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December

9

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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers

02.27.2016     08:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Texas A&M -9.5 at Missouri O/U 140.5
Recommendation: Over


I see no quit in the Missouri Tigers despite another season of issues. They sit 10-18 overall and 3-12 in SEC play but have quietly covered six straight games thanks to an uptick in offensive output. The first half of the SEC schedule, Mizzou barely averaged over 60 ppg, including a 53-point output against tonight's opponent Texas A&M. But since then, they've hung 70+ in seven consecutive contests which has in turn resulted in cashed tickets as an underdog and on the over. Efficiency wise, the Tigers are only slightly better than they were two months ago. The increase is scoring actually has more to do with pace as their games have averaged over 70 possessions over their last six games. It's pretty apparent that Kim Anderson is telling his kids to go have fun and play hard. And as silly as it sounds, losing a game 80-70 is probably a lot easier pill to swallow than some of the low scoring, bloodbaths of last season. Scoring and pace however won't be automatics tonight as A&M tends to play slow while also defending at above average level. They have however been willing to play an Read more



Tags: College Basketball Texas A&M Aggies Missouri Tigers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Illinois Fighting Illini

02.16.2016     07:44 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Rutgers at Illinois
Recommendation: First half Under 68


Rutgers, who has struggled to score for much of the season, will be without the Big Ten's top "usage" player in Corey Sanders (suspended). Sanders leads the Scarlet Knights in virtually every offensive statistical category and netted 39 points in the team's triple OT loss to Illinois two weeks ago. It's not just Sanders' point production that will be missed but also a player who dominates the ball throughout the game. I think a lot of Sanders' production is of the de facto variety but his absence will likely be felt. As for Illinois, injuries have become such a problem that the team is now experimenting with Malcolm Hill at point guard. Hill is Illinois' top offensive weapon and rather than playing him off the ball and working to get him shots, he's being asked to run the offense and score. The move didn't exactly pan out on Saturday as Hill failed to reach double-digits for the first time this season and the Illini were held to a season-low 56 at Northwestern. So why did this total get steamed from 141.5 to 145? Well, you have two of the league's worst defenses involved for starters. Read more



Tags: College Basketball Rutgers Scarlet Knights Illinois Fighting Illini Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: UT-Arlington Mavericks at Georgia State Panthers

02.06.2016     08:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UT-Arlington at Georgia State -1 O/U 139.5
Recommendation: Over


Georgia State has talked a lot about finding easier ways to score including the occasional fast break opportunity. It's no doubt been a grind as the Panthers rank 11th in the Sun Belt in offensive efficiency (0.96 ppp). Last time out, they beat Texas State despite failing to crack 60 and prior to that were held to 53 in a road loss at Arkansas-Little Rock. Tonight's opponent, however, serves as an opportunity for GSU to run a little bit and also score some points. UT-Arlington is one of the fastest teams in the country and routinely plays games in the 150's and above. Eight out of their 10 Sun Belt games topped 140 including the first meeting between the two schools as UTA won 85-70 (76 possessions). Thing are a little different this time around as UTA lost Kevin Hervey (18.1 ppg) for the year back in late January. The Mavericks had a "hump up" effort the first game without Hervey as they crushed Arkansas State 91-64. But since then, UTA has dropped four straight and allowed 84.8 ppg in the process. Keep in mind this was a squad that earlier this year held Ohio State to 68 and Read more



Tags: College Basketball UT-Arlington Mavericks Georgia State Panthers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Austin Peay Governors at Southeast Missouri RedHawks

01.30.2016     08:49 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Austin Peay -6 at Southeast Missouri State O/U 142
Recommendation: Under


Southeast Missouri first-year head coach Rick Ray has been through a lot this season. The RedHawks opened 0-10 and then 0-6 in OVC play. He's had to kick a few guys off the team and experiment both offensively and defensively in order to give his kids a chance to compete. Something appears to have clicked as Ray has his squad back to playing man-to-man defense and it's resulted in three straight wins and 61, 60 (OT), and 51 points allowed. The competition of a D2 and two lower-tier OVC squads helped, but it's a lot better than their four previous games in which they allowed 87.3 ppg and were blown out each time. Austin Peay classifies as lower-tier OVC with a 2-6 conference record and the 11th-ranked offensive efficiency. The Governors do defend a little as they held the two best offenses in the OVC, Tennessee Tech and Belmont, to 72 and 76 respectively. That suggests APSU should be able to handle a SEMO offense that ranks 341 nationally in offensive efficiency. In the end, if SEMO plays close to the type of defense it has in its last three games vs. its season-long numbers, Read more



Tags: College Basketball Austin Peay Governors Southeast Missouri RedHawks Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: UCLA Bruins at Oregon State Beavers

01.20.2016     09:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UCLA at Oregon State -2.5 O/U 145
Recommendation: Under


UCLA's schedule through 18 games has been littered with teams that prefer to play with pace or can score at an efficient rate or a combination of both. On the season, the Bruins have faced the 8th toughest schedule in terms of opponent's offensive efficiency. I won't try to portray the Bruins as a good defensive team but tonight should serve as a step down in class as Oregon State's offense has struggled to score at times. And from a situational angle, you would expect both teams to bring effort on the defensive end with this being a very important game as they sit 2-3 in league play. UCLA's Bryce Alford on his team's defense of late: "We go a couple possessions in a row, or even a couple games in a row, where we play pretty decent defense," guard Bryce Alford said. "And then all of a sudden, I don't know what it is, but all of a sudden you have a lot of shutdowns, a lot of places where you break down. And you can't have that." UCLA isn't going to turn into a lock down unit overnight but again, the PAC-12 schedule hasn't been friendly with the Bruins yet to play Cal, Read more



Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Oregon State Beavers Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Houston Cougars at Cincinnati Bearcats

01.13.2016     09:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Houston at Cincinnati -10 O/U 137.5
Recommendation: Under


After dropping its AAC opener to Temple, 77-70, Cincinnati head coach Mike Cronin made it abundantly clear that his team was going to start guarding or else heads were going to roll. In typical Cinci fashion, they responded, and done so in a big way. Over their last three games, the Bearcats have held the opposition to 57, 59, and 51. And one of those games was on the highway against an SMU squad that has hung 80+ on a routine basis this season. Tonight's opponent, Houston, is also getting more defensive of late having allowed 54 ppg in three AAC wins. And for both squads, the pace of their games has slowed considerably with only one of seven contests topping 65 possessions and tonight's posted total of 137.5. Also note that thus far, the AAC ranks near the bottom nationally in free throw rate as we've seen a number of league games have that 2014-15 "feel" to it with low scores and low possessions. And while we use last year's results with a grain of salt, it's worth noting that both meetings failed to top 122 points. Appears that both teams' non-conference results are still Read more



Tags: College Basketball Houston Cougars Cincinnati Bearcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Seton Hall Pirates at Villanova Wildcats

01.06.2016     09:38 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Seton Hall at Villanova
Recommendation: Over 66 1st half


Villanova's offense looked like a well oiled machine in Big East wins over Xavier and Creighton. The Wildcats hit a combined 51-of-64 from two and 19-of-43 from three. They can score from all over the court and have an endless array of offensive weapons. Seton Hall has been serviceable on the offensive end with 83 and 78 point efforts in wins over Marquette and DePaul. Both games also featured a fair amount of pace with 80 and 72 possessions respectively. What I don't buy is any of Seton Hall's defensive numbers as multiple metrics indicate the schedule has been extremely favorable in terms of its opponent's offensive potency. In fact, six of their foes are currently averaging less than a point per possession. The Pirates allowed 1.09 ppp in Big East play last season which means we can put little stock into their current output of 0.94 (32nd nationally). Tonight serves as a massive step up in class considering Villanova ranks sixth in offensive efficiency despite struggling from beyond the arc to start the season. You do have to be concerned about Villanova's ability on the defensive end which Read more



Tags: College Basketball Seton Hall Pirates Villanova Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Montana State Bobcats at Southern Utah Thunderbirds

12.31.2015     09:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Montana State +1.5 at Southern Utah O/U 150
Recommendation: Montana State


Once you get beyond the top three teams in the Big Sky (Weber State, Montana, and Eastern Washington) there is a lot of parity throughout the league. One team that has caught my eye is Montana State who is in its second year under head coach Brian Fish. Last year was a clear rebuild as the Bobcats won only seven games. This year, they've already notched five wins including one over Wyoming and competitive showings against Nebraska-Omaha, North Dakota State and Buffalo. The schedule has been demanding with only two home games and they open league play on the road but should be rested and ready having not played since December 22. Southern Utah took a step forward last year with a respectable 7-11 league record. It's been a struggle this far however (3-8 SU, 1-7 ATS), especially without the services of their best player AJ Hess who missed the last four games and is doubtful for tonight. MSU's backcourt looks pretty strong with the addition of freshman Tyler Hall. MSU is shooting 38% from three as a team which bodes well against a very weak SUU defense (58% eFG, 345th nationally). Read more



Tags: College Basketball Montana State Bobcats Southern Utah Thunderbirds Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Old Dominion Monarchs at Richmond Spiders

12.16.2015     08:58 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Old Dominion at Richmond -4 O/U 134.5
Recommendation: Under


Richmond's schedule thus far has been littered with weak teams, poor defensive teams, and teams willing to push the pace. It's the reason why the Spiders' offensive numbers look really strong (1.10 ppg, 31st nationally). But in-state rival Old Dominion is the complete opposite. The Monarchs play slow, can't score, and rely heavily on their defense to stick around in games. In fact, only one ODU game this season has topped 135 points (vs. VCU). And while Richmond has scored plenty of points, they've also shown they can be held in check as they scored 59 vs. West Virginia and 56 vs. Florida. Old Dominion may not have that level of defensive acumen, but when you throw in its desire to slow the pace (349th nationally pace) it's reasonable to think Richmond will be held under 70 points. While you can only put so much stock into previous meetings due to various rule changes, last year's meeting was a grinder with ODU winning 63-57 on only 59 possessions. I think this will have more of a conference game feel to it as we step in with a play on the under.




Tags: College Basketball Old Dominion Monarchs Richmond Spiders Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Manhattan Jaspers at Memphis Tigers

12.12.2015     08:57 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Manhattan at Memphis
Recommendation:
Over 69.5 1st half

Manhattan is a total mess with various departures and injuries. Head coach Steve Masiello has been very candid about not really caring about what happens during the regular season so long as his team peaks come MAAC tournament time. The Jaspers are 1-6 and have allowed 80+ on four occasions. They press, play fast, and can't defend which isn't an ideal profile for a road game at Memphis. The Tigers have exceeded expectations thus far with solid wins over Ohio State and Louisiana Tech. Their two losses (Oklahoma and UTA) are nothing to be ashamed about either. Their shooting has a tendency to be hit or miss (a lot) but considering Manhattan's defensive numbers (56.9% eFG) and propensity to foul, the Tigers should have their way on the offensive end tonight. And speaking of fouls, that's going to be a huge factor in this game. Memphis' offense is predicated on driving and getting to the free throw line. Manhattan meanwhile fouls like crazy as its opponents score 28% of their points from the charity stripe. This is going to be an ugly one to watch but there should be some pace to it. Always the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Manhattan Jaspers Memphis Tigers Andrew Lange



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