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NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Tourney field expands as Gonzaga, Davidson and others win

03.12.2013     07:08 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Gonzaga, a team that dominated the West Coast Conference this year, won the league’s tournament Monday night against St.  Mary’s. Davidson, a team that dominated the Southern Conference this year, won the league’s tournament tonight against College of Charleston.

If you line up the stat profiles for them that we used in our subscription-only tournament previews…they’re virtual CLONES…

Gonzaga: +19.4 margin, 41% 2-point defense, +5.4 rebounding, +2.6 TO’s, 6.9 treys, #224 pace

Davidson: +17.7 margin, 41% 2-point defense, +5.9 rebounding, +1.6 TO’s, 7.8 treys, #209 pace

TO’s stands for turnover differential. I was trying to jam everything together to fit on one line so the similarities would jump out.

Those are true championship profiles, at least in context. You kind of HAVE to be an excellent team in a crappy conference to be that dominant across the board. But, for Read more

Tags: College Basketball Gonzaga Bulldogs Davidson Wildcats Stat Intelligence

Health of Wyoming's Washington the key to handicapping MWC Tournament opener vs. Nevada

03.12.2013     06:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Nevada vs. Wyoming -3 O/U 119.5

It looks like Wyoming will have the services of forward Leonard Washington for tonight's Mountain West Tournament play-in game against Nevada. Earlier this week an MRI of his back came back negative. Of UW's last five games, Washington was a factor only once, netting 15 points and 13 rebounds in a 72-66 loss at Air Force. Against San Diego State and UNLV he didn't play and the Cowboys lost by 28 and 23. And in 31 minutes of action over his last two games, Washington netted only three points and UW lost by 11 at New Mexico and 22 in the regular season finale vs. Colorado State. Wyoming beat Nevada in both regular season meetings, 59-48 and 68-48. Washington popped for 16 points, 13 rebounds and 16 points, 12 rebounds. Read more

Tags: College Basketball Wyoming Cowboys Nevada Wolf Pack

If you bet Iona last night, please stay away from sharp objects for at least 24 hours

03.12.2013     06:37 AM     Printer Friendly
We present to you an early nomination for Bad Beat of the Year.




Tags: College Basketball Iona Gaels

C-USA Tournament Betting Preview

03.11.2013     03:55 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
C-USA Tournament Preview

Top seed Memphis has won six of the last seven conference tournaments but five of those were in the friendly confines of the FedEx Forum. This year's tournament is in Tulsa and the champion will have to win at least three games. Memphis didn't lose a regular season conference game and is obviously headed to the Big Dance regardless of this week's outcome. No. 2 seed Southern Miss is in the at-large discussion but it'll need no less than a title game appearance to be considered. Central Florida would have been the fourth seed but is ineligible for the postseason.

First Round Pick/Darkhorse: Name a team in college basketball that endured more emotional highs and lows than Marshall. You probably could drum up a similar situation but the Thundering Herd have been there and back and then some this season. What we know about this squad is that on any given day they can beat anyone in the league. Despite its 6-10 league record, Marshall swept Central Florida, just beat No. 2 seed Southern Miss (after losing to the Eagles by 56 in late January), and went on the road to Memphis and lost by 1. They have absolutely Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

WAC Tournament Betting Preview

03.11.2013     03:36 PM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
WAC Tournament Preview

The WAC Tournament will be held at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas which is the same site as the WCC Tournament. It’ll be a 10-team field thanks to the additions of Denver, Seattle, UT-Arlington, UT-San Antonio, and Texas State. No. 1 seed Louisiana Tech was the class of this conference from start to finish but were exposed somewhat on a couple of very tough home courts, New Mexico State and Denver, to close out the regular season. The top six teams all receive byes to the quarterfinals – Louisiana Tech, Denver, New Mexico State, UTA, Utah State and Idaho. There will be two first round matchups on Tuesday with No. 7 Texas State vs. No. 10 Seattle and No. 8 San Jose State vs. No. 9 UTSA. On Thursday the 7-10 winner will play No. 2 Denver and the 8-9 winner will play No. 1 Louisiana Tech. Note that the off day on Wednesday due to the women's tournament may give the two lower seeded winners a slight boost.

