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December

20

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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Stanford Cardinal

03.19.2013     07:23 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Stephen F. Austin +8.5 at Stanford O/U 126.5
Recommendation: Stephen F. Austin


I'm a little surprised Stanford decided to give head coach Johnny Dawkins another year but as a bettor I won't complain because under Dawkins this team has been a consistent underachiever. As for the NIT, I have my concerns about the Cardinal and their motivation considering they won the event last season. And they get a first round opponent that they simply can't just show up and beat. Stephen F. Austin is a quality mid-major with wins at Tulsa, Oklahoma and Long Beach State. The Lumberjacks also lost at Texas A&M by eight points. They play at a slow place and thrive on the defensive end of the floor (42.1% eFG, 29.0% 3-point, 88.2 ppp allowed). SFA's stout three-point defense is particularly noteworthy considering Stanford shot 41.1% in PAC-12 play which accounted for 32% of its points. Look for the underdog to stick around in this one.

Follow me on Twitter @LangeSportsmemo



Tags: College Basketball Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Stanford Cardinal Andrew Lange




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Stat Profiles for St. Mary's/MTSU and Boise State/La Salle

03.19.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I’m going to skip the two play-in games on the #16 seed rung because those teams are so obscure…and basically irrelevant for the week. Here are some notes on the other two play in games. St. Mary’s vs. Middle Tennessee will be played Tuesday night in Dayton, Boise State/LaSalle on Wednesday night.

Hybrid Estimates

St. Mary’s: +12.8 average margin in Big West, which has a Sagarin conference rating of 75.31

Middle Tennessee: +16.5 average margin in the Sun Belt, which has a Sagarin conference rating of 69.51

Middle Tennessee is +3.7 on the raw total, but St. Mary’s played in a conference that was +5.8 points better. So, that’s St. Mary’s by 2.1 points. The Vegas line as I write this is St. Mary’s. Pretty close there.

Boise State: +1.1 average margin in the Mountain West, which has a Sagarin rating of 80.71

LaSalle: +5.5 average margin in the Atlantic 10, which has a Sagarin rating of Read more


Tags: College Basketball Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders St. Mary's Gaels Boise State Broncos La Salle Explorers Stat Intelligence




NCAA Tournament Betting: Teams scramble to prepare for play-in games

03.19.2013     06:34 AM     Printer Friendly
Middle Tennessee State vs. St. Mary's -3 O/U 132

Not a lot of time to prepare for these "First Four" games as teams were forced to scramble with travel plans and film study. St. Mary's left California at 6 am on Monday and arrived in Dayton just prior to its afternoon press conference.


"I'll tell you this, I didn't see the rest of the (selection) show," Saint Mary's coach Randy Bennett said. "Once I saw our name called and that we were playing Tuesday, it was a mad scramble."






Tags: College Basketball St. Mary's Gaels Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders




Oddshore Sportsbook Odds to Win 2013 NCAA Tournament

03.19.2013     06:04 AM     Printer Friendly
Here are the Odds to Win the NCAA Tournament according to offshore sportsbooks Pinnacle, Greek and 5Dimes.

Offshore Sportsbook Odds to win 2013 NCAA Tournament
Team
Pinnacle
Greek
5Dimes
Louisville
+445
+400
+525
Indiana
+485
+450
+550
Florida
+684
+650
+700
Gonzaga
+1032
+1000
+1200
Duke
+1316
+800
+1100
Kansas
+1316
+1200
+1200
Miami
+1508
+1200
+1100
New Mexico
+1640
+1500
+2400
Ohio State
+1762
+1800
+1600
Georgetown
+1912
+1800
+1600
Saint Louis
+2342
+2500
+2800
Michigan State
+2573
+2000
+2300
Syracuse
+2573
+2250
+2550
Michigan
+3086
+2000
+2400
Wisconsin
+3601
+2800
+4500




Tags: College Basketball




NCAA Tournament Gambling Odds: Top seed Gonzaga favored to win West Region

03.18.2013     03:27 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are Pinnacle's Odds to Win the West Region. No. 1 seed Gonzaga is the top pick at +228 followed by No. 2 Ohio State (+358) and No. 3 New Mexico (+363). You can also wager "no" on Will Gonzaga (-285) Win the West Region? The West features four teams from Ken Pom's top 10 rankings (Gonzaga, Ohio State, Pittsburgh, and Wisconsin) – the most of any region.

