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February

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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Rob Veno's Power Ratings

03.17.2014     12:03 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

Below are Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's Power Ratings for the Thursday and Friday's NCAA Tournament games.

Date - Matchup

3/20 Dayton 
3/20 Ohio State -5.5

3/20 Western Michigan 
3/20 Syracuse Read more



Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Regional Future Odds

03.17.2014     11:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are The Greek's regional future odds for the upcoming NCAA Tournament. For bettors using offscreen sportsbooks, we recommend comparing lines and shopping around to ensure you are getting at least a decent amount of value. Some sportsbooks don't like to put themselves at risk with futures and will often offer very poor odds.

East
Michigan State +200
Virginia +200
Villanova +350
Iowa State +600
North Carolina +1200
Cincinnati +1800
UConn +1800

Midwest
Louisville +125
Duke +300
Wichita State +400
Michigan +650
Kentucky +800

South
Florida +125
Kansas +300
Syracuse +450
UCLA +800
Ohio State +1000
VCU +1500
New Mexico +1650

West
Arizona +175
Wisconsin +300
Creighton +400
San Diego State +650
Oklahoma State +800
Baylor +1200
Oregon +1200
Oklahoma +1500




Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Selection committee causes uproar in betting community

03.17.2014     11:44 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
No shock to see various oddsmakers question what the hell the NCAA selection committee was thinking when put together this year's shindig.


“That’s probably the hardest bracket I’ve ever seen in my whole life,” said Ed Salmons, assistant sports book director at the LVH Superbook who oversees college basketball. “It was a comedy show to watch all the teams they stacked that Wichita State would have to beat to get to the Final Four. It was over-the-top insane.”

“I just let people bet them all year, and they just kept doing it,” Salmons said of the Shockers. “It adds up. I finally lowered them to 10-to-1 but when I saw this region come out, I had to up them. Their true odds of winning this thing would have to be close to 100-to-1.”







Tags: College Basketball




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: An early look at the Field of 68

03.17.2014     08:16 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
We’ve got brackets to break down! I’ll offer a quick take on the 28 matchups already set for Thursday and Friday. Games are listed in rotation order.

The A-10 got a handful of mediocre teams like Dayton into the NCAA Tournament mix, but the Flyers will certainly be looking forward to a matchup against an Ohio State team that has repeatedly avoided them in non-conference play. The Buckeyes enter the tourney on an 0-6 ATS run; just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 tries as chalk.

Syracuse, too, was a pointspread disaster area down the stretch, cashing only one winning bet in their last eight ballgames. But Western Michigan’s only win against an NCAA Tournament team came on the opening night of the season, back on November 8th, when they beat New Mexico State.

Phil Martelli’s Saint Joseph’s team hasn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2004, when Jameer Nelson and Delonte West were his starting guards. UConn is a Top 10 team for free throw shooting percentage; always key in this ‘short favorite’ pointspread Read more



Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Initial thoughts on the Midwest Region

03.17.2014     07:59 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament field is set and like most bettors, Sunday night is spent skimming through the first round matchups and forming initial thoughts and opinions. Keep in mind that a lot can change leading up to the start of the tournament – most notably where oddsmakers set the lines and where the betting markets drives said lines. For Monday's blog, I'll share my initial thoughts and opinions with our readers on all four regions.

Midwest
The Midwest features three of the four play-in winners with Cal Poly/Texas Southern taking on no. 1 seed Wichita State, Xavier-NC State vs. Saint Louis, and Iowa-Tennessee vs. UMass... I think it helps Kansas State that it got bounced in the first round of the Big XII Tournament whereas Kentucky played three games in three days and expended a ton of energy in the 61-60 SEC title game loss vs. Florida... No clue on who will emerge out of the three-team pod of SLU/NC State/Xavier. The Billikens seem a bit overrated and have trouble scoring at times, NC State is ultra-young, and Xavier is as flighty as they come... Of course the selection committee was going to pit a former Louisville assistant up against the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Initial thoughts on the West Region

03.17.2014     07:56 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament field is set and like most bettors, Sunday night is spent skimming through the first round matchups and forming initial thoughts and opinions. Keep in mind that a lot can change leading up to the start of the tournament – most notably where oddsmakers set the lines and where the betting markets drives said lines. For Monday's blog, I'll share my initial thoughts and opinions with our readers on all four regions.

