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College Basketbal Betting Free Play: Oregon State Beavers at USC Trojans

01.19.2013     07:03 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Oregon State +5.5 at USC
Recommendation: Oregon State

Not sure that USC is ready to lay -5.5 in a conference game. The Trojans performed well and expended a lot of energy in Thursday's loss to Oregon. They played at a faster tempo and showed a variety of different defenses under interim head coach Bob Cantu. My issue is while practice may be more enjoyable to go to with Kevin O’Neill gone; this is still an average PAC-12 team void of a significant home court advantage or ability to pull away from teams of comparable ability. After beating UC Riverside 70-26, USC lost at home to UC Irvine, Cal, and Oregon. Their wins in LA were by two against Stanford and by two, in overtime, against Dayton. Oregon State is winless in PAC-12 play in part because they've played the best three teams in the league (Oregon, Arizona, and UCLA) and also because of suspensions. Tonight they’re expected to be at full strength with Eric Moreland (10.8 ppg, 11.1 rpg) Read more

Tags: College Basketball Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans Andrew Lange

College Basketball Gambling Free Play: Northwestern Wildcats at Illinois Fighting Illini

01.17.2013     11:07 AM     ICC     Printer Friendly
Submitted by ICC blog entry.
Northwestern at Illinois -10.5 O/U 131.5
Recommendation: Illinois

I don’t lay big points often but tonight’s game sets up as a great opportunity to support an Illinois team that is obviously not at all happy after a pair of blowout losses. The Illini lost at home to Minnesota, 84-67, and were crushed on the road by Wisconsin, 74-51. Illinois is now sitting at just 1-3 in Big Ten play and is in desperate need of a confidence inducing performance. I expect that we will see a motivated and focused home team tonight.

Aside from a road win at woeful Penn State, Northwestern hasn’t exactly stepped up in class against the better teams in the Big Ten with the Wildcats losing 94-66 at home to Michigan, 69-51 at Minnesota and a 70-50 home loss to Iowa on the weekend. The heart of Northwestern’s problems is the absence of senior forward Drew Crawford who is out for the year with a shoulder injury. The Wildcats have struggled Read more

Tags: College Basketball Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Ian Cameron

NCAA Basketball Betting Free Play: South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Western Illinois Leathernecks

01.17.2013     08:51 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
South Dakota State at Western Illinois -2.5
Recommendation: Western Illinois

You think Western Illinois has had tonight's game against South Dakota State circled? Last year, the Jackrabbits not only beat the Leathernecks three times but one of those games was by single point and the other was in overtime in the Summit League Championship game. WIU is an experienced team with a decent home court. You go back to last year and three of their conference losses in Macomb were by 1 (vs. SDSU), 1 (double OT) and 4 (double OT). This season, they are a perfect 8-0 at rinky-dink Western Hall and tonight marks arguably the biggest game the program has had under Jim Molinari. South Dakota State is a good team as seen by road wins at Montana and New Mexico. But there were also some bad losses, most notably at Hofstra and at South Dakota. Defensively is where these two teams differ. SDSU has had difficulty at times whereas WIU puts much more emphasis on Read more

Tags: College Basketball Western Illinois Leathernecks South Dakota State Jackrabbits Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting: BYU's struggles against strong competition continue

01.17.2013     07:15 AM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
Last night, BYU lost on a buzzer beater to St. Mary's, 70-69. It marked yet another failed attempt for the Cougars to pick up a marquee victory. Over the last two seasons, BYU has had an incredibly difficult time stepping up in class. Check out the results against St. Mary's and Gonzaga...

BYU -5 vs. St. Mary's - 70-69 Loss
BYU +2.5 vs. Gonzaga - 77-58 Loss
BYU +6.5 at Gonzaga - 74-63 Loss
BYU -3.5 vs. Gonzaga - 83-73 Win
BYU -2.5 vs. St. Mary's - 80-66 Loss
BYU +4 at St. Mary's - 98-82 Loss

That's 1-5 SU/ATS. And if we include better than average power conference teams, there are even more failures.

BYU -2 vs. Florida State - 88-70 Loss
BYU +3 vs. Notre Dame - 78-68 Loss
BYU +4 at Iowa State - 83-62 Loss
BYU +7 at Baylor - 79-64 Loss

BYU +5 vs. Marquette - 88-68 Loss
BYU -4 vs. Baylor - 86-83 Loss
BYU +7.5 vs. Wisconsin - 73-56 Loss

If we stretch the parameters a little, there were SU/ATS wins against Oregon (infant stages of Dana Altman's first season) and at Virginia Tech (Hokies finished 16-17). Still, BYU's track record against strong competition is Read more

Tags: College Basketball BYU Cougars Andrew Lange

College Basketbal Betting Free Play: NC State Wolfpack at Maryland Terrapins

01.16.2013     02:43 PM     Andrew Lange     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Andrew Lange blog entry.
NC State at Maryland -1.5 O/U 149
Recommendation: Over

Maryland has not been shy about its desire to play up-tempo with both home games in ACC play hitting the 70 possessions mark. And tonight, the Terps have talked about making a change at the point guard position, putting Nick Faust in place of the offensively inept Pe'Shon Howard.

