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College Basketball Betting Free Pick: UConn Huskies at SMU Mustangs

03.03.2016     10:58 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
UConn +4.5 at SMU O/U 132.5
Recommendation: UConn

Yes, it’s senior night at SMU, with the Mustang trio of Nic Moore and Markus Kennedy and Jordan Tolbert getting their last home game.  With SMU ineligible for postseason play, and a chance to win the regular season conference title on the line, it’s not hard to figure out why the Mustangs are laying points in this matchup.  But laying points against UConn has been a moneylosing strategy all year, and the Huskies are primed to bring their A-game tonight, just as they did when they knocked off SMU in Storrs last month.

UConn is coming off a very disappointing home loss to Houston over the weekend, putting them right back on the Big Dance Bubble – this is a HUGE game for the road underdog.  And boy, UConn is a tough team to lay points against; a squad that has only lost four games by more than five points all season.  the Huskies don’t panic when trailing late and they take the ball to the basket instead of jacking up desperation three’s; exactly what you want from your mid-sized underdogs.

Huskies coach Kevin Ollie was not amused by Read more

Tags: College Basketball UConn Huskies SMU Mustangs Teddy Covers

College Basketball Handicapping: Wichita State favored to win MVC Tournament

03.03.2016     09:04 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The Missouri Valley Conference Tournament gets underway tonight at St. Louis' Scottrade Center. It's a 10-team tournament with two "play in" games followed by four quarterfinal matchups. Wichita State is the top seed and betting favorite (-250) followed by second season Evansville (+300). Below are The Greek's odds to win the tournament.

Wichita State -250
Evansville +300
Illinois State +500
Southern Illinois +500
Northern Iowa +650
Indiana State +2000
Loyola +5000
Missouri State +6000
Drake +17500
Bradley +25000

Tags: College Basketball Wichita State Shockers Evansville Aces

College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Bradley Braves vs. Loyola-Chicago Ramblers

03.03.2016     07:53 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Bradley vs. Loyola-Chicago -10.5 O/U 117
Recommendation: Under

Not a lot of wiggle room playing a total of 117 under but tonight's Bradley-Loyola game doesn't project to feature much in the way of pace or offense. The two teams hooked up twice during the regular season and produced 107 points and 97 points. Bradley has one of the worst offenses in the country with an incredible 0.84 ppp mark (351st nationally). The Braves are also one of the youngest teams in the nation and virtually their entire rotation will be trying to put the ball in the bucket at the spacious and often times offensively unfriendly Scottrade Center for the very first time. Bradley showed some offensive life down the stretch but there were a number of essentially meaningless games that resulted in better than average offense and pace. Tonight's first round game will be a totally different environment. Loyola is a little more capable on the offensive end, but not by much. Last week, the Ramblers scored only 59 points in overtime in a loss to Drake who has by far the worst defense in the league. Note also that last year's MVC Tournament (10 games) produced an average of only 106 Read more

Tags: College Basketball Bradley Braves Loyola-Chicago Ramblers OTTO Sports

College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers

03.02.2016     12:04 PM     Drew Martin     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Drew Martin blog entry.
Texas Tech +10 at West Virginia O/U 145
Recommendation: Texas Tech

The Red Raiders and the Mountaineers have surpassed preseason expectations with West Virginia (22-7, 11-5) picked to finish sixth and Texas Tech (18-10, 8-8) picked last in the Big XII. The Mountaineers are in second place in the season's final week while the Red Raiders are in seventh but in good position for an NCAA Tournament berth thanks to a strong RPI and strength of schedule. Tonight’s matchup is a rematch and the Mountaineers have taken five straight over the Red Raiders putting them at 8-1 in the all-time series with an 80-76 victory on Jan. 23. Texas Tech was up by four with under a minute left before allowing West Virginia's Tarik Phillip to score the game's final eight points. Jaysean Paige scored 22 and Phillip added 20 as West Virginia shot 51.0 percent. Tonight’s matchup features a hot Texas Tech team coming in 5-1 over its past six games which includes impressive wins over Oklahoma, Baylor, and Iowa State. Head coach Tubby Smith has his team alive for a NCAA tournament bid for the first time since 2007. While Morgantown is a tough venue, teams tend to be Read more

Tags: College Basketball Texas Tech Red Raiders West Virginia Mountaineers Drew Martin

College Basketball Handicapping: Florida desperate for defense as it plays host to Kentucky

03.01.2016     08:43 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Florida looked to be in good position to get to the Big Dance but three straight losses have the Gators in danger of not finishing with a winning record in SEC play. UF's defense has been non-existent as it allowed 87 to Vanderbilt and 96 last time out against LSU. First-year head coach Mike White claims that the team has done nothing but play defense in practice leading up to tonight's game against Kentucky.

“We got a little better offensively. But it took away from us being a good defensive team. We haven’t guarded the same way here of late.”

“Yesterday, 100 percent of the practice was defense,” White said. “And today, we’ll spend a lot more time on defense as well. I guess it’s always a balancing act, and we’ve got to get back to defending at a high level to give ourselves a chance.”

Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats

Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: Who Has What It Takes to Win the Big Dance Part I

02.29.2016     09:26 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
History shows us many things about what it takes to be a champion.  I write this article every year, and in every year except for two, I have been able to identify the eventual NCAA national champion among my elite level teams.   Both exceptions were the same team – UConn – making miracle runs to win the title as prohibitive longshots.

