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College Basketball Gambling: Thursday's Big Sky games have huge postseason implications

03.05.2014     08:55 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Keep an eye on tomorrow's Big Sky slate as nearly every matchup has postseason implications. Of the league's 11 teams, only seven make the conference tournament. And as of Wednesday, seven of the 11 teams are 10-8, 10-9, 9-9, or 8-10. Weber State clinched the top seed and a first round bye. North Dakota is also in following last night's win over Northern Colorado.

Standings (Thursday game)
Weber State 13-5 (at Portland State)
North Dakota 12-7 (at Southern Utah)
Montana 11-7 (at Sacramento State)
Northern Arizona 10-8 (vs. Montana State)
Northern Colorado 10-9 (at Southern Utah on Sat.)
Portland State 9-9 (vs. Weber State)
Eastern Washington 9-9 (vs. Idaho State)
Montana State 9-9 (at Northern Arizona)
Sacramento State 9-9 (vs. Montana)
Idaho State 8-10 (at Eastern Washington)
Southern Utah 0-18 (vs. North Dakota)

Tags: College Basketball Weber State Wildcats

College Basketball Handicapping: UNLV's Smith out vs. San Diego State

03.05.2014     08:30 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
San Diego State -2.5 at UNLV O/U 129

UNLV forward Roscoe Smith (concussion) will miss tonight's game against San Diego State. Smith averages a double-double and has started every game this season. The Rebels are 19-10 overall and 10-6 in Mountain West play. They have only won win (New Mexico) vs. teams inside Ken Pomery's top 70.

Tags: College Basketball UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs

College Basketball Betting: Sportsbooks score big on Georgia State "upset"

03.05.2014     08:04 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
If you follow the college basketball betting markets you may have noticed Arkansas State taking a lot of money last night. Georgia State had already clinched the Sun Belt's no. 1 seed and head coach Ron Hunter hinted that he may rest some of his starters the final two games of the regular season. Adding to the potential "no-show" for the Panthers was the difficulty they had getting to the ASU’s arena due to inclement weather. The game started nearly an hour late and before GSU could even blink, Arkansas State jumped out to a 7-0 lead and the Panthers were forced to call a timeout. But Hunter didn't rest all of his starters – he sat only leading scorer RJ Hunter. The rest of the regular rotation saw extended minutes. Arkansas State led by three at half and by as much as 8 in the second half but GSU wouldn't go away and eventually Read more

Tags: College Basketball Georgia State Bulldogs Arkansas State Red Wolves

College Basketball Gambling Update: Wichita State's power rating vs. other top seeds

03.05.2014     07:40 AM     Printer Friendly

Yesterday we talked about Bovada's mythical pointspreads for Wichita State vs. other likely top seeds. Now let's compare them to what Sagarin has as of today. Most of the lines are fairly close though Sagarin has Arizona -6.6 (Bovada: Arizona -4) and Villanova -2.83 (Bovada: Wichita -1.5).

Sagarin Lines - Neutral Floor as of 3/5
Wichita vs. Florida -2.89
Wichita vs. Arizona -6.6
Wichita vs. Duke -3.14
Wichita vs. Virginia -2.11
Wichita -0.82 vs. Syracuse
Wichita vs. Villanova -2.83
Wichita vs. Kansas -2.85
Wichita vs. Wisconsin -2.06
Wichita vs. Louisville -2.50
Wichita vs. Michigan -2.06

College Basketball Gambling: Wichita State pointspreads vs. other top seeds

03.04.2014     12:52 PM     Read more

Tags: College Basketball Wichita State Shockers

College Basketball Gambling: Wichita State pointspreads vs. other top seeds

03.04.2014     12:52 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Ready for a game of name that pointspread? Wichita State is undefeated and anyone who has ever placed a wager knows that on a neutral floor there would be a handful of teams that would be favored over the Shockers. Not sure why, but Bovada of all places came up with these lines – some of which seem a bit off (see: Louisville pk and yet Wisconsin -1.5). We'll let you be the judge.

Wichita vs. Florida -4
Wichita vs. Arizona -4
Wichita vs. Duke -3
Wichita vs. Virginia -3
Wichita -1.5 vs. Syracuse
Wichita -1.5 vs. Villanova
Wichita vs. Kansas -2
Wichita vs. Wisconsin -1.5
Wichita vs. Louisville pk
Wichita -1.5 vs. Michigan

Tags: College Basketball Wichita State Shockers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels

03.03.2014     10:42 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Notre Dame at North Carolina
Recommendation: 1st half under

Notre Dame has been playing ultra-slow of late with seven of their last eight games in regulation featuring less than 60 possessions. The only game that wasn't was against North Carolina but that game still had a modest 67 possessions and 135 points (50 points 1st half). Some of that had to do with the slow nature of the ACC but Mike Brey knows how bad his defense is and the only way to offset it is to shorten the game and milk clock when they have the ball on offense. That is the blueprint of how to beat (or compete with) North Carolina. Early in the season the Tar Heels lost low possession grinders to Miami, Syracuse, and Virginia. During their run of 11 straight wins, they've managed to control tempo on most nights. However, we saw last time out that you can play the slow-down game as Virginia Tech lost 60-56 and kept the game at 60 possessions. Off an overtime loss against Pitt two days ago, I have my concerns that Notre Dame may wear down. But I look for them to come out early, value possessions, and keep UNC from easy buckets in transition.

