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Sportsmemo Handicapper NCAA Tournament Picks

03.14.2012     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly
Some NCAA Tournament picks from the Sportsmemo Crew.

Sportsmemo Handicapper 2012 NCAA Tournament Picks
Handicapper
First Round Upset Alert
Final Four
Title Pick
Brent Crow
Colorado over UNLV
Kentucky, Syracuse, Missouri, North Carolina
Kentucky
Andrew Lange
Virginia over Florida
Kentucky, Marquette, Cincinnati, North Carolina
Kentucky
Teddy Covers
Belmont over Georgetown
Kentucky, Florida State, Kansas, Louisville
Kansas
Marty Otto
Virginia over Florida
Kentucky, Missouri, Kansas, Syracuse
Kentucky
Fairway Jay
Long Beach over New Mexico
Wichita, Michigan State, Ohio State, North Carolina
Ohio State
Erin Rynning
Long Beach over New Mexico
Kentucky, Louisville, Michigan, Ohio State
Ohio State
Rob Veno
Montana over Wisconsin
Kentucky, Missouri, Ohio State, North Carolina
Missouri




Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Andrew Lange Teddy Covers Otto Sports Erin Rynning Rob Veno




College Basketball NIT Betting Trend

03.13.2012     12:16 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Often times we assume power conference teams that get "snubbed" from the NCAA Tournament and sent to the NIT don't really want to be there. But often times these "snubbed" teams are rewarded with home games and the turnaround from conference tournament to NIT is so short, there isn't much time to sit around and sulk. I went back the last five years and took the top 2 seeds from each NIT "pod" which ends up being eight teams total. Sort of arbitrary, but you figure past those eight are teams that didn't expect to be in the NCAA Tournament anyway or are mid-majors. For example, last year's no. 3 seeds were Dayton, Colorado State, Missouri State and Oklahoma State.

With those eight teams, I took a look at their first round games (almost all of which were at home with the exception of Boston College who was shipped to McNeese State last year) and then the overall results. Keep in mind, the overall numbers are skewed some as a lot of these teams eventually played one another. What I came up with was pretty surprising. From a straight up perspective, our top eight teams went 37-3 SU and a respectable 24-16 (60%) ATS in the first round and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Tips: Things to look for in second half wagers

03.07.2012     06:36 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

Wanted to point out this halftime box score (see below) of the Eastern Washington-Montana game. Everyone has their own philosophies for making halftime bets but I thought I'd share a few of my own as far as what I look for. For starters, I leaned Eastern Washington +10.5 as Montana's home court, while tough, is often inflated. Unfortunately, I wasn't able to watch the game – something I usually like to do when betting halftimes. But in this instance, I was very familiar with both sides and was able to track the contest using live stats.

copy_montana_halftime.JPG

In the first half, Montana obviously couldn't shoot straight while Eastern Washington was at 50%. This is already out of the norm as Montana defends and EWU typically does not. And this late in the season, you are what you are, especially on defense. So with five minutes to play, Eastern took an 11-point lead. It was a big moment because down 10 or more at half likely keeps me off of any 2nd half play with Montana. But the Grizzlies knocked down a shot, and a few more, and went into the break only down 5 – a nice swing in momentum which is always nice to have. But while the margin was more Read more


Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. St. Mary's Gaels

03.05.2012     01:18 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Gonzaga vs. St. Mary's
Recommendation: Over 61.5 1st half


I respect the defensive numbers Gonzaga has posted this year (0.93 points per possession vs. WCC) as well as St. Mary's lower-the-usual pace numbers over the past month (56-64 possessions in eight straight games) but were also dealing with the top two offenses in the conference and both are not shy about taking advantage of fast break opportunities. In the last 10 games in this series, only once did we see a halftime score fall below 63 points. And two of those contests where in this exact setting; the conference championship title game (39-34 and 38-25). This is the fourth straight year at this venue, the Orleans Arena, so both teams are obviously comfortable with the rims and backdrop. And both factors that often tell bettors there are tight rims – free throw and three-point shooting – have been fairly average with six games producing a combined 66% from the foul line and 38% from three-point land. This projects to be a close game so there is always the potential for it to turn into a grind late so let's take advantage of the low total and play over first half.




