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College Basketball Handicapping: Michigan State with strong track record off of a loss

02.20.2014     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Michigan State -5 at Purdue O/U 140

For the last month, Michigan State has traded off wins and losses as it enters tonight's game at Purdue off a 60-51 home defeat vs. Nebraska. Over the last two regular seasons, the Spartans are 10-2 SU, 8-3 ATS (one game was not lined) off of a loss. MSU has also been a beast on the road, covering seven of its last eight contests. Keith Appling was expected to miss extended time but played 19 minutes against the Cornhuskers. He's reportedly good to go for tonight.

“I have five Big Ten games left in my final go-round as a Spartan,” he said, “and I plan on playing in all five of them.”

“You have to act like you have on

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Purdue Boilermakers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans

02.13.2014     12:11 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Northwestern at Michigan State -14 O/U 119.5
Recommendation: Under

Thanks to a big push towards the over I see no reason not to play Northwestern under the total...again. In listening to Chris Collins, it is clear the Wildcats have zero depth and as a result must slow down the pace of the game and focus nearly all of their attention on playing defense and keeping the game close. Offensively, Northwestern has topped a point per possession once in Big Ten play whereas they've failed to top 0.90 in 8 out of 11 games. On the road against arguably the best defense in the league, it'll be a struggle to top 50 points. Michigan State meanwhile has had its issues offensively due to injuries. Tom Izzo noted that the team's desire to push the pace has been hampered because of not being able to play with the ideal personnel. The first meeting featured 94 points and 54 possessions. Even with drastic improvement on a number of fronts, topping 120 will be Read more

Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Michigan State Spartans Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: Michigan State says guarding Northwestern will be easier

01.15.2014     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Near jubilation was the mood for Michigan State when asked about preparing for Northwestern. Multiple Spartans talked about their hatred of having to defend the Princeton offense which the Wildcats run very little of under first-year head coach Chris Collins. In the previous two meetings, Northwestern posted 1.11 and 1.25 points per possession. This year's Wildcats haven't sniffed that mark since mid-December – they won 49-43 (0.83 ppp) last time out against Illinois. Note that MSU big man Adreian Payne was downgraded to doubtful for tonight's game.

"I had to guard it last year as a freshman and I hated it," shooting guard Gary Harris said. "I'm glad they got that out of there, it's a lot easier for us, not so frantic."

"I'm definitely happy (that the Princeton offense) is gone because it would have been tough trying to guard our scout team. They always do a great job when it comes to being

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Northwestern Wildcats

NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Duke dispatches Sparty, Florida sends Cinderella packing

03.30.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

The first half of Duke/Michigan State went pretty much the way you would expect. Duke had to hit treys to compete. Seth Curry was 6 of 7 all by himself in the first 20 minutes. Michigan State dominated the inside. Duke led thanks to their big edge in treys.

In the second half, Duke played very good inside defense while Michigan State kept forcing up bad shots. That led to a 13 minute dry spell that saw the Spartans only make one field goal from about 17 minutes left to about 4 minutes left. Academic after that. I usually blast Duke’s inside defense. They really did a good job here of blocking shots and denying good looks when it mattered down the stretch.

Duke 71, Michigan State 61

2-Point Percentage: Michigan State 45%, Duke 42%

3-Point Shooting: Michigan State 3/12, Duke 7/18

Free Throws: Michigan State 18/24, Duke 24/26

1’s and 2’s: Michigan State 52, Duke 50

Rebounds: Michigan State 33, Duke Read more

Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Michigan State Spartans Florida Gators Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Stat Intelligence

NCAA Tournament Betting: Duke faces Michigan State in Sweet Sixteen

03.28.2013     07:57 AM     ER Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ER Sports blog entry.
Michigan State vs. Duke -2 O/U 134

An out of conference rivalry will be renewed Friday night as Duke and head coach Mike Krzyzewski challenge Michigan State and Tom Izzo.  Much will be made about Izzo’s 1-6 record against Coach K but I view that “trend” as mostly meaningless in this particular matchup.  Last weekend’s efforts were much more impressive for Duke than Michigan State.  Despite foul trouble, the Blue Devils took care of business by cruising past Creighton, 66-50.  Creighton was one of the more impressive teams in the tournament – extremely well-coached and prepared – so I give Duke credit for holding the Blue Jays to 50 points. 

Meanwhile, the Spartans roughing up Memphis in their backyard was hard to take seriously.  Memphis once again played scatterbrained basketball and head coach in Josh Pastner was up against it to put it kindly.  Of course, the referees let Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Duke Blue Devils Erin Rynning

NCAA Tournament Betting Recap: Michigan State, Butler More Dominant Than Final Scores

03.22.2013     06:38 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Michigan State crushed Valparaiso in Thursday’s first finisher. But, the final victory margin of 11 points doesn’t tell the story. Michigan State led 32-12 in the first half, 49-22 in the second half, and still by 21 with 2:17 left. Butler actually had the larger victory margin in their 12-point win over Bucknell. They had to surge late to get there…but that was only because they were a horrible 2 of 16 on treys until making their last bomb.

