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NCAA Tournament Betting Free Play: UConn Huskies vs. Michigan State Spartans

03.30.2014     07:06 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
UConn +5.5 vs. Michigan State O/U 139
Recommendation: UConn

Outside of the first 10 minutes of the game in which Michigan State was averaging a ridiculous 1.45 points per possession, the Spartans had a very difficult time not only scoring on Virginia but pulling away hence the final two-point margin. UConn doesn't have UVA's defensive acumen but this team is guarding and rebounding much better than their overall season numbers show. And like UVA's x-factor of tremendous defense, UConn's Ryan Boatright and Shabazz Napier provide the key to keeping within striking distance of the Spartans. I also like the emphasis UConn has placed on getting to the free throw line with 70 attempts and 86% makes in its three NCAA Tournament games thus far. Michigan State has also been effective at getting to and knocking down free throws but I'm looking for aspects in which the Huskies can potentially match or outperform the favorite. Size, athleticism, offense, and defense – the Spartans have some advantages but 5.5 points more than the Huskies? Sagarin and Ken Pom both have this game less than -3 while oddsmakers and the betting markets feel present MSU is far Read more

Tags: College Basketball UConn Huskies Michigan State Spartans Andrew Lange

NCAA Tournament Betting Podcast 3-28-2014 with Handicapper Teddy Covers

03.28.2014     10:30 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers. Teddy and host Andrew Lange broke down all four of tonight's NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen games as well as Saturday's two Elite Eight games from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Teddy Covers - NCAA Tournament Friday and Saturday

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Lines are up for Saturday's Elite Eight

03.28.2014     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Offshore sportsbooks have posted lines and totals for Saturday's two Elite Eight games. CRIS opened Florida -10.5 vs. Dayton with a total of 132. In terms of power ratings, Ken Pomeroy has the game Florida -9 with a total of 129. Sagarin has the Gators -9.5. Arizona is a 3-point favorite over Wisconsin with a total of 130. Ken Pomeroy has that game lined Arizona -4 with a total of 130. Sagarin has Arizona -2.5. Sportsmemo handicapper Rob Veno's power ratings show Florida -12.5 and Arizona -3.5.

Tags: College Basketball Dayton Flyers Florida Gators Arizona Wildcats Wisconsin Badgers

NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen Betting Podcast 3-27-2014 with Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron

03.27.2014     10:03 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Thursday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured Sportsmemo Handicapper Ian Cameron. Ian and host Andrew Lange broke down all four of tonight's NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen games from a betting perspective.

Today's segments
Ian Cameron - Thursday NCAA Sweet Sixteen

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.

Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Thursday's Sweet Sixteen Prop Bets

03.27.2014     06:34 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Here are some prop bets for Thursday's NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen games courtesy of LVH.

UCLA vs. Florida
Total 3-pointers by both teams: 12.5
Largest lead by either team: 14
Total points by UCLA's Kyle Anderson: 13.5
Total points by Florida's Scottie Wilbekin: 12.5

Dayton vs. Stanford
Total 3-pointers by both teams: 11.5
Largest lead by either team: 13
Total points by Dayton's Dean Oliver: 10.5
Total points by Stanford's Chasson Randle: 17.5

Baylor vs. Wisconsin
Total 3-pointers by both teams: 14
Largest lead by either team: 13.5
Total points by Baylor's Brady Helsip: 11.5
Total points by Wisconsin's Frank Kaminsky: 12.5

San Diego State vs. Arizona
Total 3-pointers by both teams: 9.5
Largest lead by either team: 15
Total points by SDSU's Xavier Thames: 16.5
Total points by Arizona's Aaron Gordon: 12.5

South Regional Odds
Florida 5/7
UCLA 3/1
Stanford 19/4
Dayton 8/1

West Regional Odds
Arizona 10/11
Wisconsin Read more

Tags: College Basketball

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Short lined games abound for Sweet Sixteen

03.26.2014     07:52 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Las Vegas oddsmakers are expecting the unexpected with Thursday and Friday's NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen games. Every game save for San Diego State-Arizona is currently lined at 4.5 or less. Four of last year's eight Sweet Sixteen games were lined at 5 or above.

