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Saturday NCAA Basketball Free Pick: UW-Green Bay Phoenix at UIC Flames

02.25.2012     07:02 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UW-Green Bay -3 at UIC O/U 131
Recommendation: Over


Don't project to see much intensity in this early afternoon start between Green Bay and UIC. The Phoenix will be playing for a first round home game but I've come to realize that rising to the occasion for a seed rather than say a berth, is vastly overrated. The Flames are going to honor a few seniors, in front of a few fans, roll the ball out and try to have some fun. UWGB is one of the few teams in the Horizon that actively looks to push the pace with over 65 possessions per game. Their offense has really come together the back half of the season with 70+ point efforts in seven of their last nine games. UIC no question struggles to score, but it is offset by the 1.08 points per possession they allow. I think the casual atmosphere will make for a quicker pace and less than stellar defense which puts us on the over.




Tags: College Basketball UW-Green Bay Phoenix Illinois-Chicago Flames Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Betting Trend Update: Murray State -2 first half vs. Tennessee State

02.23.2012     07:07 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

UPDATE

Murray State at Tennessee State

Our Tennessee State 1st half/2nd half trend should be in play tonight as the Tigers play host to Murray State. Since we last spoke, TSU lost two more first halves but stormed back to win outright and cash back-to-back second half tickets. TSU is on a 3-13 ATS 1st half/14-2 ATS 2nd half run. There is really no explanation for these results but clearly Tennessee State is aware of its come-from-behind ways. Tonight, Murray State is downplaying the revenge angle as TSU handed the Racers their lone loss of the season. Both teams have the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds in the OVC Tournament locked up. You should be able to find Murray State -2 for the first half.

Tennessee State 1st Half/2nd Half Betting Trends as of 2/23/2012
Opponent
Halftime Score
TSU 1st Half ATS
Final Score
TSU 2nd Half ATS
Miami (OH)
MOH 35, TSU 26
Loss
TSU 68, MOH 61
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 32, TSU 26
Loss
TSU 69, JSU 64 OT
Win
Tennessee Tech
TSU 28, TTU 27
Loss
TSU 68, TTU 53
Win
Murray State
MSU 40, TSU 33
Loss
TSU 72, MSU 29
Win
Southeast Missouri
SEMO 35, TSU 30
Loss
TSU 75, SEMO 72
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 20
Win
TSU 77, ASPU 57
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 38, TSU 32
Loss
TSU 91, EKU 85 OT
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 26, UTM 25
Loss
TSU 72, UTM 59
Win
Eastern Illinois
TSU 29, EIU 23
Win
TSU 55, EIU 46
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 28
Win
APSU 69, TSU 63
Loss
SIU-Edwardsville
SIUE 24, TSU 17
Loss
TSU 52, SIUE 49
Loss
Morehead State
TSU 34, MOR 32
Loss
TSU 77, MOR 72
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 39, TSU 22
Loss
JSU 72, TSU 65
Win
Tennessee Tech
TTU 42, TSU 36
Loss
TTU 92, TSU 86
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 41, TSU 17
Loss
EKU 73, TSU 68
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 41, UTM 35
Loss
TSU 83, UTM 67
Win







Read more


Tags: College Basketball Murray State Racers Tennessee State Tigers Andrew Lange




Bracket Buster Free Betting Pick: Southeast Missouri at McNeese State

02.18.2012     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Southeast Missouri at McNeese State
Recommendation: McNeese State


Looking to take advantage of a little travel here on Bracket Buster Saturday at Southeast Missouri bused the 11 hours to Lake Charles, Louisiana to face McNeese State. This after playing an emotional senior day game against the OVC's top team Murray State on Wednesday. McNeese State had difficultly in the early going against non-conference teams but like a lot of the Southland, they were forced to go about it on the road. McNeese beat a very solid Lamar team on this court earlier this season and acquitted themselves well in a nine-point loss to what has no become a 22-4 Southern Miss squad. Both teams are pretty even (SEMO 211 Ken Pom, McNeese 217 Ken Pom) but one is in its comfort zone and one has an 11-hour bus trip home. These meaningless games for both sides can be tricky but I think McNeese is worth a bet in some capacity – first half (-2.5) or game (-5).




