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November

28

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NBA Gambling Consensus: Betting public likes Oklahoma City, market pushes San Antonio to -6

05.19.2014     01:54 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's Game 1 of the NBA Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs according to Bookmaker. The betting public appears to be supporting the underdog despite the line move from San Antonio -4.5 to -5.5 (following Ibaka’s injury) and now earlier this afternoon to -6. Note that the percentages are based on the number of bets made not total handle.

Side
Oklahoma City +6 (56.8%) at San Antonio

Total
Oklahoma City at San Antonio OVER 209.5 (75.6%)

Moneyline
Oklahoma City +227 (53.8%) at San Antonio



Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Oklahoma City Thunder




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Previewing the Western and Eastern Conference Finals

05.19.2014     10:17 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Only four teams remain standing in the NBA Playoffs; one of whom will bring home the title less than a month from now.  For all the drama of the first two rounds, it’s an all-chalk Final Four, with the top two seeds from each conference battling for supremacy.

With both Conference Finals getting underway on Sunday and Monday, I’ll take a closer look at the two series.  The goal, as always, is to unearth hidden nuggets pointing towards future pointspread success while assessing pace and totals as well.

Predicting series success generally correlates strongly with predicting pointspread success when it comes to the NBA Playoffs.  But not as much as last year!  In 2013, the Final Four teams combined to go 31-11 (74%) against the spread in the first two rounds of postseason; each of the four teams cashing at a 67% clip or better.  The ‘surprise’ team of the four, Memphis, went 10-1 ATS through the first two rounds before covering only once while getting swept by San Antonio.

The ATS success of the Final Four teams in 2014 pales in comparison to 2013.  Between them, the NBA’s Final Four have turned a Read more


Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs Miami Heat Indiana Pacers Teddy Covers




NBA Gambling Update: Spurs leery of Ibaka's status for series

05.19.2014     08:21 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

On Friday we discussed the impact Serge Ibaka's injury had on the betting markets for both Game 1 and the Western Conference Finals series. By all accounts, Ibaka is done for the year but the Spurs are for whatever reason skeptical. Note that while Ibaka's injury (assuming he's out) could hurt the Thunder from a defensive perspective, offensive they've been significantly better this postseason with him on the pine (+5.7 per 48 vs. -2.1).


"I don't really believe it," point guard Tony Parker told reporters Sunday. "I'll believe when I see tomorrow he is not on the court. It's hard to believe. We'll see."



 





NBA Handicapping: Bettors react to Ibaka's injury

05.17.2014 Read more


Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs




NBA Handicapping: Bettors react to Ibaka's injury

05.17.2014     06:43 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Yesterday it was announced the Oklahoma City's Serge Ibaka would miss the rest of the postseason with a calf injury. Nick Collison and Steven Adams will split time patrolling the paint for the Thunder. Ibaka's departure had a fairly significant impact on the betting markets. San Antonio opened as a 4.5-point home favorite for Monday's Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. With Ibaka out the Spurs were bet up to -5.5. San Antonio also took money for the series going from -175 favorites to as high as -210.


“We are obviously disappointed for Serge, as he is a tremendous competitor, and we know how badly he wants to be on the court with his teammates,” Oklahoma City general manager Sam Presti said in a statement. “At this point it is important that our team directs its concentration and energy towards preparation and execution for our upcoming series. As with all teams, our group has confronted different challenges. It is our collective experience that we will call on to ensure that we play to our Read more



Tags: NBA Oklahoma City Thunder San Antonio Spurs




NBA Gambling Recap: A look back at the last minute Clippers-Thunder Game 5

05.14.2014     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
Bad call or not, that was a total melt job by the Los Angeles Clippers last night. The pointspread was never really in doubt with LA covering +5.5 wire-to-wire. But for bettors on the moneyline as well as the series, you either high-fived your co-workers this morning or took the day off to pout in a dark room.



