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NBA Gambling News: LeBron and the Heat +250 to win next year's title

06.21.2013     11:59 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Everyone's favorite stat nerd Nate Silver says LeBron James has two more NBA Championships left in him. And not even 24 hour removed from their second straight title, the Miami Heat are even money to win the Eastern Conference and +250 to three-peat according to The Greek.


What seems safe to say is that you wouldn’t want to bet on James at even money. There are just too many things that can go wrong with a player’s career as he ages: injury or illness, early retirement, bad teammates or bad luck.

Even a team as strong as this year’s Heat began the season with only about a 30 percent chance of winning the title, according to the Las Vegas odds. That percentage happens to roughly match the historical likelihood of an N.B.A. team repeating as champion, which is 33 percent.





Tags: NBA Miami Heat




NBA Finals Betting Recap: After an Unforgettable Seven Games...It's Miami!

06.21.2013     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Amazing game. Amazing series. A night and a fortnight that sports fans will be talking about for many years to come. If you’re young…you’ll talk about this series the way your elders talk about the Jordan years…or Bird/Magic. If you’re older, it was great to relive the very best this league has to offer.

Spurs fans are crushed, but proud. Heat fans are jubilant. Basketball lovers know they just experienced something very special.

The final numbers from Game Seven…

Miami 95, San Antonio 87

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 40%, Miami 48%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio 6/19, Miami 12/32

Free Throws: San Antonio 20/22, Miami 11/16

1’s and 2’s: San Antonio 70, Miami 59

Rebounds: San Antonio 43, Miami 43

Turnovers: San Antonio 14, Miami 14

These teams were so evenly matched top to bottom. You could make a pretty good case that it boiled down Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence




NBA Finals Gambling: Over 70% of bettors side with underdog Spurs for Game 7

06.20.2013     12:01 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -5.5 O/U 188

Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 7 of the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Side
San Antonio +6 (+5.5 at most offshore shops) - 71.0%

Total
San Antonio-Miami OVER 189 - 56.6%

Moneyline
San Antonio +210 - 81.6%



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat




NBA Finals Handicapping: History hasn't been kind to Game 7 road teams

06.19.2013     11:47 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -6 O/U 189.5

A couple of database numbers to considering for Thursday's NBA Finals Game 7 between the San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat. Home teams are 23-8 SU and 20-11 ATS in postseason Game 7's. Totals in those games were 11-20 O/U. Since 2004, there have been two Game 7's in the finals: San Antonio won and covered vs. Detroit in 2004 and the LA Lakers won but failed to cover vs. Boston in 2009. Both games went under the total. The last road team to win a Game 7 in the NBA Finals straight up was the Washington Bullets in 1978.



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat




NBA Finals Betting Recap: Spurs Can't Hold 5-Point Lead with Under 25 Seconds Left

06.19.2013     07:58 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was there for the taking. San Antonio had a 13-point lead late in the third quarter…a 10-point lead to start the fourth quarter…and, after rallying from a late collapse, a 5-point lead with just under 25 seconds left. There was no trophy ceremony. Miami forced overtime, then won the extra period to force a Game Seven finale Thursday Night.

If you watched, you’re as spent as I am…and there’s really not much more to add to what everyone has been saying in the twitterverse. Let’s see what the final numbers looked like…

Miami 103, San Antonio 100 (in overtime)

2-Point Percentage: San Antonio 48%, Miami 44%

3-Point Shooting: San Antonio 5/18, Miami 11/19

Free Throws: San Antonio 21/28, Miami 16/21

1’s and 2’s: San Antonio 85, Miami 70

Rebounds: San Antonio 45, Miami 42

Turnovers: San Antonio 13, Miami 15

Tim Duncan had a HUGE first three Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Stat Intelligence




NBA Finals Gambling: San Antonio Spurs are perfect ATS off a loss in postseason

06.19.2013     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -6 O/U 189.5

The Miami Heat's against the spread streak off of a loss came to an end last night in their 103-100 non-covering overtime win over the San Antonio Spurs last night. So now it is the Spurs' turn to see if they can maintain their stellar record off of a loss. Heading into Thursday's Game 7, San Antonio is 4-0 SU/ATS during the postseason and 23-5 SU, 16-11 ATS for the entire season (a mark that would be far better if not for late season rest situations). Also note that dating back to 2010, the Spurs are on a 8-0 SU/ATS streak off an overtime defeat.