Tags: College Basketball Southeast Missouri Redhawks McNeese State Cowboys Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears

02.16.2012     09:06 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Oregon +11 at California 139.5
Recommendation: Oregon


I think we can take advantage of all of the damage Cal handed out to opponents on its home court during the non-conference and step in and play a surging Oregon squad as a double-digit underdog. A closer look at Cal's home results show that when the competition is halfway decent, the wins haven’t come by big margins. The Golden Bears beat Colorado by 7, Stanford by 10 and lost to Arizona by 4. Their most impressive win was more spot-oriented as they took down UCLA 85-69 with the Bruins off a one-point loss two nights prior. Oregon has actually passed Cal for the league's best offense (109.5 points per possession) and the Ducks have for the most part played solid defense this season. This is an important game for both sides, especially Oregon who theoretically is still in the PAC-12 title hunt or perhaps an at-large berth. I expect a big effort from the road side which gives us value with Read more


Tags: College Basketball Oregon Ducks California Golden Bears Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Betting Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs at Cal-Northridge Matadors

02.15.2012     12:29 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Cal Poly -6.5 at Cal-Northridge O/U 130.5
Recommendation: Over


Despite playing at a super slow pace, seven of Cal Poly's 12 Big West games have topped 130 points. One of the reasons behind that is the lack of quality defenses. Only two teams (Long Beach and Riverside) allow less than a point per possession in conference play. And despite its label of being defensive minded, Cal Poly has really been nothing more than average at stopping Big West opponents (102.1 ppp allowed, 5th out of 9 teams). The Big West is split into teams that play fast (Long Beach, Fullerton, Irvine, Northridge and Davis) and teams that prefer a slower tempo (Santa Barbara, Poly, Pacific and Riverside). Against the "faster" teams, Cal Poly's games produced scores of 105, 140, 116, 147, 154, 132, 144 and 151. It was contests against the "slower" teams that have kept CP’s pace number low and their defense appearing respectable (game scores: 115, 113, 112 and 106). Northridge plays up-tempo and sports the worst defense in the league. And with the exception of the 100-54 loss to Cal Poly back in late January, the Matadors somehow, someway always find a way Read more


Tags: College Basketball Cal Poly Mustangs Cal-Northridge Matadors Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Trends: Tennessee State's 2nd half domination

02.14.2012     01:35 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

I happen to stumble upon this tidbit with Tennessee State who has won seven straight and is currently in second place of the Ohio Valley Conference at 10-4. The Tigers have shown a strong trend of failing to show up early and playing out of their minds after the break. They've held a halftime lead in only seven of their 14 league games which has resulted in a dismal 3-11 ATS first half mark. But for whatever reason, TSU has played like gods in the second halves of these games, outscoring all but one of their 14 opponents by a combined tally of 610-484 – good for an amazing 12-2 ATS. That is an average second half score of 43.6-34.6. In the first half, they were outscored by a combined 46 points. Tonight, Tennessee State plays host to Jacksonville State. Play accordingly.

Tennessee State 1st Half/2nd Half Betting Trends as of 2/14/2012
Opponent
Halftime Score
TSU 1st Half ATS
Final Score
TSU 2nd Half ATS
Tennessee Tech
TSU 28, TTU 27
Loss
TSU 68, TTU 53
Win
Murray State
MSU 40, TSU 33
Loss
TSU 72, MSU 29
Win
Southeast Missouri
SEMO 35, TSU 30
Loss
TSU 75, SEMO 72
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 20
Win
TSU 77, ASPU 57
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 38, TSU 32
Loss
TSU 91, EKU 85 OT
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 26, UTM 25
Loss
TSU 72, UTM 59
Win
Eastern Illinois
TSU 29, EIU 23
Win
TSU 55, EIU 46
Win
Austin Peay
TSU 29, APSU 28
Win
APSU 69, TSU 63
Loss
SIU-Edwardsville
SIUE 24, TSU 17
Loss
TSU 52, SIUE 49
Loss
Morehead State
TSU 34, MOR 32
Loss
TSU 77, MOR 72
Win
Jacksonville State
JSU 39, TSU 22
Loss
JSU 72, TSU 65
Win
Tennessee Tech
TTU 42, TSU 36
Loss
TTU 92, TSU 86
Win
Eastern Kentucky
EKU 41, TSU 17
Loss
EKU 73, TSU 68
Win
Tennessee-Martin
TSU 41, UTM 35
Loss
TSU 83, UTM 67
Win




