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College Basketball Handicapping: Duke getting outplayed in the paint

01.13.2014     08:29 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
We've seen a well-establish pattern with this year's Duke squad: weak interior defense and rebounding vs. quality competition. In games against Kansas, Arizona, UCLA, Notre Dame, and Clemson, the Blue Devils allowed 52% from 2-point range and were outrebounded 195-153. The only game Duke was able to win the battle down low (and thus win and cover) was against UCLA which is by far the weakest and most finesse team of the bunch. Tonight's opponent, Virginia, ranks first in ACC play with a +9.3 rebounding margin.

vs. Kansas
Kansas 2-point: 29-49, 59%
Rebounding Margin: Kansas 39, Duke 24

vs. Arizona
Arizona 2-point: 18-33, 55%
Rebounding Margin: Arizona 36, Duke 28

vs. UCLA
UCLA 2-point: 16-38 42%
Rebounding Margin: Duke 41, UCLA 33

vs. Notre Dame
Notre Dame 2-point: 24-45, 53%
Rebounding Margin: Notre Dame 39, Duke 30

vs. Clemson
Clemson 2-point: 21-42, 50%
Rebounding Margin: Clemson 48, Duke 30

Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers

College Basketball Handicapping: Iowa State's Kane likely out vs. Kansas

01.13.2014     07:27 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Iowa State's DeAndre Kane is very doubtful for tonight's game against Kansas. Kane severely sprained his ankle in last week's loss at Oklahoma. Assuming he doesn't play, the point guard duties will be passed along to freshman Monte Morris who hasn't committed a turnover in six games (20 minutes per game).

“It’s really not up to me,” Kane said. “It’s up to Coach (Fred Hoiberg) and (athletic trainer) Vic (Miller). Like I said, it’s pretty sore. I always want to go out there and help my brothers win, try to do whatever I can to play. … I’ll keep getting treatment every 20 minutes or so and see how I feel.”

“There’s a lot of basketball to be played and if anything can happen to further the injury or make it more severe, then obviously we’ll hold him out,” Hoiberg said. “We’ll take a cautious approach with this one.”

Tags: College Basketball Iowa State Cyclones Kansas Jayhawks

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Monmouth Hawks at Canisius Golden Griffins

01.12.2014     08:39 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Monmouth +10.5 at Canisius
Recommendation: Monmouth

Familiarity between these new MAAC opponents will be minimal since they have not faced each other yet this season. Youthful Monmouth squad has gone to a unique lineup which features three guards and a pair of 6’10” true freshman centers. Using a pair of big men in an up-tempo system (73.0 possessions per game overall, 74.8 in league play) wouldn’t seem to be a good fit but with this alignment, Monmouth won at high octane Niagara Friday night 85-74. Head coach King Rice is confident that playing the duo of Chris Brady and Zac Tillman together will continue to make the Hawks better. Monmouth shot 63% from the field in the win but that’s far above their poor season average of 39.5%. Defensively, they’ve been sound over the past eight games allowing only Quinnipiac to shoot above 44% from the field.

Canisius played their third consecutive tight contest Friday night defeating Rider in double OT 94-91 on a buzzer beating three by star Billy Baron. The Golden Griffins haven’t had much trouble offensively in conference play averaging 79.6 ppg on 46.9% shooting Read more

Tags: College Basketball Monmouth Hawks Canisius Golden Griffins Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Xavier Musketeers at Creighton Bluejays

01.12.2014     08:26 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Xavier +8.5 at Creighton O/U 142
Recommendation: Xavier

Xavier has been an underdog three times this season, compiling a 3-0 spread record with a pair of outright wins vs. Cincinnati (64-47) and at Alabama (77-74). The only outright defeat came in a 77-74 loss to Iowa in overtime as a six-point underdog.

Chris Mack's team has a 13-3 straight-up record and a 10-4 against-the-spread mark. Xavier will take an eight-game winning streak into Omaha on Sunday to face Creighton. Most books have the Bluejays favored by -8.5.

Xavier has the better RPI (#27) compared to Creighton (#35). The Musketeers have covered the spread in six consecutive games, including triumphs over Marquette, Butler and St. John's to start 3-0 in their debut season in the Big East.

Xavier has played a tough schedule with a pair of wins over RPI Top-50 opponents, including a win over Tennessee. The Musketeers have won seven of 10 games versus foes in the RPI's Top 100. They have only lost one game by more than six, a 64-49 defeat against Tennessee when the Vols were in revenge mode.

Creighton won't be at full strength. Sixth-year senior guard Grant Read more

Tags: College Basketball Xavier Musketeers Creighton Bluejays Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Missouri Tigers at Auburn Tigers

01.11.2014     08:09 AM     Alatex Sports     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Alatex Sports blog entry.
Missouri -2.5 at Auburn O/U 141
Recommendation: Missouri

Missouri got off to an 11-0 start this year but has gone 2-2 in their last four games. Their last two games were maybe their worst efforts of the season, beating Long Beach State and losing to Georgia at home. The Georgia loss occurred as a 14-point favorite, and snapped their 26-game home winning streak. This should serve as a wakeup call for the Tigers, who were good enough to beat UCLA and win at NC State and are certainly good enough to win at Auburn.

Auburn is coming off a tough loss at Ole Miss, who played without leading scorer Marshall Henderson. The Tigers have made some improvements since losing badly to Iowa State and Illinois, especially on the defensive end. They had won four straight games since those two lopsided losses, but the best two wins came against Boston College and Clemson, neither of which possesses the kind of firepower that Missouri does.