Tags: MLB San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat




NBA Finals Gambling: Bettors prefer Miami Heat and OVER for Game 6

06.18.2013     12:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -6.5 O/U 191

Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 6 of the NBA Finals between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Side
Miami -6.5 - 57.5%

Total
San Antonio-Miami OVER 191 - 56.6%

Moneyline
San Antonio +245 - 69.0%

 



Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs




NBA Finals Gambling: Breaking down the offshore and Las Vegas markets

06.18.2013     06:29 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Antonio at Miami -7 O/U 191

A quick look at what the offshore and Las Vegas scenes are offering for Game 6 of the NBA Finals. Every sportsbook is currently sitting with the Miami Heat -7 expect for Pinnacle who is a few cents off a -6.5 (-110). A few offshore shops are showing a slight lean towards San Antonio with +7 (-115). Totals wise, 191 is painted across the board offshore. And per usual, most of Vegas shops are a half point higher at 191.5. We're still waiting for the day when Vegas posts a total that is lower than what CRIS, Pinnacle, and Grande are offering. Fairly big discrepancy on the moneyline with offshore showing the Heat (who are obviously in a must-win situation) in the -320 to -340 range (Pinnacle -295, Grande -350). In Vegas, fan friendly Coasts and Stations have the Heat as high as -360 while other shops are -340 to -350.



Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs




NBA Finals Betting Recap: San Antonio Spurs Surge Back Into Series Lead

06.17.2013     08:26 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It was surely a team effort from the San Antonio Spurs Sunday Night. You could point to any individual and find a lot to sing about.

*Manu Ginobili had his “back from the dead” game after seeing Dwyane Wade do that for the Heat the last time out.

*Danny Green continued his unprecedented three-point shooting, nailing 6 of 10 from long range.

*Tony Parker ran the offense effectively…which was important tonight because San Antonio was being very aggressive in terms of attacking QUICKLY. Not fast break points, but…as Zach Lowe of Grantland  pointed out on twitter…by getting the ball into the post quickly. Parker was also 10 of 14 shooting.

*Tim Duncan wasn’t the star of the game…but he was 7 of 10 from the floor, grabbed 12 rebounds and blocked 3 shots.

As you know if you watched the game…all of that production came out of a team approach. It wasn’t a case of different guys trying to take Read more


Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Stat Intelligence




NBA Finals Gambling: Miami Heat enter Game 6 on a 12-0 ATS run off a loss

06.17.2013     08:22 AM     Printer Friendly
San Antonio at Miami -7 O/U 191

Heading into Tuesday's must-win Game 6, the Miami Heat have won and covered 12 straight games off of a loss. For the 2012-13 season, they are 19-3 SU, 16-6 ATS. Going back to last year, the Heat are 36-13 and 31-18 ATS. Those supporting the zig-zag theory during the NBA Finals are 4-0 SU/ATS.

Miami Heat Betting Results off of a SU Loss (Updated)
Date
Opponent
Score
Heat Line
Heat SU
Heat ATS
1/12
at Sacramento
128-99
-7
Win
Win
1/16
at Golden State
92-75
-2.5
Win
Win
1/30
at Brooklyn
105-85
-2.5
Win
Win
2/3
at Toronto
100-85
-4.5
Win
Win
3/29
at New Orleans
108-89
-7.5
Win
Win
4/5
at Charlotte
89-79
-5
Win
Win
5/8
vs. Chicago
115-78
-13
Win
Win
5/26
at Indiana
114-96
-2
Win
Win
5/30
vs. Indiana
90-79
-7.5
Win
Win
6/3
vs. Indiana
99-76
-7
Win
Win
6/9
vs. San Antonio
103-84
-6
Win
Win
6/13
at San Antonio
109-93
-1
Win
Win
6/18
vs. San Antonio
???
-7
???
???




Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs



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