Starter vs. starter, superiority was pretty clear for both favorites…

Michigan State 65, Valparaiso 54

2-Point Percentage: Valparaiso 41%, Michigan St. 47%

3-Point Shooting: Valparaiso 7/25, Michigan St. 6/15

Free Throws: Valparaiso 9/14, Michigan St. 7/11

1’s and 2’s: Valparaiso 33, Michigan St. 47

Rebounds: Valparaiso 20, Michigan St. 44

Turnovers: Valparaiso 7, Michigan St. 17

(Valpo 65 in Kenpom, 67 in Sagarin, 61 in Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Butler Bulldogs Stat Intelligence

For bettors, 2012-12 College Basketball season tips off in less than an hour

11.09.2012     01:39 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Technically, the 2012-13 college basketball season has already officially started (IUPUI cruised past Utah Valley!) but the big boys – the games we can bet on – are set to tip-off in about an hour. And rather than make it easy on bettors, we're stuck with trying to handicap a game being played at military base in Germany and another on an aircraft carrier.

Michigan State-UConn gets underway at 2:30 pm PT at Ramstein Air Force Base in Reinland, Germany. The Spartans saw the early money as they lined climbed to -8.5 but some buy-back has it settled in at -7.5/-7. According to Bookmaker, 60% of bets have been placed on Sparty while 65% are on the UNDER.

At 4 pm PT, Ohio State hooks up with Marquette on the deck of the USS Yorktown in Charleston, South Carolina. Temperatures expect to be in the low 60's with little to no wind. The Buckeyes opened -5, were bet up to -7, and are currently -6/-6.5. The total was smoked down from 139.5 to 131.5.

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans UConn Huskies Ohio State Buckeyes Marquette Golden Eagles

Sweet Sixteen Betting Notes: Louisville wants fast pace against Michigan State

03.22.2012     07:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Louisville vs. Michigan State -5 O/U 125

Louisville is once again saying it wants to push the pace against Michigan State. The Cardinals have been all over the board this postseason in terms of its possessions per game. In the second round of the Big East Tournament, they played to 83 possessions against Marquette but turned right around and played 56 and 59 possessions against Notre Dame and Cincinnati. In the first round against Davidson, there were 67 possessions while only 58 in the win over New Mexico. The other issue with playing Louisville over the total is that while the pace may be there, the shooting and scoring may not. They've averaged over a point per possession in only four of their last 10 games.

So it's good that everybody is coming back, getting healthier.  Everybody just said that we had to play a new style of basketball.  We

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Michigan State Spartans

NCAA Tournament Free Pick: Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.18.2012     10:51 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Saint Louis +7.5 vs. Michigan State O/U 124
Recommendation: Saint Louis

Michigan State is top-tier team, but I believe they are in for a tough one today. Their superior defense can be matched by a Saint Louis stop unit that requires patience, precision passing and careful ball handling. Lower-scoring game expected with Michigan State allowing just 59 ppg on 38% shooting and 29% from the three-point line.  The Billikens allowed just 59 ppg in A-10 play and after watching our outright underdog winner on SLU over red-hot Memphis you have to be impressed with their ability to dictate tempo and play defense. Saint Louis holds opponents to a low offensive rebounding rate (28%) which is a great match-up against the Spartans’ strength on the boards. Point guard Kwamain Mitchell gives them a premier floor leader, ball handler and passer who can score. Add in some solid outside shooters to a tough team and the Billikens are capable of taking this one to the wire.

Fairway Jay is a recognized leader and one of the sports industries insightful point spread prognosticators. His top-rated Big Drive CBB selections hit over 55% this season on Read more

Tags: College Basketball Saint Louis Billikens Michigan State Spartans __

NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.16.2012     07:44 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
LIU Brooklyn vs. Michigan State -19.5 O/U 154
Recommendation: LIU-Brooklyn

The Big Ten’s second best delivered a Fairway forecast winner on these pages Thursday when Ohio State pulled through as a big favorite over Loyola-MD. Now the Big Ten’s best is asked to win big for their betting backers as the Midwest Region’s top seed. Michigan State (27-7) has had a magical season as co-Big Ten champs and conference tournament champions. They are a together team with a star senior leader in Draymond Green inside and a quick, dynamic point guard in Keith Appling. As usual, the Spartans are one of the nation’s top rebounding teams and play superior defense under head coach Tom Izzo. Following a buzzer beater by Ohio State to beat Michigan State in their regular season finale 12 days ago, the Spartans swept through the Big Ten tournament to beat the Buckeyes in the championship game five days ago. That redemption game for all the marbles Read more

Tags: College Basketball LIU-Brooklyn Blackbirds Michigan State Spartans __


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