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NBA Handicapping: Knicks, Heat, and Clippers take 2-0 series leads

04.24.2013     06:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

You regulars are familiar with the KRIB Index that we invented here in the Blog. That’s an acronym for Knicks Re-Invent Basketball, and was based on their amazing ability this year to make treys while avoiding giveaways. I won’t rehash all that because its old news by now. I bring the theme up again because those two categories are looming very large in New York’s current series with Boston.

*New York is much better than Boston from behind the arc, and already enjoys a 16-10 edge in made treys through the first two games of their series. That’s +18 points out of their +23 overall edge on the scoreboard.

*As Steve Kerr was pointing out tonight on the TNT broadcast, Boston has little chance to cash in cheap points off New York turnovers because the Knicks don’t make many. If Boston’s going to lose three’s most every game, they obviously have to make up for that with one’s and two’s if they have any hope of competing in Read more


Tags: NBA New York Knicks Los Angeles Clippers Memphis Grizzlies Miami Heat Boston Celtics Stat Intelligence




NBA Handicapping: What Game 1 means to the rest of the series

04.23.2013     01:51 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Some interesting statistics regarding NBA home teams that post blowouts in Game 1.


The good news, though, is that a set of Game One blowouts doesn’t predict the same outcome in Game Two. The correlation between first-round home-team wins in Game Ones and Game Twos is negative: The more home teams win their openers, the fewer win their second games — though the relationship is very slight.





Tags: NBA




NBA Handicapping: Chicago Shocks Brooklyn...as Deron Williams Disappears

04.23.2013     05:48 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

We have our first road victory of the 2013 NBA Playoffs…and what’s now shaping up as our first interesting series in the East...after Chicago (+5.5) shocked Brooklyn 90-82 Monday night in a game most of you probably watched on TNT.

This was quite a turnaround from Brooklyn’s 106-89 victory Saturday. And, the entirety of that turnaround came on the defensive end for Chicago. Look at how similar these offensive stats were for the Bulls in the first two games…

Bulls' Offense in Games 1 and 2

Scoring: 89 and 90

2-point Shooting: 50% and 52%

3-point Shooting: 25% and 25%

Free Throws: 15 of 22 and 13 of 23

1’s and 2’s: 83 and 81

It can be tempting to for a halo effect to cover everything a team does when they reverse a scoreboard result this dramatically. Be careful giving too much credit to the offense Tuesday. The Bulls still can’t make treys. They’re still not as Read more


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Brooklyn Nets Stat Intelligence




NBA Handicapper Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers

04.22.2013     11:22 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Memphis +6 at LA Clippers O/U 180
Recommendation: Memphis


I expect a strong bounce back effort from the Memphis Grizzlies tonight in Game 2 of their Western Conference Quarterfinal series against the Los Angeles Clippers. Memphis was not happy as a team about their 112-91 Game 1 loss. Throughout the regular season the Grizzlies boasted one of the best defenses in the NBA but were torched for 112 points on 55.4% shooting.

Memphis was particularly disappointed with its performance on the glass; outrebounded 47-23. Marc Gasol voiced his displeasure about the Grizzlies effort on the boards in Game 1: “That’s not acceptable. Once we made a stop, they kept running in and getting offensive rebounds and second-chance points. We have to be better than that. The rebounds were the difference.” The 23 rebounds in Game 1 were the lowest the Grizzlies have ever had in a playoff game. Facing an 0-2 series hole, I expect a much better effort in the battle for loose balls Read more


Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Clippers Ian Cameron




NBA Betting Notes: Clippers manhandle Grizzlies on the glass

04.22.2013     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Memphis at LA Clippers -5.5 O/U 181

During the regular season, Memphis ranked second in the NBA in rebounding margin at +3.6 but were outdone to the tune of 47-23 in Saturday's 112-91 Game 1 loss to the Clippers. Of LA's 47 boards, 14 came on the offensive glass which resulted in 25 second chance points. Memphis' leading rebounder, Ed Davis (6), played only 13 minutes. Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph combined for only six rebounds.


"What's more surprising is our two big guys had six rebounds between them and no offensive rebounds," Hollins said.






Tags: NBA Memphis Grizzlies Los Angeles Clippers




NBA Gambling: Chicago Bulls have track record of UNDERS following poor defensive efforts

04.22.2013     07:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Chicago at Brooklyn -4.5 O/U 183

The Chicago Bulls will look to bounce back after getting destroyed 106-89 by the Brooklyn Nets in Saturday's Game 1 of the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Nets shot 56% from the floor and 43% from three. Joakim Noah played only 14 minutes but insists he'll play tonight. Under Tom Thibodeau the Bulls are 36-20 SU and 32-23-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or more. Of those 56 games, 37 went UNDER the total (67%) with one push. Of course a majority of those games were Noah and Derrick Rose on the floor.


