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NBA Playoff Gambling Trends: How teams fare in Game 4 when up 3-0
04.25.2013 07:45 AM
Printer Friendly
It is likely that we'll see a few teams take 3-0 series leads following this weekend's NBA Playoff action. For future reference, below is a chart of how teams that were up 3-0 in the first round fared both straight up and against the spread in Game 4. The results were positive with a 24-11 SU mark and 20-12-3 ATS.
NBA Playoffs Betting Trends: 1st Round Game 4 Results for Teams up 3-0
Year
3-0 Lead
Line
Opponent
Score
SU
ATS
2003
Mavericks
-1.5
Trailblazers
79-98
Loss
Loss
2003
Nets
1.5
Celtics
110-101
Win
Win
2003
Nets
-7.5
Pistons
102-82
Win
Win
2004
Pacers
-7
Celtics
90-75
Win
Win
2004
Spurs
-4
Grizzlies
110-97
Win
Win
2004
Nets
-4.5
Knicks
100-94
Win
Win
2005
Suns
-5
Grizzlies
123-115
Win
Win
2005
Heat
-5
Nets
110-97
Win
Win
2005
Heat
-4
Wizards
99-95
Win
Push
2005
Spurs
-6
Suns
106-111
Loss
Loss
2006
Mavericks
-2.5
Grizzlies
102-76
Win
Win
2007
Pistons
-4.5
Magic
97-93
Win
Loss
2007
Bulls
4
Heat
92-79
Win
Win
2007
Cavaliers
-6
Wizards
97-90
Win
Win
2007
Pistons
-2.5
Bulls
87-102
Loss
Loss
2007
Spurs
-3
Cavaliers
83-82
Win
Loss
2008
Spurs
4
Suns
86-105
Loss
Loss
2008
Lakers
-4.5
Nuggets
107-101
Win
Win
2009
Cavaliers
-8.5
Pistons
99-78
Win
Win
2009
Cavaliers
-10
Hawks
84-74
Win
Push
2009
Nuggets
2
Mavericks
117-119
Loss
Push
2010
Celtics
1.5
Heat
92-101
Loss
Loss
2010
Magic
-4
Bobcats
99-90
Win
Win
2010
Suns
3.5
Spurs
107-101
Win
Win
2010
Magic
-6
Hawks
98-84
Win
Win
2010
Lakers
3.5
Jazz
111-96
Win
Win
2010
Celtics
-6.5
Magic
92-96
Loss
Loss
2010
Bulls
-4.5
Pacers
84-89
Loss
Loss
2011
Celtics
-3
Knicks
101-89
Win
Win
2011
Heat
-6
Seventysixers
82-86
Loss
Loss
2011
Thunder
3.5
Nuggets
101-104
Loss
Win
2011
Mavericks
-2
Lakers
122-86
Win
Win
2012
Thunder
1.5
Mavericks
103-97
Win
Win
2012
Heat
-8
Knicks
87-89
Loss
Loss
2012
Spurs
-7.5
Jazz
87-81
Win
Loss
Results
24-11
20-12-3
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NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Pacers and Spurs win and cover, take 2-0 lead
04.25.2013 07:17 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Treys by the Keg, Tired Legs, and Goose Eggs...
Some very interesting games to talk about as we continue our coverage of the NBA Playoffs.. We’ll pick up with Tuesday’s late finisher, then run through all three of Wednesday’s matchups. I’ll try to find some things that aren’t being dwelled upon much in the mainstream media coverage I’ve been monitoring. See if you can figure out which games match which headline terms! ("bushel" didn’t fit the rhyme scheme)
Golden State 131, Denver 117
2-Point Percentage: Golden State 69%, Denver 57%
3-Point Shooting: Golden State 14/25, Denver 9/26
Free Throws: Golden State 15/20, Denver 28/37
1’s and 2’s: Golden State 89, Denver 90
Rebounds: Golden State 36, Denver 26
Turnovers: Golden State 17, Denver 15
As I’ve mentioned before, this series is being very well covered in the
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Indiana Pacers
San Antonio Spurs
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Playoff Betting Notes: Boston Celtics try to climb 0-2 mountain
04.24.2013 02:19 PM
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New York
at
Boston
-3 O/U 183.5
Being down 2-0 in a playoff series isn't a death sentence but the
odds
certainly aren't stacked in your favor. Only 15 teams have ever rallied back after losing the first two games. One of those teams was the Dallas Mavericks who in 2005 dropped back-to-back contests at home to the Rockets but won rallied back to
win the series in seven games
.
“I guess they say the series hasn’t started -- and I’ve heard this corny line a million times -- until the road team wins,” said Rivers. “I am positive the series has started because we are down 2-0.”
“We lost those first two at home and went in their building and beat them pretty good twice and ended up winning in seven
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Boston Celtics
New York Knicks
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NBA Handicapping: Brooklyn's Johnson dealing with foot injury
04.24.2013 12:10 PM
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Brooklyn
at
Chicago
-3.5 O/U 181
Expected to play but far from 100 percent, Brooklyn's Joe Johnson is dealing with a painful bout of
plantar fasciitis
. In Games 1 and 2, Johnson combined for 13-of-31 from the floor, 33 points, eight assists, and eight rebounds.
