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Your options for watching and betting the NCAA Tournament in Las Vegas
03.13.2012 09:24 AM
Printer Friendly
The
Las Vegas Sun
provided details on your options for viewing this year's NCAA Tournament. Of note, the $2 shots of Jameson at Stations Casino – a must after UNLV blows a 15-point lead against Colorado.
Tags:
College Basketball
Las Vegas
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NCAA Tournament Gambling: Turnovers and rebounding keys to upsets
03.13.2012 07:50 AM
Printer Friendly
Article from
The Harvard College Sports Analysis Collective
on predicting upsets in the NCAA Tournament. Two important factors in determining upsets are turnovers and rebounding.
VCU will be a very trendy upset pick this year because of their run last season, but this model adores the Rams because of their ability to force turnovers (best in the nation) and take care of the ball (27th best in the nation). A note of caution, however: VCU is a big outlier. Since this model is looking for average effects, it may not do as well out of sample predicting teams far away from the average, like VCU.
Tags:
College Basketball
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College Basketball Betting Notes: Northwestern not pleased with NIT seed
03.13.2012 06:53 AM
Printer Friendly
Akron
at
Northwestern
-6.5 O/U
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade. So what if you were 1-10 vs. the RPI top 50. So what if you haven't made an NCAA Tournament since...well ever.
You got a home game in the NIT baby!
Wait. You're disappointed with your NIT seed too? Umm, did we mention you were 1-10 VS. THE RPI TOP 50!?!? Just be glad you didn't get shipped to Quinnipiac for the CBI.
“I was surprised,” Carmody said. “I thought we were a higher seed than that. I thought we were at worst a two seed.
“There was disappointment yesterday, but the real disappointment was Thursday [losing to Minnesota in the Big Ten tournament.] You have five days. I think that was the disappointment. As it turns out, the way it looks to be, even if we had beaten those guys, we weren’t getting in.
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Tags:
College Basketball
Northwestern Wildcats
Akron Zips
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Top 10 tips for gambling on the 2012 NCAA Tournament
03.13.2012 06:35 AM
Teddy Covers
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Submitted by Teddy Covers
When March Madness rolls around, no one is immune to the itch to get in on the action, whether it’s laying down a bet or simply competing in an office pool. I’ll share my Top 10 NCAA Tournament gambling strategies in this article. There are no surprises here – veteran bettors know this stuff already, but it never hurts to think about these concepts again before the Big Dance begins.
1) Fade the teams that looked great last weekend
There’s no such thing as carrying over momentum from conference tournament weekend to the Big Dance. Of the Top 16 teams in the Big Dance – the top four teams from each region – only four of them (Michigan State, Louisville, Missouri and Florida State) won their conference tournaments.
Many of the top contenders for the national title dropped out early; focusing on this coming weekend as opposed to last weekend. The teams that went all out to secure a bid or win their conference title but came up short, like Cincinnati, Baylor and San Diego State , tend to be particularly strong on the fade list.
2) Winning your office pool requires luck
When
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Teddy Covers
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NCAA Tournament Gambling Preview: Lamar Cardinals vs. Vermont Catamounts
03.12.2012 02:12 PM
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NCAA Tournament Midwest Regional
Lamar -3 vs. Vermont O/U 130
Wednesday, 3:30 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: Lamar -2
Betting Take:
Play-in game with the winner getting top seed North Carolina. Lamar made headlines a few weeks ago after head coach Pat Knight bashed his team for
not knowing how to win
. The Cardinals responded by winning six straight – all by double-digits – including the Southland Tournament. According to Ken Pom, Lamar is the most experienced team in the country with virtually the entire roster comprised of juniors and seniors. They faced a very tough non-conference slate: at Louisville, at Ohio State and at Kentucky. Vermont has now reached the postseason four straight years. They acquitted themselves well when asked to step up in class with close losses to tournament teams South Florida, Harvard and Iona. Should be a fairly competitive contest with Lamar ranked no. 102 and Vermont no. 120 based on Ken Pom's ratings.
