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NBA Handicapping: Atlanta Hawks in tank mode for sixth seed?
04.16.2012 08:08 AM
Rob Veno
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno
Last night's half assed performance at home vs. a depleted Toronto team (102-86) caused ESPN's John Hollinger to tweet this:
Interesting playoff tanking situation emerging between Atlanta and Orlando -- I imagine both greatly prefer facing Indy to facing Boston...
Hawks are 11-2 SU vs. Indiana L13 but after reading some extremely positive player quotes about the team's current form prior to yesterday's upset loss, I can't personally see them shying away from anyone.
We'll see what happens tonight where the money has already poured in on Philadelphia in their road game at Orlando while Atlanta could solidify themselves as tankers if they blow back-to-backs vs. Toronto. Bettors have faith in the Hawks pushing them to -5.5.
Eastern Conference Playoff Standings as of 4/16
1. Chicago --
2. Miami 3.5
3. Indiana 8.0
4. Boston 10.5
5. Atlanta 11.0
6. Orlando 11.0
7. Philadelphia 14.5
8. New York 15.0
9. Milwaukee 17.0
Tags:
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic
Rob Veno
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NBA Handicapping: Philadelphia 76ers start back-to-back-to-back in Orlando
04.16.2012 06:18 AM
Printer Friendly
Philadelphia
-5 at
Orlando
O/U 181.5
Tonight marks the start of the second set of
back-to-back-to-backs
for Philadelphia this season. After tonight's game at Orlando, the 76ers return home to face Indiana and then back in the road to take on Cleveland. Philly is currently in seventh place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. The Magic are likely to be without Dwight Howard, Glen Davis and Hedo Turkoglu.
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Orlando Magic
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NBA Gambling Preview: Miami and New York clash on ABC
04.15.2012 07:34 AM
Printer Friendly
Miami
at -3 at
New York
O/U 188.5
Possible first round preview with Miami taking on New York for an
early start
(10 am PT) today. The Knicks are currently tied with Philadelphia for the seventh and eighth spots in the Eastern Conference (NY owns tiebreaker). Defense seems to be the main reason behind New York's late season surge (13-4 SU/ATS run). On Friday the Knicks held Washington to 65 points. Only four teams during that 17-game stretch topped 100 points. The Miami-New York series has trended heavily towards the under at 0-5-1 the last six including this year's two meeting that went under by 14.5 and 8.5 points.
“We know they’re good,” Heat forward Chris Bosh said. “We know what they’re capable of. Any series, even last year, the two-seven matchup we had with Philly, it was a tough series. They were a tough team. You have to
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NBA Handicapper Free Play: Utah Jazz at New Orleans Hornets
04.13.2012 10:43 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Utah
at
New Orleans
+4 O/U 191
Recommendation: New Orleans
Key injuries have left each of these teams shorthanded but New Orleans has played under this circumstance all season while Utah is now being severely tested. Already down to nine healthy players in Wednesday’s gutty 103-91 road victory at Houston, the Jazz rotation could be depleted once more tonight as starting SF Paul Milsap has now been downgraded to doubtful. Utah’s starting five will likely be PF Derek Favors, SF DeMarre Carroll, C Al Jefferson, SG Gordon Hayward and PG Devin Harris. There are slim picking behind them as PG Jamaal Tinsley, rookie SG Alec Burks and rookie PF Enes Kanter are the only healthy players and they’ve combined for 15.2 ppg , 7.6 rpg with only Kanter shooting better than 42.5% from the field. This majority of this group is not used to stretch run playoff pressure so they’re asked to deal with a lot physically and mentally. This dilemma should suit the “nothing to
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Rob Veno
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NBA Betting Notes: Boston Celtics gear up for back-to-back-to-back
04.13.2012 07:15 AM
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Boston
-7 at
Toronto
O/U 177
For the first time this season, the Boston Celtics will play the dreaded
three-games-in-three-nights
starting this evening in Toronto. The Celtics have won 11 of 14 (11-3 ATS). Tonight's game also marks the first of four straight road tilts.
“We’re just going to play it game by game,’’ said Rivers. “We’re all over the place with that one. It’s so hard to figure out who needs the rest and who doesn’t. I don’t talk about (the tough schedule), don’t mention it to our guys. I don’t even talk about it with our staff.
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Toronto Raptors
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NBA Handicapping: Rockets playing better defense since moving Camby to center
04.13.2012 07:07 AM
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Phoenix
at
Houston
-4 O/U 200
Important game in Houston tonight as the Rockets and Phoenix Suns battle for a berth in the postseason. The Rockets have won four of five and are playing
better defense
since moving Marcus Camby to center.
