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College Basketball Handicapping: Scoring up over 6% thanks to fouls, free throws

11.12.2013     07:28 AM     Printer Friendly
Ken Pomeroy gave us the low-down on the statistical changes in college basketball through Sunday's games. It looks like the NCAA is getting what it wants – more scoring. But as Pomeroy points out most of it is coming from free throws.



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Gambling: Behold! The Niagara-Seton Hall box score...

11.11.2013     08:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The box score of the Niagara-Seton Hall game from Saturday is probably a little extreme but one that bettors should be prepared to endure more of moving forward thanks to the new rule changes.

Here are a couple of noteworthy stats...

- With 16:05 left in the first half, Niagara was in the bonus.

- Five players fouled out.

- There were 72 fouls committed.

- There were 102 free throw attempts.

- Both teams combined to shoot 4-of-26 from 3-point range.

- Both teams combined for less than a point per possession and yet there were 155 points.

- Two players, Niagara's Antoine Mason and Seton Hall's Sterling Gibbs, combined to shoot 43 free throws. Note that two years ago Gibbs played about 225 minutes at Texas and attempted only 22 free throws. Against Niagara he played 32 minutes and took 23 free throws.




Tags: College Basketball Niagara Purple Eagles Seton Hall Pirates




College Basketball Betting Free Play: UW-Milwaukee Panthers at Davidson Wildcats

11.11.2013     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UW-Milwaukee at Davidson -12.5
Recommendation: Davidson


One of the lone highlights for UW-Milwaukee last year was its improbable home win over Davidson. The spots wasn't ideal for the Wildcats after losing a hard fought game at New Mexico and a high profile tournament in Florida on deck. It wasn't the type of loss that has Davidson salivating for revenge but certainly one they remember. Also adding to the situation is Friday's 111-77 loss at Duke. Davidson had to reload somewhat during the offseason but returns a lot of experience. Obviously a tough spot for former secondary/role players to step in and thrive. It is a result that I put little stock in. I get the sense that the UWM program is probably in the twilight of the Rob Jeter era. As mentioned, last year's win over Davidson was one of only eight victories – and only one came away from home; a 95-88 double OT triumph over IUPUI who went 6-26. The Panthers return only one proven player (Jordan Aaron, 14.4 ppg LY) and are relying on former role players and transfers. Davidson lost three key players but also return four seniors who have starting experience. And the Wildcats have had no Read more


Tags: College Basketball UW-Milwaukee Panthers Davidson Wildcats Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Florida International Panthers vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels

11.08.2013     08:22 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida International vs. Eastern Kentucky -5 (at Kennesaw, Ga.)
Recommendation: Eastern Kentucky


Despite losing head coach Richard Pitino and three starters it looks as if Florida International has enough talent to compete in C-USA. But as with a lot of teams that suffer offseason turnover (and in FIU's case postseason ineligibility), it is going to take some time. They draw a tough first game matchup against a very seasoned and difficult to prepare for Eastern Kentucky squad. Head coach Jeff Neubauer has a reputation of doing less with more but decided last season that he was going to bring in some speed and athleticism. He did just that an EKU won 25 games including 12-4 in OVC play. The Colonels return four starters from that group – the lone loss was all-league point guard Mike DiNunno but Neubauer is reportedly going to use senior Glen Cosey (15.2 ppg) and a JC recruit as the team's primary ball handlers. Overall, EKU is a veteran club that is extremely efficient (55% 2s, 35% 3s, 78% FTs) and with the influx of athletes runs a very aggressive 1-3-1 zone (6th nationally in TO rate last year). In the grand scheme of things, Eastern probably Read more


Tags: College Basketball Florida International Panthers Eastern Kentucky Colonels Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: New rules in place to increase scoring

11.06.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Good article on college basketball's new emphasis on hand-checking. Scoring (67.5 ppg) was at its lowest since 1982 so referees have been told to pretty much call all physical contact on the perimeter. This in theory will obviously lead to a lot more fouls (especially early on while everyone tries to adjust) which will result in more free throws and thus more points. The biggest complaint from coaches – most of which from the bigger, more physical power conferences – is that games are now going to be even uglier and longer than before. Imagine for a second a Louisville-Cincinnati matchup. Yikes.


