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College Basketball Handicapping: Minnesota and Ohio State limp into Wednesday's matchup

02.20.2013     07:37 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Minnesota at Ohio State -5.5 O/U 126

It's a lot easier handicap a game when one team comes in off a horrific performance rather than two. Such is the case with tonight’s Minnesota-Ohio State matchup. The Buckeyes were destroyed by Wisconsin, 71-49, in Madison. The Golden Gophers were just as bad as a 16-point lead somehow turned into a 21-point loss at Iowa. Needless to say, the key word from both camps following their defeats was "embarrassed."

"I think I can speak for the team, we are embarrassed," Smith said. "We not only embarrassed ourselves, we embarrassed our coaching staff, our university, our school president and our fans. We embarrassed everybody. We didn't Read more

Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Minnesota Golden Gophers

College Basketball Betting Recap: Indiana survives, Florida falters late

02.20.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

I know the AP poll shows Florida down at #5. But, most of the reasonable metrics out there had some variation of Indiana and Florida at #1 and #2 in the nation entering tonight's play. Both were on the road this evening facing what might have been their toughest conference tests of the season. Indiana passed. Florida looked like they were going to pass with flying colors, but fell apart in such dramatic fashion that you have to wonder if they're really ready to run the table in the Dance when they'll have to play 40-minute games against opponents who know what they're doing.

Let's run the numbers...

Indiana 72, Michigan State 68

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 44%, Michigan State 49%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 8/18, Michigan State 4/15

Free Throws: Indiana 10/15, Michigan State 16/23

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 48, Michigan State 56

Rebounds: Indiana 28, Michigan State 31

Turnovers: Indiana 10, Michigan State Read more

Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hooisers Florida Gators Stat Intelligence

College Basketball Gambling: Markets starting to catch up with Miami Hurricanes

02.20.2013     06:53 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Quick betting recap of Miami's last seven games. Obviously a lot of the value has eroded after starting the season 12-3 ATS. If fact, if you've been betting against the Hurricanes of late, and have been able to get the best of the number, you've made a decent chunk of change. The results based on the closing numbers has Miami 3-3-1 ATS over its last seven. But CRIS's line history shows that 2-4-1 or 2-5 to be a more realistic tally.

1/30 at Virginia Tech - Miami opened as an 11-point favorite and closed -9. The Hurricanes won by 9, 73-64.

2/3 at NC State - Miami opened a pick 'em but was bet up to as high as -2.5. The Hurricanes won by 1, 79-78. A majority of bettors who supported the Wolfpack won or at least pushed. Those who got the best of the number with Miami also were able to cash.

2/5 vs. Boston College - A wire-to-wire 72-50 win for Miami (-13.5).

2/9 vs. North Carolina - Another easy win and cover as the Hurricanes rolled, 87-61, as 7.5-point chalk.

2/13 at Florida State - A last second run-out bucket by Miami caused plenty of pleasure Read more

Tags: College Basketball Miami Hurricanes

Even the Wall Street Journal is talking about Miami's awesome ATS record

02.19.2013     11:23 AM     Printer Friendly
Virginia at Miami-FL -7.5 O/U 118.5

You know the cat is out of the bag on Miami's against the spread success when it’s featured in the Wall Street Journal.

Tags: College Basketball Miami (FL) Hurricanes Virginia Cavaliers

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Valparaiso Crusaders at Loyola-Chicago Ramblers

02.19.2013     08:05 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Valparaiso -6 at Loyola Chicago
Recommendation: Valparaiso

Loyola has been an overvalued commodity for much of the season at home. Prior to Saturday's win over rival UIC, the Ramblers failed to cover six straight at the Gentile Center. Tonight they play host to an opponent in Valparaiso that is eager for a big win. To start, the Crusaders are looking for payback after losing on their home court to the Ramblers back in early January. Second, after blowing Saturday's game against Detroit, Valpo's lead in the conference standings is only a half game. But the real key to this game is the health of Loyola’s Cully Payne and Ben Averkamp. Loyola managed a "hump up effort" without the duo against weaker UIC. Tonight against a far better opponent, their absence could be magnified. In the first meeting, Payne and Averkamp combined for 30 points and 12 assists. As of this morning, Payne (thumb) is doubtful and Averkamp (concussion) is questionable. Read more

Tags: College Basketball Valparaiso Crusaders Loyola-Chicago Ramblers Andrew Lange

College Basketball Handicapping: Updated Power Conference Power Ratings 2/19

02.19.2013     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Using posted pointspreads from the past few days (including the openers for Tuesday night), I’ve updated our estimates of how “the market” currently has teams from all six major conferences rated. I’m using a standard 4 points for home court advantage. In cases where it seems the market is making clear distinctions for a home/road split (like with Missouri), I’ve posted a road entry and a home entry for that handful of teams.

