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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs update

04.27.2015     08:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
We’re midway through the opening round of the NBA Playoffs and the Eastern Conference still looks noticeably weaker than the West, just as it was during the regular season.  The Cavs weren’t really tested in their sweep over Boston, facing a Celtics team that probably would have struggled to won 30 games against a Western Conference slate.  Atlanta is 0-3 ATS in its first three games against the Nets, looking nothing like the team that dominated the East for extended stretches before the All-Star break.  The Bulls blew a chance to close out their series with the Bucks with a sweep, unable to seal the deal in the closing minutes of Game 4. And while Washington has looked every bit as good as any of the other Eastern Conference contenders, there’s still a lingering stink from the Wizards second half struggles and Randy Wittman’s consistent failures at getting his teams to overachieve.

So which of those four teams (assuming the Hawks don’t blow the series against the Nets) is truly elite, capable of winning at least two more series to make it to the Finals?  Cleveland is the prohibitive favorite to come out of the East, Read more

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Las Vegas

NBA Handicapper Free Play: San Antonio Spurs vs. Los Angeles Clippers Adjusted Series

04.23.2015     11:37 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
San Antonio vs. Los Angeles
Adjusted Series Recommendation: Clippers +160

Now that the Spurs have eked out a Game 2 series tying victory in overtime, the time is right to jump on the LA Clippers to win this seven game set at an attractive plus price.  Remember, locking in on LA now will offer significant flexibility if this series does go the distance – the Clippers will be short home favorites in Game 7, allowing the opportunity for a plus price hedge on San Antonio for bettors who choose to go that route.

That being said, I’m not convinced in the slightest that this series will go the full seven games, because there’s one key matchup that the Spurs cannot win – at point guard.  Chris Paul is elite, healthy and at the top of his game, hitting 58% from the floor in the first two games of the series (60% from three point range) with 15 rebounds, 13 assists and a very reasonable six turnovers.  Tony Parker, on the other hand, is a non-factor moving forward if he suits up at all.  Parker is 4-17 from the floor in the series thusfar, with only six assists.  With lingering injuries to his Achilles, Read more

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Spurs could be in trouble following Game 1 loss

04.20.2015     07:55 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The San Antonio Spurs opened their defense of their NBA Championship run from last year with a blowout loss on the road at the Staples Center in LA against the Clippers.  That Game 1 and the series against the Clips featured some EXTREMELY unusual betting action here in Las Vegas and offshore – money coming on one team (the Clippers) for Game 1 while coming on the other team (San Antonio) for the series.  I can’t recall any previous series in my 17 basketball seasons here in Las Vegas where the Game 1 favorite was not the favorite to win the series.  The betting action was a clear indicator of the respect bettors have for San Antonio heading into the 2015 postseason.

But following that Game 1 debacle, the Spurs aren’t favored to win the series anymore, with the adjusted series prices popping up following Game 1 showing LA as short chalk moving forward. The question bettors and pundits need to be asking is a simple one.  Was the Spurs Game 1 loss simply a bump in the road for this perennial championship contender or was it an "end of an era" indicator, telling us that the Spurs are "fade" material moving Read more

Tags: NBA San Antonio Spurs Los Angeles Clippers Teddy Covers

NBA Playoff Betting Podcast 4-17-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning

04.17.2015     10:51 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Teddy Covers and Erin Rynning. Teddy and ER broke down this weekend's NBA Playoffs.

Today's segments
Full Show

Teddy Covers - NBA Playoffs Saturday

Erin Rynning - NBA Playoffs Sunday

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: NBA Teddy Covers Erin Rynning

Gambling on the NBA Playoffs: A look at the public money

04.17.2015     08:10 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Let's a take a look at where the public money is at for Saturday and Sunday's NBA Playoff first round games. Percentages courtesy of Sports Options.

Washington at Toronto
57% Toronto, 56% Over

New Orleans at Golden State
76% Golden State, 72% Over

Milwaukee at Golden State
72% Chicago, 59% Over

Dallas at Houston
67% Houston, 86% Over

Boston at Cleveland
73% Cleveland, 66% Over

Brooklyn at Atlanta
72% Atlanta, 54% Over

Portland at Memphis
80% Memphis, 62% Under

San Antonio at LA Clippers
52% San Antonio, 77% Over

Tags: NBA

NBA Gambling: Early line moves for Saturday and Sunday's first round matchups

04.16.2015     02:10 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The NBA betting markets have had time to mature some following CRIS's openers from earlier this afternoon. Quick look at the early line moves.

