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NCAA Championship Betting Update: More sportsbooks report heavy action on Michigan
04.08.2013 01:07 PM
Printer Friendly
UPDATE
Here's a few more updates on what the betting community is doing for tonight's NCAA Championship. Looks like a majority of bettors at South Point, BetOnline, and Sports Interaction are all lined up on Michigan plus the points.
Covers.com @Covers 1m
"We are expecting Michigan money all afternoon,” -Bert Osborne, South Point sportsbook in Las Vegas.
Dave Mason @DaveMasonBOL 10m
62% of the money is on Michigan +4 tonight vs Louisville.
Sports Interaction @SIASport 4h
Our oddsmakers say bettors on piling on Michigan at +4.0. Action was with Louisville, now 3-2 for UM
NCAA Tournament Gambling: Bettors prefer Michigan and the OVER for title game
04.08.2013 07:31 AM
Read more
Tags:
College Basketball
Michigan Wolverines
Louisville Cardinals
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NCAA Tournament Gambling: Bettors prefer Michigan and the OVER for title game
04.08.2013 07:31 AM
Printer Friendly
Michigan
vs.
Louisville
-4 O/U 138
Here are the consensus bets for tonight's NCAA Championship according to Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.
Side
Michigan +3.5 - 53.2%
Moneyline
Michigan +160 - 72.3%
Total
Michigan-Louisville OVER 138 - 65.6%
Tags:
College Basketball
Michigan Wolverines
Louisville Cardinals
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NCAA Tournament Gambling: Consensus bets for Saturday's Final Four
04.05.2013 11:56 AM
Printer Friendly
Here are the consensus bets for Saturday's Final Four according to Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.
Sides
Michigan -2 - 52.8%
Louisville -10.5 - 50.2%
Moneyline
Syracuse +120 - 64.4%
Wichita State +525 - 63.6%
Totals
Wichita-Louisville OVER 132.5 - 85.9%
Michigan-Syracuse UNDER 130.5 - 63.8%
Tags:
College Basketball
Wichita State Shockers
Louisville Cardinals
Syracuse Orange
Michigan Wolverines
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College Basketball Gambling: Bettors flock toward Iowa for NIT Championship
04.04.2013 01:00 PM
Printer Friendly
Iowa
-2.5 vs.
Baylor
O/U 142
Ride ‘em while they’re hot is what the betting markets are saying as the Iowa Hawkeyes have gone from 1-point favorites to -2.5 for tonight’s NIT Championship vs. Baylor. The Hawkeyes sport the nation’s best against the spread record at 24-9 and enter tonight’s contest having covered ten straight. According to Bookmaker, 69.3% of bets have been place on Iowa, while 79.1% were placed on the OVER. Note also that total opened 139 and was bet up to 142.
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Las Vegas oddsmakers gear up for Final Four
04.04.2013 07:47 AM
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Las Vegas oddsmakers comments on some of their liabilities with
futures bets
on the Final Four and NCAA Championship. At one point Wichita State was 300-1 to win the title.
“The liability we have on Wichita State in the futures, we’ve already covered that with what we’ve made on them in their other games,” Malinowski said. “If I had to paint the picture overall of what Wichita did for us in the tournament, it would be positive.”
“You have a handful of people who will throw $5 or $10 here and there on teams like Wichita State,” Malinowski said. “A few of those add up real quickly.”
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NCAA Tournament Betting: Stat Notes for Final Four
04.03.2013 08:16 AM
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Submitted by
Stat Intelligence
Here are the statlines that we’ve been using through the Dance in matchup order for Saturday. If you’re new to the blog, we tried to paint a picture of each team’s skill sets and approaches by focusing on these stats:
Two-Point Defense
Rebounding Margin
Turnover Margin
Made Treys per game
Adjusted Pace Rankings as tabulated by Ken Pomeroy
In those first four, we used CONFERENCE ONLY data because that represents a good combination of sample size, schedule quality, and relative recency (ignoring stuff that happened in November and December). I grabbed those from the various conference websites across the nation just before the conference tourneys began. Pace factor was based on the full season because that’s how Kenpom posts it on his home page.
I haven’t done any tweaking to the first four categoreis since the postseason began. We’re using these to get an image of the teams, not to do any fancy calculations.
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College Basketball Gambling: Referees go after Arizona's Sean Miller
04.02.2013 07:38 AM
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Remember Ed Rush? Back in the day he was the NBA's head of officiating. Dallas owner Mark Cuban
famously said
that he wouldn't hire Ed Rush to run a Dairy Queen. Well news has come out that Rush, who is currently the head of officiating for the PAC-12, told his minions to
give Arizona head coach Sean Miller the business
during the PAC-12 Tournament. Miller, who doesn't come off a very demonstrative, was issued a very questionable technical foul in what ended up being a semifinal loss to UCLA. And according to reports, the ref who slapped Miller with the "T" didn't have "that type of mentality." And for those of you scoring at home, Arizona outshot UCLA from the floor and from three and was +7 on the glass. The difference in the game was fouls and free throws. UCLA attempted 21 free throws and was
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College Basketball Betting Trends: MSG has history of producing NIT semifinal UNDERS
04.02.2013 07:05 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Taking a look at a totals trend for tonight's NIT. I went back to 2006 and spotted that 10 of the last 14 semifinal matchups (see chart below) went under the total, including six straight. And that shouldn't come as a big surprise. For the past few weeks these teams have been playing loose, carefree basketball, in comfortable environments. Now they get to Madison Square Garden and all of a sudden it's a more serious atmosphere in a completely different type of venue. And don't forget the inflation in the betting markets. Secondary tournaments are notorious for going over the total and bettors – myself included – are constantly pounding away at them despite some significant line moves. And why not? In the six games leading up to the semifinals, Baylor and BYU posted an average game score of 161.5 ppg. That makes tonight’s 152.5 seem cheap, no? But there have been plenty of on-paper, over-esque matchups in the past and based on the historical results of these NIT semifinals they simply don’t have a strong track record. I think this trend has some merit and made plays on both games UNDER the total.
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Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers breaks down the Final Four
04.01.2013 12:04 PM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
I’ve been writing about college basketball consistently since the Super Bowl, and there’s room for one last college hoops column this week. No, I’m not going to break down the NIT Final Four, the CBI best-of-three series between Santa Clara and George Mason, or the CIT Championship Game between East Carolina and Weber State. This column is about the big boys!
Four teams have stood out above the rest on the biggest of stages over the past two weekends: Michigan, Syracuse, Wichita State and Louisville. Bracketologists might be surprised that only one of the top twelve seeds made it this far, with a pair of #4 seeds and a #9 seed joining the top overall seed Louisville in the Final Four.
But bettors know that seeding is essentially meaningless, especially when we’re talking about the bevy of quality teams in the Big Dance. That’s why we’ve seen lower seeded teams favored on more than a handful of occasions here in the tourney, like when Syracuse was the chalk against #3 seed Marquette, in one prominent example this past weekend.
Only one team can cut down the nets in Atlanta next
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Louisville Cardinals
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Louisville Cardinals enter Final Four as betting favorite to cut down nets
04.01.2013 07:48 AM
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Saturday's Final Four is set with Louisville (-10.5) taking on Wichita State and Michigan (-2.5) facing Syracuse. The Cardinals' four wins were by margins of 31, 26, 8, and 22. According to Pinnacle, they are the betting favorites to win the tournament at -141.
Louisville
Yes -141
No +128
Michigan
Yes +318
No -366
Syracuse
Yes +541
No -660
Wichita State
Yes +1300
No -2200
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