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December

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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Baylor Bears vs. Dayton Flyers

11.26.2013     02:28 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Baylor -3 vs. Dayton O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Over


Have you seen the rims at the Maui Invitational? I lost track of home many extra points they were worth to today's Arkansas-Minnesota game. Offhand I saw two threes that on any other rims in the country would have careened out of bounds and yet they went in. Then you throw in the fact that teams are playing in a back-to-back situation – tired, loose with the ball, poor rotations, missed box outs, etc. Add in the extra fouls and these games have been a perfect storm for OVERS. Of course it helps when you have two teams willing to push the pace. Baylor has actually played at a rather average pace thus far but last night we saw the Bears ramp it up to 74 possessions in their 93-77 win over Chaminade. Dayton has gone over 70 possessions in all but one game. And the Flyers scored 80+ against Georgia Tech and Gonzaga. We've seen a few teams in this tournament go zone with the hopes of staying out of foul trouble and we could see that tonight. But note that both squads are shooting above 40% from three-point range. A lo of factors favor points and even with some line adjustment, it won't keep me from Read more



Tags: College Basketball Baylor Bears Dayton Flyers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oklahoma State Cowboys at USF Bulls

11.25.2013     02:40 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma State -9.5 at South Florida O/U 150.5
Recommendation: Under


You rarely see South Florida get baited into an up-tempo game. Under Stan Heath, the Bulls have been one of slowest teams in the country on a yearly basis. This is by design as Heath's inability recruit offensive talent leaves USF needing to grind it out, play defense, and hope for the best against superior foes.  It looks like guard Corey Allen (16.5 ppg) could be a nice addition – and by nice addition I mean someone who can actually shoot above 45% from the floor. But even with the rule changes (and move to AAC) USF will still struggle to score on most nights.

Oklahoma State isn't shy about pushing the pace but they aren't BYU. And unlike the Cougars, the Cowboys do play defense – you'll likely see them in the top 10 in efficiency for much of the season. OSU has named the score in its first four games but I don't expect things to run as smoothly on the road against a team that will defend.

It is hard to put any stock in last year's results just because the game is being played so differently. However, when these two teams hooked up in Stillwater, Read more



Tags: College Basketball Oklahoma State Cowboys South Florida Bulls Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Seton Hall Pirates

11.22.2013     08:41 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oklahoma vs. Seton Hall
Recommendation: Seton Hall


Let's take a look at the Seton Hall Pirates as they take the short trip over to Brooklyn to face a very young Oklahoma squad. Last year was a tough one for Kevin Willard and the Hall as a rash of injuries left the team with little chance in Big East play (3-15). This year they're off to a 3-1 start with a loss in double overtime at Mercer. The Bears are certainly no slouch after winning 24 games a year ago including victories over Florida State, Alabama, and Tennessee on the road. They returned four starters from that group so I actually give credit to Seton Hall for their performance. Also have to like that Seton Hall is averaging over 38 free throws per game – a lot of these early season games have been decided by who wins the trips the charity stripe battle. As mentioned, OU is a very young team and showed well to open the season with a win over Alabama. But I'm not very high on the Crimson Tide and the Sooners were catching +4 in that contest and now laying over a bucket. I also read a somewhat interesting article about Oklahoma's feelings on the tournament and the focus seemed to be on the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Oklahoma Sooners Seton Hall Pirates Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: East Carolina Pirates at Duke Blue Devils

11.19.2013     12:37 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
East Carolina at Duke -23.5
Recommendation: Duke


East Carolina knows it is lucky to be in this spot after rallying back from 17 down in the second half to clip Norfolk State by two. I give credit to the Pirates for fighting back but a vast majority of their win had to do with Norfolk's shortcomings (2-of-14 from 3, 10-of-20 from the line including multiple misses in crunch time). No question ECU put forth a ton of effort in that comeback win and with no rest they must turnaround and face a Duke squad that has had no trouble handling lesser competition. The Blue Devils have wins by 34, 33, and 36 on their home court. And to me, ECU is not far removed personnel wise to that of Davidson, Florida Atlantic, and UNC Asheville. Also note that as Jeff Lebo has built up the ECU program, he's been pretty active is staying away from top-tier competition. In 2011, they faced Clemson (No. 22 Ken Pom) and last year lost by six at North Carolina (No. 32). With the exception of Memphis in C-USA, those are arguably the two toughest teams ECU has faced in three-plus years – and this year’s version of Duke is far better than all three. And East Carolina was Read more



Tags: College Basketball East Carolina Pirates Duke Blue Devils Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Rice Owls at Texas A&M Aggies

11.15.2013     07:42 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rice at Texas A&M -18
Recommendation: Texas A&M


In 2012, Rice was a nice story with 19 wins and two postseason victories. But the following year six players left the program including Arsalan Kazemi who proved to be a high-quality DI player during his time at Oregon. It is one thing for players to leave when a program bottoms out but it isn't a good sign following a season head coach Ben Braun had been spent three years working towards. Not surprising, last year was a mess as the Owls posted just one conference win and lost by single digits on only four occasions. Heading into this year, Rice lost its top two scorers and rebounders and Braun was forced to reload once again. In their season opener, the Owls shot less than 40% in a nine-point win over NAIA St. Thomas. And last time out, in what was a huge red flag, the Owls were beat on their home floor by Southeastern Louisiana who opened the season with an 89-53 loss at Missouri. Texas A&M has looked sharp in the early going with an 82-58 win over Buffalo and 91-67 win over Mississippi Valley State. The Aggies lost Elston Turner but returned four players with starting experience. Turner's Read more



