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NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

03.27.2015     08:23 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
UCLA +8.5 vs. Gonzaga O/U 145
Recommendation: UCLA

This Sweet Sixteen contest is a rematch from a regular season meeting back in December at Pauley Pavilion when the Bulldogs easily defeated the Bruins 87-74 while covering as 5.5-point favorites. However, it is impossible to categorize the UCLA team that Gonzaga dominated in December with the UCLA team we are seeing here in March. The Bruins have grown up since then and played with much greater poise and both ends of the court. The Bruins are 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and the only defeat was a competitive 6-point loss to Arizona in the semifinals of the PAC-12 Tournament. UCLA has displayed versatility in the fact they can win with the offense and/or defense. They smothered SMU 60-59 in the first round and then rolled to a 92-75 blowout win over UAB.

It’s not easy to step in front of Gonzaga right now as the Bulldogs are a terrific and well balanced squad with four starters -- Kevin Pangos, Gary Bell Jr., Byron Wesley and Kyle Wiltjer -- who are all elite scorers. The Bulldogs played a solid opening game against North Dakota State and followed that up with a near perfect Read more

Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Gonzaga Bulldogs Ian Cameron

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Kentucky covered every pointspread imaginable vs. West Virginia

03.27.2015     06:13 AM     Printer Friendly
Let's all have a chuckle at last night's in-game pointspread progression for the already infamous West Virginia-Kentucky game.  As you'll notice, the Wildcats covered EVERY number!





Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Kentucky Wildcats

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers vs. Arizona Wildcats

03.26.2015     07:01 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Xavier vs. Arizona -10.5 O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Arizona

My power ratings show Arizona right there with Duke as the second best team in the country.  The Wildcats are playing in a friendly, familiar venue in LA; certain to enjoy significant crowd support compared to Xavier in this game, to go along with their short travel time.  Their coach, Sean Miller, is arguably the best coach in college basketball never to reach the Final Four.  This team is a juggernaut, plain and simple, and the PAC 12’s 7-1 ATS mark over the opening weekend of the Big Dance speaks volumes about how undervalued this conference is on the national stage.

Xavier is no juggernaut.  The Big East really wasn’t very good this year – it was Villanova and then everybody else.  The Musketeers are tough and well coached, but they finished sixth in this mediocre conference with a 9-9 record in Big East play.  They are here only because of the ‘luck of the draw’; facing an Ole Miss team off extensive travel on short rest in the first round, followed by upstart #14 seed Georgia State in the Round of 32.

The Read more

Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Arizona Wildcats Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Vanderbilt Commodores at Stanford Cardinal

03.24.2015     06:09 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Vanderbilt at Stanford -3 O/U 150
Recommendation: Under

There's no doubt that the shot clock adjustment for the secondary college basketball tournaments has had an impact on pace of play and scoring. How significant though depends largely on the matchup. I've seen games where it didn't really matter and others where it was probably worth an extra 15 points and 10 possessions. Both oddsmakers and the betting markets had priced totals anywhere from 6-15 points higher than they would be under normal circumstances. Tonight's Vanderbilt-Stanford game is currently priced at 150; about 12-14 points higher than a regular season matchup. From watching both teams, neither has been forced to adjust much to the rule change as they typically play at a moderate pace. And of the four games they've played, three went well below 150. The lone exception was the crazy 109-point second half between Vandy and South Dakota State. The Jackrabbits were two days removed from a wild shootout win at elevation over Colorado State and clearly had nothing left in the tank. I'll also point out the extra importance on tonight's contest with the winner earning a trip to the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Vanderbilt Commodores Stanford Cardinal Andrew Lange

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Sweet Sixteen Betting Preview

03.23.2015     07:48 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The insanity that is March Madness just provided bettors and fans alike with one of the more memorable opening weekends of NCAA Tournament action.  Now that the dust has settled, it’s time to take a look at the 16 teams still standing in the Big Dance from a pointspread perspective.  Which squads offer some semblance of betting value moving forward and which do not?  Read on to find out.

Two conferences stood out above the rest this past weekend.  The ACC sent a whopping five teams to the Sweet 16 out of six Big Dance entrants while going 11-1 SU.  But bettors didn’t make a dime supporting those ACC teams, who combined to go 5-7 ATS.  Duke was the lone ACC squad to notch a pair of pointspread covers.  Notre Dame was one of two teams (Kentucky being the other) to go 2-0 SU but 0-2 ATS.