In the first six games with Camby starting, Rockets opponents made 42.5 percent of their shots and 30.1 percent of their 3s and averaged 94.8 points.
Before the switch, opponents made 45.6 percent of their shots and 32.1 percent of their 3s and averaged 99.5 points.
“We’ve been getting better in pick-and-roll defense, and we have gotten better at guards breaking to the basket, so we have a solid base,” Rockets forward Luis Scola said. “I think we’re still good. It just wasn’t a good game (Wednesday) night.”
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NBA Handicapping: Oklahoma City Thunder defy odds with poor statistics
04.12.2012 01:21 PM
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Some
interesting stats
regarding the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder rank dead last in the NBA in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.12) – the lowest mark in the league over the last four years. And less than 50% of their made baskets come from assists – also, the lowest mark in the league. And to top it off, 17.2% of their possessions result in a turnover – yep, you guess it, the worst mark in the league. Obviously, these shortcomings haven't really mattered (see: Western Conference best 42-16 record). It is however a different “approach” than some of the more recent NBA champions.
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NBA Gambling Notes: Bulls and Heat square off in Chicago
04.12.2012 06:40 AM
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Important game in the Eastern Conference tonight with
Chicago playing host to Miami
. Early reports say Derrick Rose (ankle) will play. The Bulls (8 games remaining) have a three-game lead over the Heat (10 games remaining) for the no. 1 seed. The teams split the first two meetings with Chicago covering both contests as an underdog.
“We’re chasing them,” Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau said. “They’re the Eastern Conference Champions. We’re chasing them. That’s the way we’re looking at it.”
“One year we didn’t have the No. 1 seed and we won the championship and one year we had the best record in the league, and we didn’t get to the Finals, so I really don’t pay it any mind,” Hamilton said, referring to his years with the Pistons. “You’ve got to be playing the best basketball you can play going into the playoffs.”
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NBA Betting Trend Update: Kobe out, Lakers continue struggles against the spread
04.11.2012 06:32 AM
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UPDATE
Without or without Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles just can’t seem to cover a pointspread these days with its current run now at 2-13 ATS. Bryant is listed as "out" for tonight's game at San Antonio. While the Lakers have been a pointspread disaster (22-35-1 YTD), the Spurs have somehow produced the best ATS record in the league at 34-19-2. Amazing we you consider head coach Gregg Popovich’s willingness to wave the white flag in certain spots so his veterans can rest.
Los Angeles Lakers Betting Results 3/16/2012-4/10/2012
Date
Opponent
Score
Lakers Line
ATS Result
4/9
at New Orleans
W 93-91
-4
Loss
4/7
at Phoenix
L 105-125
-1
Loss
4/6
Houston
L 107-112
-6
Loss
4/4
at L.A. Clippers
W 113-108
+3
Win
4/3
New Jersey
W 91-87
-8.5
Loss
4/1
Golden State
W 120-112
-10
Loss
3/31
New Orleans
W 88-85
-12.5
Loss
3/29
Oklahoma City
L 93-102
1
Loss
3/27
at Golden State
W 104-101
-7
Loss
3/25
Memphis
L 96-102
-6.5
Loss
3/23
Portland
W 103-96
-9.5
Loss
3/21
at Dallas
W 109-93
4.5
Win
3/20
at Houston
L 104-107
-3
Loss
3/18
Utah
L 99-103
-11
Loss
3/16
Minnesota
W 97-92
-7.5
Loss
NBA Betting Trends: Los Angeles Lakers fail to cover 10 of last 11 games
04.04.2012 07:28 AM
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The Los Angeles
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NBA Betting Game Notes: Miami a 7-point favorite over Boston
04.10.2012 06:46 AM
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Boston
at
Miami
-7 O/U 183
Thanks to Boston's late season surge (9-3 SU, 10-2 ATS run), tonight's game at Miami actually has some
relevance
. The teams split the first two meetings with the Celtics winning the most recent matchup, 91-72, on April 1. The Celtics have a three game lead over New York for the top spot in the Atlantic Division. If they playoffs started today, Boston would be the no. 4 seed while Miami would be no. 2.
“They’re too good of a team, too well-coached, I never get into that too-old mess,’’ MVP candidate James said. “What’s amazing about it? They got four probably Hall of Famers, Garnett, [Paul] Pierce, [Rajon] Rondo is on his way to being one of the greatest point guards, and [Ray Allen]. And then they got guys behind them that just play well. Doc [Rivers] puts them in position
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