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November

28

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NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for the Sweet Sixteen

03.27.2013     07:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Here are the numbers we’ve been following through the Dance in tip-off order by locale. Note that I’ve updated the pace rankings from Kenpom’s website…those are the numbers as of Tuesday evening. All the other numbers you see are CONFERENCE ONLY per game averages because I wanted to take out the crazy extremes of non-conference schedules, particularly since those games were played so long ago anyway. The “conference advantage” numbers from Jeff Sagarin’s computer ratings were also tabulated Tuesday night.

Some reference points.

The typical college defense allowed about 47.5% on two-pointers this year. Numbers less than that represent better than average inside defense. The typical offense made 6.0 treys per game. Interestingly, NONE of the 16 teams left averaged between 6.0 and 6.9 in their league games. We have quite a few trey-heavy teams at 7.0 makes or more. I’m surprised by how many teams were in the low 5’s or less. Always Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting News: Miami's Johnson ruled out vs. Marquette

03.27.2013     07:38 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Marquette vs. Miami-FL -5 O/U 127

Miami center Reggie Johnson (knee) has been ruled out of Thursday's game against Marquette. Johnson had taken on more of a reserve role this season but remained a key contributor on the glass (7 rebounds per game). Marquette was the No. 1 team in the Big East in offensive rebounding percentage (38.4) during league play. The Golden Eagles snagged 31 offensive rebounds in wins over Davidson and Butler.




Tags: College Basketball Miami (FL) Hurricanes Marquette Golden Eagles




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Arizona's Miller and Ohio State's Matta go way back

03.26.2013     03:01 PM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona vs. Ohio State -3.5 O/U 134

You couldn’t find two teams from different conferences that would be as familiar with what the other wants to do more than Arizona and Ohio State. Why is that, you might ask? Head coaches Sean Miller of Arizona and Thad Matta of Ohio State go back over two decades as friends and associates. They were assistants together at both Miami-Ohio and Arizona and Matta gave Miller a gig when he first took over as head coach of Xavier.

When Matta left Xavier for Ohio State his job went to Miller who eventually parlayed his solid run of success with the Musketeers into his current gig at Arizona. These two guys know each other well, they share many of the same philosophies and tactics and they have rosters that really mirror one another. And this isn’t the first time they’ve met in the NCAA Tournament: Who could forget the epic overtime thriller between Xavier and Ohio State back in 2006-07? Miller and the Read more


Tags: College Basketball Arizona Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Otto Sports




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Florida Gulf Coast meets Florida in Sweet Sixteen

03.26.2013     01:36 PM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Florida Gulf Coast vs. Florida -13 O/U 133.5

By now everyone is aware of the Cinderella story of the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles who reached the Sweet Sixteen in just their second year of DI basketball. They were very impressive in their first two wins against Georgetown and San Diego State and now have a chance to reach the Elite Eight with a win over Florida.

On paper, it would not appear to be a good matchup for the Eagles as Florida is a solid defensive team that allows just 37.8% from the field and dominates the boards with a +5.3 rebound margin. However, the running and gunning Eagles just faced two teams that had strong defensive pedigrees and destroyed them both.

The interesting thing about FGCU is that they did not hit tons of threes to advance. They really didn’t even take many, which is a common factor in many NCAA tourney upsets. Against Georgetown, FGCU was 6-of-15 from deep and they were 8-of-19 against San Diego State. The vast majority of FGCU’s field goals were on dunks and layups, many of them created by the passing ability and court vision of point guard Brett Comer. He has been the most impressive ball Read more


Tags: College Basketball Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Florida Gators Brent Crow




NCAA Tournament Betting News: Far from pretty, Marquette reaches Sweet Sixteen

03.26.2013     01:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Marquette vs. Miami-FL -5.5 O/U 127

Of the remaining 16 teams in the NCAA Tournament, some will argue that Marquette has been the least impressive – and the most fortunate. Head coach Buzz Williams openly admitted that they could have very easily lost both games. In the first round Davidson's win probability was north of 95% with less than two minutes to go yet Marquette found a way to bury a couple of threes and win by one. Similar situation against Butler as the Bulldogs were seemingly in control of the game late only to let it slip away in the waning seconds. But we give credit to Williams who has now led Marquette to three straight Sweet Sixteen appearances. The third game however has proved to be problematic. In 2011, Marquette was crushed by North Carolina, 81-63. And last year, the Golden Eagles met a Read more


Tags: College Basketball Marquette Golden Eagles Miami (FL) Hurricanes




College Basketball Betting: Weather forces Evansville to bus to Canisius

03.26.2013     10:52 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Evansville at Canisius -1.5 O/U 147.5

Here is the crazy story of Evansville's 10-hour bus trip to Buffalo for tonight's CIT Tournament matchup against Canisius.