Auburn does not have much of a home court edge in their new gym, and they are lacking in the talent department. Two players, KT Harrell and Chris Denson make up the majority of their offense. They combined to take Read more

Tags: College Basketball Missouri Tigers Auburn Tigers Brent Crow

College Basketball Handicapping: Injury Report 1-10-2014

01.10.2014     11:35 AM         Printer Friendly
Submitted by blog entry.
Ole Miss star guard Marshall Henderson served the first of a two-game suspension in Thursday’s non-covering 65-62 home win over Auburn. Henderson will also have to sit out Saturday at Mississippi State as well. The suspension is for the Rebels’ first two SEC games dating back to his off-season shenanigans. Reports out of Oxford indicate that he might not have been able to play anyway, because he got injured (neck/back) serious enough for a hospital trip when he got banged up in practice during a rebounding drill earlier this week. Henderson is averaging a team-high 18.8 points per game.

Michigan State center Adreian Payne is ‘questionable’ Saturday vs. Minnesota due to a foot injury. Payne averages 16.2 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. Travis Trice (illness), who averages 7.6 PPG, is also a question mark.

Vandy was already short-handed this season with the surprising loss of three likely starters over the offseason (one went pro in Europe, one transferred and one got suspended). Now Kevin Stallings's team is up against it again. Eric McClellan has been suspended for the rest of the season for a violation of the university's academic Read more

Tags: College Basketball Brian Edwards

College Basketball Betting Free Play: Marquette Golden Eagles at Xavier Musketeers

01.09.2014     10:45 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Marquette at Xavier -4 O/U 132
Recommendation: Xavier

The Xavier Musketeers have flown under the radar this season despite a 12-3 SU, 9-4 ATS start. And we know they have owned a very strong home court advantage at the Cintas Center at 11-0 SU, 7-2 ATS. Xavier notched a pair of home wins to open Big East play against St. John’s and Butler winning each of those games by 10 and 11 points respectively. The Musketeers have gotten terrific point guard play from Semaj Christon who is averaging 14.7 points per game and 20 assists without committing a single turnover in the team’s last three home games. They’ve also done a good job of preparing for conference play by facing a litany of quality foes in non-conference play: Tennessee (twice), Iowa, USC, Cincinnati and Alabama.

Marquette was put through the ringer themselves in a difficult non-conference schedule with games against Wisconsin, San Diego State, New Mexico and Arizona State. But the Golden Eagles didn’t exactly pass those tests with flying colors. They were 0-4 SU in those games all away from home and when you combine that with their ugly 67-49 road loss at Read more

Tags: College Basketball Marquette Golden Eagles Xavier Musketeers Ian Cameron

College Basketball Gambling: Temple banged up heading into tonight's game vs. USF

01.09.2014     08:25 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
South Florida at Temple -6.5

Looks like Temple is going to be down to only eight healthy players for tonight's game against South Florida. The Owls have been playing a pretty fast clip this year (69.5 possessions per game). After an 0-2 start to AAC play and short on bodies, it wouldn't shock us to see Temple play a little closer to the vest this evening. 

“We’re approaching a day-to-day status [for Williams],” Temple head coach Fran Dunphy tells KYW Newsradio. “I don’t know that he’ll be ready on Thursday, but hopefully after that he’ll be able to give us some minutes and get into a game. I think the swelling has gone down, I think we’re in decent shape here, the doctors and the trainers are pleased with his progress after Saturday.”

“We have a couple of guys sitting out as transfers, so the practice pieces are taken care of,” Dunphy says. “The game pieces, we have to manage that very carefully, obviously, making substitutions and

Read more

Tags: College Basketball Temple Owls South Florida Bulls

College Basketball Handicapping: Ole Miss' Henderson sits, team may be better off

01.09.2014     08:11 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Auburn at Ole Miss -9

Interesting quote by Ole Miss head coach Andy Kennedy as the team prepares to play without the services of Marshall Henderson for the first two games of SEC play. Kennedy stated matter-of-factly that point guard Jarvis Summers has been the team's best player. The numbers back that up as Summers sports the team's best offensive rating (124.3) by a wide margin. In my opinion, the loss of Henderson doesn't hurt the team one bit. In fact, Ole Miss may even be better without him. Yes, Henderson can score and is a safety valve for when the shot clock is ticking down, but I've watched enough of Ole Miss basketball to know that the offense runs a lot smoother without Henderson and not to mention the incredible liability he is on defense – hence why Ole Miss has been spotted playing zone with Henderson on the floor despite having more than enough athletes to play better-than-average Read more

Tags: College Basketball Ole Miss Rebels Auburn Tigers

After further review, UTEP's suspensions for sports betting are ridiculous

01.09.2014     07:44 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
The smoke has cleared following the suspension of three UTEP players for sports betting. As mentioned, there is currently no evidence – according to the FBI and university – that the players bet on UTEP games or where shaving points. Now it is pretty obvious that with the FBI's involvement, there was a one point suspicion of exactly that. Certainly the FBI is aware that betting on sports is fairly common among college athletes – so common that a poll from 2012 showed that 57% of male athletes gambled on sports in some capacity. What is concerning is how quickly the players were shown the door. The NCAA stipulates that athletes caught gambling will be suspended for one year as well as lose a year of eligibility. As pointed out by local ESPN radio host Steve Kaplowitz, the situation is unprecedented in that there haven't been many (if any) cases of athletes being suspended for sports betting that Read more

Tags: College Basketball UTEP Miners


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