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College Basketball Gambling Update: UCLA rips off three wins and covers in a row

01.15.2015     06:34 AM     Printer Friendly

Well, looky here. UCLA is actually playing some halfway decent basketball. We spoke a week ago about the Bruins' murderous schedule that featured a handful of top notch defenses. But when the venue and level of competition changed so, too, did UCLA. Does that mean this team is a PAC-12 contender? Probably not. But their play over the last week has them looking like one of many good, but not great, PAC-12 teams.

College Basketball Handicapping: What to do with UCLA moving forward

01.05.2015     02:09 PM     View Original Blog

So if you haven't already noticed, Read more

Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins PAC-12

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Houston Cougars at East Carolina Pirates

01.14.2015     07:33 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Houston +3 at East Carolina O/U 131.5
Recommendation: Houston

Despite similar straight up records (Houston 7-8, East Carolina 7-9), I feel there is enough difference here to suggest the underdog should win this game outright. For Houston, the past four games have seen them face a conference grinder featuring AAC contender Tulsa, Memphis (twice) and rapidly improving Central Florida (4-0 ATS in league play). Against those four teams the Cougars were overwhelmed offensively as they shot no better than 37.5% from the field in any of those games. The Central Florida game is somewhat surprising since UCF is predicated on outscoring opponents rather than defense which fits right into Houston’s up-tempo style (lead AAC with 69.1 possessions per game). Tonight presents an extreme drop in all-around opposing class and Kelvin Sampson’s squad should advantage.  East Carolina has had a softer league slate thus far with Cincinnati being the only upper-tier team they’ve played and yet their numbers are mirror images of Houston’s. For the Cougars, battling front court size has been a problem but ECU does not possess an interior Read more

Tags: College Basketball Houston Cougars East Carolina Pirates Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting: Xavier says change coming after poor defensive effort

01.14.2015     07:26 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Xavier remains a tough nut to crack for bettors. The offense is potent but you have no idea what to expect from this squad defensively. They held Georgetown and Seton Hall to under 59 points but allowed 88 to Butler last time out. Head coach Chris Mack has voiced his frustration on multiple occasions and heading into tonight's game at Villanova, Mack claims there will be some change to his team's rotation.

"I think we definitely have to have changes, whether that's s lineup changes, whether that's during the course of rotations," Mack said. "We can't be happy with the results we're getting and expect different results by (doing the same thing). If it means different starters, different subs, I really don't care. The bottom line is that we need to win games."

"If a guy isn't playing with the energy required and toughness required to win at this level then I'm playing the wrong guys, or playing them too long," Mack said.

Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Villanova Wildcats

College Basketball Gambling: San Jose State quietly one of the worst teams in the country

01.14.2015     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The San Jose State Spartans probably aren't on the radar of many bettors but they should be. The program is an absolute mess with a roster that currently features eight healthy players. Suspensions, injuries, and kids kicked off the team have highlighted their 0-14 record vs. DI opponents. Last time out against UNLV, the Spartans could muster only 40 points in a 34-point loss. They've covered only three games, two of which came in November. Oddsmakers and the betting markets have to some degree picked up on SJSU's shortcomings. Tonight's opponent, Fresno State, has been a road favorite once this season; -2.5 at Northern Arizona. They lost that game by 21 but are laying -12 at San Jose tonight.

Tags: College Basketball San Jose State Spartans Fresno State Bulldogs

College Basketball Handicapping: Iowa State hopes to figure out Baylor's zone

01.14.2015     06:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Iowa State talks about facing Baylor's funky 1-3-1 zone tonight in Waco. The Bears are allowing 52.7 ppg at home as well as 27.3% from three on the season. Last year, the two teams faced three times with the Cyclones winning two of those contests. In Ames, ISU got the pace going (148 possessions) and rolled to an 87-72 victory. In Waco, the Bears controlled tempo (124 possessions) and won 74-61. And in the Big XII Tournament, ISU prevailed 74-65 (126 possessions).

“They play a defense that nobody else in the country plays that can’t be simulated,” ISU coach Fred Hoiberg said. “It’s about these next couple of days, putting something in place. Hopefully, we can play well against that zone.”

“With Baylor’s zone, it’s just different,” Hoiberg said, “and it’s hard to (tell) your guys, ‘OK, this is exactly how Baylor plays it’ because … you never work on it. We’ll try to simulate it as best we can but there’s going to be some adjustment (in the

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Tags: College Basketball Iowa State Cyclones Baylor Bears

College Basketball Betting: South Carolina looks to bounce back after 0-2 SEC start

01.13.2015     01:37 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Good article find by Sportsmemo posting forum member 'TarHeel.' After starting 0-2 in SEC play, South Carolina's Frank Martin held a team meeting to get things straight. Amazingly, no one got hurt. The Gamecocks scored non-conference wins over Oklahoma State and Iowa State but lost to Florida and Ole Miss last week. They are currently 4-point home chalk for tonight's game vs. Alabama.