“Due to weather conditions we aren’t flying and we have to drive ALL the way to New York for our game Tuesday!!” tweeted Aces senior Troy Taylor at about 3 p.m. Sunday, or 24 hours after UE finished off a second-round CIT win over Eastern Kentucky.

“We’ve never had to bus 10-plus hours on such short notice, so it’s kind of exciting just to get that feel for having your team, the coaches and the program,” Ryan said. “You just pick up and go. You don’t know where you’re going next. You just win, and there’s some excitement about who you’re playing next and just stuff like today.






Tags: College Basketball Evansville Aces Canisius Golden Griffins




Over 8 million brackets and not one is perfect through the Round of 32

03.26.2013     07:46 AM     Printer Friendly
So out of the 8.15 million to submit a bracket to ESPN's NCAA Tournament Challenge, not one is perfect. Blame Dunk City.



Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Betting Results through the Round of 32

03.25.2013     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below is a chart of the betting results for the NCAA Tournament through 52 games. Line history courtesy of CRIS.

Favorite held a small edge at 27-24 against the spread. The James Madison-LIU-Brooklyn game closed a pick 'em.

Of those games that closed with a different line than the opener, the betting markets were "correct" 20 times and "incorrect" 20 times. For example: Miami opened -5 vs. Illinois and closed -7.5. The Hurricanes won 63-59 which meant the markets were "incorrect." Duke opened -4.5 vs. Creighton and closed -6. The Blue Devils won 66-50 and thus the markets were "correct."

Totals trended slightly towards the under at 25-27 O/U (based on CRIS's closing number).

In terms of parlays, the top bet was favorite/under (16 games), followed by underdog/over (14 games). Note that we did not include JMU-LIU which closed as a pk.

