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NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets

02.14.2018     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Indiana -4 at Brooklyn O/U 212.5
Recommendation: Indiana

Very quietly, waaaaaaay underneath the radar, the Indiana Pacers are playing their best basketball of the season heading into the All-Star break. Indiana has won its last two, including an impressive road win at Boston. They’ve won seven of their last ten overall; 13-6 in their last 19 contests; a stretch that includes SU road wins at Utah, San Antonio and Phoenix as well as that win against the Celtics.

There were some initial concerns about the chemistry between players and management after Indiana stood pat at the trading deadline, unable to give the team a boost in their push towards the playoffs. Quotes like this one from Thaddeus Young make it VERY clear that any chemistry concerns are vastly overblown:

"We were just excited they decided to keep this thing together and let us keep getting better. Right after the game (vs. the Knicks on Sunday), (GM Chad Buchanon) texted us and said, 'Great win. But it's not over. We still have one game before the All-Star break,' and we all responded right then and there. It's like I said, this is one of Read more



Tags: NBA Indiana Pacers Brooklyn Nets Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Clippers at Detroit Pistons

02.09.2018     09:40 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Clippers at Detroit -3 O/U 219
Recommendation: Detroit

The Pistons have won five straight since snapping their eight game losing streak, the last four of which have come with Blake Griffin on the court for Detroit. The numbers with Griffin and fellow low post stud Andre Drummond on the court together have been remarkable; jelling immediately as a duo.

In 84 court minutes together through four games, Detroit has averaged 112.6 points per 100 possessions on offense while allowing only 88.2 PP/100 on defense. That results in a remarkable net of +24.4 PP/100 with that duo on the floor. Throw in a 54.9% in percentage of available rebounds Detroit has snagged with the Griffin/Drummond duo on the floor and all of a sudden Stan Van Gundy’s squad has the look of a legitimate contender.

These quotes from the Pistons locker room really stand out. Drummond: “It can only get better from here. With (Griffin’s) addition it’s just been a lot of fun. He’s able to handle the ball; he’s a great playmaker. He’s doing a great job of adjusting right now.”

Van Gundy, Read more



Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Detroit Pistons Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Portland Trail Blazers at Dallas Mavericks

01.26.2018     12:17 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Portland at Dallas +1.5 O/U 209
Recommendation: Dallas

Very quietly, waaaay underneath the radar screens of most bettors, the Dallas Mavericks have emerged as pointspread behemoths in the underdog role. The results do not lie. With rookie point guard Dennis Smith in the lineup, the Mavs are riding a 12-2 ATS mark in their last 14 tries as underdogs.

That 12-2 mark includes a half point ATS defeat to Houston in their last ballgame, losing by seven as 6.5 point underdogs. It’s worth noting that Smith was suffering from a ‘stomach ailment’ in that game; getting only 15 minutes of court time as a result.

Mavs veteran wing Wesley Matthews was not amused by their defensive intensity in that contest, the Mavs fourth loss in their last five games following a 6-3 SU run in their previous nine. It’s surely worth noting that six of the Mavs last eight wins have come in outright fashion as underdogs – Dallas has shown repeatedly that they are capable of stepping up in class.

Matthews: “We've got to shore some things up getting ready to play against Portland, which is a team that's Read more



Tags: NBA Portland Trail Blazers Dallas Mavericks Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Los Angeles Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder

01.17.2018     12:41 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LA Lakers at Oklahoma City -10 O/U 216.5
Recommendation: Over

Of all the stats that I’ve researched in the NBA this season, perhaps the single most surprising numbers come from the LA Lakers; more specifically from Lonzo Ball. Rookie point guards aren’t noted for their defense. Rookie ‘one and done’ point guards coming out of college with a single year of playing time under a non-defensive minded head coach, in particular, are not noted for strong defense.

All of which makes the advanced metric stats stand out even more. Ball rates as the #1 defensive point guard in the NBA (of players that average at least 20 minutes per game). And those aren’t just some random, meaningless stats – the results show it very, very clearly.

Since Christmas, with Lonzo Ball on the court, the Lakers are 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS and 4-1 to the Under. Without Ball on the court, LA is 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS and 6-1 to the Over. That’s a meaningful dichotomy, not a random one, and Ball is listed as doubtful again this evening, not likely to suit up against Russell Westbrook and company.

The point guard Read more



Tags: NBA Los Angeles Lakers Oklahoma City Thunder Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Golden State Warriors at Milwaukee Bucks

01.12.2018     12:29 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Golden State at Milwaukee +6.5 O/U 225
Recommendation: Milwaukee

Last year, here at the Bradley Center, the Bucks gave the Warriors everything they could handle, losing by only three points as a nine point home underdog. Two years ago, Jason Kidd’s squad pulled off the outright upset against Golden State on this floor, winning by 13 as nine point dogs. Clearly, Kidd and the Bucks get up for their only home game against the defending champs.

This year’s Milwaukee squad is better – much better – than recent editions. Giannis Antetokounmpo has morphed into a superstar. Point guard Eric Bledsoe has clearly sparked the offense. Kris Middleton is averaging more than 20 points per game. Malcolm Brogdon is continuing to develop off his ‘Rookie of the Year’ campaign in 2017.