"We’re supposed to be a defensive team, and we can’t even get in the right position on the ball?" Jimmy Read more



Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Brooklyn Nets




NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers

04.19.2013     12:28 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Western Conference First Round
No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Series Schedule
Game 1 - Sat April 20, at L.A. Clippers, 7:30 pm PT
Game 2 - Mon April 22, at L.A. Clippers, 7:30 pm PT
Game 3 - Thu April 25, at Memphis, 6:30 pm PT
Game 4 - Sat April 27, at Memphis, 1:30 pm PT
Game 5 * Tue April 30, at L.A. Clippers, TBD
Game 6 * Fri May 3, at Memphis, TBD
Game 7 * Sun May 5, at L.A. Clippers, TBD

Series Price (CRIS)
Los Angeles -165, Memphis +145


Season Records
Los Angeles - 56-26 SU, 45-37 ATS, 45-37 O/U
Memphis - 56-26 SU, 46-34-2 ATS, 31-50 O/U

Season Series (Los Angeles 3-1 SU/ATS, 1-3 O/U)
4/13 - Los Angeles (+2) 91 at Memphis 87 - Under 182.5
3/13 - Memphis (+6) 96 at Loa Angeles 85 - Under 185
1/14 - Los Angeles (+4.5) 99 at Memphis 73 - Under 179.5
10/31 - Los Angeles (-4) 101 vs. Memphis 92 - Over 187.5

Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning’s take:
Of course, we have great history in this series after an awesome first round Read more


Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Memphis Grizzlies Erin Rynning




NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 5 Chicago Bulls vs. No. 4 Brooklyn Nets

04.19.2013     12:16 PM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Eastern Conference First Round
No. 5 Chicago Bulls vs. No. 4 Brooklyn Nets

Series Schedule
Game 1 - Sat April 20, at Brooklyn, 5 pm PT
Game 2 - Mon April 22, at Brooklyn, 5 pm PT
Game 3 - Thu April 25, at Chicago, 5:30 pm PT
Game 4 - Sat April 27, at Chicago, 11 am PT
Game 5 * Mon April 29, at Brooklyn, TBD
Game 6 * Thu May 2, at Chicago, TBD
Game 7 * Sat May 4, at Brooklyn, TBD

Series Price (CRIS)
Brooklyn -138, Chicago +118


Season Records

Brooklyn - 49-33 SU, 39-40-3 ATS, 41-40-1 O/U
Chicago - 45-37 SU, 36-46 ATS, 37-44-1 O/U

Season Series (Chicago 3-1 SU/ATS, 2-2 O/U)
4/4 - Chicago (+5.5) 92 at Brooklyn 90 - Under 188.5
3/2 - Chicago (-4.5) 96 vs. Brooklyn 85 - Over 177.5
2/1 - Brooklyn 93 vs. Chicago (+5) 89 - Over 180.5
12/15 - Chicago 83 vs. Brooklyn (+4.5) 82 - Under 184

Sportsmemo Handicapper Erin Rynning’s take:
The Bulls will enjoy a significant coaching advantage in this series with Tom Thibodeau against PJ Carlesimo.  In fact, Read more


Tags: NBA Chicago Bulls Brooklyn Nets Erin Rynning




NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 8 Milwaukee Bucks vs. No. 1 Miami Heat

04.19.2013     12:03 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Eastern Conference First Round
No. 8 Milwaukee Bucks vs. No. 1 Miami Heat

Series Schedule
Game 1 - Sun April 21, at Miami, 4 pm PT
Game 2 - Tue April 23, at Miami, 4:30 pm PT
Game 3 - Thu April 25, at Milwaukee, 4 pm PT
Game 4 - Sun April 28, at Milwaukee, 12:30 pm PT
Game 5 * Tue April 30, at Miami, TBD
Game 6 * Thu May 2, at Milwaukee, TBD
Game 7 * Sat May 4, at Miami, TBD

Series Price (CRIS)
Miami -20000, Milwaukee +7500


Season Records
Miami - 66-16 SU, 46-36 ATS, 42-39-1 O/U
Milwaukee - 38-44 SU, 37-45 ATS, 39-41-2 O/U

Season Series (Miami 3-1 SU, Split 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U)
4/9 - Miami (-6.5) 94 vs. Milwaukee 83 - Under 197.5
3/15 - Miami (-5.5) 107 at Milwaukee 94 - Under 202
12/29 - Milwaukee (+4.5) 104 vs. Miami 85 - Under 199.5
11/21 - Miami 113 vs. Milwaukee (+9.5) 106 OT - Over 202.5

Sportsmemo Handicapper Andrew Lange’s take:
I’m not going to try to scrounge up some convoluted theory on how Milwaukee can win this series. In Read more


Tags: NBA Miami Heat Milwaukee Bucks Andrew Lange




NBA Gambling: First Round Playoff Statlines

04.19.2013     11:21 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

As promised, I’ve compiled the stats we used back during March Madness for the 16 teams playing in the NBA Playoffs. In this post I’ll just run the numbers by themselves for those of you who are interested in doing some early handicapping. I’ll try to have an expanded post with commentary up by late Friday night.

(Remember that we’re dealing with a 30-team league when you look at the pace ratings. Top 10 is fast, while those ranked 20-30 are slow relatively speaking. Kind of a barbell this year with mostly either fast or slow teams making the playoffs while those straddling “average” didn’t.)
 
If you're new to the blog, the stats we used for insights during March Madness were:
 
Two-Point Defense (percentage allowed on shots inside the arc)
Rebound Differential
Turnover Differential
Made Treys per Game on Offense
Pace Ranking (so we knew who was aggressive and who was passive)

Eastern Read more


Tags: NBA Stat Intelligence



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