“Obviously we didn’t have a very good week last week,” Martin said. “We need to work our tails off to get our mind in a place that allows our team to play through the identity that we worked so hard to create before the past seven days. That’s what our whole objective has been over the last 48 hours. It’s not the winning and losing that’s the problem, it was our mindset last week. I just told the team, let’s hit the reset button.”

“Something wasn’t clicking with us. The program as a whole, we sat down and talked to each other as a team and we decided whatever it was we

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Tags: College Basketball South Carolina Gamecocks Alabama Crimson Tide

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Miami Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils

01.13.2015     10:26 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Miami (FL) at Duke -15 O/U 141.5
Recommendation: Under

I mentioned on the podcast that this appears to be a good situation to step in and play the under. Unlike last year, Miami has more players and as a result has scored more and at times play a faster tempo. But Jim Larranaga is a smart coach and knows that trading baskets on the road vs. Duke is not a recipe for success. And let's not forget that the Hurricanes are still fairly slow, ranking 279th in terms of adjusted tempo. Duke meanwhile should be sitting on a pretty good defensive effort. Last time out they allowed 87 to NC State and watched the Wolf Pack hit a ridiculous 10-of-16 from three. Does that mean Duke is a bad defensive team? No. They're not great but in their previous six games vs. top 100 teams, the held the opposition to 63 ppg. And at home off of that showing, you can bet Coach K emphasized plenty of defenses in practice the last two days. Adding to it is that the Hurricanes aren't a great offensive team. They scored only 99 points combined in home losses to Green Bay and Eastern Kentucky and will likely struggle to top 60 points in this affair as we look to play it under the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Andrew Lange

College Basketball Gambling: Wisconsin dealing with multiple key injuries

01.13.2015     07:28 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Wisconsin has taken a couple of hits with Frank Kaminsky dealing with a concussion and point guard Traevon Jackson out indefinitely with a foot injury. Jackson will be replaced by sophomore Bronson Koenig who has seen plenty of playing time (20.5 minutes per game) and performed well (4.5 assist-to-turnover ratio). The Badgers are off a disappointing road loss to Rutgers and play host to Nebraska on Thursday.

“He’s the guy that guys look to when we huddle up after any play as to what we’re going to do offensively, as to what matchups might have changed as guys are subbing in and out of games and making sure we’re all on the same page with a lot of different things,” Wisconsin assistant coach Lamont Paris said.

“I think the point guard anywhere is a pretty important position; the point guard here has always been a vital position, and he’s done a really good job of being the leader for these guys from that standpoint.”

Tags: College Basketball Wisconsin Badgers

College Basketball Handicapping: Tennessee desperate for offense

01.13.2015     07:17 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Tennessee will try to bounce back offensively after notching just 38 points in Saturday's blowout loss to Alabama. First-year head coach Donnie Tyndall revealed a lot about to expect from the Vols moving forward. For starters, things will likely remain ugly.

"Defensively, I think we've done a pretty good job," Tyndall said. "It's offensively that we've struggled, and I just don't see that changing. I think we'll get better at the offensive end, but with the makeup of our team, there's going to be some nights where, for lack of a better term, it's going to be ugly."

Secondly, there is much of any offensive talent.

"The problem is outside of Josh -- and other teams know this -- we really don't have a playmaker," Tyndall said.

"(Detrick) Mostella's athletic, but he's a catch-and-shoot guy. Baulkman, I think in time could be that, but right now he gets most of his points from behind the arc. Kevin Punter is a shot-fake, one- or two-dribble guy.

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Tags: College Basketball Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks SEC

College Basketball Betting Free Play: California Golden Bears at UCLA Bruins

01.11.2015     08:21 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
California +7 at UCLA O/U 135
Recommendation: California

Classic "bounce" game as California, off a dismal showing vs. USC, heads to UCLA, who snapped a five-game losing streak with a double OT win over Stanford. The Golden Bears have really struggled to score without Jabari Bird who remains out with a foot injury. But lost in all of the talk about UCLA's offensive struggles is that their defense isn't very good. The Cardinal spent 35 minutes getting open look after open look but not before they got passive late and allowed the Bruins to sneak back into the game. And it wasn't just Stanford; multiple teams, both high quality and mediocre, have been able to successfully attack and score on UCLA's soft defense. Ultimately this comes down to a question of why are the Bruins laying this type of price against comparable competition? This is a very young team who may be without a full-strength Norman Powell, one of the few veterans on the squad. No question Cal hasn't played great basketball but having off since Wednesday should put them in position for a better showing. Enough to stick around until the end. 

Tags: College Basketball California Golden Bears UCLA Bruins Andrew Lange


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