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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Marquette Golden Eagles

12.16.2014     01:10 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Arizona State at Marquette
Recommendation: Under 61.5 1st half

I’ve had Marquette pegged as an "under" squad. With only eight available players, the Golden Eagles have been forced to slow down the tempo as well as play zone. Their last game vs. Wisconsin featured only 108 possessions and 87 points. Probably won't see that type of extreme tonight but first-year head coach Steve Wojechowski knows that muddying up the game gives his short-handed squad their best chance to win. Also note that guard Deonte Burton left the team and they added 6-11 center Luke Fisher who originally played at Indiana. The Golden Eagles are in desperate need of size in the paint so the recent “transaction” is really addition by subtraction defensively. Arizona State has been playing at a relatively moderate pace but they've been ultra-efficient thus far hitting nearly 41% of their 3's and 53% of their 2's. Not sure however how long they'll be able to keep that up, especially on the road vs. a capable defense. In their last road game at Texas A&M there were only 120 possessions but 143 points. That is an outlier-type performance and if the Sun Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Marquette Golden Eagles Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Michigan Wolverines at Arizona Wildcats

12.13.2014     08:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Michigan at Arizona -11.5 O/U 129
Recommendation: Under

The Michigan Wolverines have really fallen on hard times with back-to-back losses to NJIT and Eastern Michigan. As a bettor, you can accept a stinker or two but concerns that it took place in back-to-back games after "lack of effort" was the original prognosis following the first loss. There are a lot of demands continuity-wise on both ends of the floor under John Beilein's system and there simply isn't the A-level talent and experience right now to offset the transition. Arizona continues to win by playing ugly basketball but that style isn't conducive for lots of pointspread success. The Wildcats are notorious for allowing foes to stick around as well as milking the clock with a lead. That said, they should be able to bully a Michigan squad short of size and experience. The betting markets were all over the Wolverines in what appeared to be an obvious bounceback vs. EMU. Here we see a line that would have been -8 to -10 two weeks ago at -11.5. We saw the Wolverines net 55 in a low possession slugfest against Villanova. Expecting a similar type of outcome today as we play under the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Arizona Wildcats Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: Georgetown plays host to Kansas during finals week

12.10.2014     06:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It's that time of year when finals pop up before the holidays. Georgetown is in the middle of taking exams as it gears up for tonight's rematch against Kansas. The Jayhawks won last year's meeting, 86-64, in Lawrence.

"So much of the lessons learned in that gym, in this sport, in any sport, carry over throughout life, and life isn’t always convenient,” Thompson said. “You can’t always schedule things when you want them, so just the understanding that’s life. Life comes at you that way, and you have to be prepared, and you still have to perform in all areas.”

Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Kansas Jayhawks

College Basketball Betting Free Play: IUPUI Jaguars at Xavier Musketeers

12.09.2014     10:24 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
IUPUI at Xavier -25.5 O/U 145.5
Recommendation: Over

To say that Xavier has fallen in love with offense would be an understatement. The Musketeers are averaging over 85 ppg despite playing only one (Northern Arizona) truly lower level squad. They play their weakest opponent to date this evening with IUPUI coming to town. The Jaguars have at times played respectable with an overtime loss to Indiana State and three-point loss to Georgia State. They were also blown out however against Purdue and Evansville. It is the Purdue game that caught my attention. In the first half, there was a lot of pace and a lot of points with the Boilermakers leading 48-38. Matt Painter probably wasn't all too excited about allowing nearly 40 in a half on their home court as IUPUI could manage only 19 points in the second half. Xavier hasn't shown the ability to completely stifle a team. Quotes from players and coaches recognize that the offense-first mentality won't cut it in Big East play but eight games into the season, it is clear that Xavier doesn't have much of a defensive identity. An unlike Purdue, Xavier hasn't shown any signs of backing off late. In blowout home Read more

Tags: College Basketball IUPUI Jaguars Xavier Musketerers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: Kentucky comfortable playing ugly basketball

12.05.2014     10:23 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The always candid John Calipari talks about the ugly nature of Kentucky's games thus far. They've gone under the total in six of seven games but note that tonight's total vs. Texas is nearly 10 points lower than any total this season.

“You could do the old stuff that they used do at Loyola, you stick one guy down the other end and then they still hold the ball, put two guys down the other end, say, shoot it,” Calipari joked. “But I like this. It makes us grind it out. It makes us have to stay in a stance 30 seconds, it makes us have to put more pressure. You can't let them hold the ball 35 seconds and get an easy shot at the end of a clock. Then what happens, if they're holding it and they take a tough shot, is that you run it right down at them, they start wearing down.

“I just say, hey, if that's how you want to play, that's fine,” Calipari said. “We're trying to be more playmakers off the ball, trying to get them to do that. In other words, deflect the ball from the guy you're

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Texas Longhorns

College Basketball Betting News and Notes 12-6-2014

12.05.2014     09:56 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Quick hitter thoughts on Saturday's marquee college basketball games.

