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October

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NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs sweep Memphis, advance to Finals

05.28.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Most of the night…it felt like Memphis was ready for their summer vacation. San Antonio was in control, once again attacking weak spots when they had the ball, and denying the rim when they didn’t. But, because the Spurs haven’t quite figured out where the Memphis jugular is…a temporary lapse made it a game in the fourth quarter.

We saw something similar back in Game Two. The Spurs blew a big lead, and Memphis caught them at 85-all to force overtime. Here, the Spurs blew a big lead, and Memphis almost caught them at 89-86 with less than a minute to go. San Antonio made its free throws. Memphis never got another good look.

San Antonio 93, Memphis 86

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 57%, Memphis 38%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio 3/13, Memphis 5/14

Free Throws: San Antonio 12/13, Memphis 17/24

1’s and 2’s: San Antonio 84, Memphis 71

Rebounds: San Antonio 34, Memphis Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs take commanding 3-0 series lead

05.26.2013     08:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Last night we talked about how Game Two of Indiana/Miami looked so much like Game One. Tonight, we get to do the same thing in the Western Conference finals…as Game Three in Memphis looked very much like Game Two in San Antonio.

*Home Team jumps out to big lead

*Visitor rallies

*Game goes to overtime at 85-all in G2, and 86-all in G3

*Spurs know what to do in overtime

What jumped out to me watching tonight was how Memphis WASN’T Indiana. You just didn’t see the same fire in their eyes…the same sense of urgency, even though the Grizzlies were already playing with their backs to the wall tonight while Indiana was just trying to break serve. Also, Indiana made its free throws last night, while Memphis gagged way too many with their season on the line this evening.

San Antonio 104, Memphis 93 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 55%, Memphis 40%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies




NBA Gambling: Bettors lean with road underdogs, Pacers and Spurs

05.24.2013     11:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight and Saturday's NBA Playoff Games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Sides
Indiana +7.5 - 58.7%
San Antonio +5.5 - 53.3%

Moneyline
Indiana +315 - 64.1%
San Antonio +200/Memphis -240 - 50%

Totals
Indiana-Miami OVER 182 - 76.3%
San Antonio-Memphis OVER 177.5 - 61.2%




Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers




NBA Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs bomb from deep, take 1-0 series lead

05.20.2013     08:36 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Even when I was thinking the Spurs would need to shoot treys like the Knicks if they wanted to beat Memphis, I hadn’t imagined THIS for the start of the Western Conference Finals.

Three-Pointers: Memphis 5 of 12, San Antonio 14 of 29

That’s +9 in makes, which is +27 on the scoreboard, in a game the Spurs won by 22.

Don’t want to get too cute here. We had the KRIB Index for the Knicks when they were making a lot of treys while not turning the ball over (Knicks Re-Invent Basketball). San Antonio was actually +3 in that differential today. SPARE-RIB? SPurs ARE Re-Inventing Basketball? Nah.

And, besides, this kind of ball movement and brains is something we’ve associated with San Antonio for years. It’s important to remember that we were all associating it with them last year at this time, just as they were jumping ahead of Oklahoma City 2-0 before losing four straight. San Antonio plays a beautiful game…which is art when Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Breaking down the NBA's Final Four

05.20.2013     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  With both Conference Finals getting underway, I’ll take a look at the two series, looking for hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspreads success.
There’s no question that predicting series success correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  This year’s results stand out in that regard.  In the West, Memphis went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.  San Antonio covered the spread in seven out of ten through the first two rounds. 

In the East, Indiana went 8-4 ATS, including a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS mark at home in Indianapolis; five of those six wins coming by a double-digit margin.  And the defending champion and prohibitive favorite to win the title, Miami, despite their public nature, has gone 6-3 ATS in their first two series, including a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark on the highway – the mark of a strong, veteran championship contender.

When we add it up, we’re talking about 67% or better ATS results here Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Memphis vs. San Antonio Statline Preview

05.19.2013     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

A new series starts Sunday. Let’s review regular season performance in the stat categories we’ve been studying in in the college and pro postseasons. Note that these are regular season only numbers. Prefer using an 82-game sample with similar strengths of schedule. Then we can pencil in what we’ve learned so far in the playoffs if need be.

