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September

30

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College Basketball Handicapping: Scoring has been down nation-wide

01.16.2013     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It looks like scoring in college basketball is on pace for an historical low this season. Since 1952, only once have we seen the national average below 68 ppg. We're currently at that mark with it expected to dip now that conference play is underway. There are some theories. One would be departures to the NBA – something that has been taking place for years. Next, and this makes a little more sense, is technology with teams able to quickly and efficiently put together film on the opposition. Due to the crazy totals market it's hard to get an accurate number on nation-wide results. One site claims 53.5% of games have gone under the total in regulation.


"There's so much more film now than there was when I first started in the mid 1990s," Groce said Monday on the Big Ten teleconference. "I could go right now to the office and say, 'I want every underneath out-of-bounds play that Northwestern ran in the last 30 games,' and my video guy could get me that in 15 minutes.

"There are a Read more



Tags: College Basketball




College Basketball Betting: Colorado holds players-only meeting

01.16.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Colorado at Washington -2

Since the start of PAC-12 play, the hot topic for Colorado has been its supposed lack of "mental toughness." The Buffaloes had it during regulation against Arizona but lost it in overtime. It was nowhere to be seen in the loss to Arizona State whereas against Southern Cal, present and accounted for. UCLA at home? Not the last five minutes as the Bruins snuck away with a 78-75 win in Boulder. We’re detecting a pattern – win and we’re tough, lose and we’re a JV squad. Now we're having a players-only meeting to combat this supposed lack of testicular fortitude. From our perspective we see a team that is capable but very young and inconsistent, hence four straight relatively close games; three of which happen to go the way of the opposition. If Colorado doesn’t get scammed Read more


Tags: College Basketball Colorado Buffaloes Washington Huskies




College Basketball Handicapping: Louisville Cardinals win again with defense

01.15.2013     11:15 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

It’s time for our semi-annual reminder that Rick Pitino is one of the best defensive coaches in college basketball. The media is doing a better job of recognizing this. But, the sentiment you’re hearing now is about how great THIS particular Louisville defense is…rather than how great Louisville is on defense every year.

Ken Pomeroy’s adjusted defensive ratings…which account for both tempo and quality of opposition…currently have Louisville as the #1 defense in the country. Just like Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence




Mountain West Betting News and Notes 1-15-2013

01.15.2013     06:59 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wyoming Suspends Second-Leading Scorer Luke Martinez

Luke Martinez has been suspended indefinitely from the Wyoming basketball team as the result of a bar fight last month that left him with a broken finger.

According to the Star-Tribune, there were charges filed against Martinez this weekend as a result of the incident.

Martinez is the second-leading scorer for the Cowboys, a team that remained undefeated until last week and that has set themselves up nicely for a run at an NCAA tournament berth. There is no doubt that this injury — and the suspension — puts a dent into those plans.

Head coach Larry Shyatt has said that Martinez will not return to the team until the legal system has taken its course. For now, the Cowboys are going with a starting lineup consisting of three point guards and a pair Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Colorado State Rams Nevada Wolf Pack Rob Veno




College Basketball Handicapping: Boise State will be close to full strength vs. New Mexico

01.14.2013     11:58 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Boise State will nearly be back to full strength on Wednesday when it plays host to New Mexico. Last week, when the Broncos traveled to Wyoming to take on the Cowboys, they did it without four players, including their top two reserves and leading scorer Derrick Marks. The Broncos still managed to win that game, however, and now they’ll be getting three of those four players back on the floor. Marks will return Wednesday, as will Mikey Thompson and Darrious Hamilton. Kenny Buckner will miss another two games. The quartet was suspended for the dreaded violation of team rules.


“It was one of the hardest decisions I’ve ever had to make,” head coach Leon Rice told the Idaho Statesman after the Wyoming game, in reference to the suspensions. “We have a young team and we’re building a program, so one game is not as important as the future of our program. We don’t compromise on not doing it right.”



Follow me on Twitter @robveno1




Tags: College Basketball Boise State Broncos Rob Veno




College Basketball Gambling: Tough to bet against Louisville's defense

01.14.2013     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Louisville -7 at Connecticut O/U 132.5

Last time out against South Florida, the Louisville Cardinals shot 38% from the floor and 17% from three. Leading scorer Russ Smith was 2-for-13, including 0-for-4 from three. Oh, we almost forgot, the Cardinals also had 15 turnovers. Most of you are already aware of the outcome but it bears repeating – despite such an awful night offensively, Louisville destroyed South Florida 64-38. To put it in perspective how good UL's defense is, based on their seasonal output of 0.80 points per possession allowed, it takes opponents 75 possessions to score 60 points. Only three opponents have topped a point per possession against the Cardinals (Duke, Memphis, and Kentucky). UConn comes into tonight's game off a Read more


