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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: College Basketball Pointspread Underachievers

02.10.2014     07:56 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Last week I wrote about the four best pointspread teams in the country in college hoops this year – Cleveland State, Villanova, Wichita State and Utah. Between the four, they combined to go 7-1 ATS over the past week, continuing to cover spreads even after doing so consistently for the past three months. In other words, the markets still haven’t caught up with these teams.

This week, I’m taking the opposite approach; examining the very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Why are they so bad against the spread? Will they continue to be money losers as February rolls into March? And what statistical profile do these teams have in common that will help us identify them as early as possible next year? Let’s take a look!

I did a version of this column last year at this same time (second week of February). At that time, the single worst pointspread team in all of college basketball was Indiana-Purdue Indianapolis, abbreviated IUPUI. This year, IUPUI isn’t the single worst pointspread team in college hoops only because they’re tied with South Alabama and LaSalle at the bottom of the ATS Read more


Tags: College Basketball IUPUI Jaugars South Alabama Jaguars UCF Knights Notre Dame Fighting Irish Boston College Eagles Pittsburgh Panthers Purdue Boilermakers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Creighton Bluejays at St. John's Red Storm

02.09.2014     09:38 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Creighton at St. John's +2.5 O/U 143
Recommendation: St. John's


After losing five straight games, including a pair of nail-biters at the end of the slump, St. John's has caught fire. Any opinions on the Steve Lavin era in Queens are incomplete, and, if he has it his way, those thoughts from the peanut gallery will be of a positive nature.

Lavin took over at UCLA for Jim Harrick after his drama led to his pre-Athens demise in 1996-97, leading the Bruins to five consecutive Sweet 16 appearances and six straight Tournament bids before the wheels came off in a disastrous 2002-2003 year that prompted his dismissal.

Lavin, a Gene Keady protégé who paid his dues at Purdue as an assistant from 1988-1991, is in his fourth season at St. John's. He took the Red Storm to the NCAA Tournament for the first time in a decade in his initial campaign in Queens. However, Lavin was diagnosed with prostate cancer the following year and missed most of the 2011-12 campaign, a season in which the Red Storm failed to qualify for the postseason.

Following an NIT bid last year, the pressure was on for the Johnnies coming into Read more


Tags: College Basketball Creighton Bluejays St. John's Red Storm Brian Edwards




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Nebraska Cornhuskers at Northwestern Wildcats

02.08.2014     07:55 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Nebraska at Northwestern -2.5 O/U 119.5
Recommendation: Under


It’s Saturday and that means another opportunity to bet Northwestern under the total. And the bonus is it got played up off of the opener of 117 to 119.5 which to me is crazy. Yes, we aren't getting the value of two weeks ago but based on the projected pace of this game, it'll take quit an effort by both squads – and some help from the refs and perhaps an overtime or two – to top 120 points. We know the Wildcats are super-slow and have played pretty good defense. And let's not forget; Northwestern is an amazing 5-5 in conference play so I doubt they would make dramatic changes mid-season. As for Nebraska, head coach Tim Miles seems to fully understand what is going to take place, "It’s going to be a slow game on Saturday,” Miles said. Well said, Tim. The Cornhuskers don't really have much of an identity – sometimes they play fast, other times they look to Read more


Tags: College Basketball Nebraska Cornhuskers Northwestern Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 2-7-2014

02.07.2014     11:17 AM     Brian Edwards     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Brian Edwards

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
After missing seven straight games with a foot injury, Michigan State senior center Adreian Payne returned Thursday night in an 82-67 home win over Penn State at Breslin Center. Payne scored 12 points, grabbed three rebounds, dished out two assists and blocked one shot in 18 minutes of playing time. However, starting guard Keith Appling couldn't go against PSU due to a wrist injury. Appling, who averages 15.0 points and 4.9 assists per game, is 'questionable' for Sunday's game at Wisconsin. Also, Branden Dawson (hand) remains out and isn't expected to be back until early March.

Florida freshman center Chris Walker made his debut in Tuesday's non-covering home win over Missouri. Walker played only seven minutes, scoring four points with a pair of dunks and two blocked shots. Look for his minutes to gradually increase as he becomes more comfortable with what the Gators are running on both ends of the court.

Minnesota leading scorer Andre Hollins returned from a sprained ankle suffered on Jan. 22 to play in Wednesday's 77-74 overtime loss at Purdue. Hollins had missed back-to-back games (both defeats). He played 36 minutes and finished with eight points, four Read more


Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards




College Basketball Handicapping: ACC pace of play remains slow

02.07.2014     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Article on the slow tempo of ACC play this year. Two-thirds of the league is averaging less than 63 possessions per game and three squads are below 60.


“It’s whatever a coach feels comfortable with,” said North Carolina coach Roy Williams, whose club is the lone ACC representative in the tempo top 20. “I want to play a lot faster than we’re playing right now, it frustrates me that I can’t get us playing faster, yet the other team has a great deal to say about that. When they want to spend more time with shot clock, it does make it difficult. If it’s better players, higher-caliber teams, it’s harder to get them out of their pace.”



