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February

26

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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Previewing the Western and Eastern Conference Finals

05.19.2014     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  For all the drama of the first two rounds, it’s an all-chalk Final Four, with the top two seeds from each conference battling for supremacy.

With both Conference Finals getting underway on Sunday and Monday, I’ll take a closer look at the two series.  The goal, as always, is to unearth hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspread success while assessing pace and totals as well.

Predicting series success generally correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  But not as much as last year!  In 2013, the Final Four teams combined to go 31-11 (74%) against the spread in the first two rounds of postseason; each of the four teams cashing at a 67% clip or better.  The ‘surprise’ team of the four, Memphis, went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds before covering only once while getting swept by San Antonio.

The ATS success of the Final Four teams in 2014 pales in comparison to 2013.  Between them, the NBA’s Final Four have turned a Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling Update: Spurs leery of Ibaka's status for series

05.19.2014     08:21 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

On Friday we discussed the impact Serge Ibaka's injury had on the betting markets for both Game 1 and the Western Conference Finals series. By all accounts, Ibaka is done for the year but the Spurs are for whatever reason skeptical. Note that while Ibaka's injury (assuming he's out) could hurt the Thunder from a defensive perspective, offensive they've been significantly better this postseason with him on the pine (+5.7 per 48 vs. -2.1).


"I don't really believe it," point guard Tony Parker told reporters Sunday. "I'll believe when I see tomorrow he is not on the court. It's hard to believe. We'll see."



 





NBA Handicapping: Bettors react to Ibaka's injury

05.17.2014 Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs




NBA Handicapping: Bettors react to Ibaka's injury

05.17.2014     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday it was announced the Oklahoma City's Serge Ibaka would miss the rest of the postseason with a calf injury. Nick Collison and Steven Adams will split time patrolling the paint for the Thunder. Ibaka's departure had a fairly significant impact on the betting markets. San Antonio opened as a 4.5-point home favorite for Monday's Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. With Ibaka out the Spurs were bet up to -5.5. San Antonio also took money for the series going from -175 favorites to as high as -210.


“We are obviously disappointed for Serge, as he is a tremendous competitor, and we know how badly he wants to be on the court with his teammates,” Oklahoma City general manager Sam Presti said in a statement. “At this point it is important that our team directs its concentration and energy towards preparation and execution for our upcoming series. As with all teams, our group has confronted different challenges. It is our collective experience that we will call on to ensure that we play to our

Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs




NBA Gambling Recap: A look back at the last minute Clippers-Thunder Game 5

05.14.2014     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
Bad call or not, that was a total melt job by the Los Angeles Clippers last night. The pointspread was never really in doubt with LA covering +5.5 wire-to-wire. But for bettors on the moneyline as well as the series, you either high-fived your co-workers this morning or took the day off to pout in a dark room.




Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Oklahoma City Thunder




NBA Handicapping:Betting public sides with home teams and OVER for Friday's two games

05.09.2014     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When in doubt bet the home team and over…or so says the betting public for tonight's two NBA Conference Semifinal matchups according to Sports Options. Note that in the midst of this writing, the Washington Wizards were popped yet again; up from -4.5 to -5.

Indiana at Washington -5 (69%)
Oklahoma City at LA Clippers -4 (59%)

Indiana at Washington OVER 183.5 (66%)
Oklahoma City at LA Clippers OVER 214 (72%)




Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Clippers




NBA Handicapping: Bettors continue to ride playoff OVERS

05.07.2014     12:27 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With both overs cashing last night, NBA Playoff totals are now an incredible 35-17-1 O/U. And that is the way the public betting consensus leans for tonight's two conference semifinal matchups. Here's the numbers...

Washington +4.5 (57%) at Indiana
LA Clippers at Oklahoma City -5 (61%)

Washington at Indiana OVER 186 (55%)
LA Clippers at Oklahoma City OVER 215 (54%)




Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Clippers Oklahoma City Thunder




NBA Gambling Alert: Oklahoma City bet up to -9 following Randolph suspension

05.03.2014     06:09 AM     Printer Friendly
Warranted or not, Memphis' Zach Randolph will be suspended for today's Game 7 vs. Oklahoma City. The Thunder opened -8 but were bet down to -7.5 Friday afternoon. But once news broke that Randolph would be out, bettors flocked to the OKC side driving the line as high as -9.5 before setting in at its current number of -9. The total got bet down slightly from 185.5 to 184.5.




Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder




NBA Playoff Betting Consensus: Gamblers like Monday's games OVER the total

04.21.2014     02:00 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the top consensus bets for tonight's two NBA Playoff games courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle. Also note that Bookmaker/CRIS is the only major sportsbook offshore or in Las Vegas to currently have Oklahoma City -6.5. The rest of the market has -7.

Oklahoma City -6.5 (51.0%) vs. Memphis
Golden State +8 (62.9%) at LA Clippers

Memphis-Oklahoma City OVER 190.5 (73.1%)
Golden State-LA Clippers OVER 212.5 (77.2%)




Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Golden State Warriors Los Angeles Clippers




NBA Handicapper Free Play: Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder

04.16.2014     10:14 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Detroit at Oklahoma City -14 O/U 211
Recommendation: Over


The Pistons have been the #1 Over team in the NBA all season long; 55-26 (68%) to the Over through their first 81 games.  Against Western Conference foes like the Thunder – teams that tend to play more uptempo than their Eastern Conference counterparts – Detroit has cashed Overs at a 76% clip in their last 30 ballgames.

Recent Pistons defensive efforts can only be described as dismal or non-existent – hence their 8-1 run to the Over in their last nine ballgames.   They’ve allowed 100+ nine times in their last ten games; 110 or more on seven separate occasions during that span.  Toronto – not exactly an uptempo squad – just hung 116 on Detroit in their last game. 

OKC is coming off back-to-back sluggish losses against the Pacers and Pelicans, failing to reach the century mark in either ballgame following a streak of 20 games out of their previous 23 Read more



Tags: NBA Detroit Pistons Oklahoma City Thunder Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling: Oklahoma City laying nearly three touchdowns vs. Philadelphia

03.04.2014     08:18 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With "tank mode" in full effect for a lot of teams, it was only a matter of time before we saw our first 20-point spread of the season. For tonight, Oklahoma City opened -20 vs. Philadelphia and was bet up to -20.5. Not much history to go from in terms of this pointspread range. The Celtics were laying -22.5 vs. the Heat back in 2007 (Boston won 88-62). Overall since 2005, 20-point or more favorites are 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS.




Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder Philadelphia 76ers



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