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College Basketball Gambling: Plenty of points expected in Iowa-Iowa State matchup
12.07.2012 07:11 AM
Printer Friendly
Iowa State
at
Iowa
-2 O/U 151.5
The annual Cy-Hawk rivalry goes tonight with Iowa State traveling to Iowa City. The Cyclones have won
three straight in the series
. The betting markets are expecting another up-tempo affair with the total now 151.5 after opening 147.5. ISU won last year's meeting in Ames, 86-76 (71 possessions).
"Every day," Lucious said, "Football, basketball — no matter what the sport is — everyone talks about Iowa State wanting to beat Iowa or Iowa wanting to beat Iowa State, so it’s going to be intense."
“We’ve got to cut that down, especially if we want to compete on Friday,” Hoiberg said of his team giving the ball away. “If we want to have a chance, we can’t turn the ball over 20 times. We’ll get blown out if we do that. We have to
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Tags:
College Basketball
Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa Hawkeyes
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College Basketball Handicapping: Defending the three-point shot
12.06.2012 02:23 PM
Printer Friendly
Good read from Ken Pomeroy on how teams'
three-point percentage defense
is essentially a random stat. Pomeroy feels that not allowing opponents to shoot three-pointers is a far better indication of defensive prowess on the perimeter.
Tags:
College Basketball
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College Basketball Gambling Free Pick: Santa Barbara Gauchos at San Diego State Aztecs
12.06.2012 11:51 AM
ICC
Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC
Cal-Santa Barbara
at
San Diego State
-15
Recommendation: San Diego State
I have enjoyed a few winners betting against UC Santa Barbara this season and I was also able to cash a ticket betting on San Diego State in their win in Anaheim against UCLA on Saturday. I think tonight’s road game at San Diego offers another great opportunity to fade the Gauchos.
Don’t be fooled by UCSB’s last and only road win of the season against Santa Clara, 83-80 in OT. The Broncos were terrible in that game. Santa Clara shot only 36% from the floor and were plagued by turnovers and foul trouble. UCSB had a rare hot shooting night pouring in the basketball at a 45.3% clip from the floor but that’s been the exception, not the rule for the Gauchos this season. In their other games, they failed to score more than 72 points against Division I competition. UCSB has been annihilated in every other road game besides the Santa Clara game
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Tags:
College Basketball
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
San Diego State Aztecs
Ian Cameron
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Vanderbilt Commodores at Xavier Musketeers
12.06.2012 07:53 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Vanderbilt
at
Xavier
-11 O/U 129
Recommendation: Under
Vanderbilt is in an obvious rebuilding year and as a result we've seen a dramatic change in style. The Commodores have really struggled to score and have no choice but to try and slow down the pace of their games. Their last four contests have featured 62, 60, 62, and 62 possessions. Bottom line is Vanderbilt is not going to win any games by outscoring the competition. Xavier too went through a lot of offseason transformation and as a result isn't comfortable playing at the pace of previous editions. The Musketeers played a few moderate scoring affairs on neutral courts but I looked to home games against Butler and Robert Morris as a better indication of how this team will play tonight. Against the Bulldogs, Xavier grinded out a 62-47 win with only 57 possessions. Against Robert Morris, a similar result with a 61-59 win and only 59 possessions. Last time out against Purdue, it was another ugly affair with
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Boise State Broncos at Utah Utes
12.05.2012 11:27 AM
ICC
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Submitted by ICC
Boise State
-6 at
Utah
Recommendation: Boise State
Boise State has been an ATS machine in recent games. The Broncos are 6-1 SU, 4-2 ATS and all those old problems of not being able to win games and cover pointspreads on the highway may just be a thing of the past. Boise State took Michigan State down to the wire in East Lansing in a 74-70 loss, easily covering as 15-point road underdogs. In an early season shocker, Boise State took down Creighton in Omaha by 13 points as 13-point road dogs. And in their last game, there was no letdown for the Broncos who demolished Seattle on the road 87-64 as 9-point road chalk.
Boise State is led by the backcourt duo of Anthony Drmic and Derrick Marks who have combined for 34.6 ppg this season on a Broncos team that can flat out score at will. Boise State has scored no less than 70 points in all but one of those games including topping the 80-point mark four times including in that whopping upset at Creighton.