Tags: College Basketball Tennessee State Tigers Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Betting Tips: The value with totals remains with UNDERS

02.13.2012     02:09 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It is pretty remarkable what the Virginia Cavaliers have been able to "accomplish" with their season-long trend of 3-16 O/U. It's not like oddsmakers and bettors aren't aware of UVA’s desires to play at a slow pace and put forth max effort on the defensive end of the floor (11-14 O/U last year). And teams which such strong identities – especially those who play in major conferences – don't often hold much value when their blueprint is so obvious. For example: North Carolina likes to run up and down and score points, yet the Tar Heels are 12-12 O/U this season. Same with Missouri (9-10-2 O/U), BYU (10-13 O/U) and UNLV (10-12 O/U). There are however some logical reasons why teams like Virginia who grind it out and play defense are able to consistently churn out Unders. For starters, a lot of bettors don't like playing games lined below 120 under the total – even though every Saturday features plenty of 56-49 type scores. Even when matchups feature two extreme Under squads, and oddsmakers can't help but post a 114.5 or thereabouts, you often see money come in on the Over – some feel that if one team gets hot, or the game is close and Read more


Tags: College Basketball Virginia Cavaliers Andrew Lange




Sunday College Basketball Free Play: Boston College at Virginia Tech

02.12.2012     07:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boston College at Virginia Tech -13 O/U 121
Recommendation: Under


Two teams that struggle to score and prefer to play at a moderate pace meet today with Boston College headed to Virginia Tech. Hokies head coach Seth Greenberg has said that he wants his team to run but the only games that were classified as "up-tempo" came against BYU, North Carolina and Maryland – three teams that don't mind getting up and down the floor. BC has made a habit of trying to shorten the game and for the most part it has worked with their last three game decided by 5, 4, and 4 – the last of which a home win over Florida State. Earlier in the year, the Eagles notched wins over Clemson and Virginia Tech. In those five aforementioned games, the scores were 116, 120, 107, 98 and 124. The last time these two teams met they combined for a rather high 40-of-56, 71% from the free throw line and that game still landed 120. Play this one under.




Tags: College Basketball Boston College Eagles Virginia Tech Hokies Andrew Lange




Saturday College Basketball Free Play: Tennessee Tech at Tennessee State

02.11.2012     08:20 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Tennessee Tech +3.5 at Tennessee State O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Tennessee Tech


No one in college basketball is immune to letdowns and that includes the likes of Kentucky, Ohio State and on down to the little guys. Tennessee State just picked up the program's biggest win since...I don't have the time to research it but it was huge when they beat undefeated Murray State on the road. I knew Murray State was going to lose at some point and in reality, TSU isn't that far removed from the Racers talent wise, but to go up there on national TV and score a victory was an impressive feat – how often are Tennessee State kids highlighted on ESPN? The Tigers have now won six straight including back-to-back on the road and have just one day to prepare for any angry Tennessee Tech squad that just lost at home to bottom feeder Eastern Illinois. Head coach Steve Payne said after the game it wasn't a lack of effort, but instead just a really bad shooting Read more


Tags: College Basketball Tennessee Tech Golden Eages Tennessee State Tigers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Free Pick: North Texas at Florida International

02.09.2012     06:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
North Texas +2 at Florida International O/U 133.5
Recommendation: North Texas


Let's not let facts get in the way here: Isaiah Thomas is not a good leader of men when not donning a uniform and sneakers. Since arriving at Florida International, Zeke checks in at a dismal 25-59 SU. I’ve got to the window in support of FIU as an underdog, but in all three instances of being favored this season, they lost outright. Adding to the randomness of this program, of their seven wins this season, all but one came on the highway. Off back-to-back wins including a 20-point victory on the road over rival Florida Atlantic – arguably the most impressive win of Isaiah's brief tenure – this is a team that has FADE written all over it. North Texas is playing as well as anyone in the Sun Belt right now on a current 6-3 SU, 8-0-1 ATS run. The Mean Green's three losses came by 2, 2 and 3. This has been a wacky series with the underdog covering 12 straight and the road team eight for its last 10 ATS.



Tags: College Basketball North Texas Mean Green Florida International Panthers Andrew Lange



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