“These teams are getting so close as far as their talent,” Vaccaro said. “The gap between teams isn’t that great anymore, and you can really see it in the point spreads. There is no game here that would shock anyone with the outcome.”

“The Cinderella slipper is guaranteed to be in the Elite Eight,” McCormick said. “Dayton was probably the best team of the first two rounds for us, with their upset over Ohio State and then following it by beating Syracuse. They were great for the house.”

Tags: College Basketball

NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Michigan State takes on Virginia in Sweet Sixteen

03.26.2014     07:36 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Michigan State -1.5 vs. Virginia O/U 126.5

Contrasting styles collide with Michigan State's preferred up-tempo attack taking on slow paced and defensive-mind Virginia in Friday's NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen matchup. In MSU's two tournament wins, they produced games scores of 171 and 153. Virginia meanwhile remains slow but because of its strong offensive efficiency (1.14 points per possession) the Cavs have played a fair amount of moderately high scoring games. Against Duke and North Carolina – two ACC teams that best resemble Michigan State – the games scores were 134, 137, and 135. And last time out against Memphis, UVA won 78-60 with a fairly swift 66 possessions. Friday's total is currently 126.5.

“But don’t let them fool you — they’ll get out and run,” MSU associate head coach Dwayne Stephens said. “They’re just more opportunistic running rather than push it every time like us. Really, that’s the only difference I

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Michigan State Spartans Virginia Cavaliers

NCAA Tournament Gambling: UCLA's defense leads to under-the-total trend

03.26.2014     06:46 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
UCLA vs. Florida -4.5 O/U 137

UCLA's run to the Sweet Sixteen has come in large part because of its strong defensive play. The Bruins held both Tulsa and Stephen F. Austin to under a point per possession and did the same against Oregon and Stanford in the PAC-12 Tournament. It creates a challenging handicap for totals bettors because the Bruins' defense creates transition opportunities and in a lot of cases the pace of the games is fast but the opposition doesn't score enough. Over its last five games, UCLA is averaging 78.8 ppg but allowing only 62.4 ppg. As a result, four of those five games went under the total.

"We have guys who run like horses in transition," said guard Kyle Anderson. "All the credit goes to our defense. I think our guys have bought into the preparation for what other teams run. We're there for each other, helping."

Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Florida Gators

NCAA Tournament Betting: Michigan concerned about Tennessee's front court

03.25.2014     02:14 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tennessee vs. Michigan -2 O/U 131.5

Article of Michigan's prep for Friday's Sweet Sixteen matchup against Tennessee. Head coach John Beilein's biggest concern is that the Vols play two tradition post players, something the Wolverines haven't been able to do since the loss of Mitch McGary.

“This is a team that we see quite often and is a difficult match for us because they have great quickness on the perimeter and they play with a classic two big guys on the blocks that just beat us up,” Beilein said on Mike and Mike. “When we lost Mitch McGary early in the year, that no longer became an option to us, to play with two bigs, and we’ve just been playing with one. It is going to be difficult. They will probably win the rebounding battle, we gotta win the possession battle like we did the other day.”

Tags: College Basketball Michigan Wolverines Tennessee Volunteers

NCAA Tournament Gambling: Wisconsin confident it can crack Baylor's zone

03.25.2014     07:06 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Baylor vs. Wisconsin -3 O/U 136.5

Wisconsin talks about its preparation for Baylor's 1-3-1 zone. The Badgers plan on doing the simple things – ball movements, shot fakes, and showing patience. The Bears held Nebraska and Creighton to a combined 9-of-45, 20% from three. Wisky meanwhile has knocked down 21-of-61, 41% from three this postseason.

"We always have a method," Ryan said, "and our method is deception if you can. Subtle deception. Ball-fakes. Shot-fakes.

"Every team I've ever seen that is successful uses them. So we've got to use them."

"You've just got to try and find some weak spots," Brust, a 38.9% three-point shooter this season, said of the Bears' zone. "You've got to be patient and work it around, try to get movement. Use shot-fakes, ball-fakes. Just keep working it until you get the good one, and when you get the good one you've got to knock it down.

Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers Baylor Bears


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