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Saturday NCAA Basketball Betting Preview: Maryland Terrapins at Temple Owls
01.20.2012 11:41 AM
Rob Veno
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno
Maryland
at
Temple
Game being played at The Palestra at 11 am local (ESPNU) which could add to the flat spot for Temple. Off of a tough three game Atlantic-10 stretch in which the Owls won as a +9.5 point underdog at St. Louis, came up short three days later at Richmond and then edged out Big Five rival LaSalle, it would be understandable if they weren’t fully focused. There is word that Temple’s starting center Michael Eric will return for this contest which means there could be some non-cohesive minutes when he is on the floor. It would be a great spot to gradually work Eric back into the rotation. If Temple is unaffected by the situational spot here, they could win this game easily because the fundamentals are all in their favor. Temple guards Ramon Moore and Khalif Wyatt are almost impossible to defend man-to-man and point guard Juan Fernadez is as smooth a leader as you’ll find. Maryland’s 5-11 point machine Terrell Stoglin is carrying
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College Basketball
Maryland Terrapins
Temple Owls
Rob Veno
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College Hoops Free Pick: Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions
01.19.2012 07:24 AM
Andrew Lange
Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange
Illinois
at
Penn State
+3.5 O/U 123.5
Recommendation: Penn State
It has been quite a turnaround for Illinois of late. Less than a month ago, this team had the look of a .500 team in Big Ten play. But three straight close wins, including a 79-74 victory over Ohio State has the Illini atop the league standings. The win over the Buckeyes was particularly intriguing because Illinois got 43 points from Brandon Paul and as a team shot 60% from the floor and 61% from three. Prior to that, Illinois was hard-pressed to shoot 45% in game. Regardless, off a monster win, and in first place...and with Wisconsin on deck, the Illini take a trip to face 9-10, 1-5 Penn State. The Nittany Lions are not a good basketball team, but they've shown me enough to think they could give Illinois some trouble. PSU beat Purdue on this floor by 20 and battled Indiana to a six-point loss. Note that Illinois may be 15-3 but winning by margin hasn't come easy. They beat Cornell by four,
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College Basketball
Illinois Fighting Illini
Penn State Nittany Lions
Andrew Lange
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College Basketball Betting: Analyzing close pointspread results Part II
01.19.2012 06:53 AM
Printer Friendly
Submitted by
Continuing our analysis of close pointspread results, there has been over 500 games thus far in January, and 40% of the games landed within five points of the betting line and 10% within one point of the line. If fact, 16 of the 18 games January 16-17 landed within five points of the betting line, and last Saturday it was a remarkable 48 of 99 games! As
previously mentioned
, regardless of your level of handicapping ability, long term results of these close ATS games should produce close to 50% ATS winners and losers. Yet we’ve been suffering though many close losses in January, now 7-16 on those close contests. We’ll continue to evaluate the results, stats and match-ups, and work to become even more proficient in pointspread prognosis in our never ending pursuit of profit. With that, the unfortunate results and negative random variance should subside.
Despite a solid base using good power ratings and adjusting those during the season, there is so much more to the puzzle and preparing your pointspread
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College Basketball Betting Alert: Utah parts way with key player Watkins
01.19.2012 06:22 AM
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Arizona
-15 at
Utah
O/U 118.5
Just when things were starting looking slightly better that catastrophic, Utah decided to part ways with do-everything guard Jiggy Watkins for
violating team rules
. If you never watched the Utes play, we'll walk you through a typical possession:
(Insert player name) inbounds to Watkins who strolls up the court at a leisurely pace. Passes to (insert player name) who passes it right back to Watkins. Watkins dribbles left, now right. 15 on the shot clock. Watkins barks out "22" and the other four players clear out. 10 on the clock. Watkins at the top of the key. 6, 5, 4...Watkins drives, pulls up, and misses a 15-footer at the elbow.
That is seriously how nearly every possession goes down. According to Ken Pom, Watkins ranks No. 1 in the country in percent of possessions used (38.4%). Meaning the ball is in his hands constantly. He wasn't necessarily a great player, but he was Utah's best option and one of the few on the roster who had PAC-12 talent.
The score below sums up exactly what happens when Jiggy ain't playing…
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Utah Utes
Arizona Wildcats
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NCAA Basketball Betting: Off 33-point loss, North Carolina travels to Virginia Tech
01.19.2012 06:16 AM
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North Carolina
-7 at
Virginia Tech
O/U 143
Two angles at work tonight in Blacksburg with North Carolina off an embarrassing
33-point loss
at Florida State and Virginia Tech the only team in the ACC without a league win. The Hokies expect to return guard Erick Green. Green leads the team in points, assists and steals but missed the last game (61-59 loss at Boston College) due to a knee injury. The Tar Heels have not lost back-to-back ACC games since the 2009-10 season.
