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NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Pacers and Thunder take 1-0 series leads
05.06.2013 07:08 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
I didn’t get a chance to re-post the regular season statlines before Round Two got started Sunday in the NBA Playoffs. Let’s do a combination report that features those, plus the afternoon boxscores from the first two games of the league quarterfinals.
Let’s start in the East. The format we used during March Madness that helped paint such a good picture for us involved the following stats:
Two-Point Defense
Rebound Differential
Turnover Differential
Made Treys per Game
Pace Ranking
If you believe “defense and rebounding wins championships,” we have those numbers. If you believe that “you have to avoid turnovers” is important when championships are on the line, we have that. If you believe that three-point production is revolutionizing the game, that’s covered. If you believe that playing at your preferred pace while forcing your opponent out of their comfort zone is a hidden key to postseason
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Tags:
NBA
Indiana Pacers
New York Knicks
Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings for Conference Semifinals
05.05.2013 07:45 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
We have numbers up in the markets for three of the four second round series. I’ll drop in an estimate for Miami and Chicago. Then we’ll tweak that as needed. I think the market is using 4 points for home court advantage to this point through the playoffs…so I’ll use that as a guideline.
88: Miami
85: San Antonio
84: Memphis
83: New York, Oklahoma City
82: Indiana
81: Golden State
80: Chicago with Deng and Hinrich
78: Chicago without Deng and Hinrich
I have to say I was very surprised when San Antonio opened up around -8 or -8.5 vs. Golden State. I don’t think the Spurs are suddenly chasing down Miami just because they swept the shorthanded Lakers. I don’t think Golden State is light years behind the rest of the West either. We’ll see. I’ve used 85 and 81 as a starting point. Maybe the Golden State media is right that this is a much worse matchup talent-wise for
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Tags:
NBA
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder
05.05.2013 07:14 AM
ER Sports
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Submitted by ER Sports
Western Conference Semifinals
No. 5 Memphis Grizzlies vs. No. 1 Oklahoma City Thunder
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Sunday, May 5, at Oklahoma City 10 am PT
Game 2 - Tuesday, May 7, at Oklahoma City 6:30 pm PT
Game 3 - Saturday, May 11, at Memphis 2 pm PT
Game 4 - TBD
Game 5 * TBD
Game 6 * TBD
Game 7 * TBD
Series Price (CRIS)
Memphis -130/Oklahoma City +110
Playoffs Records
Oklahoma City - 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 O/U
Memphis - 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 5-1 O/U
Season Series (Memphis 2-1 SU, Oklahoma City 2-1 ATS, 2-1 O/U)
3/20 - Memphis 90 vs. Oklahoma City (+1.5) 89 OT - UNDER 188.5
1/31 - Oklahoma City (-9.5) 106 vs. Memphis 89 - OVER 190
11/14 - Memphis (+5.5) 107 at Oklahoma City 97 - OVER 195
Sportsmemo Handicapping Erin Rynning's take:
The Western Conference changed dramatically coinciding with the injury to the Oklahoma City’s Russell Westbrook. Look no further than the series price in this #1 seed vs. #5 matchup as the Thunder, with their home court
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Memphis Grizzlies
Oklahoma City Thunder
Erin Rynning
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NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 3 Indiana Pacers vs. No. 2 New York Knicks
05.04.2013 05:49 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Eastern Conference Semifinals
No. 3 Indiana Pacers vs. No. 2 New York Knicks
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Sunday, May 5, at New York 12:30 pm PT
Game 2 - Tuesday, May 7, at New York 4 pm PT
Game 3 - Saturday, May 11, at Indiana 5 pm PT
Game 4 - TBD
Game 5 * TBD
Game 6 * TBD
Game 7 * TBD
Series Price (CRIS)
New York -200/Indiana +170
Playoffs Records
Indiana - 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U
New York - 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 O/U
Season Series (Split 2-2 SU, New York 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U)
4/14 - New York (-3) 90 vs. Indiana 80 - UNDER 193.5
2/20 - Indiana (-4) 125 vs. New York - OVER 185
1/10 - Indiana 81 vs. New York (+5.5) 76 - UNDER 184
11/18 - New York (-7) 88 vs. Indiana 76 - UNDER 186.5
Sportsmemo Handicapping Rob Veno's take:
These teams are very familiar with each other after having played four times during the regular season and splitting 2-2. Against the spread, New York went 3-1 and the under was also 3-1 with the final scores totaling 164, 157, 170
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Indiana Pacers
New York Knicks
Rob Veno
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NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Oklahoma City and Memphis square off in Western Conference semifinals
05.04.2013 07:15 AM
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Stat Intelligence
A fascinating Friday night quadruple-header of Game Sixes resulted in NO Game Sevens for Sunday, as the 3-2 leaders all sealed their respective deals. We talked about the games out East in our earlier post. We wrap up the evening with a look at the two Western Conference finals.
