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November

23

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College Basketball Gambling: Notre Dame has owned Pittsburgh of late

02.18.2013     07:57 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh -10 O/U 122.5

Notre Dame's "burn offense" has been a thorn in Pittsburgh's side over the last three years. The Irish have won four straight in the series – all as an underdog – entering tonight's meeting at the Petersen Events Center.

2011: Notre Dame (+3) 72, Pitt 59 - UNDER 131.5
2011: Notre Dame (+10.5) 56, Pitt 51 - UNDER 136
2010: Notre Dame (+2) 50, Pitt 45 - UNDER 126
2010: Notre Dame (+1) 68, Pitt 53 - UNDER 139



“They kind of wore us down, got shots at the end of the shot clock and got some pretty good looks,” Woodall said. “It's hard to stop a team who runs the clock all the way down from 35 to three and hits either a 3 or gets a shot off and, once they get the rebound, run the clock down some more. We've just got to try Read more



Tags: College Basketball Notre Dame Fighting Irish Pittsburgh Panthers




Teddy Covers' Las Vegas Wiseguy Report: How to bet college basketball in February

02.18.2013     07:36 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
I’ve done my last two columns breaking down aggregate season long stats, examining the very best and very worst pointspread teams in all of college basketball. Next week, the focus shifts towards conference tournaments and the Big Dance. In between? This little doozy about how to make money betting NCAA hoops in the always tricky month of February!

The key to late regular season college hoops for me has always been about morphing teams – squads whose long term numbers don’t match their short term momentum – either positive or negative. There are quite literally dozens of such teams right now, all of whom are at least moderately mispriced in the betting markets these days, offering savvy bettors solid opportunities on a near daily basis.

Who are some of these teams? Why are they morphing now? Read on to find out!

I’ll start with a handful of teams moving in the right direction – from mediocre to good, or from good to great. Georgetown certainly stands out on this list; a perfect 7-0 straight up and against the spread in their last seven contests. The Hoyas were never a bad team, but a 2-3 SU start in Read more


Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Saint Louis Billikens Air Force Falcons UNLV Running Rebels Wyoming Cowboys Creighton Blue Jays Michigan Wolverines Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern Wildcats

02.17.2013     08:37 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Illinois -3.5 at Northwestern O/U 129.5
Recommendation: Under


Have to respect the job Northwestern head coach Bill Carmody has done with his injury plagued squad this season. Despite losing top scorer Drew Crawford early on and then key starting forward Jared Swopshire last week, the Wildcats were able to hang in until the closing minute and get an easy pointspread cover at Ohio State Wednesday night. Today the task becomes even more difficult as starting center Alex Olah will not play (head injury) and starting guard Reggie Hearn (ankle) will likely play at less than 100%. Olah is crucial to NU’s Princeton style attack since he’s used as a high screener and primary passer away from the basket. His abilities in those areas will again force the Wildcats to adjust offensively. Always patient and deliberate on the attack end, expect Northwestern to be even more methodical in this contest by milking every possession. Also figure the ‘Cats to Read more


Tags: College Basketball Illinois Fighting Illini Northwestern Wildcats Rob Veno




College Basketball Betting Recap: Bizarre Duke Loss, Plus Other Night Delights

02.17.2013     08:23 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s not so much that Duke losing on the road to Maryland is bizarre. They almost lost on the road at Boston College last week…and BC is worse than Maryland. It was sure a bizarre boxscore though…

*We’ve seen a few games in recent weeks where a team posted a strong two-point shooting mark on offense, but committed a lot of turnovers. If they didn’t give the ball away…they scored. Or, the defense went for the steal…if it didn’t work…deuce. Saturday night Maryland shot not 50%, or 60%, or 65%....Maryland shot 72% on two-pointers…but turned the ball over TWENTY SIX times! That’s 72% on deuces, with 26 turnovers. EXTREME!

*Duke has had some problems on the boards in recent years when they’re playing top competition. Maryland isn’t really top competition. Just a bubble team. But, Maryland outrebounded Duke by a stunning 38-17.

*At home, Duke often gets the benefit of the doubt on free Read more


Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Maryland Terrapins Stat Intelligence




College Basketball Gambling Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Colorado Buffaloes

02.16.2013     12:05 PM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State +7 at Colorado O/U 131
Recommendation: Arizona State


The Sun Devils were a legitimate ‘value’ team for most of the season.  They were projected as the #11 team in a 12 team conference, and failed to impress early on, starting the year 1-2 ATS. But following that sluggish start, Herb Sendek’s team proceeded to go 10-3 ATS in their next 13 ballgames, playing themselves into contention for a postseason bid.