West
As much as I love the Big Sky I can't even recall the last time they were competitive in the Big Dance. Weber State hasn't faced a defense even remotely close to that of Arizona. The closest was UCLA who trucked Weber, 83-60, in Los Angeles... I just got done looking at Gonzaga's resume and man, they didn't beat anyone. They lost to tournament teams Dayton, Kansas State, and Memphis and went 2-1 vs. a so-so BYU squad. That said, Mark Few vs. Travis Ford is a mismatch. I seem to remember Dana Altman and Oregon running OSU off the court in last year's tourney... Tough matchup for Oklahoma's young squad having to take on very experienced and talented North Dakota State. The Sooners losing in the first round of the Read more



Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Initial thoughts on the East Region

03.17.2014     07:53 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament field is set and like most bettors, Sunday night is spent skimming through the first round matchups and forming initial thoughts and opinions. Keep in mind that a lot can change leading up to the start of the tournament – most notably where oddsmakers set the lines and where the betting markets drives said lines. For Monday's blog, I'll share my initial thoughts and opinions with our readers on all four regions.

East
Gotta be able to score at an efficient rate to compete with Virginia and first round opponent Coastal Carolina is one of the few teams in the tournament to average less than a point per possession (0.97). Pretty good blueprint of what to expect with Coastal losing to Clemson, 69-40... If you bet the Memphis-George Washington game, expect more than few missed free throws with both teams at 65% on the season... Harvard isn't your typical Ivy League team in that the Crimson has some decent athletes. They were only -2 in rebounding vs. UConn but shot 11-of-34, 32% from 2-point in the 61-56 loss... Delaware competed well against Villanova (84-80 loss), Notre Dame (80-75 loss) and Ohio State (76-64 loss). The Blue Read more



Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Initial thoughts on the South Region

03.17.2014     07:50 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
The NCAA Tournament field is set and like most bettors, Sunday night is spent skimming through the first round matchups and forming initial thoughts and opinions. Keep in mind that a lot can change leading up to the start of the tournament – most notably where oddsmakers set the lines and where the betting markets drives said lines. For Monday's blog, I'll share my initial thoughts and opinions with our readers on all four regions.

South
No surprise to see Florida earn the no. 1 seed and get to play just down the road in Orlando... Always funny to see the difference power ratings bettors use vs. the criteria of the selection committee with Colorado, a no. 8 seed and ranked 55th (Sagarin) and 64th (Ken Pom) vs. Pitt, a no. 9 seed (20th (Sagarin) and 18th (Ken Pom)... Obviously going to look at turnovers with games involving VCU. The Rams' first round foe, Stephen F. Austin, not only has a respectable turnover rate (16.8) but the Lumberjacks actually forced turnovers at a higher rate (24.1) in conference play than VCU (23.1) – albeit against the rather weak competition of the Southland... Pointless to look at Tulsa’s entire body of Read more



Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators

03.16.2014     08:20 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Kentucky vs. Florida -6.5 O/U 130
Recommendation: Florida


Florida has never beaten Kentucky three times in the same season but they’ll have chance to do so at this afternoon’s SEC Championship. It would be yet another record-breaking accomplishment for this senior-laden squad that has its eyes on the prize after coming up short of the Final Four with defeats in three straight Elite Eight appearances. UF has been sloppy in the first half of both of its SEC Tournament games against Missouri and Tennessee. But once they clamped down on defense in the second half they cashed tickets for their backers. In fact, Florida has taken the cash in five consecutive games, but it wasn't easy against Tennessee. UF didn't get ahead of the number for the first time until Patric Young buried a pair of free throws with 2.5 seconds remaining. Gamblers on the Volunteers suffered a bad beat catching six points with the underdogs in a 56-49 loss. But I again go back to UF’s incredible defense. After giving up 35 points in the first half, it limited Tennessee to merely 14 points in the last 20 minutes. Florida has won 25 consecutive games and hasn't tasted Read more



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Brian Edwards




College Basketball Betting Free Play: UConn Huskies vs. Louisville Cardinals

03.15.2014     08:06 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
UConn vs. Louisville -8 O/U 135.5
Recommendation: Over


Louisville has been an offensive juggernaut over the back half of the season, netting 80+ points in nine of their last 12 games. That acumen has been on full display during the AAC Tournament with 92- and 94-point efforts in the opening two rounds. And while the Cardinals still play stellar defense, their offense and pace of games puts tonight's total of 135 well within reach. UConn meanwhile has not played many high scoring games of late, using defense to wear teams down. They held both Memphis and Cincinnati to under 57 points in their first two tournament games. I think tonight's game won't be such a grinder – the margin vs. Memphis was too big to create flow and Cincinnati plays super-slow. Louisville is pushing the tempo at an incredible rate with 70+ possessions in five of their last six. The only one that fell below that was their 81-48 home win over UConn that gave the Cards a share of the AAC regular season title. So while both teams play outstanding defense I think there is an equal amount of offensive talent and as mentioned, the pace of this game should be fairly quick. And with Read more



Tags: College Basketball UConn Huskies Louisville Cardinals Andrew Lange



25

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February

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