The PAC-12, on the other hand, produced both SU and ATS success for bettors this past weekend.  The four PAC-12 entrants combined to go 7-1 SU, sending three teams to the Sweet 16.  Even more impressively, the conference combined to go 7-1 ATS; the lone non-cover coming in Arizona’s 21 point opening round win as 23 point Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Michigan State, Kentucky, Duke, and Arizona favored to win respective regions

03.23.2015     07:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Sweet Sixteen is set and Pinnacle Sports has posted adjusted future odds on all four regions.

East Region
Michigan State +170
Oklahoma +250
Louisville 260
NC State +500

Midwest Region
Kentucky -400
Notre Dame +700
Wichita State +700
West Virginia +2000

South Region
Duke +120
Gonzaga +146
Utah +440
UCLA +1500

Arizona -120
Wisconsin +157
North Carolina +909
Xavier +1830

Tags: College Basketball

NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Maryland Terrapins

03.22.2015     08:08 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
West Virginia -1 vs. Maryland O/U 138
Recommendation: Under

After spending the first half of the Big XII season playing wild, high scoring, up-tempo affairs, West Virginia's games have since cooled down a bit. Ten of the Mountaineers' first 12 league games had 142 or more possessions. Since then, only one, an overtime game against Kansas that was 59-59 at the end of regulation, topped 140 total possessions. The rest were far more moderate including WVU's 68-62 opening round win over Buffalo. The Bulls don't mind pushing the pace and either does WVU, but because of the close nature of the game, it stay well under the total of 150. Maryland will look to push in transition when given the opportunity, but ultimately, the Terps play at a moderate pace and rely heavily on their defense. Over the last month, nearly every single one of UM's games were slow paced and below 130 points. The only exception was against fast paced, no defense Indiana and that game hit 144 on 128 possessions thanks to 55 free throw attempts. The current side price suggests we'll have a competitive ball game leaving the likelihood of an even slower pace the last five minutes. Let's Read more

Tags: College Basketball West Virginia Mountaineers Maryland Terrapins Andrew Lange

NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: Dayton Flyers vs. Providence Friars

03.20.2015     08:27 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Dayton vs. Providence -3 O/U 131
Recommendation: Providence

I’ve been a fan of the Providence Friars all season long. I think Ed Cooley has done a fantastic job with this program and they should enjoy matchup and situational edges tonight against Dayton. This game will take place in Columbus so Dayton gets to play in their home state once again which should lend some crowd support but I’m not sure it will make enough of a difference. The Flyers do not have a deep rotation with just seven players which is bad news when playing your second game in three days. Dayton saw two of its best players, Dyshawn Pierre and Scoochie Smith, play the full 40 minutes against Boise State so a quick Wednesday to Friday turnaround is less than ideal. Providence has every reason to be fired up for this game as it attempts to snap the program’s 4-game NCAA Tournament losing streak. The Friars were an 11th seed last year and had a 7-point lead against North Carolina with a few minutes left only to see the lead slip away in a 79-77 loss. It was a heartbreaking defeat and one that the Friars remember vividly. Tyler Harris: “We feel more comfortable Read more

Tags: College Basketball Dayton Flyers Providence Friars Ian Cameron

NCAA Tournament Betting Podcast 3-20-2015 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Brent Crow and Rob Veno

03.20.2015     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicappers Brent Crow and Rob Veno. Both handicappers and host Andrew Lange broke down today's 16 NCAA Tournament games.

Today's segments
Full Show

Brent Crow - NCAA Tournament Part I

Rob Veno - NCAA Tournament Part II

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Brent Crow Rob Veno Andrew Lange

NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: Davidson Wildcats vs. Iowa Hawkeyes

03.19.2015     06:44 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Davidson +2.5 vs. Iowa O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Davidson

Davidson’s preseason reputation has had a dramatic effect on their power rating number all year.  The Wildcats won 20 games last year in the Southern Conference on the heels of 25 and 26 win seasons the two previous years.  But when they moved to the Atlantic 10 for the 2014-15 campaign, both pundits and coaches expected them to be a bottom feeder, ranked 12th or lower in the 14-team league.

That drop-off didn’t happen.  The Wildcats got blown out at North Carolina in their first lined game of the season.  They proceeded to go 22-3 ATS in their next 25 lined contests, the single best pointspread team in the country.

After years of needing to win their conference tourney to reach the Big Dance from the one-bid SoCon, this year, Davidson didn’t need to win their conference tourney to get a bid, and they played like it – flat as a pancake in their opener against LaSalle, then run out of the gym completely by VCU the following day.  Those back-2-back ATS losses have the betting markets souring on Bob McKillop’s squad once Read more

Tags: College Basketball Davidson Wildcats Iowa Hawkeyes Teddy Covers


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