Tags: College Basketball Louisville Cardinals UConn Huskies




College Basketball Betting Free Play: Arizona State Sun Devils at Oregon Ducks

01.13.2013     08:27 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange

SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Arizona State at Oregon
Recommendation: Arizona State +5.5 1st half


On most days, Oregon is without question 10 points or more better than Arizona State on its home floor. But, the Ducks are off a huge storm-the-court-win against undefeated Arizona and it shouldn't come as a shock if they come out sluggish against ASU tonight. That was the biggest win the Ducks have had under Dana Altman as the team moved to 13-2, 2-0 PAC-12. Arizona State comes in playing with house money. They beat Utah in overtime to open PAC-12 play, caught Colorado in a great spot, and benefited from a multiple suspensions to Oregon State. I'm not completely sold on the Sun Devils but they are improved from last season (see: PG Jahii Carson) and have the guard play and size to not be completely overwhelmed on the highway. I grabbed some ASU +5.5 first half and will play accordingly at halftime.




Tags: College Basketball Arizona State Sun Devils Oregon Ducks Andrew Lange




NCAA Basketball Gambling: Arizona, Wyoming no longer perfect, Duke and Michigan remain

01.11.2013     02:19 PM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Two teams back in action this weekend after losing their first games of the season. Wyoming, who while good was on borrowed time after playing a fairly soft schedule, lost at home to Boise State, 63-61. The Cowboys go on the road to face Nevada on Saturday. Arizona's streak ended last night in Eugene as Oregon held on for a 70-66 victory. The Wildcats have a day to record and then visit Oregon State. Duke (15-0, at NC State) and Michigan (16-0, at Ohio State) remain the only two unbeatens.

Out of curiosity, we went back the last two years and looked how teams with extended perfect records fared after being issued their first loss of the season.

It is a small sample but there doesn't look to be a significant hangover effect. The best example was two years ago when Syracuse was 18-0 and lost to Pittsburgh. The next time out against Villanova in the Carrier Dome, the Orange trailed 40-29 at half and lost by the same margin as 5.5-point home favorites.

2011-12
Syracuse 20-0, Loss at Notre Dame, Next game won and covered at Cincinnati.

Missouri 14-0, Loss at Kansas State, Next game won at covered at Iowa State.

Baylor 17-0, Loss at Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Arizona Wildcats Duke Blue Devils Michigan Wolverines




College Basketball Gambling Free Pick: Wright State Raiders at Loyola Ramblers

01.11.2013     10:49 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
Wright State +4 at Loyola Chicago O/U 115.5
Recommendation: Wright State


This was supposed to be another down year for Wright State; still rebuilding following a string of 20+ win seasons under Brad Brownell (now at Clemson).  But a funny thing happened to Billy Donlon’s squad on the way to the Horizon League cellar – they started playing great basketball, right from the get-go. 

On opening night, the Raiders pulled the outright upset as ten point road dogs at Idaho.  They followed that up with wins away from home against Eastern Illinois, Idaho State and Hofstra.  Wright played at Cincinnati and hung tough throughout, a wire-2-wire ATS cover as 18 point dogs.  And here in Horizon League play, we’ve seen the Raiders win each of their first three games, two in blowout fashion, thanks to a stifling defense that has held nine of their last ten opponents under 60 points.

Even in last Read more


Tags: College Basketball Wright State Raiders Loyola-Chicago Ramblers Teddy Covers




College Basketball Betting: NC State still in search of a marquee win

01.11.2013     08:27 AM     Printer Friendly
SportsMemo.com blog entry.
It's a new year but worth pointing out NC State's struggles at home vs. the ACC and when asked to step up in class. Against conference foes last year, the Wolfpack were 4-4 SU and a dismal 0-7-1 ATS in Raleigh. And dating back to last year, with the expectation of a second round win over Georgetown in the NCAA Tournament, NC State routinely fell short against better competition. Against Ken Pom's Top 25, the Wolfpack went 1-11 SU and 4-7 ATS under head coach Mark Gottfried. NC State plays host to Duke on Saturday.

Last Year vs. Ken Pom Top 25
SU/ATS Loss vs. Vanderbilt
SU/ATS Loss vs. Indiana
SU/ATS Loss vs. Syracuse
SU/ATS Loss at North Carolina
SU Loss/ATS Win at Duke
SU/ATS Loss vs. Florida State
SU/ATS Loss vs. North Carolina
SU Loss/ATS Win vs. North Carolina
SU/ATS Win vs. Georgetown
SU Loss/ATS Win vs. Kansas

This year vs. Ken Pom Top 25
SU/ATS Loss vs. Oklahoma State
SU Loss/ATS Win vs. Michigan



Tags: College Basketball NC State Wolfpack Duke Blue Devils



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