“It’s not doom and gloom around here,” Greenberg said. “If we were getting wacked by 30 or 40, no matter who we’re playing, I could see that. But we also have a lot of positive things going on.”
“It’s not exactly the best time to play Carolina,” Virginia Tech coach Seth Greenberg said. “I’d like to thank
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College Basketball Handicapper Game Previews 1-18-2012
01.18.2012 11:59 AM
Rob Veno
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Submitted by Rob Veno
Games that just missed the cut for tonight’s college basketball card. To purchase official selections,
click here
.
Mississippi State at Mississippi OVER 130.5
Looks as if we’ll see contrasting philosophies in this game where the overall tempo is concerned. MSU head coach Rick Stansbury would prefer to get his electric PG Dee Bost and athletic running post man Arnett Moultrie out on the break as much as possible to avoid down low infighting with Ole Miss brawlers Murphy Holloway and Reginald Buckner. Meanwhile, Andy Kennedy would like is Rebels to feature more offensive ball movement and good shot selection. Mississippi is not without its desire to push pace when the opportunity exists and they’ll certainly look for quick outlet and easy bucket transition opportunities. Free throws could be in abundance here because of the intense post play and the potential for aggressive late game fouling. Mississippi State’s 78.3% from the line in conference play (4 regulars 72% or better) is strong enough to negate Mississippi’s weak 64.2% SEC
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Rob Veno
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NCAA Basketball Betting Alert: Rice's leading scorer may be out for season
01.18.2012 11:38 AM
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UAB
at
Rice
-4 O/U 123
Reports have surfaced that Rice's leader scorer (14.3 ppg) and rebounder (12.0 rpg) Arsalan Kazemi may be done for the year with a knee injury. The
Houston Chronicle
is reporting that Kazemi posted the news on his Twitter account. He's currently listed as doubtful for tonight's game against UAB.
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Rice Owls
UAB Blazers
Arsalan Kazemi
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College Basketball Betting Free Play: Rhode Island Rams at Fordham Rams
01.18.2012 10:18 AM
Alatex Sports
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Submitted by Alatex Sports
Rhode Island
at
Fordham
-3.5 O/U 135
Recommendation: Fordham
Rhode Island has been a complete disaster this year as it limps into this road contest with a 3-15 record. Head coach Jim Baron is taking heat and grasping at straws to turn this season around, but none of his lineup changes have worked. The Rams’ wins thus far came against Boston College, James Madison and Hofstra. They kicked their best player, Jamal Wilson, off the team in December and added transfers Andre Malone and Baron’s son Billy who have had little to no impact. RI’s defense has been atrocious allowing 48.9 % from the field and 49.9% on the road. Fordham has made some improvements under head coach Tom Pecora, including home wins against Georgia Tech and Harvard. The Rams are coming off an 80-62 loss at St. Joe's and should be ready for a nice effort at home against an opponent that they should be able to beat. Take the home side.
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Fordham Rams
Rhode Island Rams
Brent Crow
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College Basketball Betting Trends: Marshall looks to maintain ATS success vs. WVU
01.18.2012 07:12 AM
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West Virginia
-3.5 vs.
Marshall
O/U 135
Marshall and West Virginia renew their rivalry tonight in Charleston, WV. The Thundering Herd have owned the series from a pointspread perspective but tonight's matchup has seen a massive adjustment in the line compared to previous meetings.
West Virginia vs. Marshall Series History 2005-11
Year
Score
SU Winner
ATS Winner
2011
75-71
Marshall
Marshall +10
2010
68-60
West Virginia
Marshall +12.5
2009
87-76
West Virginia
Marshall +15.5
2008
66-64
West Virginia
Marshall +15.5
2007
77-63
West Virginia
West Virginia -10
2006
58-52
Marshall
Marshall +16
2005
59-55
Marshall
Marshall +13.5
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West Virginia Mountaineers
Marshall Thudering Herd
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College Basketball Betting: Oklahoma State has trouble lasting 40 minutes
01.18.2012 06:48 AM
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Oklahoma State
at
Iowa State
-8 O/U 137
Oklahoma State's youth and lack of depth really showed in last week's 106-65 loss at Baylor. But it wasn't the first time those shortcomings were exposed. The Cowboys are 2-2 in Big XII play, but have been outscored in the second half in all four games by a combined 45 points. Fatigue obviously could be a favor tonight with Iowa State looking to push the tempo. The Cyclones aren’t an ideal mid-range favorite, but perhaps we'll have a halftime opportunity with a cheaper adjusted price. Following the loss to Baylor, OSU head coach Travis Ford dropped this
gem of a quote
...
“I told our guys and I want them to understand this, ‘It’s not about winning and losing at this point, it’s about how you are playing,’” Ford said. “Because we can play
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