Tags: College Basketball Rice Owls Texas A&M Aggies Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: UW-Milwaukee Panthers at Davidson Wildcats

11.11.2013     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UW-Milwaukee at Davidson -12.5
Recommendation: Davidson


One of the lone highlights for UW-Milwaukee last year was its improbable home win over Davidson. The spots wasn't ideal for the Wildcats after losing a hard fought game at New Mexico and a high profile tournament in Florida on deck. It wasn't the type of loss that has Davidson salivating for revenge but certainly one they remember. Also adding to the situation is Friday's 111-77 loss at Duke. Davidson had to reload somewhat during the offseason but returns a lot of experience. Obviously a tough spot for former secondary/role players to step in and thrive. It is a result that I put little stock in. I get the sense that the UWM program is probably in the twilight of the Rob Jeter era. As mentioned, last year's win over Davidson was one of only eight victories – and only one came away from home; a 95-88 double OT triumph over IUPUI who went 6-26. The Panthers return only one proven player (Jordan Aaron, 14.4 ppg LY) and are relying on former role players and transfers. Davidson lost three key players but also return four seniors who have starting experience. And the Wildcats have had no Read more



Tags: College Basketball UW-Milwaukee Panthers Davidson Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Florida International Panthers vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels

11.08.2013     08:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida International vs. Eastern Kentucky -5 (at Kennesaw, Ga.)
Recommendation: Eastern Kentucky


Despite losing head coach Richard Pitino and three starters it looks as if Florida International has enough talent to compete in C-USA. But as with a lot of teams that suffer offseason turnover (and in FIU's case postseason ineligibility), it is going to take some time. They draw a tough first game matchup against a very seasoned and difficult to prepare for Eastern Kentucky squad. Head coach Jeff Neubauer has a reputation of doing less with more but decided last season that he was going to bring in some speed and athleticism. He did just that an EKU won 25 games including 12-4 in OVC play. The Colonels return four starters from that group – the lone loss was all-league point guard Mike DiNunno but Neubauer is reportedly going to use senior Glen Cosey (15.2 ppg) and a JC recruit as the team's primary ball handlers. Overall, EKU is a veteran club that is extremely efficient (55% 2s, 35% 3s, 78% FTs) and with the influx of athletes runs a very aggressive 1-3-1 zone (6th nationally in TO rate last year). In the grand scheme of things, Eastern probably Read more



Tags: College Basketball Florida International Panthers Eastern Kentucky Colonels Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: MSG has history of producing NIT semifinal UNDERS

04.02.2013     07:05 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Taking a look at a totals trend for tonight's NIT. I went back to 2006 and spotted that 10 of the last 14 semifinal matchups (see chart below) went under the total, including six straight. And that shouldn't come as a big surprise. For the past few weeks these teams have been playing loose, carefree basketball, in comfortable environments. Now they get to Madison Square Garden and all of a sudden it's a more serious atmosphere in a completely different type of venue. And don't forget the inflation in the betting markets. Secondary tournaments are notorious for going over the total and bettors – myself included – are constantly pounding away at them despite some significant line moves. And why not? In the six games leading up to the semifinals, Baylor and BYU posted an average game score of 161.5 ppg. That makes tonight’s 152.5 seem cheap, no? But there have been plenty of on-paper, over-esque matchups in the past and based on the historical results of these NIT semifinals they simply don’t have a strong track record. I think this trend has some merit and made plays on both games UNDER the total. 

Follow me on Twitter Read more



Tags: College Basketball BYU Cougars Baylor Bears Andrew Lange




NCAA Sweet Sixteen Betting Podcast 3-29-2013 with Handicapper Brent Crow

03.29.2013     11:51 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Brent Crow and host Andrew Lange as they broke down tonight's four Sweet Sixteen matchups.

Today's segments
Brent Crow - Friday Sweet Sixteen

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.




Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Oregon reaches Sweet Sixteen despite turnover issues

03.27.2013     08:40 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon vs. Louisville -10 O/U 129.5

It is hard to win in March when you can't take care of the basketball. That is what makes Oregon's two tournament wins all the more remarkable. The Ducks coughed it up 18 times in their first round win over Oklahoma State and matched that number against Saint Louis. Overall, the Ducks had 10 more turnovers than their opponents yet won by margins of 13 and 17. Oregon was able to offset its high rate of miscues by playing strong defense, particularly against the three-point shot. OSU and SLU shot a combined 8-of-38, 21% from deep. The Ducks were also a combined +12 on the glass. The question now becomes can Oregon beat (or hang) with Louisville with 18 turnovers? Probably not. The Cardinals are obviously a menace defensively but don't ignore how strong Read more



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Oregon Ducks Andrew Lange



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