(5) Memphis: 47% two-point defense, +3.7 rebounding, +1.5 TO’S, 4.7 treys, #29 full season pace

(2) S. Antonio: 47% two-point defense, +1.2 rebounding, +0.2 TO’S, 8.1 treys, #6 full season pace

Pretty clear differences there once you get past two-point defense. And, the whole world was at 47% in that category anyway if you’ll recall from our first round previews!

MEMPHIS is the “defense and rebounding wins championships” team, with a huge edge on the glass, and a proven ability to force a lot of turnovers. During the regular season we encouraged you to think of them as the Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting Recap: Memphis and Miami headed to Conference Finals

05.16.2013     06:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Though there’s still a lot of basketball left to be played…there’s already a rumbling that the Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat are on a collision course for the NBA Finals. Both wrapped up their second round series in five games Wednesday Night. 

Memphis 88, Oklahoma City 84

2-Point Percentage: Memphis 40%, Oklahoma City 42%

3-Point Shooting: Memphis 3/14, Oklahoma City 6/25

Free Throws: Memphis 25/29, Oklahoma City 16/21

1’s and 2’s: Memphis 79, Oklahoma City 66

Rebounds: Memphis 45, Oklahoma City 44

Turnovers: Memphis 9, Oklahoma City 14

Memphis blew a big lead…then blew a big lead AGAIN before frantically holding on in the final moments. Kevin Durant of OKC stayed out of gas…only shooting 5 of 21 on the evening. I’m hoping statheads who generally decry “inventing a narrative” are learning to think a bit more about that. If you’re really Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Memphis Grizzlies Stat Intelligence




NBA Betting News: Memphis Grizzlies and Miami Heat go up 3-1

05.14.2013     10:02 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The night is running late so let’s jump right into the numbers…

Memphis 103, Oklahoma City 97 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: Oklahoma City 42%, Memphis 42%

3-Point Shooting: Oklahoma City 9/20, Memphis 6/17

Free Throws: Oklahoma City 20/22, Memphis 25/29

1’s and 2’s: Oklahoma City 70, Memphis 85

Rebounds: Oklahoma City 44, Memphis 41

Turnovers: Oklahoma City 15, Memphis 7

An inverse of Game One. This time, it was Oklahoma City as the road team blowing a big lead (up 17 at one point), so Memphis as the home team could “steal” a win. The Grizzlies had to go overtime to do it. In fact, Oklahoma City won G1 by a 93-91 score, while this one went OT at 94-94. Those two cancel out. The other two games in the series were 6-point Memphis wins (one at each site).

Average Regulation Result: Memphis by 2.5

Memphis is now +17 in turnover differential, which Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Miami Heat Chicago Bulls State Intelligence




NBA Gambling: Nearly 60% of bettors on Miami Heat for Game 4

05.13.2013     11:14 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight’s two NBA Playoff Games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Sides
Miami -8 - 59.0%
Memphis -4.5 - 56.3%

Totals
Oklahoma City-Memphis OVER 185 - 55.6%
Chicago-Miami UNDER 185.5 - 53.2%

Moneyline
Oklahoma City +170 - 70.7%
Chicago +340 - 59.5%



Tags: NBA Miami Heat Chicago Bulls Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Durant leads OKC past Memphis in Game 1

05.06.2013     11:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Coming into the playoffs, the odds that backup OKC point guard Derek Fisher would be a defensive difference maker were somewhere between slim and none.   Then Russell Westbrook suffered a season ending injury.  Reggie Jackson, the second year point guard out of Boston College who averaged just 14 minutes of playing time during the regular season, has been promoted to the starting spot.  Fisher, who didn’t even sign with the Thunder until after the All-Star break, got a steady dose of garbage time minutes down the stretch.  He closed out his 24 game regular season stint with OKC averaging just 4.1 points on 33% shooting and 0.7 assists per game.

Fisher’s playoff history is truly a special one, highlighted by his infamous Game 5 buzzer beating three-pointer at San Antonio in Game 5 of the 2004 Western Conference Finals.  That shot is just one of quite literally dozens of huge makes from Fisher from a career that dates all the way back to 1996.  And Fisher hit a pair of impact three pointers in Game 1 against Memphis as well.  But the biggest clutch contribution from a guy with five championship rings on his fingers came Read more


Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Memphis Grizzlies Teddy Covers



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