First Round Pick: UT-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio beating San Jose State would be a minor upset only based on seed. The Spartans have been a disaster since mid-January Read more

Tags: College Basketball Ian Cameron

Big East Tournament Betting Preview

03.11.2013     02:13 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Big East Conference Tournament Preview

This is the final Big East Tournament so especially expect the eight original members to bring complete focus and effort to their matchups. The 15-team league will only have a 14-team field since Connecticut’s low APR scores prevent them from participating. As always, multiple upsets are extremely possible. My power ratings indicate that on this Madison Square Garden neutral site floor there are eight teams separated by only 9.5 points. However, none of the bottom four teams playing in the first round appear capable of duplicating Connecticut’s Cinderella five-day run in 2011. That being said, there are teams playing on the second day that could repeat Louisville’s four-win run to the title as last year’s No. 7 seed. The top of this league possesses a lot of power and it’s possible that either No. 1 Georgetown or No. 2 Louisville could grab a top seed in the NCAA Tournament if they win this championship. Last season, the favorites were very strong here going 11-4 against the spread while totals went 5-10 O/U. Just to show how volatile the ATS results can be here in MSG, two years ago Read more

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting Recap: Indiana wins Big Ten, Middle Tennessee shocked again

03.11.2013     07:20 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Let’s run the numbers from the three most talked about results of the day…

Indiana 72, Michigan 71

2-Point Percentage: Indiana 43%, Michigan 40%

3-Point Shooting: Indiana 7/16, Michigan 10/22

Free Throws: Indiana 5/9, Michigan 7/13

1’s and 2’s: Indiana 51, Michigan 41

Rebounds: Indiana 47, Michigan 26

Turnovers: Indiana 14, Michigan 6

(Indiana 2-2 in Kenpom, Sagarin; Michigan 11-9)

Indiana got the best of it in most of the numbers…so karma rewarded their performance with some good fortune at the end. Michigan just missed a layup and a tip-in in the final seconds that would have won the game. But…

*Michigan had to shoot 45% on treys just to be in the game, which is not something that should be counted on.

*Michigan missed the front end of two late one-and-one’s when they could have been sealing a trey-based victory

*Michigan was killed on the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Indiana Hoosiers Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Stat Intelligence

Teddy Covers' Who Has What It Takes to Win the NCAA Tournament in 2013 Part II

03.11.2013     07:12 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
In Part I of this article last week, I took a basic look at the profile of the past 15 NCAA champions. From that profile, I was able to make a ‘short list’ of potential champs in 2013, consisting of the following 15 teams: Florida, Arizona, Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Syracuse, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Miami-FL and Duke.

However, since last week, one of those 15 teams has been bounced from consideration.  Syracuse’s late season meltdown – four losses in their last five ballgames – has left them above the seven loss cut-off line.

I’d still call the Orange a ‘live’ longshot – let’s not forget that fellow Big East member UConn in 2011 also lost four of their last five regular season games before reeling off 11 consecutive wins in the Big East and Big Dance tournaments to win the title.  Then again, that 2011 UConn team is clearly the ‘exception to the Read more

Tags: College Basketball Teddy Covers

MAC Tournament Betting Preview

03.11.2013     07:05 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
MAC Tournament Preview

As a result of Toledo's postseason ineligibility, this year's MAC Tournament format is pretty wild. Seeds 6-11 play at campus sites on Monday. The fifth seed, Ball State, received a bye into the second round. No. 4 Kent State and No. 3 Western Michigan received byes in the third round. And then top seeds, No. 1 Akron and No. 2 Ohio won't play until Friday in the semifinals. The big storyline of the tournament is the suspension of Akron point guard Alex Abreu. Heading into March, the Zips were off their second win over Ohio and in the at-large discussion with a stellar record of 23-4 and 13-0 in league play. Akron then lost at Buffalo, Abreu was busted for weed, and they suffered a devastating loss to Kent State at home in the regular season finale. The Zips are talented enough to overcome the loss of their star point guard and win two games but without him, they are far more vulnerable.

First Round Pick: Egads! Conference tournaments are a tough nut to crack and seemingly produce more random outcomes than any other situation in college basketball (If you have time, Google “Liberty” and Read more

Tags: College Basketball Andrew Lange

NCAA Basketball Betting Recap: Duke Destroys North Carolina, Baylor and Louisville also win

03.10.2013     07:41 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Hey, Coach K figured out a way to keep opposing fans from storming the court…

Duke grabbed this game by the throat…jumping ahead 14-0 right out of the gate, and confirmed their superiority throughout the night. Some of that was certainly North Carolina hurrying shots…and making poor choices on offense early when the game was getting out of hand. But, Duke was creating that panic. It’s not like they were just standing idly by.

The numbers tell the story pretty well, so let’s jump right into those…

#3 Duke 69, North Carolina 53

2-Point Percentage: Duke 65%, North Carolina 42%

3-Point Shooting: Duke 5/15, North Carolina 1/14

Free Throws: Duke 10/12, North Carolina 10/13

1’s and 2’s: Duke 54, North Carolina 50

Rebounds: Duke 31, North Carolina 27 (16 offensive)

Turnovers: Duke 14, North Carolina 11

(Duke in 6-6-2 in Kenpom/Sagarin/BPI, N. Carolina Read more

Tags: College Basketball Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Baylor Bears Louisville Cardinals Stat Intelligence


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