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish North Carolina Tar Heels Andrew Lange

NCAA Basketball Handicapping: Power Ratings for Horizon League and Atlantic Sun tournaments

03.03.2014     08:13 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Here are my College Basketball Power Ratings/projected lines for Tuesday's Horizon League and Atlantic Sun conference tournament first round play. Each tournament plays this round at home sites and the Horizon then moves to #1 seed Wisconsin-Green Bay's Resch Center for the quarterfinals and Semifinals.

Date-Seed-Game-Power Rating
3/4 #7 Youngstown State
3/4 #6 Oakland -4

3/4 #8 Detroit
3/4 #5 Wisconsin-Milwaukee -2

3/4 #9 Illinois-Chicago
3/4 #4 Valparaiso -10.5

3/4 #8 Stetson
3/4 #1 Florida Gulf Coast -19

3/4 #5 Lipscomb
3/4 #4 East Tennessee State -11

3/4 #6 North Florida
3/4 #3 South Carolina Upstate -9.5

3/4 #7 Jacksonville
3/4 #2 Mercer -12

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wise Guy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part II

03.03.2014     07:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
In Part 1 of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 16 NCAA champions.  From that profile, I was able to make a ‘short list’ of potential champs in 2014, consisting of the following 18 teams: Cincinnati, Louisville, Virginia, Syracuse, Duke, North Carolina, Kansas, Iowa State, Creighton, Villanova, Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Arizona, UCLA, Florida and Kentucky.

However, since last week, two of those 18 teams have been bounced from consideration, including one of the co- favorites at any sportsbook in Vegas – John Calipari’s Kentucky Wildcats.  Kentucky lost two straight last week; Iowa has lost three of their last four.  Both teams are now above the seven loss cut-off line and can be eliminated.

The next step in the elimination process is to look at the team’s records away from home.
The NCAA championship is not won on a team’s home floor.  Even with a Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Florida State Seminoles

03.02.2014     08:11 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Georgia Tech +9.5 at Florida State O/U 134
Recommendation: Georgia Tech

I made Florida State a six-point home favorite for tonight’s home game vs. Georgia Tech – 3.5 points off of the current market number. Brian Gregory's team has covered the number in five consecutive road games, including Wednesday's 65-62 loss at Notre Dame as a seven-point underdog. The Yellow Jackets raced out to a double-digit lead early in the first half and although they couldn't get the outright victory at the Joyce Center, they comfortably hooked up their backers. If you scan GT’s recent results, you'll notice a rough four-game home stretch that preceded the team's trip to South Bend. However, I'm of the opinion that those outcomes (three defeats and only one win) should mostly be ignored because leading scorer Trae Golden wasn't healthy at that time. Golden sat out one game and played limited minutes in two others due to a groin injury. Golden averages team-highs in scoring (12.6 points per game) and assists (3.1 APG). FSU is mired in a 3-8 ATS slump and has lost seven of its last 11 games outright. Being at home hasn't made much of a difference for the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Florida State Seminoles Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys

03.01.2014     07:43 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Kansas pk at Oklahoma State O/U 149.5
Recommendation: Kansas

Kansas clinched a share of the Big XII title in its last game at home against Oklahoma and go for the outright title this evening in Stillwater. The Jayhawks should be able to do so against an Oklahoma State team that has won two straight since the return of Marcus Smart, but is still not the team that everyone expected them to be at the beginning of the season. OSU snapped a seven-game losing skid in Smart's return against Texas Tech and followed that win up with a blowout win vs. TCU (combined 5-25 record in league play). The Cowboys are still a flawed team and had lost four straight games before Smart's suspension. They have very little depth and their defense has suffered without Michael Cobbins in the middle. Kansas will take advantage of the Cowboys in the paint and on the glass with Perry Ellis and Joel Embiid. Oklahoma State definitely has one of the strongest home courts in college basketball and should have an enthusiastic crowd but even a spirited effort won't be enough. Kansas has won in its last two visits to Stillwater and has beaten the Cowboys in six of the last seven Read more

Tags: College Basketball Kansas Jayhawks Oklahoma State Cowobys Brent Crow


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