"I think it was a little bit of plantar in February when it first started, but now it's deep into the plantar fasciitis," Johnson said. "It'll be something I just have to fight through."
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Brooklyn Nets
Chicago Bulls
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NBA Gambling: Adjusted playoff series prices as of 4/24
04.24.2013 08:03 AM
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Here are CRIS' adjusted series prices for the first round of the NBA Playoffs. Miami-Milwaukee is currently off the board because what is the point of betting $10K to win a dollar?
New York leads 2-0
Knicks -1600
Boston +800
Golden State-Denver tied 1-1
Nuggets -280
Warriors +230
Chicago-Brooklyn tied 1-1
Bulls -120
Nets +100
Los Angeles leads 2-0
Clippers -640
Grizzlies +460
Indiana leads 1-0
Pacers -850
Hawks +600
San Antonio leads 1-0
Spurs -2000
Lakers +1000
Oklahoma City leads 1-0
Thunder -4000
Rockets +1500
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NBA Handicapping: Knicks, Heat, and Clippers take 2-0 series leads
04.24.2013 06:57 AM
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Stat Intelligence
You regulars are familiar with the KRIB Index that we invented here in the Blog. That’s an acronym for Knicks Re-Invent Basketball, and was based on their amazing ability this year to make treys while avoiding giveaways. I won’t rehash all that because its old news by now. I bring the theme up again because those two categories are looming very large in New York’s current series with Boston.
*New York is much better than Boston from behind the arc, and already enjoys a 16-10 edge in made treys through the first two games of their series. That’s +18 points out of their +23 overall edge on the scoreboard.
*As Steve Kerr was pointing out tonight on the TNT broadcast, Boston has little chance to cash in cheap points off New York turnovers because the Knicks don’t make many. If Boston’s going to lose three’s most every game, they obviously have to make up for that with one’s and two’s if they have any hope of competing in
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New York Knicks
Los Angeles Clippers
Memphis Grizzlies
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Handicapping: What Game 1 means to the rest of the series
04.23.2013 01:51 PM
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Some interesting
statistics
regarding NBA home teams that post blowouts in Game 1.
The good news, though, is that a set of Game One blowouts doesn’t predict the same outcome in Game Two. The correlation between first-round home-team wins in Game Ones and Game Twos is negative: The more home teams win their openers, the fewer win their second games — though the relationship is very slight.
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NBA Handicapping: Chicago Shocks Brooklyn...as Deron Williams Disappears
04.23.2013 05:48 AM
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Stat Intelligence
We have our first road victory of the 2013 NBA Playoffs…and what’s now shaping up as our first interesting series in the East...after Chicago (+5.5) shocked Brooklyn 90-82 Monday night in a game most of you probably watched on TNT.
This was quite a turnaround from Brooklyn’s 106-89 victory Saturday. And, the entirety of that turnaround came on the defensive end for Chicago. Look at how similar these offensive stats were for the Bulls in the first two games…
Bulls' Offense in Games 1 and 2
Scoring: 89 and 90
2-point Shooting: 50% and 52%
3-point Shooting: 25% and 25%
Free Throws: 15 of 22 and 13 of 23
1’s and 2’s: 83 and 81
It can be tempting to for a halo effect to cover everything a team does when they reverse a scoreboard result this dramatically. Be careful giving too much credit to the offense Tuesday. The Bulls still can’t make treys. They’re still not as
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Brooklyn Nets
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NBA Handicapper Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers
04.22.2013 11:22 AM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
Memphis
+6 at
LA Clippers
O/U 180
Recommendation: Memphis
I expect a strong bounce back effort from the Memphis Grizzlies tonight in Game 2 of their Western Conference Quarterfinal series against the Los Angeles Clippers. Memphis was not happy as a team about their 112-91 Game 1 loss. Throughout the regular season the Grizzlies boasted one of the best defenses in the NBA but were torched for 112 points on 55.4% shooting.
Memphis was particularly disappointed with its performance on the glass; outrebounded 47-23. Marc Gasol voiced his displeasure about the Grizzlies effort on the boards in Game 1: “That’s not acceptable. Once we made a stop, they kept running in and getting offensive rebounds and second-chance points. We have to be better than that. The rebounds were the difference.” The 23 rebounds in Game 1 were the lowest the Grizzlies have ever had in a playoff game. Facing an 0-2 series hole, I expect a much better effort in the battle for loose balls
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Memphis Grizzlies
Los Angeles Clippers
Ian Cameron
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NBA Betting Notes: Clippers manhandle Grizzlies on the glass
04.22.2013 07:44 AM
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Memphis
at
LA Clippers
-5.5 O/U 181
During the regular season, Memphis ranked second in the NBA in rebounding margin at +3.6 but were outdone to the tune of 47-23 in Saturday's 112-91 Game 1 loss to the Clippers. Of LA's 47 boards,
14 came on the offensive glass
which resulted in 25 second chance points. Memphis' leading rebounder, Ed Davis (6), played only 13 minutes. Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph combined for only six rebounds.
"What's more surprising is our two big guys had six rebounds between them and no offensive rebounds," Hollins said.
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