The end result? Milwaukee’s offensive execution is as good as it’s been at any point in the Kidd era, and it’s getting better by the week. For the full season, Milwaukee ranks #7 in offensive efficiency. Since Christmas, they’re at #4 in the NBA. And that’s a problem for the disjointed Read more



Tags: NBA Golden State Warriors Milwaukee Bucks Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns

11.10.2017     12:09 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Orlando -3.5 at Phoenix O/U 226
Recommendation: Orlando

Here’s the key quote, from Suns veteran big man Jared Dudley, after Phoenix lost their fourth straight game earlier in the week: "We are going to have a problem with consistency throughout the year... Since Jay took over, we might have had one or one-and-a-half practices. We've had a lot of games, and there is only so much you can go over, so much film you can do. I think he's a done great job so far. I just think that we need to ride this stretch before next week beginning a couple practices and going over certain things that we need to go through on the defensive end."

The Suns have gotten a little bit better since Jay Triano took over for Earl Watson following their dismal start, at least from an effort standpoint. But from a defensive standpoint, the Suns remain a bottom five team. It’s the same story on offense, no surprise for a team that suspended, then traded their starting point guard, leaving D-League veteran (but undrafted NBA rookie) Mike James as the starter at the point. This is not a strong homecourt either, as clearly evidenced by the Suns Read more



Tags: NBA Orlando Magic Phoenix Suns Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

11.06.2017     01:36 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston -8 at Atlanta O/U 204.5
Recommendation: Boston

The Celtics lost Gordon Hayward five minutes into the season. Boston lost on opening night, then lost the following night at home to Milwaukee. The betting markets immediately devalued Boston; a team with a whole host of new faces just learning to play with one another. That was a mistake!
Head coach Brad Stevens has worked his magic. The Celtics haven’t lost since that defeat to the Bucks on the second night of the season. That includes road wins, by margin, at Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Miami, Orlando and OKC; all of whom are better than the bottom feeder Hawks team they’ll face today.

The Celtics enter Sunday with the #1defense in the NBA, allowing fewer than 96 points per 100 possessions. That’s bad news for a Hawks team that ranks #26 in offensive efficiency this season. Other than veteran point guard Dennis Schroder, this is not a team loaded with playmakers. When the Hawks aren’t draining three’s, they’re a rough team to watch (or bet on). And, frankly, not many teams are draining three’s against this stout Boston Read more



Tags: NBA Boston Celtics Atlanta Hawks Teddy Covers




NBA Playoff Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors

05.04.2017     10:43 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Utah +13.5 at Golden State O/U 206
Recommendation: Utah

The Golden State Warriors won every stat comparison they could win in their Game 1 victory over Utah.  The Warriors won fast break points 29-6.  They won points off turnovers by a 20-4 margin.  Golden State shot 49% from the floor and outscored the Jazz by ten at the free throw line, hitting 91% of their foul shots too! Golden State had 32 assists on 40 made field goals.  They completely shut down Utah’s Gordon Hayward, held to just 4-of-15 shooting with only four assists and four rebounds.

And yet, when the dust cleared, it was Utah, not Golden State, who cashed winning bets for their backers thanks to a late 8-2 run in the closing minutes with all the starters for both teams sitting on the bench.  That’s the danger of laying double digits in an NBA Playoff game, even with an elite team like the Warriors, very similar to their Game 1 showing against the Blazers.

Jazz head coach Quin Snyder wrote one word on the chalkboard in the locker room prior to their Game 7 win at LA against the Clippers: ‘Compete’.  Read more



Tags: NBA Utah Jazz Golden State Warriors Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapper Free Betting Pick: Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls

04.28.2017     11:28 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston -3 at Chicago O/U 203.5
Recommendation: Boston

Even after the line move towards the Celtics in early betting action, I’m still expecting Boston to close out this series with a Game 6 victory tonight. The results don’t lie. The Bulls covered the spread in Games 1 and 2 by 10.5 points and 21.5 points, winning outright as underdogs both times.

Then point guard Rajon Rondo broke his thumb, forced to sit out. The Bulls hung 106 and 111 points in the first two games with Rondo distributing the basketball extremely effectively, as Chicago notched 50 assists in those two ballgames. They notched only 31 combined assists in Games 3 and 4 with Jerian Grant, then Isaiah Canaan starting at point guard.

Grant was benched completely by Game 5. Canaan was a DNP-coaches decision 29 times in the regular season, and he played more than 20 minutes of gametime only once since December. Yet the last two games, Canaan has played more than 70 minutes of floor time. He has a grand total of three assists in those 70+ minutes.

Weak point guard play is a problem at any time of the year. When it comes to Read more



Tags: NBA Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Teddy Covers




NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Podcast 4-14-2017 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers

04.14.2017     10:05 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down the four NBA Eastern Conference Playoff series. Note that analysis on the Western Conference with Erin Rynning will be posted later tonight. 

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NBA Playoffs Eastern Conference

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.


ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Ian Cameron, and Drew Martin. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Podcast Monday-Friday at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Podcast?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's podcast archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, CFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   May 25, 2018 08:01 AM.