Oklahoma City 103, Houston 94
2-Point Percentage: Oklahoma City 48%, Houston 39%
3-Point Shooting: Oklahoma City 11/27, Houston 14/32
Free Throws: Oklahoma City 16/16, Houston 20/31
1’s and 2’s: Oklahoma City 70, Houston 52
Rebounds: Oklahoma City 41, Houston 43
Turnovers: Oklahoma City 10, Houston 15
A few quick notes…
*Jeremy Lin was always going to be overmatched in this series because he’s slower than people realize, and his shot comes and goes (mostly goes vs. quality opposition). His injury was a blessing because it put better athletes on the floor. He’s a great kid…and worth
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Oklahoma City Thunder
Memphis Grizzlies
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Handicapping: New York Knicks -2.5 the most popular bet on the board
05.03.2013 02:27 PM
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Here are the consensus bets for tonight’s NBA Playoff Game 6 matchups courtesy of Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.
Sides
New York -2.5 - 67.8%
Memphis -6 - 58.1%
Atlanta -1.5 - 57.6%
Houston -1.5 - 50%
Moneyline
Oklahoma City +105 - 62.0%
New York -140 - 55.6%
Indiana +10.5 - 53.5%
LA Clippers +240 - 52.1%
Totals
LA Clippers/Memphis OVER 179.5 - 64.5%
Oklahoma City/Houston OVER 205.5 - 63.8%
New York/Boston UNDER 181 - 55.9%
Indiana/Atlanta UNDER 186 - 53.9%
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New York Knicks
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NBA Playoff Betting Preview: No. 6 Golden State Warriors vs. No. 2 San Antonio Spurs
05.03.2013 02:06 PM
Alf Musketa
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Submitted by Alf Musketa
Western Conference Semifinals
No. 6 Golden State Warriors vs. No. 2 San Antonio Spurs
Series Schedule
Game 1 - Monday, May 6, at San Antonio 6:30 pm PT (TNT)
Game 2 - Wednesday, May 8, at San Antonio 6:30 pm PT (TNT)
Game 3 - TBD
Game 4 - TBD
Game 5 * TBD
Game 6 * TBD
Game 7 * TBD
Series Price (CRIS)
San Antonio -1000/Golden State +650
Playoffs Records
San Antonio - 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 2-2 O/U
Golden State - 4-2 SU, 6-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U
Season Series (Split SU, Golden State 3-1 ATS, 1-3 O/U)
4/15 - Golden State 116 (-6) vs. San Antonio 106, OVER 199.5
4/20 - San Antonio (-8) 104 vs. Golden State 93, UNDER 203
2/22 - Golden State (+3.5) 107 vs. San Antonio 101 OT, UNDER 208.5
1/18 - San Antonio 95 vs. Golden State (+11.5) 88, UNDER 202
Sportsmemo Handicapping Alf Musketa's take:
The San Antonio Spurs (62-24) have been resting while the Golden State Warriors (51-37) battled Denver to the final seconds of last night’s Game 6 victory. Therefore the Spurs have an advantage, not to
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San Antonio Spurs
Golden State Warriors
Alf Musketa
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NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Brooklyn Nets force Game 7 vs. Chicago Bulls
05.03.2013 06:57 AM
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Stat Intelligence
It’s rare when you watch a team stay alive in the playoffs with a road victory, and come away from the game thinking “gutless.”
It’s just that...the bits and pieces of bodies that were wearing Chicago Bulls uniforms tonight battled so hard that anything else pales by comparison. Chicago was on basically a 5.5 man rotation…and one of their 40-minute guys was playing with plantar fasciitis pain that would have the rest of us on crutches. Another was dealing with the flu in a garbage can during timeouts.
Against a shorthanded team dealing with injuries, flu, and fatigue, the Brooklyn Nets scored 33 points in the first quarter, but only 35 points in the second half. They didn’t shoot well inside (extremely horrible in the second half because they started off well). They were only 5 of 14 on treys. They missed 11 free throws. And, they were outrebounded.
It was a win. And, it was a win that may have launched the Nets into a second round
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Chicago Bulls
Brooklyn Nets
Stat Intelligence
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NBA Gambling Alert: Hinrich out, Deng and Gibson questionable for Game 6
05.02.2013 01:52 PM
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Brooklyn
at
Chicago
-1 O/U 183.5
Yikes...
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Chicago Bulls
Brooklyn Nets
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NBA Playoff Betting Recap: Celtics get hot from three, force Game 6 vs. Knicks
05.02.2013 07:49 AM
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Stat Intelligence
I didn’t get a chance to watch Game Six of Boston/New York Wednesday night. I was following along the commentary on twitter. Sounded like the ultimate gut check performance from the valiant if aging Celtics, and a very lame no-show from the arrogant Knicks who shouldn’t have been talking trash.
Somehow…NOBODY SEEMED TO NOTICE THIS...
Three Pointers: Boston 11/22, New York 5/22
I can only talk about the people I follow…so maybe there were places that made this a big story. But…how can Boston fans watch that game and see guts and glory rather than a team shooting way over its head on treys? The Celtics won scoreboard by two treys…with a boxscore edge of six treys…in a stat they would normally be expected to lose handily.
So…give them credit for showing up, playing hard, and continuing to battle. Just keep this sequence in mind.
Boston Treys in This
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New York Knicks
Boston Celtics
Stat Intelligence
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