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College Basketball Betting: Injury concerns for Utah Utes

01.27.2013     08:59 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Stanford -3 at Utah

Plenty of injury concerns for the Utah Utes as they play host to Stanford tonight. Senior guard Jarred DuBois (12.0) didn't start in Thursday's loss to Cal and played only nine minutes in the second half. He's expected to start and play more minutes tonight. Freshman forward Jordan Loveridge (12.7 ppg) has been battling the flu and may not be able to play due to concussion-like symptoms suffered against Cal. Stanford opened -2 and was bet up to -3. The Cardinal are 1-4 SU on the highway with their lone win by two points. Also note that Utah's crowd support may be lacking due to Read more

Tags: College Basketball Stanford Cardinal Utah Utes

College Basketball Handicapping: Laws of Math Finally Catching Up with Arizona

01.25.2013     01:59 PM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Submitted by Stat Intelligence

Earlier this season…

*The Arizona Wildcats needed some home cooking to steal a game from the Florida Gators in Tucson. Arizona was +12 in made free throws in a game they only won by a point. Note that Florida took 34 shots inside the arc, but was only sent to the charity stripe for eight free throw attempts. Arizona took 24 shots inside the arc but got to shoot 21 free throws. As others have pointed out (most notably Ken Pomeroy), that one result has warped the AP and coaches poll for weeks since.

*The Arizona Wildcats were fortunate to survive a neutral court naibliter against San Diego State. They won by one point despite getting outshot and outrebounded. Again, their ability to get to the line and make free throws helped.

*The Arizona Wildcats needed a MIRACLE to force overtime at home against Colorado. You probably remember the disputed three-pointer at the buzzer that led to the extra period.

*The Arizona Wildcats didn’t exactly set Read more

Tags: College Basketball Arizona Wildcats Stat Intelligence

Sportsmemo Handicapper Rob Veno's College Basketball Power Ratings

01.25.2013     11:06 AM     Printer Friendly
Here's a sneak peak at some of Rob Veno's Power Ratings for Saturday's college basketball matchups. Rob’s Powers Ratings for the entire card will be available later tonight.

Syracuse -5.5 at Villanova
Notre Dame -3 at South Florida
Louisville -6 at Georgetown
Duke -11.5 vs. Maryland
UCLA -2 at Arizona State
San Diego State -2 vs. New Mexico
St. Joe's -5.5 vs. Xavier

Tags: College Basketball Rob Veno

College Basketball Betting: MAAC teams continue to streak against the spread

01.25.2013     10:58 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Check out some of the wild against the spread runs the MAAC has produced of late.

Canisius - A money earner during non-conference play (6-2 ATS) the betting markets caught up to the Golden Griffins who are on a 1-5 ATS slide in conference action.

Fairfield - The Stags have been streaky. They failed to cover a single pointspread during November, ripped off five of their next six, but have struggled in MAAC play covering only one of their last six games.

Manhattan - The Jaspers struggled mightily following the loss of do-everything guard George Beamon (16.8 ppg, 6.2 rpg) who was lost for the year in early December. But they've been ultra-competitive in MAAC play (+5 scoring through eight games) and as a result have cashed five of their last six tickets.

Niagara - The Purple Eagles have morphed into a title contender with seven straight league wins. They covered all but one of those contests.

Rider - The hottest team in the league, the Broncs have won five straight and covered seven straight. They are a perfect 8-0 ATS vs. the MAAC heading into tonight's Read more

Tags: College Basketball

Under Tubby Smith, Minnesota has been money burners ATS vs. Big Ten

01.25.2013     06:49 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Telling editorial on the state of the Minnesota program under head coach Tubby Smith. Smith has been criticized for not willing to take the blame when his teams fall short. He's also been known to throw a player or two under the bus. The Gophers have dropped three straight including a dismal 55-48 loss at Northwestern last time out. Interesting to note that this is Smith's six year and in Big Ten regular season play he's a dismal 41-55 SU and 41-54-1 ATS (not one winning season ATS). The Golden Gophers are 4-2 ATS vs. the Big Ten this year but as mentioned appear to be trending the other way. Minnesota travels to Wisconsin Saturday.