Virginia at VCU - Rematch of last year's game in which VCU waltzed into Charlottesville and escaped with a 59-56 win after trailing by 6 with two minutes to go. UVA committed 19 turnovers in the loss; something that is likely to be shored up even with this game taking place in Richmond. If VCU isn’t forcing turnovers and/or running/knocking down threes in transition, they become very beatable.

Gonzaga at Arizona - Interesting to see how the Zags matchup against Arizona's size and athleticism. They were completely overwhelmed in last year's 84-61 NCAA Tournament loss. I give them a shot however with Arizona simply not having the offense to pull away from top level competition: see close wins over Kansas State and San Diego State. Cats have a tendency to build leads, sit on the ball, and let the defense take over. Bound to backfire at some point.

Wisconsin at Marquette - Sloppy game by the Badgers in Wednesday's home loss to Duke. The Blue Devils are really good but once again, Wisky had issues against an athletic team. Give Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Florida Gators at Kansas Jayhawks

12.05.2014     09:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Florida at Kansas
Recommendation: Kansas -4 1st half

Following Florida's early season home loss to Miami, Billy Donovan was very candid in saying there was no way his team was "top 10" caliber. At least not yet. Since that defeat, things have not improved with an overtime win over UL-Monroe, overtime loss vs. Georgetown, 9-point win over UAB, and 11-point loss vs. a very flawed North Carolina squad. And while the defensive numbers are solid, it's the offensive production that is a major concern. And rightfully so considering the loss of Prather, Wilbekin, and Young. In its last four games, Florida's "best" offensive performance was a 0.95 ppp effort vs. UAB. They spent the last week of practice trying to iron out the kinks but a true road game against a top-tier defense doesn't suggest an immediate turnaround. Kansas meanwhile has looked sharp since losing to Kentucky a few weeks back. They posted dominant wins over Rider, Rhode Island, and Tennessee, and last time out put the clamps down on Michigan State in the second half of a 61-56 win. Look for the the Jayhawks to come out strong and take advantage of Florida's early season Read more

Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Kansas Jayhawks Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting News: End of the game shenanigans help teaser bettors

12.04.2014     02:12 PM     Printer Friendly
This is funny but despite various claims (Deadspin comments) that it impacted the spread, it did not. Portland opened -11 vs. Portland State and closed -9.5. As you can see by the video, the Pilots were up 14 and trying to run out the clock when a PSU player pulled the old fake a handshake and steal the ball for an easy dunk routine. They counted the bucket and the game landed 12. The only betors potentially impacted were those who teased +9.5 to +13.5. If that was you, congrats, you won the first the first leg of one of the dumbest types of bets on the board.

Tags: College Basketball Portland Pilots Portland State Vikings

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Temple Owls at St. Joseph's Hawks

12.03.2014     10:03 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Temple -2 at St. Joseph's O/U 124
Recommendation: Temple

Constantly interested in fading this St. Joseph’s team which appears to be one of the more difficult projects Phil Martelli has had to put together. Martelli was very candid prior to the Gonzaga disaster about his team’s lack of offense and how he would have to be creative in order to generate points. The solution was to try and get easy open floor baskets to cover up the massive deficiencies in their half-court offense. St. Joe’s needs to score off of turnovers and attack before the opposing defense can set up. However, the way their roster is currently constructed it’s difficult to execute that type of game plan. The Hawks average offensive passion time ranks 313th among Division 1 teams and they have struggled to score being held to less than 60 points in four of their first six games. Their game plan for point production figures to be made even tougher tonight against Temple which fundamentally can negate what St. Joseph’s wants to do. The Owls prefer pace and are better equipped to get easy baskets because of their sizeable backcourt advantage. Veteran senior Read more

Tags: College Basketball Temple Owls St. Joseph's Hawks Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Ohio State Buckeyes at Louisville Cardinals

12.02.2014     06:58 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Ohio State at Louisville -8 O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Louisville

This marks the first real test of the year for the young Ohio State Buckeyes. Thus far, the Buckeyes have feasted on weak competition at home, winning all five of their games by wide margins. Their stiffest test came against a rebuilding Marquette team on November the 18th, a game they won 74-63. This marks a completely different challenge, as they not only face the first team that is better than they are, they do so on the road in a very hostile environment.

Ohio State is relying heavily on two freshmen and a sophomore that didn’t play much as a freshman and a couple of seniors. Freshman guard D’Angelo Russell is their leading scorer but he could wilt in the face of the Louisville pressure. He had seven turnovers against Marquette and four against James Madison, the two most athletic teams he has faced, and the pressure of the Cardinals will be much, much more intense than those teams.  Senior guard Shannon Scott will be the primary ball handler for the Buckeyes, but he will have to have some help and none of the other guards on the roster have any Read more

Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Louisville Cardinals Brent Crow


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