These aren’t my personal ratings (I’d have Duke and Arizona probably about 3 points lower apiece for example...but I'm stubborn that way). This is how the market as a composite looks to be rating everyone.

Estimated Power Ratings Based on Market Prices (Six Major Conferences)

88: Indiana (home)

87: Indiana (road), Florida

86: Louisville

85: Syracuse, Michigan

84: Duke, Pittsburgh, Michigan State

83: Kansas

82: Miami, Minnesota (home), Arizona, Ohio Read more

Tags: College Basketball Stat Intelligence

College Basketball Handicapping: Virginia looks to bounce back defensively vs. Miami

02.19.2013     07:30 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Virginia at Miami-FL -7.5 O/U 116.5

Through the first 20 games of the season, Virginia allowed a point per possession or more in only four games. The Cavaliers have allowed that in three of their last five including a dismal 1.34 ppp in Saturday's 93-81 loss to North Carolina. According to this article, the Cavaliers are eager to get back to their grind-it-out, defensive-minded ways tonight at Miami.

“Our system is gonna stay the same. We don’t need to adjust anything. It’s what got us in this position with winning as many games as we have,” forward Akil Mitchell added. “But our mind-set has to be different. We have to come out a lot more focused, a lot more poised than we Read more

Tags: College Basketball Virginia Cavaliers Miami (FL) Hurricanes

College Basketbal Betting: Missouri Tigers seek revenge over Florida Gators

02.19.2013     07:12 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Florida -5 at Missouri O/U 138

Missouri with revenge on its mind after getting waxed by Florida back in January, 83-52. The Gators shot 68% from 2-point range and forced 21 turnovers in the win. Note that in the first meeting, the Tigers were without Laurence Bowers (14 ppg, 6 rpg) while the Gators had Will Yeguete who finished with 13 points on 6-of-7 shooting. Bowers is now back while Yeguete is out with a knee injury.

“They kicked our butts,” Oriakhi admitted with a laugh on Monday. “I’m not going to lie to you, we want revenge. We obviously want to show we’re one of the best teams in America.”

Tags: College Basketball Missouri Tigers Florida Gators

College Basketball Gambling: Wyoming's Washington doubtful vs. San Diego State

02.18.2013     12:53 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
According to Twitter, it looks like Wyoming's Leonard Washington (ankle) is doubtful for Tuesday's game against San Diego State. It's yet another key injury for the Cowboys who lost leading scorer Luke Martinez (suspended) back in late December. With Martinez, Wyoming started the season 8-1 ATS. But without him and since the start of Mountain West play, the Cowboys are only 4-8 ATS. Also note that forward Larry Nance Jr., who has gone five straight league games without scoring double-digits, has been nursing a bum wrist.

@Ben_Fred - Shyatt said Leonard Washington still has swelling and pain in left ankle. Won't play unless there's a "miraculous recovery."

Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys San Diego State Aztecs

College Basketball Handicapping: Ohio State and Minnesota embarrassed on the road

02.18.2013     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

After getting caught flatfooted last Sunday in an early start against Indiana in Columbus, the Ohio State Buckeyes showed they learned NOTHING from the experience by coming out even more flat today at Wisconsin.

Early Wisconsin leads:

15:33 Wisconsin 12, Ohio State 6

14:08: Wisconsin 18, Ohio State 6

11:59: Wisconsin 20, Ohio State 6

9:22: Wisconsin 22, Ohio State 6

8:35 Wisconsin 27, Ohio State 8

3:46: Wisconsin 34, Ohio State 14

The Badgers had a couple of dry spells in there that were just begging Ohio State to get back in the game. Wasn’t going to happen. Ohio State wasn’t getting many good looks…and they were impatiently racing through bad looks because they could feel the game getting away from them.

Something to remember if Ohio State gets early tips in the Big 10 tournament or in the Big Dance. You might think two games is a small sample size. Well, okay…it’s obviously a Read more

Tags: College Basketball Ohio State Buckeyes Minnesota Golden Gophers Stat Intelligence


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