Tags: College Basketball Minnesota Golden Gophers

College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Cal State Northridge Matadors at UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

01.24.2013     10:52 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Cal State Northridge at UC Santa Barbara -1.5
Recommendation: Santa Barbara

Cal State Northridge got off to a 6-0 start this year, all against lined, DI opponents.  It didn’t end there.  The Matadors hung tough with BYU in Provo and won SU at Utah and put together a furious rally to nearly upset a solid Hawaii team in Honolulu in their conference opener.  Then the bottom dropped out.

Northridge has opened up Big West play by losing each of their first seven games.  Their last pointspread cover came in that aforementioned loss at Hawaii, dropping each of their last six games ATS as well; consistently overvalued by the betting markets after that hot start. 

The Matadors have two major weaknesses. First, they are as young as any team in all of DI basketball.  Head coach Bobby Braswell: “Our young guys are going through a stretch that has been very difficult. The freshmen are struggling a bit. Their numbers are going down. It's the rigors of a long season. We warned them this would happen.”

Northridge’s second weakness is their defense, or lack thereof.  In conference Read more

Tags: College Basketball Cal State Northridge Matadors UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Teddy Covers

College Basketball Gambling Free Pick: Virginia Cavaliers at Virginia Tech Hokies

01.24.2013     10:41 AM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
Virginia at Virginia Tech +5.5
Recommendation: Virginia Tech

Although the early money has come in support of Virginia, not sure I share that same enthusiasm. UVA on the road has not been a bankroll builder thus far as they failed outright as -5 at Wake Forest and were dismantled by 15 at Clemson. Their exceptional prowess on defense is fiercely combatted by their one trick pony offense. Virginia’s pedestrian attack which has little in the way of penetrating rim attackers and inside post presence depends much too heavily on three point shooting. That long range success has not traveled with them in ACC play shooting less than 30% in each of their road games. With no other matchup being problematic, expect Virginia Tech to focus on defending the arc here. Offensively the Hokies will likely find the going tough but they have the best scorer on the floor in senior guard Erick Greene (24.6 ppg). Coleman Coliseum will provide a raucous environment tonight Read more

Tags: College Basketball Virginia Cavaliers Virginia Tech Hokies Rob Veno

College Basketball Gambling: Arizona should have rebounding advantage vs. UCLA

01.24.2013     07:54 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
UCLA at Arizona -8.5 O/U 147

What takes place in the paint should have a big impact in the outcome of tonight's UCLA-Arizona matchup. The Bruins have size but aren't particularly physical and as a result are -3.5 in rebounding margin through six conference games. Arizona has outrebounded 14 of its 17 opponents. According to Ken Pom, UCLA ranks 11th in the PAC-12 in offensive rebounding percentage (26.9) and 10th in offensive rebounding defense (34.2). Arizona meanwhile ranks second and first, respectively, in both categories.

“They’re an even better rebounding team than Oregon,” UCLA coach Ben Howland said of the Wildcats in his weekly news conference. “That’s a real wake-up call for us.”

“I think we’re going to try to feed it into Kaleb and also Brandon, try to use our big guys the Read more

Tags: College Basketball UCLA Bruins Arizona Wildcats

College Basketball Handicapping: Scoring margin in conference play

01.24.2013     07:01 AM     Printer Friendly
Good blog post by Ken Pomeroy on whether or not scoring margin matters in the first meeting of conference play. According to KP, it does.

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketbal Betting Free Pick: Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers

01.23.2013     11:53 AM     Teddy Covers     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Teddy Covers blog entry.
Texas A&M +1 at LSU
Recommendation: Texas A&M

LSU is an injury riddled mess right now, and their home court isn’t strong enough to overcome their many weaknesses.  The Tigers will be without starting guard Corban Collins tonight (concussion), and may not have senior guard Charles Carmouche either (knee).  That leaves a team with very limited depth severely depleted tonight.

LSU head coach Johnny Jones: “We'll have to use our timeouts in a fashion so our guys can have an opportunity to get breaks with a short bench. One thing we don't want them to do is rest on the floor and take plays off. That's very dangerous at this level. That's something that we're conscious of with the depletion.”  Don’t expect the Tigers to have timeouts left for the latter stages of the game here, a big disadvantage in this pick ‘em game.

The Tigers are the lone remaining winless team in SEC Conference play for Read more

Tags: College Basketball Texas A&M Aggies LSU TIgers Teddy Covers


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