ACC Conference Play Tempo - 2014/13
Boston College - 61.1/63.5
Clemson - 58.2/62.0
Duke - 62.5/67.7
Florida State - 61.8/63/3
Georgia Tech - 64.8/67.0
Maryland - 68.2/67.6
Miami - 56.7/64.0
North Carolina  - 68.0/68.8
NC State - 67.5/68.2
Notre Dame - Read more


Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Betting Free Play: St. Mary's Gaels at Loyola Marymount Lions

02.06.2014     12:19 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
St. Mary's -5 at Loyola Marymount
Recommendation: St. Mary's


We’ve got a maximum motivational spot for the road favorite here.  And St. Mary’s is matched up against a home underdog that isn’t playing any defense, has lost whatever limited confidence they have and hasn’t been covering pointspreads all year.

The Gaels hadn’t played on the road in nearly a month when they travelled to San Diego last Thursday. The Toreros slowdown style really frustrated St. Mary’s as they were held to a season low 43 points.  Then BYU went uptempo on St Mary’s on Saturday and blew the Gaels out of the gym – a quality foe at the top of their game.  St. Mary’s is too good to suffer through extended losing streaks in this very mediocre WCC conference; primed to hammer somebody tonight. 

And Max Good’s Lions are an easy team to hammer.  St. Mary’s beat them 89-61 just two weeks ago; dominating the game in every possible way.  The Gaels won both meetings last year by double digit margins as well.  A two game losing streak ensures full focus against a Read more


Tags: College Basketball St. Mary's Gaels Loyola Marymount Lions Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Washington Huskies at Utah Utes

02.06.2014     09:56 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Washington at Utah -9 O/U 141
Recommendation: Utah


I used Utah in a very similar spot two weeks ago as a Sportsmemo free play when they returned home off multiple road losses and responded in a big way by blowing out USC 84-66 as 10.5-point home favorites. They should be sitting on a good effort again as they return home following three straight losses on the highway at Arizona, Arizona State and Colorado. They lost those games by a combined 17 points including a tough OT loss vs. Colorado. The Utes are a dominant 14-1 at home thanks to 50.3% FG and 36.2% from the perimeter. Delon Wright leads the team with 16.1 ppg but Jordan Loveridge and Brandon Taylor are two other viable scoring options. Utah has also performed very well defensively at home holding foes to 40.8% FG and just 31.9% from deep.

Washington is very inconsistent – fully capable of hanging tough with Arizona and beating the likes of Colorado and Oregon but also capable of getting Read more


Tags: College Basketball Washington Huskies Utah Utes Ian Cameron




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Murray State Racers at Belmont Bruins

02.06.2014     07:46 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Murray State at Belmont -6.5 O/U 147.5
Recommendation: Over


I've watched Murray State play on a couple of occasions this season and came away impressed with how aggressive they are offensively. Not only do they push the pace but they put five players on the court that can score a number of ways. The Racers have four guards who shoot between 34 and 41 percent from three and forwards Jarvis Williams and Jonathan Fairell combine to hit over 60% from the floor. Nine games in the OVC season, and Murray is averaging an incredibly efficient 1.16 points per possession. Tonight's opponent, Belmont, scores at an identical clip, and like Murray, the Bruins will look to push the pace as well. Defensively, Belmont and Murray both allowed less than a point per possession last season but have taken a step back. The Bruins allow 1.07 ppp and while Murray ranks at the top of the OVC at 0.99, I don't expect they'll match that number on the road against arguably the best Read more


Tags: College Basketball Belmont Bruins Murray Racers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Georgia tries to snap three-game losing streak vs. LSU

02.06.2014     06:20 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
LSU -2.5 at Georgia O/U 137

After starting SEC play 4-1 (two OT victories), Georgia has lost three straight and according the Mark Fox, lacks confidence and leadership.


“This has never been a group that’s had great confidence, and you have to be mindful of that as a coach,” Fox said. “They’ve also won some big games and beat some good teams this year and they have to be mindful of how that happened. If you look at the mistakes we made last week, some of it was out of our control but some of it was much in our control. I’m really looking at both sides of it and looking at it in a way that gives us a chance to win.”

“With [Kentavious Caldwell-Pope] leaving, who’s the guy that’s going to be your leading scorer? The guy Read more



Tags: College Basketball Georgia Buldogs LSU Tigers




College Basketball Gambling Update: Richmond loses leading scorer Lindsay for season

02.05.2014     01:26 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Bad news for the Richmond Spiders as leading scorer Cedrick Lindsay has been ruled out for the rest of the season with a knee injury. Linsday was one of only two seniors on the roster (fellow senior Derrick Williams left for personal reasons) and led the team in minutes (34.6 per game). The Spiders are 1.5-point home favorites over St. Bonaventure.





College Basketball Gambling Alert: Richmond could be down two senior starters

02.05.2014     07:08 AM     View Original Blog


Read more



Tags: College Basketball Richmond Spiders St. Bonaventure Bonnies



15

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