Favorite/Over - 11
Underdog/Under - 10
Favorite/Under - 16
Underdog/Over - 14

2013 NCAA Tournament Betting Results through the Round of 32
Play-In
Play-In
CRIS Opener
CRIS Closer
Score
ATS
Total
Liberty
NC A&T
NCAT -1.5
NCAT -3
NCAT 73, LIB 72
Underdog
Over 128
Middle Tennessee
St. Mary's
STM -3
STM -2.5
STM 67, MTSU 54
Favorite
Under 129.5
LIU-Brooklyn
James Madison
JM pk
JM pk
JM 68, LIU 55
N/A
Under 146
La Salle
Boise State
BSU pk
BSU -1.5
LAS 80, BSU 71
Underdog
Over 139
Round of 64
Round of 64
CRIS Opener
CRIS Closer
Score
ATS
Total
NC A&T
Louisville
UL -26.5
UL -26.5
UL 79, NCAT 48
Favorite
Over 124
Colorado
Missouri
MIZ -3
MIZ -3
CSU 84, MIZ 72
Underdog
Over 144
Davidson
Marquette
MAR -3
MAR -3
MAR 59, DAV 58
Underdog
Under 137
Bucknell
Butler
BUT -3.5
BUT -3
BUT 68, BUC 56
Favorite
Over 121.5
Valparaiso
Michigan State
MSU -11
MSU -9.5
MSU 65, VAL 54
Favorite
Under 130
St. Mary's
Memphis
MEM -1
MEM -1
MEM 54, STM 52
Favorite
Under 139.5
Akron
VCU
VCU -6.5
VCU -7
VCU 88, AKR 42
Favorite
Under 134
South Dakota St.
Michigan
MICH -12
MICH -12
MICH 71, SDSU 56
Favorite
Under 141
Southern
Gonzaga
GON -23.5
GON -22.5
GON 64, SOU 58
Underdog
Under 127
Wichita State
Pittsburgh
PITT -4
PITT -4.5
WSU 73, PITT 55
Underdog
Over 119
Harvard
New Mexico
UNM -11
UNM -10.5
HAR 68, UNM 62
Underdog
Over 125.5
Belmont
Arizona
ARI -4
ARI -4.5
ARI 81, BEL 64
Favorite
Over 139.5
Oregon
Oklahoma State
OSU -3.5
OSU -2
ORE 68, OSU 55
Underdog
Under 135
New Mexico State
Saint Louis
SLU -9.5
SLU -9
SLU 64, NMSU 44
Favorite
Under 124.5
California
UNLV
UNLV -2.5
UNLV -3.5
CAL 64, UNLV 61
Underdog
Under 130
Montana
Syracuse
SYR -13
SYR -13
SYR 81, MON 34
Favorite
Under 126
Albany
Duke
DUKE -19.5
DUKE -20
DUKE 73, ALB 61
Underdog
Over 132.5
Cincinnati
Creighton
CRE -3
CRE -3
CRE 67, CIN 63
Favorite
Over 127.5
Florida Gulf Coast
Georgetown
GT -13
GT -13.5
FGC 78, GT 68
Underdog
Over 122.5
Oklahoma
San Diego State
SDSU -1.5
SDSU -2
SDSU 70, OU 55
Favorite
Under 132
James Madison
Indiana
IU -21
IU -21.5
IU 83, JM 62
Underdog
Over 136.5
Temple
NC State
NCST -3.5
NCST -4
TEM 76, NCST 72
Underdog
Under 149.5
Iona
Ohio State
OSU -13
OSU -15
OSU 95, IONA 70
Favorite
Over 143.5
Notre Dame
Iowa State
ISU pk
ISU -1.5
ISU 76, ND 58
Favorite
Under 139.5
Western Kentucky
Kansas
KU -21
KU -21
KU 64, WKU 57
Underdog
Under 132.5
Villanova
North Carolina
UNC -4.5
UNC -5
UNC 78, VIL 71
Favorite
Over 142.5
Ole Miss
Wisconsin
UW -4.5
UW -6
UM 57, UW 46
Underdog
Under 127
La Salle
Kansas State
KSU -5
KSU -6
LAS 62, KSU 61
Underdog
Under 133.5
Northwestern State
Florida
UF -19
UF -20
UF 79, NW 47
Favorite
Under 142
UCLA
Minnesota
MINN -2.5
MINN -3
MIN 83, UCLA 63
Favorite
Over 134
Pacific
Miami
MIA -12.5
MIA -13
MIA 78, PAC 49
Favorite
Over 124.5
Colorado
Illinois
ILL -1
ILL -1
ILL 57, COL 49
Favorite
Under 127.5
Round of 32
Round of 32
CRIS Opener
CRIS Closer
Score
ATS
Total
Butler
Marquette
MAR -2.5
MAR -1.5
MAR 74, BUT 72
Favorite
Over 128
Colorado State
Louisville
UL -10.5
UL -10
UL 82, CSU 56
Favorite
Over 133.5
Memphis
Michigan State
MSU -4.5
MSU -5.5
MSU 70, MEM 48
Favorite
Under 131
VCU
Michigan
MICH -2
MICH -3
MICH 78, VCU 53
Favorite
Under 144
Wichita State
Gonzaga
GON -7
GON -6.5
WSU 75, GON 70
Underdog
Over 130
Harvard
Arizona
ARI -10
ARI -10
ARI 74, HAR 51
Favorite
Under 133.5
Oregon
Saint Louis
SLU -3.5
SLU -4.5
ORE 74, SLU 57
Underdog
Over 124.5
California
Syracuse
SYR -8
SYR -7.5
SYR 66, CAL 60
Underdog
Over 125
Creighton
Duke
DUKE -4.5
DUKE -6
DUKE 66, CRE 50
Favorite
Under 145
Florida Gulf Coast
San Diego State
SDSU -8.5
SDSU -7.5
FGC 81, SDSU 71
Underdog
Over 135.5
Temple
Indiana
IU -12
IU -12
IU 58, TEM 52
Underdog
Under 147
Iowa State
Ohio State
OSU -6.5
OSU -7.5
OSU 78, ISU 75
Underdog
Over 143
La Salle
Ole Miss
UM -3
UM -3.5
LAS 76, UM 74
Underdog
Over 143
North Carolina
Kansas
KU -5.5
KU -6.5
KU 70, UNC 58
Favorite
Under 146
Illinois
Miami
MIA -5
MIA -7.5
MIA 63, ILL 59
Underdog
Under 127
Minnesota
Florida
UF -8.5
UF -7.5
UF 78, MIN 64
Favorite
Over 124.5




Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Gambling: Louisville, Florida, Indiana and Ohio State favored to win respective regions

03.25.2013     12:10 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here are Pinnacle's updated odds to win the four regions as well as the NCAA Tournament.

East
Indiana +105
Miami +175
Syracuse +474
Marquette +700

Midwest
Louisville -140
Duke +299
Michigan State +329
Oregon +1098

South
Florida -105
Kansas +225
Michigan +257
Florida Gulf Coast +1534

West
Ohio State +100
Arizona +205
Wichita State +335
La Salle +1000

NCAA Championship
Louisville +257
Indiana +361
Florida +483
Miami +810
Ohio State +820
Kansas +1024
Duke +1215
Michigan +1215
Michigan State +1433
Arizona +1520
Syracuse +2046
Wichita State +3037
Marquette +4091
Oregon +5063
La Salle +6075
Florida Gulf Coast +7593



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Indiana Hoosiers Ohio State Buckeyes Florida Gators




Of course a bro bet Florida Gulf Coast at 1000-1 to win the Big Dance

03.25.2013     11:53 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Here is that story you wanted to hear about a dude with a ticket on Florida Gulf Coast at 1000-1 to win the NCAA Tournament.


"My roommate placed a bunch of bets, and this is just the one he randomly gave me," Fredricks said. "I don't think he intended for them to actually win. He has a much larger bet on Florida [FGCU's opponent on Friday] to win the championship, as well as a large wager on the field bet."





Tags: College Basketball Florida Gulf Coast Eagles



29

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"College Basketbal'"

November

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