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Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Betting Conference Tournaments

03.10.2014     07:33 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
The Big Dance gets all the headlines; all the media attention.  And it makes sense why that happens.  College basketball is way too big for the average fan.  More than 350 teams in more than 30 conferences are simply too much for non-hardcore hoops aficionados to handle.
And then there’s the bracket factor.  The entire country fills out brackets.  They’re easy to fill out, the seedings make sense to Joe Public, and after the first round, most of the obscure teams are gone.  Those obscure teams that survive are now public darlings, Cinderella stories that casual fans can understand and follow.

Forget fans – I’m no casual fan, and if you’re reading this, you probably aren’t either.  We’re sports bettors.  And for serious college basketball bettors, there’s absolutely no comparison between this week and next week.  This week, we’ve got dozens of Little Dances, the conference tournaments that are a sports bettors dream.  Next week, for the Big Dance, it’s still a betting bonanza, but not quite as good.  Here are my Top 6 reasons why.

More Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Penn State Nittany Lions at Minnesota Golden Gophers

03.09.2014     08:28 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Penn State +7 at Minnesota O/U 136.5
Recommendation: Penn State

Is Minnesota downright desperate for a victory today against Penn State? You damn right it is. Does desperation translate into success? Negative. Minnesota is going in the wrong direction. Richard Pitino's team has lost seven of its last 10 games, making a victory at The Barn tonight vs. PSU an absolute must. Not only that, but then the Gophers are going to most likely need a pair of wins at next week's Big Ten Tournament in order to feel good about their chances of earning an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament.

Penn State is playing solid basketball right now, covering the number in each of its last three games. The Nittany Lions have won outright in three of their last five road assignments, including a 59-32 win at Northwestern on Thursday night. PSU probably has the most underrated backcourt in the country. Coming off a torn ACL last season, senior point guard Tim Frazier has enjoyed another stellar campaign to cap off what has been an outstanding collegiate career. Frazier has scored in double figures in nine consecutive games. The fifth-year senior is averaging 15.6 Read more

Tags: College Basketball Penn State Nittany Lions Minnesota Golden Gophers Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue Boilermakers

03.09.2014     07:52 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Northwestern at Purdue -9 O/U 123
Recommendation: Purdue

Purdue has played a brutal slate down the stretch facing what could very well be five NCAA Tournament bound squads – three of those five contests on the road. The Boilers haven't quit either, losing to Michigan in overtime, Iowa by single digits in Iowa City, and by six up in Madison on Wednesday. No question Matt Painter and the team are frustrated but today marks a great opportunity to feel good for a change. Not much of any motivation for the Northwestern side as it limps into this contest short on bodies and scoring ability. We saw the fatigue of the season and the loss of JerShon Cobb really play out in Thursday's embarrassing 59-32 loss to Penn State. Today is a situation that if the Wildcats get down there is simply no reason to put up much of a fight with the Big Ten Tournament just around the corner. Also note that in the first meeting between these teams, Purdue had the game won not once, but twice, but managed to lose in double OT. It's been that kind of season for the Boilermakers but I feel that they are sitting on a solid showing today. As with all Northwestern games, the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona Wildcats at Oregon Ducks

03.08.2014     07:21 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Arizona at Oregon +3 O/U 139.5
Recommendation: Oregon

This season ending matchup looks like an interesting one, and has completely different levels of importance to its competitors. For Arizona the result here means very little. At 28-2 the Wildcats are a likely #1 seed in the NCAA tournament and long ago wrapped up the regular season PAC-12 title. There is very little for them to gain or lose today. For Oregon, however, this could be a huge win for the revitalized Ducks. After opening the conference slate with a win over Utah back in January, Oregon dropped 8 of its next 10 games and looked like they were going to miss the Big Dance. However, they have turned it around and won their past six games, putting them at 9-8 in conference play and 21-8 overall. They could very easily be 13-4 in conference play as four losses were by exactly two points, including a 67-65 loss at Arizona on February 6th. A win here would solidify their position in the NCAA tourney and move them in contention for a 6th seed or better depending on how they fare in the PAC-12 Tournament. Three points here could be huge given Oregon's history of close losses, but I wouldn't be Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona Wildcats Oregon Ducks Brent Crow

College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 3-7-2014

03.07.2014     02:45 PM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Syracuse has lost four of its last five games and don’t forget, it nearly lost the two games preceding this five-game slump. The Orange needed miracle plays in the waning seconds to win at Pitt (on Tyler Ennis's buzzer beater) and at home vs. NC State. Jim Boeheim's team travels to Tallahassee on Sunday to face a Florida State team that's on  the bubble and in dire need of a victory. Will starting power forward Jerami Grant be able to go against the Seminoles? As of late Friday afternoon, Grant remained 'questionable' due to a back injury. He was unable to play in this week's home loss to Georgia Tech. Grant averages 11.8 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.

