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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Ole Miss Rebels at Alabama Crimson Tide

03.03.2015     10:09 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Ole Miss +2 at Alabama O/U 131.5
Recommendation: Ole Miss


Not trusting of Alabama in the role of a favorite even when you eliminate the issues of not being with starters Shannon Hale and Ricky Tarrant. Tarrant has been out from nearly a month but the recent loss of Hale suggests the Crimson Tide could have a real difficult time scoring the basketball. There's also the issue of Alabama's failures when asked to step up in class. Of their seven SEC wins, only one (Texas A&M back on Jan. 6) came against a high power rated opponent. Of late, it's been very formulaic: beat who your supposed to beat and lose against "better" competition. Ole Miss enters off back-to-back losses and is in desperate need a good performance. The Rebels have proven capable on the highway with five SEC wins away from Oxford including at Arkansas and Florida. In the end, there isn't a huge difference between these two squads despite Alabama not being all that visually appealing. But with injury concerns and asked to lay points, I see Ole Miss as the right side tonight.



Tags: College Basketball Ole Miss Rebels Alabama Crimson Tide SEC Andrew Lange




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who has what it takes to win the Big Dance Part I

03.02.2015     08:50 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA National Champion among my elite level teams.   Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Last year, the Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

I write this article every year before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the tourney seedings are announced and before a single March Madness game has been played. And I’ve nailed the winner of the NCAA tournament four times in the last eight Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers Las Vegas




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Mississippi State Gamecocks at South Carolina Gamecocks

02.28.2015     08:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Mississippi State +9 at South Carolina O/U 122.5
Recommendation: Mississippi State


Not sure why South Carolina is laying this many points against a very comparable opponent. The Gamecocks have been in when's-the-offseason mode for much of the last month. They scored an unimpressive five-point win over Missouri and beat a Georgia squad that was without its starting point guard. Unlike Mississippi State, there were expectations placed on Frank Martin's group after a 9-3 non-conference mark. But nothing has gone right as the Gamecocks can't shoot, they don't always play with effort, and Martin's perpetual foul mood has clearly worn on the players. The one thing I know I'm going to get with Rick Ray's squad is effort. Since getting blown out in its first two SEC games, Mississippi State has been outclassed only twice: at Arkansas and vs. Kentucky -- both of which perfectly understandable. The rest of their games were five wins and losses by 4, 6, 6, 4, 6, and 4. This line is based on a power rating from two months ago. South Carolina hit as high as 25th in Ken Pom and has dropped to only 70th. Mississippi State bottomed out at 245th and had slowly Read more


Tags: College Basketball Mississippi State Bulldogs South Carolina Gamecocks SEC Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Betting markets react to Drexel losing Lee to injury

02.26.2015     12:25 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
This has been public for quite some time in case you missed it, check out who's not playing for Drexel tonight.

Damion Lee: 21.4 ppg, 6.1 rpg
Sammy Mojica: 6.2 ppg, 37.5% 3-pt.

Now the question becomes how much are both those players worth to the pointspread for tonight's game against Delaware (8-19)? The market is saying 4.5 points as the Dragons opened -3 but the Blue Hens are now -1.5. Losing Lee is huge but fading key injuries can be risky as bettors have a tendency to overreact. 


“He only averaged about 15 shots a game (14.4),” Flint says. “So he was scoring a lot of points without taking a lot of shots. That’s the one thing that he did pretty much the entire season. But it’ll be spread out throughout the entire team so guys just have to pick it up. Not one guy is just going to get all the shots.”








Tags: College Basketball Drexel Dragons Delaware Blue Hens




College Basketball Gambling Update: Nebraska seeks better effort vs. Ohio State

02.26.2015     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Our favorite dysfunctional team is back in action tonight as Nebraska heads to Ohio State. The smoke has cleared from the much publicized locker room ban but the fact remains this squad has zero confidence offensively. We expect the "effort" will be there tonight but until the Cornhuskers find a player or two who can hit a shot outside of the lane, Tim Miles will continue to provide us with excellent blog fodder.

 

“One player said he thought he had his most fun practicing the day after the Iowa game,” Miles said. “I said, ‘Great, you should have tried that 20 hours earlier.’ And we practiced hard. It was not a fun practice, if you know what I mean.”

“I’ve seen people say, ‘Is Miles kicked out of his office?’ Well, we’re not equals. This is not a marriage. It’s like a Read more



Tags: College Basketball Nebraska Cornhuskers Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten




College Basketball Handicapping: Minnesota looks to get younger players more reps

02.26.2015     11:46 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After three straight losses, (16-12, 5-10 Big Ten) Minnesota appears accepting that the only way path to the Big Dance is to win the Big Ten Tournament. But in the meantime, with three games left in the regular season, the Golden Gophers will continue to give their younger players more reps.