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Ian Cameron
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College Basketball Gambling Free Play: San Jose State Spartans at UC Davis Aggies
12.05.2012 07:56 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
San Jose State
at
UC Davis
-3.5
Recommendation: UC Davis
We alerted the listening audience to the improvement of UC Davis during last Wednesday’s Sportsmemo podcast. Later that night, they went into the Lawlor Events Center as +11.5 point underdogs and easily covered in their 84-83 near upset of Nevada. Three days later they opened as 9.5-point underdogs at Idaho and were pounded by the betting market down to +6.5 and finally closed at +8.5. The result was a ticket cashing for almost all of their backers as the Aggies came within seven, 73-66. The 1-4 SU record and 4-1 ATS mark are a clear indication that UC Davis has been undervalued in the early going. The team’s -1.6 point differential after five games also signals value.
The reasons for the swift change from last season’s debacle to the eye opening start of this campaign are multiple. For starters, the team has a much better grasp of second year head coach Jim
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Rob Veno
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College Basketball Gambling: Florida State tries to bounce back against rival Florida
12.05.2012 07:46 AM
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Florida
-5.5 at
Florida State
Florida State limps into tonight
rivalry tilt against Florida
off a home loss to Mercer. The Seminoles have wins over BYU and St. Joe's but also lost at home to South Alabama to start the year. FSU is a young team and as head coach Leonard Hamilton pointed out, still trying to find consistency. Florida comes in a perfect 6-0. This will mark the Gators' first true road game of the season.
“That energy, that intensity, that junkyard dog mentality that’s been characteristic of our teams over the last several years seems to be missing from this team,” FSU coach Leonard Hamilton said following his team’s 61-56 loss to Mercer on Sunday. “It’s easy to hide behind the fact that we have so many inexperienced young
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Colorado State Rams at Colorado Buffaloes
12.05.2012 07:20 AM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Colorado State
at
Colorado
-5
Recommendation: Colorado
I don’t see a lot of difference between these two teams but I do feel that the situation favors the home side. Last time out, Colorado had a two-point halftime lead at Wyoming before falling apart in the second half. The Cowboys are a solid team (see: last night’s win at Illinois State) but everything went their way including some favorable calls and a few bailout threes. Head coach Tad Boyle on his team’s effort against Wyoming: "And we've got five Colorado Buffaloes bending over, standing at the waist trying to get it. He just out scrapped us," Boyle lamented. "That was the epitome of why the Wyoming Cowboys won, and why the Colorado Buffaloes lost." I’ve watched enough of Colorado to know that Boulder is a special venue and I expect their best effort of the season. CSU has done no wrong this season including a road win at Washington. Like Wyoming, this is
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Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Louisville Cardinals at Charleston Cougars
12.04.2012 02:34 PM
Andrew Lange
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Submitted by Andrew Lange
Louisville -10 at College of Charleston O/U 129.5
Recommendation: Under
Despite playing at an above average pace, Louisville is far from a great offensive team. On the season they are shooting 30% from three-point range and 65% from the free throw line. When the Cardinals can’t score in transition, the team’s offensive efficiency becomes average at best. College of Charleston used to run under Bobby Cremins but they've adopted a more moderate paced, defensive minded style under former Tulsa head coach Doug Wojcik. The Cougars went on the road and held Baylor to 59 points. St. John's netted a modest 64 while Auburn could manage only 55 against C of C's defense. And while Charleston’s defense has been solid, they too have struggled at times to score. They shot an amazing 9-of-18 from three against Baylor and netted just 63 points. Note that they only attempted 43 field goals, meaning each possession was milked and/or resulted in a turnover. In losses to St. John's and Auburn, Charleston failed to top 39% from the floor. Tonight's opponent sports one of the best defenses in the country. The loss of Gorgui Dieng hurts Louisville on the
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Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Handicapping: Nevada changes up lineup vs. Pacific
12.04.2012 12:25 PM
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Nevada
at
Pacific
-6
It's been a struggle thus far for Nevada with only one pointspread cover (vs. Southern Utah) in seven tries. Head coach David Carter used the same starting lineup for all 35 games last season – the Wolf Pack went 28-7 SU and 19-10-1 ATS. But heading into tonight's game at Pacific, Carter said that he plans on changing things up. He still expects to go with a four-guard lineup – Pacific doesn't have much size. Note that Nevada has won only once in 22 tries in Stockton. They won last year's meeting in Reno, 78-54.
“Different personnel, the same framework, but we’ll also include the four guards,” said Carter, who was has been part of the Wolf Pack program since 1999. “That’s what we’ve been trying to work with the last week or so in practice to see how the offense works and see different matchups.”
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