Kansas will play without freshman center Joel Embiid for a second straight game Saturday at West Virginia. Embiid is resting back and knee injuries in hopes of getting back to 100 percent before next week's Big 12 Tournament. Embiid averages 11.2 points, 8.1 rebounds and 2.6 blocked shots per game. The Jayhawks covered the spread without their shot blocker in Wednesday's blowout win over Texas Tech.

Texas center Jonathan Holmes (13.2 PPG) rested a sore knee during Wednesday's 66-54 non-covering win Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting: Bubble teams wrap up regular season play

03.07.2014     08:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick look at some of the NCAA Tournament "bubble teams" and where they are playing this weekend.

Oregon (21-8, 9-8) vs. Arizona
BYU (21-10, 13-5) WCC Tournament TBA
Xavier (20-11, 10-8) Big East Tournament TBA
Saint Joe's (21-8, 11-4) vs. LaSalle
Arkansas (21-9, 10-7) at Alabama
Tennessee (19-11, 10-7) vs. Missouri
Dayton (21-9, 9-6) vs. Richmond
Nebraska (18-11, 10-7) vs. Wisconsin
California (18-12, 9-8) vs. Colorado
Providence (20-10, 10-7) at Creighton
Minnesota (18-12, 7-10) vs. Penn State
Florida State (18-11, 9-8) vs. Syracuse
Missouri (21-9, 9-8) at Tennessee
St. John's (19-11, 9-8) at Marquette
Georgetown (17-12, 8-9) at Villanova
Louisiana Tech (25-6, 13-3) C-USA Tournament TBA
Utah (20-9, 9-8) at Stanford

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Gambling Update: Three tournament spots up for grabs in Big Sky

03.07.2014     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly

Update on all of the Big Sky Conference Tournament scenarios for Saturday. As mentioned, seven teams will make it, and four are already in (Weber State, Montana, North Dakota, and Northern Arizona). That leaves three spots available for the five teams currently 10-9 or 9-10. Here's a link to what each team needs to do to get in. Also, we have to make mention of how crazy the conference slate is: 20 games in a low budget league that is spread out over three time zones. Seems a little ridiculous.

College Basketball Gambling: Thursday's Big Sky games have huge postseason implications

03.05.2014     08:55 AM     Read more

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Gambling: Mid-major conference tournament champion probabilities

03.06.2014     10:48 AM     Printer Friendly
Here are Ken Pomeroy's conference tournament champion probabilities for some of the boarded mid-major conferences. We listed the top three in each league. For all the numbers, click here.

Towson 33.5%
Delaware 30.2%
Drexel 17.8%

Davidson 47.0%
Wofford 21.3%
Elon 13.4%

West Coast
Gonzaga 48.5%
BYU 23.2%
Saint Mary's 11.3%

Manhattan 34.7%
Iona 32.1%
Canisius 13.9%

Missouri Valley
Wichita State 78.0%
Northern Iowa 8.1%
Indiana State 6.4%

Belmont 53.1%
Murray State 20.1%
Eastern Kentucky 16.6%

Horizon League
Green Bay 68.7%
Cleveland State 22.7%
Wright State 4.7%

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Bradley Braves

03.06.2014     10:04 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Loyola-Chicago vs. Bradley
Recommendation: Bradley

The Missouri Valley Conference Tournament tips off tonight with a pair of first round matchups and this one stands out like a sore thumb. Bradley dominated Loyola-Chicago in both regular season meetings with wins by 17 at home and by 9 on the road. The Ramblers won only four conference games and that is a hard track record to trust in this type of price range. Porter Moser's squad lost six games in a row to close out the regular season while struggling on both ends of the floor: 63.9 ppg and allowed 68.4 ppg. The problem for Loyola most of the season is they heavily rely on the duo of freshman guard Milton Doyle (15.1 ppg, 3.5 apg) and junior Christian Thomas (13.5 ppg, 6.4 rpg). Doyle unfortunately has hit on only one of his last 12 attempts from beyond the arc. Loyola's lack of depth at the forward position has hurt them on the glass where they rank second last in MVC play in rebounding margin (-2.2) and have the worst turnover margin (-2.78) in conference games.  On the flip side, Bradley wasn’t much better but the Braves have arguably the best player on the court in senior guard Walt Read more

Tags: College Basketball Loyola-Chicago Ramblers Bradley Braves Ian Cameron

College Basketball Handicapping: Michigan State seeks former mojo vs. Iowa

03.06.2014     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Iowa at Michigan State -5 O/U 148.5

Losers of six of its last 10, Michigan State head coach Tom Izzo is calling for two-a-day practices to make up for all of the lost time due to injuries. Tonight's game against Iowa marks Senior Night for Adreian Payne and Keith Appling. The Spartans were as cheap as -3.5 last night but have since been bet up to -5 at most offshore sportsbooks.

"It sounds brutal, and someone will read it and say, 'What is this idiot doing?' but we've missed 150 (collective) practices," Izzo said. "We've got to make up for it somehow."

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes


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