Saturday's Games
No. 5 Washington at No. 4 Toronto
Opener: Toronto -4 O/U 192
Current: Toronto -4.5 O/U 193

No. 8 New Orleans at No. 1 Golden State
Opener: Golden State -10.5 O/U 203
Current: Golden State -11.5 O/U 204

No. 6 Milwaukee at No. 3 Chicago
Opener: Chicago -8.5 O/U 187
Current: Chicago -7.5 O/U 185.5

No. 7 Dallas at No. 2 Houston
Opener: Houston -5.5 O/U 209
Current: Houston -5.5 O/U 210

Sunday's Games
No. 7 Boston vs. No. 2 Cleveland
Opener: Cleveland -10.5 O/U 203
Current: Cleveland -11 O/U 203

No. 8 Brooklyn vs. No. 1 Atlanta
Opener: Atlanta -10 O/U 201.5
Current: Atlanta -10 O/U 201.5

No. 5 Portland vs. No. 4 Memphis
Opener: Memphis -3.5 O/U 191
Current: Memphis -4 O/U 188.5

No. 6 San Antonio vs. No. 3 LA Clippers
Opener: LA Clippers -1 Read more

Tags: NBA

NBA Gambling: Playoff Series Odds

04.16.2015     01:42 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
NBA series odds have been posted! Here's a look at the opening at current odds at CRIS in rotation order. Higher seed has home court advantage with 2-2-1-1-1 format.

No. 5 Washington vs. No. 4 Toronto
Opener: Washington +140/Toronto -165
Current: Washington +161/Toronto -190

No. 8 New Orleans vs. No. 1 Golden State
N/A - Those sportsbooks offering odds have the Warriors around -4000.

No. 6 Milwaukee vs. No. 3 Chicago
Opener: Milwaukee +600/Chicago -900
Current: MIlwaukee +525/Chicago -700

No. 7 Dallas vs. No. 2 Houston
Opener: Dallas +230/Houston -280
Current: Dallas +230/Houston -280

No. 7 Boston vs. No. 2 Cleveland
Opener: Boston +1700/Cleveland -5000
Current: Boston +1700/Cleveland -5000

No. 8 Brooklyn vs. No. 1 Atlanta
Opener: Brooklyn +800/Atlanta -1300
Current: Brooklyn +800/Atlanta -1300

No. 5 Portland vs. No. 4 Memphis
Opener: Portland +150/Memphis -175
Current: Portland +155/Memphis -180

No. 6 San Antonio vs. Read more

Tags: NBA

NBA Gambling: Cleveland Cavaliers favored to win title

04.16.2015     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Still waiting on NBA first round series prices. In the meantime, check out the respect the Cleveland Cavaliers are getting in the futures market -- and lack thereof for top seed Atlanta. Odds courtesy of 5Dimes.

Odds to Win the Eastern Conference
Cleveland -150
Atlanta +325

Odds to Win NBA Championship
Cleveland +240
Golden State +255
Atlanta +1050

NBA Finals Matchups
Cleveland vs. Golden State +314
Cleveland vs. San Antonio +452

Tags: NBA Cleveland Cavaliers Atlanta Hawks Golden State Warriors

NBA Gambling: Regular Season Results for Eight Playoff Matchups

04.16.2015     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly
Quick look at the regular season results of the eight NBA playoff matchups.

2015 NBA Playoffs: Regular Season Results
Eastern Conference
Straight Up
No. 1 Atlanta vs. No. 8 Brooklyn
Atlanta 4-0
Atlanta 3-1
No. 2 Cleveland vs. No. 7 Boston
Boston 3-1
No. 3 Chicago vs. No. 6 Milwaukee
Chicago 3-1
Chicago 3-1
No. 4 Toronto vs. No. 5 Washington
Toronto 3-0
Toronto 2-1
Western Conference
Straight Up
No. 1 Golden State vs. No. 8 New Orleans
Golden State 3-1
No. 2 Houston vs. No. 7 Dallas
Houston 3-1
Houston 3-1
No. 3 LA Clippers vs. No. 6 San Antonio
No. 4 Portland vs. No. 5 Memphis
Memphis 4-0
Memphis 4-0

Tags: NBA

NBA Gambling: Add the Knicks to the list of teams that need to lose

04.15.2015     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We know the Heat and 76ers don't want to win. Well, New York should have the same mindset but in typical Knicks fashion, they enter tonight's game on a two-game winning streak. Tonight's opponent, the Detroit Pistons, were bet up from -5.5 to -9.

At 17-64, the Knicks now have leapfrogged Minnesota (16-65) out of the NBA basement, and they still have a chance to tie Philadelphia (18-63) with a win Wednesday night against eliminated Detroit (31-50). The Timberwolves and Sixers also have home finales on Wednesday against Oklahoma City and Miami, respectively.

Tags: NBA Detoit Pistons New York Knicks


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