“I think the young guys are learning, and I think they’re picking up well,” senior center Mo Walker said. ”You’ve got to give them the court experience or they’ll never learn. … They’ll get better as time goes on.”

“As we’re moving forward, these young guys have got to get reps,” he said Saturday.








Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan State Spartans Big Ten




College Basketball Betting Free Play: San Diego Toreros at Gonzaga Bulldogs

02.26.2015     10:29 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
San Diego +17.5 at Gonzaga O/U 133
Recommendation: San Diego


Gonzaga is, by far, the best team in the West Coast Conference.  They’ve been destroying their WCC foes all year, to the tune of a 16-0 conference record.  But the pointspread is the great equalizer, and the Zags are just 7-8-1 ATS in WCC play; not exactly a ‘bet-on’ team.
The Zags are coming off a HUGE come-from-behind win at St Mary’s last weekend, clinching the conference title and setting Gonzaga up as a possible #1 seed come tourney time.
 
Senior night comes against BYU on ESPN2 this coming Saturday, followed by the WCC Conference Tournament in Las Vegas next weekend.  In between, the Zags have nothing but this tricky matchup against San Diego; a clear flat spot on their schedule.

The Zags have had trouble building margins against the Toreros even when it’s not a flat spot.  In eight meetings between these two teams since the start of the 2012 campaign, the Zags have a grand total of one win by more than the 17 point margin they’ll need to win by tonight in order to cover the number.  Both Read more


Tags: College Basketball San Diego Toreros Goznaga Bulldogs Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: VCU Rams at Richmond Spiders

02.25.2015     11:09 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
VCU at Richmond +2 O/U 128.5
Recommendation: Richmond


The Rams’ bandwagon is back after a trio of solid victories (2-1 ATS) in which they posted 70+ points. Loss of star point guard Briante Weber now appears to be smoothed over in the minds of many as backup sophomore JeQuan Lewis has seemingly settled in as the head of VCU’s vaunted “Havoc” defense. Not so sure recent results carry over to this matchup where host Richmond has a multitude of ball handling guards who found no problems breaking the Rams press in this season’s earlier matchup. That contest played at VCU saw the Spiders commit just 12 turnovers (VCU forces an average of 17.2 per game) en route to a 64-55 victory as +9.5 point underdogs. Must also be noted that Rams steals king Weber played in that contest right until the closing minutes when he injured his knee so against VCU’s best, Richmond negated the press. Also have to recognize the success of Richmond’s defense in that contest as head coach Chris Mooney’s group used a combination of sticky perimeter defense and manageable tempo to frustrate VCU. The Rams shot a miserable 3-of-20, 15% Read more


Tags: College Basketball VCU Rams Richmond Spiders A-10 Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Texas Longhorns at West Virginia Mountaineers

02.24.2015     08:54 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas +4.5 at West Virginia O/U 136.5
Recommendation: Texas


Going to step in play Texas at +4.5 (a few +5's available) as it heads to West Virginia this evening. Some bettors will undoubtedly point toward the revenge angle (UT won 77-50 in Austin) and the Longhorns' spotty play of late (back-to-back losses). But at the current price there is some value on the underdog as WVU enters off back-to-back upsets and doesn't match up particularly well against UT's front court. While Texas has plenty of weakness -- most notably a lack of consistency -- they do defend well in the paint. In their last two losses, Oklahoma and Iowa State shot a combined 28-of-77, 36.3% from two. What did them in what allowing 20 three-pointers. But unlike the Sooners and Cyclones, the Mountaineers don't have much of any outside shooting prowess. On the season, they've connected on only 30.9% of their three-point attempts. Another angle to consider is WVU's element of surprise, or lack thereof in this spot. In five "second meets" in Big XII pay, the Mountaineers have covered only once; against bottom feeder Texas Tech. Teams clearly know what to expect and while Texas Read more


Tags: College Basketball Texas Longhorns West Virginia Mountaineers Big XII Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting: Nebraska wants to get season over with ASAP

02.23.2015     11:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Things continue to head south for Nebraska as always candid head coach Tim Miles banned his team from the locker room following Sunday's 74-46 loss to Iowa. Miles had already hinted the Cornhuskers wouldn't accept a bid to a secondary postseason tournament should they even qualify. They've now lost seven of eight. NU's only win and cover during that span was when it somehow managed to pop for 76 points in blowout win over Northwestern. In their other seven games, they averaged less than 50 ppg. They close out the regular season with road games at Ohio State and Illinois and a home finale vs. Maryland.


“You never want to throw your players under the bus, but that was just beyond disappointing,” Miles said. “That’s not what we represent. I told our guys, ‘when I was at Southwest Minnesota State, to pay for shoes we used to have to go to the Renaissance Festival in Shakopee, Minnesota for a weekend and pick up trash. We were the trash guys.

“And if Read more



Tags: College Basketball Nebraska Cornhuskers Big Ten



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