ODDS TO WIN WEST REGION
Gonzaga +228
Ohio State +358
New Mexico +363
Pittsburgh +1008
Wisconsin +1097
Arizona +1381
Kansas State +1517
Notre Dame +3525
Iowa State +3610
Belmont +5061
Mississippi +5061
Boise State +7083
Wichita State +7734
La Salle +8096
Harvard +10310
Iona +10310
Southern +10310



Tags: College Basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs




NCAA Tournament Betting Odds: No. 3 seed Florida Gators top choice in South Region

03.18.2013     12:29 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are Pinnacle's Odds to Win the South Region. No. 3 seed Florida is the top pick at +187 followed by No. 1 Kansas (+325) and No. 2 Georgetown (+443). You can also wager "no" on Will Florida (-225) or Kansas (-350) Win the South Region?

ODDS TO WIN SOUTH REGION
Florida +187
Kansas +325
Georgetown +443
Michigan +750
VCU +1410
Minnesota +2012
North Carolina +2012
San Diego State +2515
Oklahoma +3521
UCLA +4025
Villanova +5030
Akron +8551
South Dakota State +8551
Florida Gulf Coast +10060
Western Kentucky +11013
Northwestern State +11013



Tags: College Basketball Florida Gators Kansas Jayhawks Georgetown Hoyas




NCAA Tournament Odds: Nate Silver says Louisville has best shot to cut down nets

03.18.2013     12:20 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Filling out your NCAA Tournament bracket Nate Silver style. Silver has Louisville at 22.7% to win the Big Dance followed by Indiana (19.6%) and Florida (12.7%). Interesting that the Gators have the third-best odds yet are only the No. 3 seed in the South Region.

 



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals




Sportsmemo Handicapper Teddy Covers takes a look at 28 NCAA Tournament matchups

03.18.2013     10:19 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
With the madness that is March now in full swing, it’s time to take a look through the brackets.  Today, I’ll offer a quick take on the 28 matchups already set for Thursday and Friday.  Games are listed in rotation order.

Missouri spent the entire season losing close games on the road, falling in OT at UCLA and Kentucky, while dropping games by three points or less at Tennessee, Arkansas, Texas A&M, LSU and to Ole Miss in the SEC Tournament.  Larry Eustachy got the most he could out of Colorado State’s talent level this year, but the Rams, too, lost nearly every step-up game on the highway.

As a No. 3 seed, Marquette is only a 3.5-point favorite over No. 14 seed Davidson.  The betting markets clearly respect the Wildcats five upperclassmen starters that started 30 of their 33 previous games together this season.

Butler has won at least the first two games of every single postseason tournament they’ve played since 2010, including runs in the Horizon League and A-10 conference tourney’s, two runs to the championship Read more


Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers




NCAA Tournament Gambling Odds: Louisville and Duke top picks in Midwest Region

03.18.2013     08:32 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Below are Pinnacle's Odds to Win the Midwest Regional. No. 1 seed Louisville is the top pick at +125 followed by No. 2 Duke (+350) and No. 3 Michigan State (+588). You can also wager "no" (-150) on Will Louisville Win the Midwest Region? Early analysis has the Midwest as the toughest region. Based on Ken Pom's ratings, it features three teams in the top ten (No. 2 Louisville, No. 6 Duke, and No. 10 Michigan State) as well as four others than reside in the top 20.

ODDS TO WIN MIDWEST REGION
Louisville +125
Duke +350
Michigan State +588
Saint Louis +640
Oklahoma State +2125
Memphis +2125
Creighton +3184
Missouri +3393
Cincinnati +4504
Middle Tennessee State +6363
Saint Mary's +6363
Oregon +7953
New Mexico State +7953
Colorado State +7953
Valparaiso +10601
Albany +10601
North Carolina A&T +10601
Liberty +10601



Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Duke Blue Devils




NCAA Tournament Handicapping: Estimated Market Power Ratings

03.18.2013     08:08 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Had some time to throw down numbers after the first set of Vegas lines went up. These are based on early numbers, and could change over the next few days. If you’re new to the website, these are my estimates of how “the market” has its Power Ratings heading into the Big Dance. They’re based on the estimates we’ve been updating continually through the season, and the current numbers in Tuesday/Thursday/Friday action.

Note that the market loves Florida, Arizona, and Pittsburgh more than the polls or selection committee did…which has been true or several weeks. And, for you regulars, the ACC may be getting more respect in the market that I had been guessing in recent days based on the early prices for NC and NC State, and possibly the Mountain West too the way things are shading with some of those teams.

First, by seed.

1…Louisville 87, Indiana 87, Gonzaga 85, Kansas 84

2…Duke 86, Ohio State 84, Miami 83, Georgetown Read more


Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence



34

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