of winning the title, according to the Las Vegas odds. That percentage happens to roughly match the historical likelihood of an N.B.A. team repeating as champion, which is 33 percent.





Tags: NBA Miami Heat




NBA Finals Betting Recap: After an Unforgettable Seven Games...It's Miami!

06.21.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Amazing game. Amazing series. A night and a fortnight that sports fans will be talking about for many years to come. If you’re young…you’ll talk about this series the way your elders talk about the Jordan years…or Bird/Magic. If you’re older, it was great to relive the very best this league has to offer.

Spurs fans are crushed, but proud. Heat fans are jubilant. Basketball lovers know they just experienced something very special.

The final numbers from Game Seven…

Miami 95, San Antonio 87

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 40%, Miami 48%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio 6/19, Miami 12/32

Free Throws: San Antonio 20/22, Miami 11/16

1’s and 2’s: San Antonio 70, Miami 59

Rebounds: San Antonio 43, Miami 43

Turnovers: San Antonio 14, Miami 14

These teams were so evenly matched top to bottom. You could make a pretty good case that it boiled down Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence




NBA Finals Gambling: Over 70% of bettors side with underdog Spurs for Game 7

06.20.2013     12:01 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -5.5 O/U 188

Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 7 of the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Side
San Antonio +6 (+5.5 at most offshore shops) - 71.0%

Total
San Antonio-Miami OVER 189 - 56.6%

Moneyline
San Antonio +210 - 81.6%



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat




NBA Finals Handicapping: History hasn't been kind to Game 7 road teams

06.19.2013     11:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -6 O/U 189.5

A couple of database numbers to considering for Thursday's NBA Finals Game 7 between the San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat. Home teams are 23-8 SU and 20-11 ATS in postseason Game 7's. Totals in those games were 11-20 O/U. Since 2004, there have been two Game 7's in the finals: San Antonio won and covered vs. Detroit in 2004 and the LA Lakers won but failed to cover vs. Boston in 2009. Both games went under the total. The last road team to win a Game 7 in the NBA Finals straight up was the Washington Bullets in 1978.



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat



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April

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