The Terps are searching for a spark, and Faust may just oblige, allowing Maryland to work a little faster offensively. Since Faust doesn’t know all the set plays at point guard, teammate Logan Aronhalt said, the Terps might adjust with more quick-hitters, searching for easy, fast buckets.

NC State is in no way an elite level defense. In half of the Wolfpack's games, they've allowed 1.03 points per possession or more. Check out Read more

Tags: College Basketball NC State Wolfpack Maryland Terrapins Andrew Lange

College Basketball Betting: Fresno State leaning heavily on freshmen in tough Mountain West

01.16.2013     12:02 PM     Rob Veno     Printer Friendly
Submitted by Rob Veno blog entry.
There have been times this season Fresno State's men's basketball team has had three and even four freshmen on the floor at the same time. That’s a tough way to go in the Mountain West, which is rated the second (Sagarin) or third ( toughest conference in the country.

Coach Rodney Terry knows this, often using the refrain, "It's not going to happen overnight." The youth and inexperience may have cost FSU a win in the final minutes at No. 16 San Diego State last week.

Four freshmen have logged a total of 1,010 minutes already and it could be more, considering guard Marvelle Harris (373 minutes) has played 20 minutes or less four times, center Robert Upshaw (234 minutes) missed the first three games coming back from a knee injury, point guard Aaron Anderson (224 minutes) didn't make his first start until the 12th game of the season, and forward/center Tanner Giddings (179 minutes) did not play in one game and logged less than 10 minutes in five others.

Fresno State is getting more than twice as many minutes from freshman than any other Mountain West school except for UNLV. While 82.4% of the Rebels freshman minutes have been Read more

Tags: College Basketball Fresno State Bulldogs Rob Veno Mountain West

College Basketball Betting: Illinois State winless in Missouri Valley play

01.16.2013     07:24 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Illinois State at Wichita State -9.5

It's been a baffling season for Illinois State. Close losses to Northwestern and Louisville, a road win over Dayton, and now five straight losses to open Missouri Valley play. All five contests were fairly close; decided by 2, 7, 10, 7, and 5 points. Now it doesn't look like Tyler Brown (15.3 ppg) will play. According to Sports Options, he'll remain suspended for tonight's game at Wichita State. And to make matters worse, the Shockers are off a rare loss and welcome back the services of their best player, Carl Hall, who missed time due to a thumb injury.

Tags: College Basketball Illinois State Redbirds Wichita State Shockers

NCAA Basketball Gambling: BYU's Carlino leaves practice with bum back

01.16.2013     07:11 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
St. Mary's at BYU -6 O/U 153

Keep an eye on BYU guard Matt Carlino's status for tonight's matchup against St. Mary's. He left yesterday's practice with back spasms. Carlino has been in fine form of late. After failing to top double-digits in five straight games, he posted 21, 22, 13, and 13 respectively over his last four. The Gaels beat the Cougars in both meetings last year including an 80-66 romp in Provo.

Tags: College Basketball BYU Cougars St. Mary's Gaels

College Basketball Handicapping: Scoring has been down nation-wide

01.16.2013     07:00 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
It looks like scoring in college basketball is on pace for an historical low this season. Since 1952, only once have we seen the national average below 68 ppg. We're currently at that mark with it expected to dip now that conference play is underway. There are some theories. One would be departures to the NBA – something that has been taking place for years. Next, and this makes a little more sense, is technology with teams able to quickly and efficiently put together film on the opposition. Due to the crazy totals market it's hard to get an accurate number on nation-wide results. One site claims 53.5% of games have gone under the total in regulation.

"There's so much more film now than there was when I first started in the mid 1990s," Groce said Monday on the Big Ten teleconference. "I could go right now to the office and say, 'I want every underneath out-of-bounds play that Northwestern ran in the last 30 games,' and my video guy could get me that in 15 minutes.

"There are a

Read more

Tags: College Basketball

College Basketball Betting: Colorado holds players-only meeting

01.16.2013     06:45 AM     Printer Friendly blog entry.
Colorado at Washington -2

Since the start of PAC-12 play, the hot topic for Colorado has been its supposed lack of "mental toughness." The Buffaloes had it during regulation against Arizona but lost it in overtime. It was nowhere to be seen in the loss to Arizona State whereas against Southern Cal, present and accounted for. UCLA at home? Not the last five minutes as the Bruins snuck away with a 78-75 win in Boulder. We’re detecting a pattern – win and we’re tough, lose and we’re a JV squad. Now we're having a players-only meeting to combat this supposed lack of testicular fortitude. From our perspective we see a team that is capable but very young and inconsistent, hence four straight relatively close games; three of which happen to go the way of the opposition. If Colorado doesn’t get scammed Read more

Tags: College Basketball Colorado Buffaloes Washington Huskies


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