Tags: College Basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs St. Mary's Gaels Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Wyoming Cowboys at UNLV Rebels

03.03.2012     07:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wyoming at UNLV -10.5 O/U 127
Recommendation: Over


In the war against meaningless games, scoring often wins out and that is where we will look for tonight’s UNLV-Wyoming matchup. While UNLV may apply on-ball pressure, after a few extra passes this defense is very susceptible. Just look what took place at Colorado State – the Rams just wore UNLV down with 40 points in the second half. Wyoming isn't that type of team but they'll get more that their fair share of open looks. As for UNLV's offense, we can certainly expect bigger things (it's Senior Night!) than what we saw in Fort Collins with a season long average of 82.8 ppg at the Thomas & Mack Center. The first time these two teams met, Wyoming was for the most part able to control tempo with only 63 possessions but the game still got to 134 points. These two teams could very well face one another in the opening round of the Mountain West Tournament which has Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys UNLV Rebels Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Morehead State Eagles vs. Tennessee State Tigers

03.02.2012     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Morehead State vs. Tennessee State -3.5 O/U 123
Recommendation: Tennessee State


I don't typically like to lay points with these college basketball conference tournaments but I see some value supporting Tennessee State as a small favorite over Morehead State. Morehead somewhat lucked out with its conference schedule this year playing only one game apiece against the top two teams in the league, Murray State and Tennessee State. In five games against teams that finished with above .500 league record, Morehead went 1-4 with the lone win coming over Tennessee Tech who was playing the second leg of the very difficult EKU/Morehead road trip. Just based on the eye test, Morehead has the look of a mediocre OVC squad but because of the scheduled stumbled into the third seed. Tennessee State meanwhile played Murray and Tennessee Tech twice as well as SEMO.  The Tigers have a lot of talent and should have decent fan support with the game being Read more


Tags: College Basketball Morehead State Eagles Tennessee State Tigers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Portland Pilots vs. San Francisco Dons

03.01.2012     07:46 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Portland vs. San Francisco -9 O/U 148
Recommendation: San Francisco


San Francisco has done a good job taking care of the bottom-tier of the WCC this season. In games against Portland, Pepperdine, San Diego and Santa Clara, the Dons won by margins of 34, 1, 15, 13, 14, 16 and 11. The lone single-digit game was a one-point road win over Portland but San Fran was playing the second of back-to-back road games; off a hard fought loss at Gonzaga. Portland has been outclassed for much of the year. They've managed to catch a few teams napping but three of their four league wins came against Santa Clara who didn't win a conference game. After starting the year 0-4 in league play, San Fran finished 8-8 with competitive losses to Loyola Marymount, BYU and St. Mary's and a home win over Gonzaga. The Dons are the better team in this matchup across the board and should be able to handle Portland from the opening tip.




Tags: College Basketball Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Play: Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores

02.28.2012     07:29 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida at Vanderbilt -3.5 O/U 140.5
Recommendation: Vanderbilt


Obviously I'd like to see Florida off of a win rather than an embarrassing 76-62 loss at Georgia but I still feel like this is a prime spot for Vanderbilt. It is senior night for the Commodores as a group of six players (86 career wins) will play their final home game at Memorial Gym. The key to this game though is not senior night or the revenge factor but in fact an injury. The Gators will be without forward Will Yeguete who is out for the rest of the season with a foot injury. Yeguete doesn't get much attention because he is one of the team's last options on offense (4.4 ppg). But his impact on the defensive end of the floor cannot be understated. In Florida's win over Vandy earlier this season, the Gators unleashed a full court press and forced 17 turnovers in large part because of Yeguete. Without him, and on the road, I don't think Billy Donovan will be able to apply the amount of pressure Read more


Tags: College Basketball Vanderbilt Commodores Florida Gators Andrew Lange




Saturday NCAA Basketball Free Pick: UW-Green Bay Phoenix at UIC Flames

02.25.2012     07:02 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UW-Green Bay -3 at UIC O/U 131
Recommendation: Over


Don't project to see much intensity in this early afternoon start between Green Bay and UIC. The Phoenix will be playing for a first round home game but I've come to realize that rising to the occasion for a seed rather than say a berth, is vastly overrated. The Flames are going to honor a few seniors, in front of a few fans, roll the ball out and try to have some fun. UWGB is one of the few teams in the Horizon that actively looks to push the pace with over 65 possessions per game. Their offense has really come together the back half of the season with 70+ point efforts in seven of their last nine games. UIC no question struggles to score, but it is offset by the 1.08 points per possession they allow. I think the casual atmosphere will make for a quicker pace and less than stellar defense which puts us on the over.