Two years ago, Kevin Ollie’s Huskies were on the ropes in their tourney opener against St Joe’s, needing a late rally just to send the game to overtime.  Three weeks later, they cut down the nets as national champs at Jerry’s World in Arlington.  I didn’t see it coming.  Neither did the betting markets, with UConn priced in the 100:1 longshot range prior to the tournament.  And if a longshot like that wins every coinflip game in the tourney this year, I’m not likely to get it right either.

I write this article every year before the regular season is over, before the conference tournaments, before the tourney seedings are announced and before a single March Madness game has been played.  Obviously, there is room for a lot to change between now and the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado Buffaloes

02.28.2016     08:11 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Arizona State at Colorado -7.5 O/U 144.5
Recommendation: Colorado

In the not so distant future, Bobby Hurley will have Arizona State as a contender in the PAC-12. But it's pretty apparent that he and his current squad have tuned one another out. For starters, with two weeks to go in the season, Andre Spight decided to leave the program. It marked yet another player issue as injuries, suspensions, and now a departure have marred what was once a promising season (10-3 start). As for the play on the court, check out ASU's last three games: Lose by 13 at home to fellow bottom feeder UCLA, get destroyed by rival Arizona, 99-61, and trail Utah by margins of 30-2 and 64-19 en route to a 81-46 loss. The only thing Arizona State has to look forward to is the slim chance of a run in the PAC-12 Tournament. But before they get there, they'll have to play the second of the dreaded "elevation" trip of Salt Lake City to Boulder. They do get an extra day off having not played since Thursday but based on their current form, it won't matter. And we can expect a prime effort from the home side as Colorado (20-9, 9-7) can ill-afford a "bad loss." A Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Colorado Buffaloes OTTO Sports

College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Texas A&M Aggies at Missouri Tigers

02.27.2016     08:48 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Texas A&M -9.5 at Missouri O/U 140.5
Recommendation: Over

I see no quit in the Missouri Tigers despite another season of issues. They sit 10-18 overall and 3-12 in SEC play but have quietly covered six straight games thanks to an uptick in offensive output. The first half of the SEC schedule, Mizzou barely averaged over 60 ppg, including a 53-point output against tonight's opponent Texas A&M. But since then, they've hung 70+ in seven consecutive contests which has in turn resulted in cashed tickets as an underdog and on the over. Efficiency wise, the Tigers are only slightly better than they were two months ago. The increase is scoring actually has more to do with pace as their games have averaged over 70 possessions over their last six games. It's pretty apparent that Kim Anderson is telling his kids to go have fun and play hard. And as silly as it sounds, losing a game 80-70 is probably a lot easier pill to swallow than some of the low scoring, bloodbaths of last season. Scoring and pace however won't be automatics tonight as A&M tends to play slow while also defending at above average level. They have however been willing to play an Read more

Tags: College Basketball Texas A&M Aggies Missouri Tigers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Free Betting Pick: Villanova Wildcats at Xavier Musketeers

02.24.2016     10:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Villanova -1.5 at Xavier O/U 145
Recommendation: Villanova

The most important Big East game of the season tips tonight in Cincinnati as Villanova will be defending its No. 1 ranking on the road vs No. 5 ranked Xavier with first place on the line for both teams.  Xavier has played well of late winning eight of nine games and the Musketeers will be looking to avenge their first loss of the season to the Wildcats, a 31-point blowout. Villanova has been Xavier’s kryptonite. In the past three years spanning six games, the Musketeers are 0-6, losing by an average of 17 ppg a game. The Wildcats destroyed the Musketeers in December as Ryan Arcidiacono went for 27 points including 50% from behind the line.

The Wildcats are No. 1 thanks to 16 wins in the past 17 games after an 8-2 start to the year. Josh Hart has been a huge part of that success, averaging a team-high 15.0 points to go along with 7.6 rebounds per game. Daniel Ochefu has been rock-solid since coming back from injury, averaging 14.5 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.3 blocks in the past four games.

Xavier has played well at home, not losing since a 9-point Read more

Tags: College Basketball Villanova Wildcats Xavier Musketeers Drew Martin

College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College Eagles

02.23.2016     08:04 AM     Otto Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Otto Sports blog entry.
Virginia Tech -6 at Boston College O/U 133.5
Recommendation: Over

Boston College has topped 60 points only six times in ACC play this season. It's almost impossible to do but the Eagles are averaging 0.82 points per possession. Last time out, they at one point trailed woeful Wake Forest 37-4 before losing 74-48. It was a low-point in a disaster of a season and back at home against a mediocre opponent, I look for a much better effort on the offensive end. And as bad as Boston College has been, its home games have typically featured a fair amount of points. At home in ACC play, BC home games have hit 145, 137, 120, 134, 133, and 136. Tonight presents another opportunity to top 130 points with Virginia Tech coming to town. The Hokies rank 11th in the ACC in defensive efficiency and outside of games against slow paced defensive-minded Virginia, Syracuse, Clemson and Miami, they've routinely scored 70+. Pace-wise, Boston College is so bad that the opposition almost always dictates the pace. Virginia Tech's tempo has slowed of late but it has more to do with the opposition. Games against Virginia, Miami, Clemson, and Syracuse were all in the low 60's. But Read more

Tags: College Basketball Virginia Tech Hokies Boston College Eagles OTTO Sports


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