Here's Oklahoma coach Lon Kruger's prediction for early season games: "Tons of fouls, a lot of free throws, long, ugly games. Hopefully fans can prepare for that. It is going to be frustrating."

"They don't want a great 57-52 game, hard played, competitive. They want an 86-82 game. Do they want to watch that garbage for four-and-a-half hours? Do they want to do that by shooting 70 free throws?  People don't want to watch free-throw Read more



Tags: College Basketball




Auburn basketball player arrested for point shaving

06.04.2013     02:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It has been over a year since we last heard about Auburn guard Varez Ward's alleged point shaving scheme. Turns out Ward was arrested on Monday for bribery. The game in question was against Arkansas back on Jan. 25 of the 2011-12 season. Auburn covered as a +9.5 underdog in the 56-53 loss but the "fix" was reportedly to make sure the Tigers lost the game straight up -- Ward only played 19 seconds. According to CRIS's moneyline history, Arkansas opened -550 and closed -500 which suggest that the operation was local and/or took place using off-screen sportsbooks.


"Watching sports should be entertaining," said Beck, who praised Auburn for its cooperation. "We want the outcome of the game to be based on talent and hard work, not some off-field, back-room deal. Fixing games not only hurts teammates, but hurts the fans and all viewing public."






Tags: College Basketball Auburn Tigers




NCAA Championship Betting Update: More sportsbooks report heavy action on Michigan

04.08.2013     01:07 PM     Printer Friendly
UPDATE

Here's a few more updates on what the betting community is doing for tonight's NCAA Championship. Looks like a majority of bettors at South Point, BetOnline, and Sports Interaction are all lined up on Michigan plus the points.


Covers.com ‏@Covers 1m
"We are expecting Michigan money all afternoon,” -Bert Osborne, South Point sportsbook in Las Vegas.

Dave Mason ‏@DaveMasonBOL 10m
62% of the money is on Michigan +4 tonight vs Louisville.

Sports Interaction ‏@SIASport 4h
Our oddsmakers say bettors on piling on Michigan at +4.0. Action was with Louisville, now 3-2 for UM 








NCAA Tournament Gambling: Bettors prefer Michigan and the OVER for title game

04.08.2013     07:31 AM     Read more


Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Louisville Cardinals




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Bettors prefer Michigan and the OVER for title game

04.08.2013     07:31 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Michigan vs. Louisville -4 O/U 138

Here are the consensus bets for tonight's NCAA Championship according to Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Side
Michigan +3.5 - 53.2%

Moneyline
Michigan +160 - 72.3%

Total
Michigan-Louisville OVER 138 - 65.6%




Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Louisville Cardinals




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Consensus bets for Saturday's Final Four

04.05.2013     11:56 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are the consensus bets for Saturday's Final Four according to Bookmaker. Note that the percentages represent the number of bets (not total handle) placed on each given wager.

Sides
Michigan -2 - 52.8%
Louisville -10.5 - 50.2%

Moneyline
Syracuse +120 - 64.4%
Wichita State +525 - 63.6%

Totals
Wichita-Louisville OVER 132.5 - 85.9%
Michigan-Syracuse UNDER 130.5 - 63.8%



Tags: College Basketball Wichita State Shockers Louisville Cardinals Syracuse Orange Michigan Wolverines




College Basketball Gambling: Bettors flock toward Iowa for NIT Championship

04.04.2013     01:00 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Iowa -2.5 vs. Baylor O/U 142

Ride ‘em while they’re hot is what the betting markets are saying as the Iowa Hawkeyes have gone from 1-point favorites to -2.5 for tonight’s NIT Championship vs. Baylor. The Hawkeyes sport the nation’s best against the spread record at 24-9 and enter tonight’s contest having covered ten straight. According to Bookmaker, 69.3% of bets have been place on Iowa, while 79.1% were placed on the OVER. Note also that total opened 139 and was bet up to 142.



Tags: College Basketball Iowa Hawkeyes Baylor Bears



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