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NBA Handicapping: Erin Rynning talks San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat

06.05.2014     12:01 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning gave his thoughts on opinions on the NBA Finals for ESPN Insider. He also broke the series down on Wednesday's Sportsmemo Podcast. Click here to listen.

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Erin Rynning

Handicapping the NBA Finals: San Antonio Spurs short series favorites over Miami Heat

06.02.2014     08:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NBA Finals get underway on Thursday with the Miami Heat taking on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs have home court advantage and are currently -3.5/-4 home favorites for Game 1. For the series, San Antonio is a -125 favorite at most offshore sportsbooks. According to Bookmaker, 70% of bets for Game 1 have come in on the Spurs whereas 65% of series bets have been on the Heat.

Tags: NBA Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs

NBA Gambling Consensus: Betting public picks Miami Heat to close out series

05.28.2014     01:14 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 5 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers according to Bookmaker. The general public prefers the Heat and OVER but the market bet the total down and Indiana from +2 to +1. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Miami -1 (66.7%) at Indiana

Miami at Indiana OVER 183 (70.6%)

Miami -115 (52.3%) at Indiana

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Indiana Pacers

NBA Gambling: Indiana's George upgraded to probable for Game 3

05.23.2014     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Indiana at Miami -7 O/U 182.5

According to Sports Options, Indiana's Paul George has been upgraded to probable for Saturday's Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals in Miami. George suffered a concussion in Game 2 and has yet to officially be cleared to play but indications are the he will practice today.

"Most all if not all head injuries and concussions resolve back to normal, but the important thing is we treat them appropriately and that process is actually going on right now with Paul George," Kersey said. "The injury has been addressed, it is being assessed and treated and following protocols which are in place."

Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Miami Heat

NBA Gambling Consensus: Betting public all over Miami Heat for Game 2

05.20.2014     11:16 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 2 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers according to Bookmaker. Not surprising to the seeing the betting public lined up on the Heat with over 85% of wagers. Miami was a 2.5-point favorite earlier today but money on the Pacers has driven the line down to -2/-1.5. Miami is 16-9 SU but only 12-13 ATS off of a loss this season.  Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Miami -2 (85.3%) at Indiana

Miami at Indiana OVER 185 (75.9%)

Miami -130 (81.7%) at Indiana

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Indiana Pacers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Previewing the Western and Eastern Conference Finals

05.19.2014     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  For all the drama of the first two rounds, it’s an all-chalk Final Four, with the top two seeds from each conference battling for supremacy.

With both Conference Finals getting underway on Sunday and Monday, I’ll take a closer look at the two series.  The goal, as always, is to unearth hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspread success while assessing pace and totals as well.

Predicting series success generally correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  But not as much as last year!  In 2013, the Final Four teams combined to go 31-11 (74%) against the spread in the first two rounds of postseason; each of the four teams cashing at a 67% clip or better.  The ‘surprise’ team of the four, Memphis, went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds before covering only once while getting swept by San Antonio.

The ATS success of the Final Four teams in 2014 pales in comparison to 2013.  Between them, the NBA’s Final Four have turned a Read more

Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers

NBA Gambling Consensus: Betting public likes both of Monday's games OVER the total

05.12.2014     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Three of this past weekend's four NBA Playoff games went OVER the total upping the postseason mark to a ridiculous 40-23-1 O/U. But the betting markets – those responsible for moving the lines – bet both of Monday's games UNDER total total. Miami-Brooklyn opened 189.5 (CRIS) and was bet down to as low as 187. San Antonio-Portland opened 212 with most sportsbooks now offering 210 or 210.5. As for the betting public, they of course like the two favorites and the over with better than 60% of action. Below are the betting consensus numbers for tonight...

Miami -2 (72%) at Brooklyn
San Antonio -4.5 (60%) at Portland

Miami at Brooklyn OVER 187.5 (65%)
San Antonio at Portland OVER 210.5 (64%)

Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers

NBA Handicapping: Nets seek better defense vs. Heat in Game 2

05.08.2014     10:42 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Brooklyn at Miami -7.5 O/U 192

The Brooklyn Nets are wisely addressing their porous Game 1 defense, particularly in the paint where the Miami Heat hung 52 points.

"We know a lot of the things we did wrong defensively," Deron Williams said before practice at AmericanAirlines Arena Wednesday. "We made a lot of mistakes in our defensive game plan, we gave up 52 points in the paint, so of course that's going to be the focus going forward, keeping them out of the lane and keeping them from getting so many layups, so many easy baskets. Because when they do that, they get a lot of confidence, and then they start hitting shots from everywhere."

Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Recapping NBA Playoff Game 1's

04.21.2014     08:00 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
There were eight opening round NBA Playoff Series that started this past weekend.  The lower seeded road teams – all underdogs in Game 1 – went 6-2 ATS, including five outright upset winners.  There were four games that flew Over the total, three that stayed Under and one (Miami-Charlotte) that finished right in between the opening and closing total.

This is just the start of a two month NBA Playoff marathon, and those Game 1’s may not be indicative of how these opening round series are likely to play out.  Here are some key note and quotes for each series following those Game 1’s.

Miami looked sluggish and lethargic for extended stretches of their opener against Charlotte, but took over the game with an 18-4 run in the fourth quarter when LeBron James was sitting on the bench.  Head coach Erik Spoelstra:  “We were flat to start. I think our guys were just anxious."  LeBron: “That group that was in once I took that break at the 10-minute mark in the fourth quarter, they just bumped the lead. Obviously, to have three Hall of Famers in the game when I'm out of the game, CB, D-Wade and Ray Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Charlotte Bobcats San Antonio Spurs Dallas Mavericks Atlanta Hawks Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers

NBA Betting News: Miami Heat focused on health rather than top seed

04.11.2014     07:15 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
While the Indiana Pacers are all-in for tonight's critical game at Miami according to LeBron James, the team's focus remains on staying healthy. James however later noted that tonight's contest will have a Game 7-like feel. Make up your mind, Bron.

"It's not about controlling our destiny with the No. 1 seed," James insists. "We want to get healthy. That's all we care about, man, going into the postseason healthy. We've got more problems as far as health issues than the No. 1 seed. And if it happens, it happens. We're going to be excited to get the postseason started. But that's the least of our worries right now."

"It doesn't matter how a team is struggling; once they play us we

Read more

Tags: NBA Miami Heat Indiana Pacers


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