Tags: College Basketball UW-Green Bay Phoenix Illinois-Chicago Flames Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Betting Trend Update: Murray State -2 first half vs. Tennessee State

02.23.2012     07:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

UPDATE

Murray State at Tennessee State

Our Tennessee State 1st half/2nd half trend should be in play tonight as the Tigers play host to Murray State. Since we last spoke, TSU lost two more first halves but stormed back to win outright and cash back-to-back second half tickets. TSU is on a 3-13 ATS 1st half/14-2 ATS 2nd half run. There is really no explanation for these results but clearly Tennessee State is aware of its come-from-behind ways. Tonight, Murray State is downplaying the revenge angle as TSU handed the Racers their lone loss of the season. Both teams have the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in the OVC Tournament locked up. You should be able to find Murray State -2 for the first half.

Tennessee State 1st Half/2nd Half Betting Trends as of 2/23/2012
Opponent
Halftime Score
TSU 1st Half ATS
Final Score
TSU 2nd Half ATS
Miami (OH)
MOH 35, TSU 26
Loss
TSU 68, MOH 61
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 32, TSU 26
Loss
TSU 69, JSU 64 OT
Win
Tennessee Tech
TSU 28, TTU 27
Loss
TSU 68, TTU 53
Win
Murray State
MSU 40, TSU 33
Loss
TSU 72, MSU 29
Win
Southeast Missouri
SEMO 35, TSU 30
Loss
TSU 75, SEMO 72
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 20
Win
TSU 77, ASPU 57
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 38, TSU 32
Loss
TSU 91, EKU 85 OT
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 26, UTM 25
Loss
TSU 72, UTM 59
Win
Eastern Illinois
TSU 29, EIU 23
Win
TSU 55, EIU 46
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 28
Win
APSU 69, TSU 63
Loss
SIU-Edwardsville
SIUE 24, TSU 17
Loss
TSU 52, SIUE 49
Loss
Morehead State
TSU 34, MOR 32
Loss
TSU 77, MOR 72
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 39, TSU 22
Loss
JSU 72, TSU 65
Win
Tennessee Tech
TTU 42, TSU 36
Loss
TTU 92, TSU 86
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 41, TSU 17
Loss
EKU 73, TSU 68
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 41, UTM 35
Loss
TSU 83, UTM 67
Win







Read more


Tags: College Basketball Murray State Racers Tennessee State Tigers Andrew Lange



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Copyright © 2007 SPORTSMEMO, INC, 1-800-575-3069. Sportsmemo.com is the nation’s premier resource for sports betting and handicapping information. Get free football picks, free NFL picks, free college football picks, free baseball picks, free NBA picks, free college basketball picks, free hockey picks, free golf picks, and free soccer picks from the nation’s top handicappers. Sportsmemo's sports betting insight and analysis comes from some of the most respected sports handicappers in the sports gambling industry including Ted Sevransky (Teddy Covers), Brent Crow of Alatex Sports, Rob Veno, Erin Rynning, Otto Sports, Andrew Lange, Sammy P Sports, Ian Cameron, and Paul Stone. Listen to these handicapping experts daily on the Sportsmemo Radio Show from Noon-2 pm PST on Fox Sports 920AM in Las Vegas and the web at Sportsmemo.com.  Missed the Sportsmemo Radio Show?  Past shows are available on Sportsmemo.com's radio archive page. Looking for daily sports betting tips and sports betting advice on the MLB, NBA, NCAA, NFL, NHL, AFL, and PGA? Check out the interactive sports betting posting forum, matchup statistics, power ratings, expert handicapping blogs, and original sports betting articles from the Sportsmemo team that specializes in sports information from a pointspread perspective at Sportsmemo.com.   Oct 25, 2014 12:40 PM.