Tags: NBA Los Angeles Clippers Oklahoma City Thunder




NBA Gambling Consensus: Betting public likes both of Monday's games OVER the total

05.12.2014     01:23 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Three of this past weekend's four NBA Playoff games went OVER the total upping the postseason mark to a ridiculous 40-23-1 O/U. But the betting markets – those responsible for moving the lines – bet both of Monday's games UNDER total total. Miami-Brooklyn opened 189.5 (CRIS) and was bet down to as low as 187. San Antonio-Portland opened 212 with most sportsbooks now offering 210 or 210.5. As for the betting public, they of course like the two favorites and the over with better than 60% of action. Below are the betting consensus numbers for tonight...

Miami -2 (72%) at Brooklyn
San Antonio -4.5 (60%) at Portland

Miami at Brooklyn OVER 187.5 (65%)
San Antonio at Portland OVER 210.5 (64%)



Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat San Antonio Spurs Portland Trail Blazers




NBA Handicapping:Betting public sides with home teams and OVER for Friday's two games

05.09.2014     01:44 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
When in doubt bet the home team and over…or so says the betting public for tonight's two NBA Conference Semifinal matchups according to Sports Options. Note that in the midst of this writing, the Washington Wizards were popped yet again; up from -4.5 to -5.

Indiana at Washington -5 (69%)
Oklahoma City at LA Clippers -4 (59%)

Indiana at Washington OVER 183.5 (66%)
Oklahoma City at LA Clippers OVER 214 (72%)



Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Oklahoma City Thunder Los Angeles Clippers




NBA Handicapping: Nets seek better defense vs. Heat in Game 2

05.08.2014     10:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Brooklyn at Miami -7.5 O/U 192

The Brooklyn Nets are wisely addressing their porous Game 1 defense, particularly in the paint where the Miami Heat hung 52 points.


"We know a lot of the things we did wrong defensively," Deron Williams said before practice at AmericanAirlines Arena Wednesday. "We made a lot of mistakes in our defensive game plan, we gave up 52 points in the paint, so of course that's going to be the focus going forward, keeping them out of the lane and keeping them from getting so many layups, so many easy baskets. Because when they do that, they get a lot of confidence, and then they start hitting shots from everywhere."





Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Miami Heat




NBA Handicapping: Betting adjusted series prices after Game 1

05.07.2014     12:43 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Brooklyn is now +700 or higher, up from +400-ish prior to Game 1. All the Nets have done is lose a Game 1 that they were supposed to lose as +8 underdog dogs in a very tough spot.

The Blazers are in the +550 range now, up from +330-ish in the exact same circumstance as Brooklyn – lose a game they were supposed to lose.

So there's no question in my mind – there's good value on both underdogs on the series price prior to Game 2.

But value isn't enough to get me to the betting window with either Brooklyn or Portland.

Getting to Game 7 won't be enough to make for a profitable hedge. Both the Spurs and the Heat are likely to be in the -400 range on the moneyline at home in a Game 7, and that would be the only safe way to hedge off. Doesn't leave much profit, and that's IF either squad can force a Game 7.

When it comes to winning four of the next six (or five, or four straight), I simply don't think the Nets or Blazers can do it.

I'm constantly looking for value with bets I feel I can win –that's the essence of my job – or bets that I feel I'll be able to profitably hedge off down the line. Neither Brooklyn Read more


Tags: NBA Brooklyn Nets Portland Trail Blazers Teddy Covers




NBA Handicapping: Bettors continue to ride playoff OVERS

05.07.2014     12:27 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With both overs cashing last night, NBA Playoff totals are now an incredible 35-17-1 O/U. And that is the way the public betting consensus leans for tonight's two conference semifinal matchups. Here's the numbers...

Washington +4.5 (57%) at Indiana
LA Clippers at Oklahoma City -5 (61%)

Washington at Indiana OVER 186 (55%)
LA Clippers at Oklahoma City OVER 215 (54%)



Tags: NBA Washington Wizards Indiana Pacers Los Angeles Clippers Oklahoma City Thunder



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Nov 28, 2014 02:57 AM.