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Lamar Cardinals
Vermont Catamounts
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NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Iona Gaels at BYU Cougars
03.12.2012 12:45 PM
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NCAA Tournament West Regional
Iona vs. BYU -2 O/U 161.5
Tuesday, 6 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: BYU -1.5
Betting Take:
Two teams that just slipped into the postseason square off in the 14th seed play-in game. The winner takes on no. 3 seed Marquette. Against St. Mary's, Loyola Marymount and Gonzaga, BYU went just 2-5 SU with two of those losses coming at the once vaunted Marriott Center. Defensively, the Cougs' numbers look decent but they had a lot difficulty defending pretty much any team with an above average offense. They'll certainly see that against Iona who during the preseason hung 90 and 89 on Purdue and Maryland respectively. Like BYU, the Gaels often win by outscoring the opposition. Note that against the top two defenses in the MAAC, Fairfield and Manhattan, Iona went 1-3 ATS. Also of note, Iona was 1-3 O/U in games lines 160 or above. BYU didn't play a game lined over 160 and was 4-6 O/U in games line 150 or above. A lot of things outside of just pace need to go right in order to top 161 points in a college basketball game.
Lock in full College Basketball Tournament coverage from the
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Iona Gaels
BYU Cougars
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NCAA Tournament Betting Preview: Mississippi Valley State vs. Western Kentucky
03.12.2012 12:21 PM
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NCAA Tournament South Regional
Mississippi Valley State vs. Western Kentucky -4.5 O/U 139
Tuesday, 3:30 pm PT - Dayton, Ohio
Rob Veno Power Rating: Western Kentucky -6
Betting Take
: Play-in game with the winner taking on top seed Kentucky. The SWAC will be represented by the class of the league, Mississippi Valley State, who finished 17-1. Like most SWAC schools, the Delta Devils played a lot of "pay check road games" against power conference schools during the non-conference. They took their lumps but were competitive in losses to Iowa State, DePaul, and South Carolina. Western Kentucky fired its coach mid-season and at one point was 5-14 overall and 1-5 in Sun Belt play. The Hilltoppers managed to finish 7-9 in conference play and won four games in four days (by a total of 17 points) to claim the Sun Belt crown. Never know what to expect from these play-in games though they have been relatively low scoring the last few years with scores of 61-44, 58-43 and 69-60. Note however that Mississippi Valley averaged more than 70 possessions per game in conference action. The SWAC has one play-in game victory in five
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College Basketball Handicapping: NCAA, NIT, CBI, CIT tournament power ratings
03.12.2012 12:00 PM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno was kind enough to post his
Power Ratings
for the NCAA, NIT, CBI and CIT tournaments. Click on links below.
NCAA
NIT
CBI
CIT
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Offshore Odds to Win 2012 NCAA Tournament
03.12.2012 08:03 AM
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Here are the Odds to Win the NCAA Tournament according to offshore sportsbooks Pinnacle, Greek and BetOnline.
Offshore Sportsbooks Odds to Win 2012 NCAA Tournament
Teams
Pinnacle
Greek
BetOnline
Kentucky
+235
+185
+225
Michigan State
+864
+800
+850
North Carolina
+656
+500
+550
Syracuse
+1011
+650
+800
Duke
+2144
+1200
+1800
Missouri
+1140
+1200
+1050
Kansas
+1087
+1000
+1000
Ohio State
+539
+650
+550
Baylor
+3388
+3000
+3300
Marquette
+3205
+3500
+3000
Georgetown
+5685
+4000
+4500
Louisville
+3102
+3000
+3000
Vanderbilt
+3928
+3000
+3500
Wisconsin
+5168
+4500
+4700
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NCAA Tournament Prop Bet: Will these teams reach the Sweet Sixteen?
03.12.2012 07:43 AM
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Pinnacle is offering a prop bet on whether or not various top seeds will reach the Sweet Sixteen.
Kentucky: Yes -600, No +452
Michigan State: Yes -245, No +205
North Carolina: Yes -450, No +354
Syracuse: Yes -225, +354
Duke: Yes -180, No. +153
Missouri: Yes -270, No +224
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Kentucky Wildcats
Michigan State Spartans
Syracuse Orange
North Carolina Tar Heels
Missouri Tigers
Duke Blue Devils
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