Arizona State has cooled off, losing three of their last four in SU fashion, including a particularly poorly played defeat at Utah on Thursday Night.  The Sun Devils aren’t losing by margin, however – all three recent defeats have come by five points or less.  They’ve won on the road in SU fashion at Texas Tech, Oregon State and Wassou, and have hung tough in tight road losses by five or less at Oregon, Washington and Utah.  It’s not easy to beat Arizona State by margin Read more


Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Colorado Buffaloes Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Pittsburgh Panthers at Marquette Eagles

02.16.2013     07:39 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Pittsburgh -2.5 at Marquette O/U 123.5
Recommendation: Under


Numerous factors point us towards the under with this afternoon's Pittsburgh-Marquette matchup. The first meet was a knock-down-drag-out affair that produced only 65 possessions despite going to overtime. And the 74-67 score is very deceiving with the game tied 57-57 at the end of regulation. Pace wise we're dealing with two of the slower teams in the Big East with both averaging around 62 possessions per game. There have also been multiple reports that both squads will play zone defense at times this afternoon. For Pitt it is a smart move considering Marquette ranks No. 1 in the Big East is 2-point FG% at 51.5% and 14th at shooting threes (27.2%). Pitt has a similar blueprint with a vast majority of its points coming from inside 20 feet. Note that last year's meeting produced 119 points and 59 possessions and that was with Marquette playing up-tempo and averaging around 70 possessions per game. Read more


Tags: College Basketball Pittsburgh Panthers Marquette Golden Eagles Andrew Lange




College Basketball Handicapping: Red Hot Georgetown First to 9 Wins in Big East Play

02.16.2013     06:34 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Because of their head start on the weekend, the Georgetown Hoyas find themselves alone in first place of the Big East after Friday’s 62-55 win at Cincinnati.

Georgetown is 9-3 in league action, temporarily ahead of Syracuse and Marquette at 8-3. Louisville, Notre Dame, and Pittsburgh are tied for fourth with 8-4 records.

It may be time to consider Georgetown more seriously for a #3 seed or better in the Big Dance. We’ve spent a lot of time recently documenting big name teams who aren’t exactly on fire. Georgetown, sitting with a #4 spot in Joe Lunardi’s Bracketology assessment, is one of the few teams that’s on a big roll.

*Georgetown is 9-1 straight up its last 10 games.

*Georgetown is also 9-1 against market expectations their last 10 games, including their 11-point cover tonight as a 4-point underdog. There aren't too many teams on 90% cover runs at the moment!

*Georgetown has recent win/covers over Notre Dame, Read more


Tags: College Basketball Georgetown Hoyas Cincinnati Bearcats Stat Intelligence




Sports Betting Podcast 2-15-2013 with Handicapper Rob Veno

02.15.2013     09:55 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Friday's Sportsmemo Podcast featured handicapper Rob Veno. Rob talked this weekend's marquee college hoops matchups.

Today's segments
Rob Veno - Saturday College Basketball

To listen to past shows, be sure to visit our Sportsmemo Podcast Homepage.

ITunes users can subscribe to the show by searching "Sportsmemo" in the podcast directory.



Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno




College Basketball Handicapping: With Noel out for UK, Tennessee's Stokes could thrive

02.15.2013     08:11 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Something to consider when Kentucky travels to Tennessee on Saturday. Obviously the Wildcats will be without the services of Nerlens Noel. In the first meeting, Noel played 38 minutes, scored 12 points, grabbed nine boards and blocked six shots as the Cats pulled out a 75-65 win in Lexington. Also noteworthy in that game was the performance of UT's Jarnell Stokes who played only 15 minutes and fouled out. The Vols have won four of their last six games in large part because Stokes has significantly stepped up his game. In those six games he averaged 17.5 ppg, 11.7 rpg and 2 bpg – and more importantly stayed out of foul trouble. Kentucky expects to replace Noah with 7-foot freshman Willie Cauley-Stein who has actually played fairly well of late with three straight double-digit efforts.



Tags: College Basketball Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers




College Basketball Betting Trends: PAC-12 home courts have been money burners

02.14.2013     02:32 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
On today's Podcast I discussed the lack of strong home courts in the PAC-12 this season. From a straight up perspective, home teams are only 40-29, 58% SU in league play which is 23rd out of 33 conferences according to Ken Pom. Where they really falter though is against the spread at 29-39-1 ATS. Arizona and Oregon are the main culprits (both 1-5 ATS) but not one team is more than a game over .500 ATS in league play. Stanford, California, and Colorado are your PAC-12 home teams this evening.

PAC-12 SU/ATS Home Records in League Play
Arizona: 4-2 SU, 1-5 ATS
Arizona State: 5-2 SU, 3-3 ATS
California: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
Colorado: 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS
Oregon: 5-1 SU, 1-5 ATS
Oregon State: 2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS
Stanford: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS
UCLA: 5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS
USC: 4-2 SU, 3-2-1 ATS
Utah: 2-4 SU, 4-3 ATS
Washington: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS
Washington State: 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS
Overall: 40-29 SU
Against the Spread: 29-39-1 ATS


 



Tags: College Basketball PAC-12 Andrew Lange



44

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